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Michael J.W. Stickings

Michael J.W. Stickings

Posted: December 18, 2009 10:18 AM

Thoughts on the State of Health-Care Reform

What's Your Reaction:

I'm not happy there's no public option, I'm not happy there's no Medicare buy-in, and, in general, I'm not happy it's not a single-payer system like the one we have in Canada.

But what to do? Oppose the bill because it isn't enough or support it because it's all we can get?

I've been mulling this over for some time, like a lot of you out there, and like a lot of prominent commentators in the media and blogosphere, and a conversation with a friend yesterday clarified a few points for me.

To wit: I think it's extremely important for those on the left, liberals and progressives alike, not to give in too easily. We have been largely dismissed by the White House and the Democratic leadership -- with Obama himself pushing Reid to make a deal with Lieberman while all but ignoring the protests of those on the left of the party, as well as of those within his, and the party's, liberal-progressive base -- as if we simply don't matter and are of little consequence.

But why are we the only ones who need to compromise? Why do we have to give more than, say, Lieberman and Nelson? Well, we are told, because that's just the way it is, what with the Republicans apparently unanimous, for now, in opposition to reform. Either we give in or there's no bill, and no reform, and it'll apparently all be our fault, as we're the ones who'll be blamed.

Yes, I accept that the bill will be more to the right than what we would like, but we should nonetheless withhold our support until we win at least some concessions. Okay, no public option, no Medicare buy-in? Then, if you want your individual mandate, which is what the insurance companies want, then put in sufficient subsidies to ensure that those required to buy insurance will actually have the means to do so. In other words, if it's the Dutch system you want, more or less, then give us the Dutch system, more or less.

Here's Jon Cohn:

Now, the reforms moving through Congress won't produce a system as comprehensive as what the Netherlands or Switzerland has. But that's not because of the individual mandate, which actually makes a lot of sense. (Read here if you want chapter and verse on that.) That's because the subsidies and regulation in these bills aren't as generous and strong as they could be.


The public plan would have helped make up for these deficiencies. That's why it's [sic] loss is truly regrettable -- and why its supporters should be angry. But the best response wouldn't be to demand the politically impossible -- that is, to insist upon a restoration of the public plan that simply doesn't have the votes it needs to pass. It would be to demand some other things, like better subsidies and regulation, that do have political potential and could actually make the final bill better.

I'm all for a loud, angry left. If nothing else, we need it to balance out the loud, angry right. But there's a fine line between being constructive and destructive. This latest gambit, I think, crosses it.

That "gambit" is opposing the individual mandate. I actually support the individual mandate, but I think it makes some sense to oppose it until "subsidies" and "regulation" are "generous and strong." At the very least, that should be our bargaining position.

So keep fighting. Don't just go along with Reid and the White House. Demand more. Demand concessions. It's quid pro quo. If Lieberman and Nelson need to be appeased, fine, but they should compromise, too, and not simply be allowed to determine the final version of the bill. Yes, we need to be "constructive" about it, but we can be constructive within the parameters of good-faith negotiating.

Ultimately, though -- as I swallow hard -- I think Kevin Drum (via Cohn) is right:

From any kind of progressive point of view it's hard to see how you could seriously argue that the current bill is a net harm. Sure, it makes compromises to powerful interests that are hard to swallow. But that's why they're called powerful interests: because they can kill your legislative priorities if you don't assuage them. In return, though, the Senate bill brings down insurance rates, expands Medicaid, offers the prospect of moderately priced insurance to tens of millions of the uninsured, forces insurers to take you on even if you have a chronic pre-existing condition, mandates minimum levels of coverage, and takes several small but important steps toward reducing the future growth of health care costs. That's an enormous advance for the progressive agenda.


There's an alternate universe out there in which you could get all this stuff without compromise based on the sheer force of progressive arguments. Sadly, it's not this universe. I sure hope we don't have to learn this the hard way yet again.

Of course, there is also much to be said for Glenn Greenwald's position (via Drum):

In essence, this reinforces all of the worst dynamics of Washington. The insurance industry gets the biggest bonanza imaginable in the form of tens of millions of coerced new customers without any competition or other price controls. Progressive opinion-makers, as always, signaled that they can and should be ignored... Most of this was negotiated and effectuated in complete secrecy, in the sleazy sewers populated by lobbyists, industry insiders, and their wholly-owned pawns in the Congress. And highly unpopular, industry-serving legislation is passed off as "centrist," the noblest Beltway value.

Drum agrees, I agree, and I suspect most liberals and progressives agree. But what else are we to do? Yes, I wish it had all been done differently. Yes, I wish the bill currently in the Senate were more progressive. Yes, I see that "the worst dynamics of Washington" have triumphed yet again. Am I happy about that? No. But what I am happy about is that real reform is finally on the horizon.

And if it were to fail now, then what? It wouldn't be brought back next year, with the midterms, and likely not before 2012. And who can predict what Washington will look like beyond that?

Sad to say, but what we have now, compromises and all, is better than nothing.

We just need to keep fighting as urgently and as strenuously as we can, and to win as many concessions as we can, and to demand that the White House and the Democratic leadership take us seriously and pay us the recognition we deserve, before swallowing hard and signing on for good.

(Cross-posted from The Reaction.)

 

Follow Michael J.W. Stickings on Twitter: www.twitter.com/mjwstickings

 
 
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05:38 PM on 12/20/2009
I absolutely disagree with the quote from Kevin Drum that this bill will in any way provide affordable insurance to the uninsured. If someone can cite for me where this bill mandates affordable insurance, I would stand corrected and be grateful for the information. Otherwise, I am sick and tired of hearing that this bill will "insure 30,000,000 people who don't have insurance". It will theoretically make insurance of unknown quality available to people who are able to pay whatever exorbitant premium is required by the insurance companies, and that's a whole different ball game. The subsidies provided in the Senate bill are indexed, inadequate and sure to be reduced during each push to cut the deficit.
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Tulka2
Solidarity. Courage. Humor.
03:21 PM on 12/20/2009
Of course the most fervent supporters of Obama's campaign are the very people he is betraying now. These would be the people who wore out shoes going door to door and giving him money they couldn't afford because they believed in him so strongly. And... it was mostly anti-war sentiment and health care reform that put Obama over the top.

Somehow the Oval Office Triumvirate (Obama, Axelrod, Emanuel) must think they can win the lefties back before 2010. It will be interesting to see with what.
12:59 PM on 12/20/2009
The reason the left is the only side forced to compromise is because the country is basically right wing and too religious including the democratic party which now has a anti-choice majority in its own house caucus. The sad truth is that both parties are corrupt making the center as defined by the media rotten to the core.
11:54 AM on 12/20/2009
Progressives, Conservadems, Corporate Democrats, Blue Dogs, T-Party People, Republicans........Americans. Please Everyone. Whatever side you are on, do not finally decide, until you watch this critical clip from PBS' Billy Moyer's Journal:

http://www.pbs.org/moyers/journal/12182009/profile.html
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Tulka2
Solidarity. Courage. Humor.
03:17 PM on 12/20/2009
Wonderful. What will democracy do without Moyers?
04:22 PM on 12/20/2009
Through the years he has covered numerous important stories with a critical eye. Unfortunately, his stories seemingly garner little mainstream attention.

Here is another classic and important interview that you may have missed with William K. Black on Wall ST Excesses: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rz1b__MdtHY
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jmpurser
See My micro-bio
11:47 AM on 12/20/2009
"To wit: I think it's extremely important for those on the left, liberals and progressives alike, not to give in too easily. "

Give in??? We never "gave in". The left began by being completely betrayed by Obama who killed single payer for nothing. There was no "compromise". Our general just surrendered.
10:52 AM on 12/20/2009
No, I don't buy the "we gotta do this now" argument. The Senate bill reeks of social injustice masquerading as health care reform. We don't gotta do this now, we can put an end to this sham and work for a more progressive congress in the future. Things will get worse for a while, but at least they won't get worse due to a "reform" give-away to the inusurance corporations.
02:34 PM on 12/19/2009
Seems to me, people are more important than corporations. It took 96 hours to bail out banks. 96 hours to bail out auto manufacturers. 96 hours to help corporations. A year down the road, we get a bail out for the insurance cartel and pharma cartel, hospitals, physician corporations, and a criminalization of 300 million Americans if they don't purchase insurance policies. Seems to me, there's no health care reform in health care reform left. Goodbye Obama, and any candidate that has a D or R next to their name. Play the game without me.
09:49 PM on 12/19/2009
well said
01:23 PM on 12/18/2009
There's an obvious question I haven't seen addressed in anything I've read about the individual mandate and pre-existing conditions. Maybe someone here can explain it.

If you have to pay a penalty (to the IRS) for not having insurance, and the penalty is less than the insurance premium, and you can't be refused coverage, why wouldn't you just pay the penalty while you're healthy and buy insurance when you get sick? If this is implicitly prohibited, what happens to someone who does it and becomes critically ill?
02:23 PM on 12/18/2009
In that case, as an individual, you win.

And when enough people do it, insurance rates will skyrocket and the whole health care reform debacle will unwind.

But by then most of the current legislators will no longer be in office. It is not their problem, it's ours.

(most likely a lot of them will be lobbyists for the insurance industry, it pays better.)
03:20 PM on 12/18/2009
If insurance premiums skyrocket, the contradiction becomes even more obvious because then the incentive to just pay the penalty is overwhelming. In practice, the penalty amount is the price of the insurance premium. It seems like single-payer is the only practical way to get around the problem, since there's no way that Congress will impose such a huge penalty to be enforced by the IRS.
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CJWebber
11:23 AM on 12/18/2009
Healthcare in the US has turned into such a political game between the 2 parties! The American people are certainly not being considered. I have the following prediction: healthcare will not pass due to Republican obstructionism; the Democrats will lose the next election because of it; the Republicans will then implement healthcare reform; it will pass because the Democrats will have to agree with it; the Republicans will look like heroes.
11:08 AM on 12/18/2009
When you boil it down, the individual mandate is our only bargaining chip. We should not just give it up and then hold our collective breath in the hope that we see greater reform in the future. At the very least, we need to demand more concessions for the insurance industry as far as regulation goes. With the individual mandate, light regulation and no public option, the current Senate bill is the insurance industry's wet dream. It is basically free money for industry that is already making tons of money hand over fist. It is a shame that you are trying to convince us to support this betrayal of bill.
11:05 AM on 12/18/2009
I'm no expert on politics or insurance. But why should only "experts" have valid opinions?

I don't believe a legitimate argument can be made that the status quo is a viable option. Unless of course it is the policy of some politicians to lower the unemployment rate by having tens of thousands die each year from lack of health care options.

Does the current bill do harm? That depends on what you believe is the underlying cause of the partisan debates in congress. Is it due to philosophical differences? Or is it due to lobbying by the vested parties? If the latter is the case, what harm will come by basically giving those same parties billions of dollars in new revenue?

If congress truly wants to lower the cost of insurance without offering a public option, then competition is the only mechanism I can see to do it with. Set a base set of standards that all insurance companies have to comply with, then eliminate all restrictions to competition. No state borders, no dividing the risk pool. No pre-existing conditions information allowed. No age information allowed. Everyone starts with the same clean slate. No history. The largest risk pool will result in the lowest cost per policy on average. The only thing the insurance companies can compete on is efficiency of overhead. That will drive down the costs.