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Reading the Pictures: Unit 4 in Danger of Collapse? (And Then, Don't Tell Me There's Nothing To See at Fukushima)

Posted: 05/13/11 09:15 AM ET

Beyond the novelty that Fukushima was back in the news at all, two things characterize Thursday's BBC update. One is how shockingly brief it is, like a dashed of summary. The other is the almost casual tone it takes in listing through the nightmarish situations throughout the plant, especially the acknowledged meltdown in Unit 1.

It is often noted that the Fukushima story remains invisible because radiation is invisible, and/or the plant photos and video being released by TEPCO are also too abstract or technical. That begs the question, then, just how much is the danger hard to visualize as opposed to how much does the world (especially traditional media) have its eyes closed?

One piece of visible information that has floating to the surface in the past few days, by way of indy media and the blogosphere, regards the structural integrity of Unit 4.  Dr. Robert Jacobs, a Nuclear Historian at the Hiroshima Peace Institute, offered the diagram above in an interview on Tuesday with Russia Today. According to Jacobs (which he says has been confirmed by the Japanese Government) , Unit 4 is starting to lean, a collapse certain to expose the fuel rod pools at the top of the building.

(It's not like there isn't a trail of additional images in the 'sphere, as well, by the way -- all available for vetting by a more curious media. Following the de-evolution of Unit 4, for example, blogger Andrew Higgins offers screen shots of the building reduced to a shell over the first week in May. Higgins, using screen shots purportedly from Japanese television, also reports a fire at the plant on May 8th associated with a radiation spike, both of which, he claims, went unreported on the same day big media cited a Government-touted drop in radiation levels.)

Certainly, TEPCO did not neglect Unit 4 as a visual subject, at least in the early weeks after the disaster.

2011-05-13-SWsideofUnit4Apr2011.jpg

Here is a view of southwest side of Unit 4 on April 11th.

And there was this shot from a helicopter of Unit 4 taken on March 16th.

Since April 11 th, however, the only pictures TEPCO has released of Unit 4 have been video downloads, taken underwater of the fuel rod pools, one released on April 29th and the other on May 8th.

So, I guess -- and Dr. Jacob's fuzzy and disturbing illustration drives this home -- what we're sadly lacking from Fukushima (the vagaries of science and radiation as much an excuse as a reason) is a bigger and much better picture of this still-boiling disaster.

>>See more takes on Japan earthquake photos here and at Tumblr.<<

photos: TEPCO

 

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05:42 AM on 05/17/2011
Imagine you are an executive at a movie studio, and someone walked in and pitched this setup:

A powerful earthquake, a Tsunami described by witnessess as moving like a jetliner and the height of three story building hits the island of Japan killing tens of thousands of people, triggering a crisis at a large nuclear power plant. The world looks on in horror as the corporation that owns the facility reveals a shocking lack of preparedness, footage of plant workers spraying garden hoses on smoldering reactor buildings, civilian helicopters darting past tossing little buckets of water stand out in vivid almost comic impotence as one reactor building after another explodes in a massive fireball.

In the ensuing aftermath it is revealed that one of the more spectacular explosions, an olympic sized swimming pool on the top floor of one of the reactor buildings full of weapons grade plutonium is instantly vaporized and catapulted into the upper atmosphere, where it was promptly picked up by the prevailing 150 mph winds of the jet stream and on it's way across the Pacific to the west coast of the US.

The crisis is compounded when it is revealed that the reactors are archaic designs that were plagued with problems even forty years ago, which is further complicated by the fact that the company,is in fact the same company that owns many of the media outlets around the world that are reporting this event.

Suddenly, the screen goes black.
07:45 PM on 05/15/2011
Well I guess pictures are important since few people read much anymore however what we really need is honest journalism and objective, expert analysis. Its downright criminal how little we know about whats going on.
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Areyoukiddingg
We need a Reset
03:39 PM on 05/15/2011
Thanks for keeping the story "alive" Michael. The U.S. gov/nuke industry would rather we all forgot about this aspect of the Japanese disaster, because without nuclear power the lights would go out. What we need is an honest re-assessment of priorities. If nuclear power plants are so dangerous that no insurance company will write the policy, leaving the taxpayers on the hook for mega-disasters, maybe wind, solar, and wave power makes much more sense. Personally I think we should consider a "Manhattan"-type project to develop more efficient solar cells with the goal of residential & commercial self-sustaining power. This makes much more sense than trying to distribute power (and loosing a substantial % in the process) from a central location.
Meantime, the U.S. gov needs to enhance, rather than turn a blind eye to radiation monitoring. We deserve honesty and protection.
01:58 PM on 05/15/2011
If you can't find anyone to proofread your stories, let me know. I am sick to death of seeing glaring grammatical errors in articles on the internet. Half of the stories out there read like spam from Nigeria.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
guntotinganglion
03:20 AM on 05/15/2011
The simple fact is, there's too much money involved in owning and operating these systems to ever stop. The only way that this stops in the US is when one of these behemoths melts down and explodes and spreads radiation over wide areas. The owners of these systems don't care, they're making too much money to care about trivialities like disaster potential. That is what it is about, potential. The potential for what has happened to Fukushima would have been considered at a low order of probability, and thus would have been considered virtually impossible for what has happened, to happen. It happened. Multiple reactor core meltdowns...the odds makers would have put what has happened at a trillion to one. It happened.

The potential for one of these monsters to take out a city is astounding. The probability is low, but given the nature of nature, probabilities can very often take the hindmost. The important thing to consider is POTENTIAL for DISASTER. If a nuclear power plant meltdown has the potential to kill millions, we need to stop using them, regardless of low operating costs (vs insanely high building costs) for nuclear power. Spew all the stats you like about how unlikely this or that is, but there can be no argument about absolute potential of these systems if humans lose control of them. These potentials are nightmares beyond the imagining of most people, seemingly especially the people who operate and defend these chained dragons.
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Areyoukiddingg
We need a Reset
03:42 PM on 05/15/2011
You are right and if coupled with a natural disaster as happened in Japan where commercial power is lost over a widespread area, the ability to keep the reactors cooled can unleash the monster. Sunspot activity could result in a double-whammy, losing both commercial and backup generator power. Then what do we do?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
guntotinganglion
04:06 PM on 05/15/2011
Die.
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don
We're going to need a bigger nutshell.
09:24 AM on 05/14/2011
There are two nuclear power plants on Louisiana, one near Baton Rouge, the other by New Orleans, that draw water from the Mississippi River for cooling. Now that the Mississippi is in flood conditons and threatening to inundate both cities, has anyone considered the ramifications on those two plants?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
seachange525
All will be well...I just don't know how yet :)
01:16 AM on 05/15/2011
Well, I have, but I doubt if anyone from the NRC or the plants involved has :(
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
bmattix
Don't label me, bro!
12:56 PM on 05/16/2011
The one near New Orleans isn't too far away from the city. I know, I used to deliver pizzas there. It's also right by the river: http://www.entergy-nuclear.com/plant_information/waterford_3.aspx

But the Bonnet Carre spillway is just on the other side of the river, so it should be ok. Don't know much about the Baton Rouge facility.
Dogmudgeon
Saepe in Errore, Nunquam in Dubito
04:59 AM on 05/14/2011
Who's telling you "There's Nothing To See at Fukushima", tough guy?

I was reading about the reactor damages at the NEI (Nuclear Energy Institute) website several days, sometimes several *weeks* before HuffPo turned them into high-octane F.U.D.

But it's not enough to report what is actually going on. Now, of course, bad amateur photography is being claimed to show horrible damages.

Nobody died of irradiation, but HuffPo has claimed that no fewer than FOUR workers have died from The Devil's Lightning. They've also had to walk it back three times already, and since the newest claim is only a few hours old, I'm sure the 4th retraction will soon be coming.

Amazing that at least twice a week, Madame H. prints a story lecturing us on the value of Good Science -- and four times a week on how NUKKKULAR POWERZ WILL KIL US ALLLLL!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MrBadExample
Friends call me ‘exampleicious’
01:20 AM on 05/15/2011
as anyone who's dealt with radiation poisoning knows, the bulk of the problems take years to show up. Ask the Atomic Veterans, the poor schlub draftees who were left out in the open during the Bravo H-bomb experiments. The Soviets and the UN's IAEA have both stuck to the total number of casualties at Chernobyl as 4,000. But Russian epidemiologists with access to the medical documentation put the casualties at 985,000 and rising.

http://www.wagingpeace.org/articles/db_article.php?article_id=141

We won't know the full impact of the Fukushima meltdown for years, but the people who should know are looking at large numbers of casualties and permanent bans on eating food from downwind areas.
08:17 PM on 05/13/2011
Hey, it's simple - if a GE mark 1 boiling water reactor loses power - it blows up. Simple. Of course they have all sorts of safety backups, but if it loses power, it blows. It's baked in the design.

Speaking of "worse", check out this examination of why Fukushima's reactor 3 explosion was sooo different from reactor 1's - there had to be a reason that bits of fuel rods were found up to 2 miles away... It's not info the industry wants out there

And if his deductions are correct (I wonder if we'll ever find out) Fukushima will certainly have a first!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OiNUpeODOEU&feature=related
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undsoweiter
but I know where to look it up
11:20 PM on 05/13/2011
Yes, except none of the transuranics Arnie mentions have actually shown up at the places he claimed. No Americium in New England, no plutonium on the west coast, and no uranium in Hawaii.
I dare anyone to prove it.
Sure, fuel rod material got 2 miles away, but that's about it.
Gunderson gets paid to do this.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MrBadExample
Friends call me ‘exampleicious’
01:22 AM on 05/15/2011
TEPCO and GE have billions on the line here--don't pretend that Arnie Gunderson's money is even a rounding error relative to what TEPCO will lose once the lawsuits start.
02:31 AM on 05/15/2011
ten minutes with Google and your challenge is toast. What do I win, a nuclear free world? An instant retraction and a humble apology to all of who actually care about this would be enough for me right now. Yawn.

Let's start with a website run by one of your own- a nuke industry funded research facility Berkely radiological, look past the apologist swill and the pathetic attempt to reframe the results as "harmless" Data establishes a variety pack of radioactive isotopes has been delivered and have poisoned the water supply and entered the food chain. By implication we can logically surmise that the rest of the world is also being contaminated in a similar way based on relative conditions and proximity to delivery mechanism.

http://www.nuc.berkeley.edu/node/2174

this is just to establish a second source for confirming local presence of isotopes- especially interesting that household HVAC air filters are testing radioactive in Los Angeles. Think about that for more than 2 seconds I think you will catch my drift;

http://www.enviroreporter.com/2011/03/enviroreporter-coms-radiation-station/

http://zardoz.nilu.no/%7Eflexpart/fpinteractive/plots/tracer_h_2557.gif

irrefutable proof that the industry hacks have been lying;

http://enenews.com/email-from-japanese-govt-officials-says-high-density-radiation-will-be-released-on-may-8-if-current-situation-continues

Just in case you are illiterate and need to watch it in a movie ;

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-3Kf4JakWI&feature=player_embedded
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
08:34 AM on 05/14/2011
The fuel pond nuclear explosion video was weak. Mr Gunderson underestimates the potential power of hydrogen explosions; it is certainly possible for hydrogen/air mixtures to detonate.
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
06:44 PM on 05/13/2011
Move the blue line to the right and hey presto - everything's vertical.

Remember, reactor 4 was cold when the fuel pool explosion occurred, therefore the foundations of the hugely heavy concrete building are intact. If the underwater photos are from that reactor's fuel pool - which is difficult to believe since there is plenty of light and no debris - then the walls are intact.

Read the pictures.
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golions
Real Americans drink coffee, not tea.
08:24 PM on 05/13/2011
Actually that correction is not sufficient: when one rotates the image of Reactor 4 to make the walls appear vertical then three other buildings lean toward the left: the tower adjacent to Reactor 4, Reactor 3, and the tower adjacent to Reactor 3.

Wide angle distortion might be a factor if the photographs hosted at theintelhub.com are cropped down from a larger original. Another possible factor is perhaps the earthquake changed the angle of the ground underneath the nuclear plant.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
mairs
09:42 PM on 05/13/2011
Two days ago I checked it in Photoshop, corrected the tower lean to make it straight, and 4 was still leaning. There's a wider angle shot that shows the other buildings in the picture. I lined up all the other buildings plus centers of towers. They were all straight, 4 still leans. Also TEPCO acknowledges the lean and has plans to shore up the building so it doesn't collapse.
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undsoweiter
but I know where to look it up
11:39 PM on 05/13/2011
No, TEPCO and the IAEA, as part of the recovery plan have determined the advisability of adding additional structure under the #4 pool to prevent damage in the event of another earthquake.
That does not mean that TEPCO or the IAEA acknowledges the lean or that the building is at risk of imminent collapse.
06:35 PM on 05/13/2011
the real headline should read " why has the EPA been told to STOP measuring the fallout from japan that has made its way to the us and canada daily in ever increasing stregth since the crisis began?"
iodine131 has been detected in milk all throughout the western us and most of canada, cesium 137 is showing up in drinking water on the west coast. there has even been small amounts of plutonium detected as far away as new england. every bit of rain that has fallen in the us and canada since the crisis began has shown hundreds of times the allowable limits for drinking water. that rain grows our food too by the way....
there is NO safe level of radioactive iodine in milk, rainwater or anything else. cesium is even worse. we're poisoning our kids because people arent being told the truth.
google "chernobyl babies" if you want to see what those radioactive isotopes will be doing to our children in the near future.
step up and demand the information we need to have a chance to protect ourselves and our children
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undsoweiter
but I know where to look it up
09:34 PM on 05/13/2011
University of California, Berkeley is still testing milk. Their last estimate is that one would have to drink 1900 liters of milk to equal the radiation dose received in one round trip transcontinental airplane flight.
I like milk, but that's a lot of milk.
UCB stopped testing tap water on 4/20 because levels of radioactives had fallen below what their equipment was capable of detecting.
http://www.nuc.berkeley.edu/UCBAirSampling
The information is right there, you just have to believe it.
01:30 AM on 05/14/2011
if you're relying on berkley for information you will be unpleasantly surprised how wrong they are.
http://enenews.com/raw-milk-near-san-francisco-shows-158-8-pcil-of-iodine-132-uc-berekeley-says-result-is-due-to-background-interference
http://enenews.com/local-newspaper-editorial-blasts-uc-berkeley-professor-radiation-comments
http://enenews.com/nuclear-expert-americium-found-new-england-video
http://enenews.com/wikileaks-representative-climate-scientist-studying-radiation-fukushima-worse-disclosed
ucb is just doing what its told by the government. they are trying to keep a lid on all the news of contamination because they dont want to spread panic. unfortunately this will lead to many many needless deaths.
for REAL info on the disaster ignore berkley, www.enenews.com is an excellent source for up to minute RELIABLE, UNBIASED info. also www.fairewinds.com is also very very good with a nuclear scientitst who is not afraid to tell it like it is.
ucb stopped testing tap water when the levels INCREASED. they only tested for iodine131, they never tested for cesium137. get your facts straight unless you like cancer...
03:02 AM on 05/15/2011
actually yes the information IS right there, you just have to INTERPRET it. No belief required. You are profoundly misinformed if you think that drinking or ingesting radioactive isotopes is any way equivalent to atmospheric exposure. The flying on an airplane fairly tale has been a popular mainstay of the apologist pro nuke media package since this thing started. It is also a total fallacy.

There is absolutely NO direct comparison between environmental exposure and what happens when you actually ingest radioactive material. Think of a piece of radioactive material that is absorbed into your fatty tissue, and stays there, emitting lethal radiation that will far outlive you by literally thousands of years.

In your previous post you issued a challenged, so you seem to like games. Why don't we play a game? You get to pick- 1) take your 2 year old daughter on 10 cross country airplane flights over this next year or 2) you can give your little baby a single particle of plutonium in her bottle of milk to drink for breakfast tomorrow.

Your choice, shill.

As I pointed out in my previous post to you and the other nuke apologists here, Berkely is a nuke industry funded research facility. You have to do a little better than to cut and paste their corporate funded shill on the data.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
deweaver
Scientist, businessman, semi-retired
02:46 PM on 05/14/2011
Nate Harris, it is strange how you believe what you believe. You believe that there is no safe level of radioactive iodine in anything. By the same logic, there is "no safe level" of anything anywhere as almost everything, including water, is toxic or detrimental at a high enough dose. Even just you shoes rubbing on your skin can cause cancer or you sleeping next to a mate and getting natural radiation from the potassium in his/her body. Life is not safe.

If you are internally consistent, I assume you don't drive or fly or live in an area with radon in the soil or get CAT scans or X rays. You could also believe that somehow, mystically, the radiation from iodine is different than radiation of the same energy from cosmic rays. However, mystical thinking is inappropriate for the modern world.
11:47 PM on 05/14/2011
i dont believe there is no safe level of radioactive iodine131, i KNOW there is no safe level of radioactive iodine131. the human body will take up iodine 131 in place of regular iodine, it goes straight to the thyroid gland and emits gamma radiation directly into it untill about 60 days later when the half lives have all expired. this is especially harmful to children. why don toy u go to the area around chernobyl and ask people there if they think there is a safe level of iodine131 for children to ingest when they drink milk?
and comparing eating a banana or flying in a plane to ingesting radiactive fallout directly into your thyroid gland is laughable if not irresponsible.
you can go ahead and believe the government rhetoric , the rest of us will believe reality.
09:21 PM on 05/16/2011
So Called Safe levels for various toxic substances have been proposed only to find out- that substance accumulates in the body-it is not just taken in, flushed out-the biochemistry -the substance locks onto cell structures and the organism, being bathed in the toxic substance on a daily basis now has instead of 1 part per billion (ppb), 1 part per million or 1 per 100,000 and the substance has gone past the toxic level-even thought the environment still only contains a "safe" level.

With radiation, one or two ionizing particles (atoms), when taken into the body (and we really need to talk about that 'taken in' part), can alter a chromosomal structure - that the stage is set for birth defects, proclivity for disease causation, or cancer

Stay with me here as I go through the basic physical chemistry of
Avogadro's number = 6.0221415 × 10 to the 23 rd. That's number of atoms in a mole-a mole is the gram equivalency taken from the atomic number *----so

On mole of Cesium 137 weighs 136.907 gram and has 6.0221415 × 10 to the 23 rd atoms -some of which have a potential-given enough time -to ionize by emitting high energy electron -this could zap a cell or chromosome and be the cause of cancer. Do the math-a nanaogram-one billionth of a gram of Cesium would contain how many atoms?
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golions
Real Americans drink coffee, not tea.
04:56 PM on 05/13/2011
Several buildings lean in the photographs: the image from May 7 at theintelhub.com's story show the tower adjacent to unit 4 is off vertical by 0.8 degrees clockwise. Also the tower adjacent to unit 3 is off by 0.5 degrees clockwise.

Possible explanations are any combination of:
*wide angle lens distortion
*camera tilt
*units 3 and/or 4 leaning due to structural weakness
*units 3 and/or 4 leaning due to ground shift from the earthquake

If reactor 4 is indeed leaning, another question is whether that lean is increasing. Comparing the photographs taken April 7 and May 7 at 900% blowup, I was unable to confirm any increase. It is difficult to compare because of differences in lighting and low resolution.

These reactors are obviously very badly damaged. I do not intend to imply that nuclear power is safe; this is a major disaster Yet I am not convinced that part of the problem is a "Leaning Tower of Fukushima."

Does either Michael Shaw or Robert Jacobs know the focal length of the webcam lens? I wonder how they determined the vertical line for the Photoshop illustration. And if they are confident of their conclusion, why aren't they also reporting that unit 3 is leaning too?
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
MAX1
... What's a micro-bio?.
06:10 PM on 05/13/2011
Read http://www.houseoffoust.com/fukushima/fukushima.html for some truth.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
MAX1
... What's a micro-bio?.
06:25 PM on 05/13/2011
p.s.
Giving credit where credit is due (hint to author) is customary.

I guess not anymore. Journalism's big nose dive.
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golions
Real Americans drink coffee, not tea.
07:31 PM on 05/13/2011
Thank you for the link. It certainly is a very severe disaster.

That site has a brief statement saying its web host is convinced by sources in the Japanese media that the tilt in reactor 4 is not an optical illusion. I wish it gave sources: there's an optical dilemma in the May 7 photograph and I may be the first to have noticed it.

The May 7 photograph hosted at theintelhu­b.com shows four different buildings at Fukushima Daiichi that are all appear nonvertical, and at least three of them differ from vertical by different amounts.

From left to right:
*The tower by Reactor 3 is off by 0.5 degrees, apparently leaning to the right.
*Reactor 3 is also leaning to the right by a similar amount; there aren't enough pixels to give a precise estimate.
*The tower by Reactor 4 is off by 0.8 degrees, apparently leaning to the right.
*Reactor 4 is also leaning to the right somewhat more than the adjacent tower.

It takes a trained eye to notice these differences. Minor distortions in architectural photography are commonplace: most of the pre-earthquake exterior photographs at houseoffoust.com have small amounts of distortion.

Regarding the May 7 photograph is that it is impossible say there is zero distortion in the image and that only Reactor 4 is leaning. Either--at minimum--reactor 4's adjacent tower is also leaning, or else wide angle distortion and possible camera rotation are affecting the image.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
mairs
09:44 PM on 05/13/2011
Doesn't matter. TEPCO acknowledged the lean and is planning on shoring up 4 to keep it from collapsing. They obviously can see it in person and they've concluded it's leaning.
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undsoweiter
but I know where to look it up
09:24 AM on 05/14/2011
And I'm sure you can direct us to that information?
04:27 PM on 05/13/2011
I'm disgusted by the lack of coverage about Fukushima by the mainstream press. All it takes is one major news agency to start and continue reporting on it--the others will follow because they don't want to look like they're behind the curve on this story. As it stands, nobody seems interested...
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BryantG
Vicariously Apathetic
02:29 PM on 05/13/2011
Thanks for the post. The Fukushima disaster is still an important and evolving story; I follow it daily. Only yesterday TEPCO admitted for the first time that the No.1 reactor has fully melted-down and molten fuel is melting its way through the containment vessel.

Here are two of my favorite links for keeping up with this story:

http://www.fairewinds.com/home
http://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/
05:29 PM on 05/13/2011
Thank you for two excellent resources.

F & F
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undsoweiter
but I know where to look it up
01:56 PM on 05/13/2011
Any 6th grade art student can tell you that the picture of #4 does show perspective, but little else. A hand-held cameral is not a transit.
In the video of the spent fuel pool one can follow the tracks of rising bubbles as related to the verticle elements of the pool's sides which offers reasonably definitive evidence that the building is not leaning in two axes, though one should never discount the possibility that #4 is leaning "up."
That TEPCO and the press have not been forthcoming is unfortunate since it forces others to depend on 2nd, 3rd, and 4th hand information, some of it inaccurate, some distorted, offered by some who are writing books, and by some others who offer free shipping on orders over $50.
06:42 PM on 05/13/2011
However, those of us that made it past the 6th grade might draw a different conclusion.
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undsoweiter
but I know where to look it up
07:05 PM on 05/13/2011
You can fool the eye, and like the eye, the camera. But you can't fool water.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
mairs
09:45 PM on 05/13/2011
Then why does TEPCO acknowledge a lean in 4 and have publicly said they're going to reinforce the building?
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undsoweiter
but I know where to look it up
09:23 AM on 05/14/2011
They don't.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Ralph Boyd
Look, . . right behind you!
12:24 PM on 05/13/2011
If you're going to have nuclear power private industry should never ever be allowed to run it, but then State run nuclear power in the Soviet Union didn't work out that well either.
01:29 PM on 05/13/2011
Well Said RememberThis
02:25 PM on 05/13/2011
TVA has not been a shining example in the USA either.