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Post-Election Turnout Rate Estimates

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Prior to the election, I forecasted a national turnout rate among those eligible to vote of 41.3%. Now with actual election results available, I estimate the national turnout rate is 41.4%.

These post-election turnout rate estimates are based on the number of votes counted as of 3am Wednesday Nov. 3rd and an Associated Press projection of the remaining ballots to be counted. These estimates may be off for states that are anticipated to count significantly more ballots, such as Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Oregon, and Washington. I will update these numbers as warranted.