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Mike Lux

Mike Lux

Posted: September 23, 2009 10:11 AM

Triggering a Democratic Civil War

What's Your Reaction?

Media reports and insider buzz make it increasingly clear that key people at the White House have become obsessed with Olympia Snowe on health care, and are willing to do pretty much whatever she demands in order to get her on board. The price is looking more and more like this incredibly bad trigger proposal she has been pushing, a trigger that quite literally is written to automatically never trigger a public option. You see, Senator Snowe is writing language into an amendment that is literally a Catch-22. The legislative language says that a public option will be set up in a state in which health care is not affordable to 95% of the state's residents, but it defines affordability as after the new tax credits that are written into the bill to make health care affordable. Not only would this be an incredibly weak public option (doing it in one state will mean it can't get the market power to compete with the big insurers), but it would be a public option that is written by its definition to never be triggered. This is a trigger specifically, intentionally designed to kill the public option.

Some senior White House staffers are now beginning to try to sell this trigger to progressive groups as the compromise version of a public option, saying the White House doesn't want to have a floor fight in the Senate, and that they can always fix it in conference committee. That way they can pick up Snowe, satisfy that desperate urge for being officially bipartisan (even though Snowe can't bring a single other Republican with her), and not have to worry about procedural hassles in the Senate. But by finally winning Snowe over, the White House is risking something far more politically dangerous: an ugly fight within the Democratic Party, further erosion of Obama's standing with his base, the specter of more primary fights.

The AFL-CIO, Howard Dean and Democracy for America, bloggers, MoveOn.org, progressive media figures, and the tens of thousands of people coming to Obama rallies and cheering wildly for a public option will figure out quickly that this trigger proposal is a farce specifically written to kill any chance of a public option. The Congressional Progressive Caucus, the Congressional Black Caucus, the Congressional Hispanic Caucus already are angry at having legal immigrants thrown under the bus by Baucus, all will explode.

As someone who spends every single day working hard to build and strengthen the bridge between the progressive community and the White House, I feel like the White House is triggering a bomb to blow the bridge up from under me (pun fully intended).

This trigger will never trigger a public option, but I can tell you what it will trigger: a civil war inside the Democratic Party just when you most need unity to pass health care reform. I am convinced that there are deals that can be struck that will bring progressive and moderate Democrats, House and Senate Democrats together on a good strong health care bill that will pass. But a trigger designed to never trigger isn't even close to being one of them.

Media reports and insider buzz make it increasingly clear that key people at the White House have become obsessed with Olympia Snowe on health care, and are willing to do pretty much whatever she dema...
Media reports and insider buzz make it increasingly clear that key people at the White House have become obsessed with Olympia Snowe on health care, and are willing to do pretty much whatever she dema...
 
 
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Kassandra
Your micro-bio is empty
08:52 PM on 10/28/2009
Well, the Republican brand is pretty much over, so it will have to be that the Democratic party splits. I'm getting VERY tired of hearing the term "moderate" when these people are a step to the left of Genghis Khan
12:58 AM on 10/14/2009
You know the saying, "Politics makes strange bedfellows." It's time for us progressives to team up with the scorched earth conservatives to kill this bill.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Hysterian68
bureaucrat/historian/ranter
06:20 PM on 09/29/2009
Mike's article is pure prescience. When oh when will the Obama team with their myopic, insular ,Chicago City Council vision of Washington politics learn that when it comes to creating the backbone of the health care reform effort by providing for a public option you don't wait to do it with a " fix it in conference committee" strategy?

Fix it with whom? Senator Bunning of Kentucky? Old Man Grassley of Iowa? Senator Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas? LOL LOL LOL

Read more at: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mike-lux/triggering-a-democratic-c_b_295954.htmlou've already lost in some committee later on
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Kassandra
Your micro-bio is empty
08:56 PM on 10/28/2009
This is a committee:
Survey and chat and apportion and chat and cull lists and chat and end in accomplishing nothing.
The more I see of committees, the more convinced I am that the only thing a committee can organize is a catastrophe!
11:43 AM on 09/24/2009
masher says
Yeah. At this point its a bit weird for anyone who is paying attention to think Obama is anything but a corporate shill.

I've given up on Obama. We need to start finding a replacement and ways to limit the damage he is doing. Healthcare reform without reform will be a boondogle.

Maybe Obama is a traitor after all ? He sure is helping Sarah Palin


Read more at: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mike-lux/triggering-a-democratic-c_b_295954.html
09:07 AM on 09/24/2009
Mr. Obama: back the public option as a national scale alternative to profiteering and worse by the nation's health insurance companies. Get into your Nikes, get on the court, and well, Just do it!
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skatoolaki
Passionate, fiery walking contradiction.
08:59 AM on 09/24/2009
I would hope they are not seriously considering this "trigger option"; it flies in the face of everything we have been fighting for. A robust public option is what the people want, and that is what we should be given by the people we voted into office to fight for us.
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onegandolf1
07:13 PM on 09/23/2009
Looks as if we're going to have a whole new slate of legislators to learn the names of.
06:14 PM on 09/23/2009
Progressives put up with a President who cared little for the welfare of the American people for 8 years before President Obama. We were criticised as bitter initially by both moderates and conservatives from both parties. When Obama started his campaign , our views had become the norm and our advocacy propelled Obama into office. If he had relied on moderates and or conservatives to push his campaign, where would he be? He ran as a progressive and it is up to him to be progressive, now and that means a strong push for the public option. President Obama, act in your own interest. You said you would rather be a one term President than fail to get important things down. Passing a health care bill without a strong public option to control costs would be a failure. With the chance to do a wonderful thing for the people, we must not be seen as selling out our brothers. The Baucus bill or something similar would become a failure if enacted, turning the American public against you and other democrats. Even worse, it would hurt our economy in the near and long term. Reject any bill without a strong public option. If you support the public option, we progressives and the majority of the country will love and support you for a full 8 years.
06:21 PM on 09/29/2009
If he doesn't get a public option, he is in real danger of being a one-termer anyway.
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Kassandra
Your micro-bio is empty
08:59 PM on 10/28/2009
I don't think he sees it that way at all. I suspect he may be wrong, however.
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GeorgeP922
05:05 PM on 09/23/2009
Mr Lux, why are you ignoring the PCCC and DFA campaign against Snowe in this article.

We have already started the war via a first strike, we knew that Snowe was Rahm's secret weapon to kill the PO while keeping the Dems hands blood free.

That is why WE raised 72K in the last 48 hours to run ads against Rahm's favorite Republican:
http://www.healthcarecantwait.com/

Folks, if you agree, please try and donate 10$ or more, the ads against snowe are running this weekend, if you want to prevent the "civil" war please donate.
The ad will run in Maine and DC all weekend long.
Here is the ad:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OZo3dtDp1qM
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mommadona
I paint. I blog. Therefore, I am.
05:35 PM on 09/23/2009
"FANNED".....

Fire Rahm - dismantle the DLC
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Jezreel
Think. Act. Live wisely.
02:20 AM on 09/30/2009
Already donated. Keep spreading the word.
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WorkingClass
04:59 PM on 09/23/2009
"As someone who spends every single day working hard to build and strengthen the bridge between the progressive community and the White House"

Give it up Mike. Obama has made it abundantly clear that the progressive community will not influence policy no matter how much they influence elections. I respectfully suggest that you decide which side you are on. You are building a bridge to nowhere.
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masher
software engineer
09:56 PM on 09/23/2009
Yeah. At this point its a bit weird for anyone who is paying attention to think Obama is anything but a corporate shill.

I've given up on Obama. We need to start finding a replacement and ways to limit the damage he is doing. Healthcare reform without reform will be a boondogle.
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mommadona
I paint. I blog. Therefore, I am.
04:58 PM on 09/23/2009
Fire Rahm - Dismantle the DLC -

THEN, we'll talk

~Progress voters having bigtime buyers remorse~
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
anachoret
Bake the hall in the candle of her brain
04:47 PM on 09/23/2009
An anecdote taken from Chris Bowers article "Rahm Emanuel's Strategy For Progressives" at Open Left says it best, I think.

"Members said [Emanuel] had a phenomenal knowledge of their districts, and he kept up to date well after the campaign ended. Rep. Tim Walz (D-Minn.) said one of his supporters wrote a letter to the editor of a small paper in his district, complaining about his vote on a rewrite of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act.

Walz mentioned the letter to the editor to Emanuel on the floor and was stunned by his response.

'You mean the one about how you should caucus with the Republicans?' Emanuel shot back. 'That's a good letter. Makes you look bipartisan.'"

I believe they want this "ugly fight." Even if it means sabotaging the HC legislation... It would save them the lobbyist dough, and, above all, make them LOOK bipartisan. As far as Health Care and politics goes, Billy Crystal nailed it: "It's not how you feel, it's how you look!" And Rahm has decided, bipartisan looks simply mahvelous!
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Manx
04:33 PM on 09/23/2009
It really bothers me that Obama hasn't really stood up and fought for a strong public option. He's leaving it all up to Rahm Emanuel, alas.
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AtheistMaximus
03:38 PM on 09/23/2009
Why make constant concessions for the sake of one Republican vote?
And this article is right, if the Dems. keep doing this, their might be some civil strife amongst the progressives.
04:33 PM on 09/23/2009
Because he needs someone to kill the public option that he assured Big Pharma and the Insurance companies would not be part of the finished product. If he can get a Republican to do it, all the better. It will make it easier to sell to the Dem voters who don't follow politics too closely.

This 54 year-old Progressive is ready for the fight. The last time my party did anything for ordinary people, I was 10 years-old.
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Jezreel
Think. Act. Live wisely.
02:29 AM on 09/30/2009
Fanned and faved!!!!!
02:46 PM on 09/23/2009
With mandates more strict for individuals and no non-profit options for health care...
Bend over folks.

You better beg that this bill dies on the steps of the capitol.

Do you realize the mandates would start IMMEDIATELY, but the regulations (if any) for the insurance industry won't kick in for about 4 years?

I wish I could get 4 years to pillage communities for all they've got.