I am forecasting that 41.3 percent of those eligible to vote will cast a ballot in the 2010 election and that 28.8 percent of those votes will either be cast in-person prior to Election Day or by mail. I provide state-by-state and national forecasts here.
These forecasts are based on the number of early votes cast so far and a comparison to recent similar elections. This forecast is more of an art than a science, since I am juggling multiple factors that may influence turnout. On the early voting side, the total number of early votes is fairly firm since most states have concluded in-person early voting -- though not all. The remaining question is how many people will vote on Election Day, from which an early-voting percentage can be calculated.
I strongly encourage anyone holding a mail ballot to check their state's deadlines. In many states, today or tomorrow is the last day for a mail ballot to be received by election officials. If you have not mailed your ballot in these states, you may still be able to return your ballot to your local election office or your polling place on Election Day. For other states -- notably Alaska and Washington -- mail ballots must be postmarked by tomorrow. If these Senate elections are close, as expected, we may not know who won for weeks. And if these elections are really that close, unleash the recount lawyers.
My best advice is always to check with your local election officials about your voting options.
Of course, if there is a larger turnout on Election Day than I am forecasting, my forecasts will be off. I am always pleased with higher turnout by all eligible voters, so I hope that my forecasts prove to be wrong.
If each one of us calls just 10 voters in our area right now -- it could make a huge difference at the polls on Election Day.
Grab your phone and click here to connect with voters in your area right now.
Stand for America today and make a difference.
To call: https://call.barackobama.com
(This tool is so cool that you can use it for 10 minutes, or hours depending upon how much time you have.)
To find polling place: http://maps.google.com/vote
67% of people prefer d-rats and 63% prefer rethugs, while 32% wants tea party and 87% of the voters are independent. It means that country is split with 130% for major political parties while 119% are againts them.
margin of error is 0%.
If each one of us calls just 10 voters in our area right now -- it could make a huge difference at the polls on Election Day.
Grab your phone and click here to connect with voters in your area right now.
Stand for America Today.
https://call.barackobama.com
"No. No. NO! It is not God Bless America....It is GOD D**** America" - President Obama
Cause that ain't my America
That aint this country's roots
You wanna slam old Uncle Sam
But I ain't letting you
I'm mad as hell and you know I still bleed Red, White, and Blue
That ain't us
That Ain't My America
* * * * VOTE FOR EVERY DEMOCRAT * * * *