Miles Mogulescu

Miles Mogulescu

Posted February 10, 2009 | 11:48 AM (EST)

It's Time for Obama to Potty Train Congressional Republicans

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When my daughter was about 7 years old, she went to a birthday party where each child got to pick one wrapped gift out of a grab bag. Another child (ironically, or not so ironically, the son of a wealthy businessman with a $40 million trust fund) liked my daughter's gift better than the one he had picked. He asked my daughter if he could hold her gift for a minute. My daughter politely let him. When she asked for it back, his face turned red, he yelled "no tradebacks," and ran away screaming.

This boy's childish and boorish behavior reminds me of Congressional Republicans in their response to Obama's attempts at "bipartisanship" on the Economic Stimulus Bill. As with a spoiled child, Obama has two choices: he can let Congressional Republicans get away with their childish behavior, or he can try to teach them how to behave in civilized company.

Obama attempted to treat Congressional Republicans like responsible grown-ups. In an effort to gain Republican support in this national emergency, he put forth a pre-compromised stimulus bill with about 40% Republican-oriented tax cuts to 60% Democratic-oriented spending (without ever asking first if Congressional Republicans would go along.)

In return, Congressional Republicans yelled "no tradebacks" over and over in front of the TV cameras; House Republicans gave the already-compromised Stimulus Bill exactly 0 votes; and Senate Republicans threatened to not even allow the majority of the Senate to vote on the Bill by filibustering. Finally one Republican child, Susan Collins of Maine, came forward and, acting like she had been elected President, agreed she would allow a vote on the Bill if Democrats would cut out about $80 billion dollars in stimulative spending and add about $64 billion in minimally-stimulative tax cuts mostly to the wealthiest 20%, which by Paul Krugman's estimates, would eliminate about 600,000 jobs. Two other Republican friends from Collins' little so-called "centrist" clique, Olympia Snow and Arlen Specter, said they'd go along too.

So Obama has two choices. He can reward these spoiled Republicans children for their irresponsible behavior by pressuring House Democrats to accept Collins' harmful changes in Conference, in which case he will probably get 61 Senate votes for cloture, the bare minimum necessary to allow the majority to vote on the Bill. If he does, he will get a Bill that's certainly far better than nothing, even if it creates hundreds of thousands less jobs than it should.

But Congressional Republicans will have learned that they can roll Obama. If, at the height of Obama's popularity, with economists from right to left warning that the country faces economic catastrophe without a Stimulus Bill, and after Obama makes major concessions to Republicans, all Obama can only muster is 3 Republican votes to end a filibuster, Republicans will smell blood in the water. When Obama later wants to pass a budget, cut a wasteful weapons program, increase aid to education, or reform the health care system, Republicans will filibuster again and demand even bigger concessions before they will allow a Senate vote, if ever.

So it may seem as though the easier course is to give into the demands of the rump Republican caucus led by Susan Collins and get a flawed Stimulus Bill passed a few days more quickly. The result, however, may be to doom Obama's chances of passing other vital parts of Obama's Change agenda over the repeated filibusters of the Republican "Dr. Nos".

There is another choice: Obama can act like Community-Organizer-In-Chief and, along with grassroots movements from around the country, force Senate Republicans to allow the majority to vote on, and pass, an improved Stimulus Bill.

Obama can allow House and Senate Democrats on the Conference Committee to restore many of the spending provisions (like aid to the states and computerization of medical records) and eliminate some of the tax cuts from the Senate version, saving 600,000 jobs (while making a few other modifications to fix some of the handful of examples of overreaching by House Democrats.)

He can then politely ask Republican Senators, even if they oppose the Stimulus Bill, to at least allow it to come to a vote, while making it clear that he won't permit a "gentleman's filibuster" in which all Republicans have to do to block a vote is say they intend to filibuster and the Majority Leader cancels the scheduled roll call.

Instead, if Republican Senators still try to thwart the will of the majority, Majority Leader Reid must make them stage an old-fashioned filibuster in which, in order to prevent a vote, Republicans have to give speeches from the floor of the Senate 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, through the Presidents Day weekend if necessary. It used to be called "going to the diaper" as Senators prepared to hold the floor without a bathroom break. Give the Senate Republicans a little potty training, if that's what it takes.

While the television cameras capture cots and Porta-Potties being carted onto the Senate floor and diaper-wearing Republicans read the phone book from the podium round-the-clock to prevent a majority vote on the Stimulus Bill, I predict with a high degree of probability that the stock market will be crashing by hundreds of points a day. (Don't worry; it will recover when the Bill passes).

Obama should then make a major address to the nation, turning the Republican filibuster of the Stimulus Bill into a major teaching moment. As with his address after the Rev. Wright controversy, he needs to treat the American people like adults and explain the complexity of the economic crisis. Expanding on his Press Conference, he must explain how 30 years of free market fundamentalism and deregulation--mostly under Republican leadership but also under Democrats--led to the biggest market bubble since the 1920's and the biggest economic collapse since the great depression. He must teach basic Keynesian economics--Why, when private economic demand collapses, only the government has the economic resources to spend enough money to restart the economy and create jobs. I believe that Obama's intelligence and eloquence, if he lays all this out for the American people in a way in which they can understand, can reclaim the leadership of the economic debate from the Congressional Republicans and rally 75% of the country behind his Stimulus Bill.

Simultaneously, grassroots organizations, community groups, labor unions and the netroots must mobilize the country behind the Stimulus Bill and against the obstructionist Republicans. Take to the airways and the internet. Run ads against key Republican senators. Mobilize Governors and Mayors (including Republicans like Charlie Christ of Florida and Arnold Schwarzenegger) to lobby their recalcitrant Senators. Use the Obama campaign machine, the unions, the netroots, and the progressive infrastructure to mobilize a massive email and phone-in campaign. Organize tens of thousands of teachers, firefighters, cops and nurses to overrun the local offices of Republican "moderates" like Susan Collins and Olympia Snow in Maine, Arlen Specter in Pennsylvania, George Voinovich in Ohio, and Mel Martinez in Florida demanding the Senators save their jobs by allowing the majority to vote on the Stimulus Bill. Organize tens or hundreds of thousands of other citizens to flood Senate offices in Washington.

With President Obama showing his extraordinary leadership skills, tens or hundreds of thousands of citizens mobilizing, and the stock market tanking, I'm confident that the pressure on at least two Republican Senators will overwhelm their resistance within a day or two, if not sooner. Obama can then offer a couple of face-saving concessions--say $10-$15 billion in cuts to the least stimulative spending provisions of the Bill in exchange for their ending the filibuster.

The nation will get a better Stimulus Bill than the compromised package now emerging from the Senate and hundreds of thousands more Americans will find jobs. But almost as important, Obama and a mobilized popular movement will have potty trained "moderate" Republicans to act like responsible citizens. When it comes time to pass a budget, organize a responsible financial rescue package, or reform the health care system, they won't be so fast to back a monolithic Republican filibuster to thwart the will of the majority. Obama will have greatly increased his odds of passing his Change agenda and achieving a great and transformative Presidency.

When my daughter was about 7 years old, she went to a birthday party where each child got to pick one wrapped gift out of a grab bag. Another child (ironically, or not so ironically, the son of a weal...
When my daughter was about 7 years old, she went to a birthday party where each child got to pick one wrapped gift out of a grab bag. Another child (ironically, or not so ironically, the son of a weal...
 
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- wendynyc I'm a Fan of wendynyc 11 fans permalink

I agree - Obama is caving in too early on this!

He needs to outfox these foxy fellows!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:54 PM on 02/11/2009
- Kiabell04 I'm a Fan of Kiabell04 21 fans permalink
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Seems to me that some Republicans are only interested in political gain, rather than helping the nation out. These fools sat back for 8 years and did nothing, but suddenly they're supposed to be the party of change and fiscal spending?? I think not.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:33 PM on 02/11/2009
- boston2008 I'm a Fan of boston2008 5 fans permalink
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Republicans dont want to act like grown ups. More like Juveniles; Cheating, lying, making up facts.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:21 PM on 02/11/2009

The Republicans refuse to contribute to anything that allows Obama and Dems to claim victory. So they are playing these political games at the country's peril. If they gave into Obama, they would appear soft and would get no credit if the stimulus worked. By throwing a successful tantrum, the bill will be altered. Then, if the bill succeeds, they will get some credit but if it fails will get no blame. They are putting country last... again.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:32 PM on 02/11/2009
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I like to believe that Republicans are threatening filibuster out of a desire to uphold the Constitution which does not grant Congress the ablility to create any stimulus bill, but I'll settle for their attempting to make changes because they want to limit the damage this bill is going to do to our economy.

We can't spend our way to prosperity or as the close friend, lunch companion, loyal secretary of the Treasury to President Franklin D. Roosevelt — and key architect of FDR’s New Deal Henry Morgenthau put it on May 9, 1939:

"We have tried spending money. We are spending more than we have ever spent before and it does not work.”

“I say after eight years of this Administration we have just as much unemployment as when we started. … And an enormous debt to boot!”

Even the architect of the New Deal admitted that it didn't work then, why does anyone believe it will work now?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:53 AM on 02/11/2009
- NetworkGuy I'm a Fan of NetworkGuy 7 fans permalink
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Then there's the opinion that the problem with the New Deal was that it was too little, too late. In regards to your prognostication, the last 8 years drove the debt and unemployment to their current 'enormous' status. It still busts me up that while Bush was in charge, everything wrong was Clintons fault. Now that he's gone, it's Obamas fault. Time for you 'unfettered market, true believers' to man up to the fact that your philosophy got us in this mess to begin with.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:58 PM on 02/11/2009
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This article is pure fantasy but it would be nice to watch Republican'ts have to actually Filibuster. Then people would understand that they don't get what they voted for unless the rest of them get tossed out in 2010.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:53 AM on 02/11/2009

My heart is with you one hundred per cent. And my head knows you are right. But my gut is churning over that blithe: "the market will crash over and over again." Your insouciant "but don't worry, it will rebound when the bill is passed" is something we would absolutely have to believe in order to take this massively dangerous step. As I said, I'm for it in theory--it's the practice that worries me. How many businesses will not rebound? How many more citizens will lose jobs, houses, and hope? As a patriotic American, I do believe America will come back strong; my fear is that I will not come back with it. Multiply my fear by hundreds of thousands and you see the immense emotional cost of playing hardball. And I do love hardball. Just not sure now is the time.

A prediction: Harry Reid will use (will be forced to use?) the nuclear option sometime in the next 2 years. Second prediction: it won't be over this bill.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:28 AM on 02/11/2009
- legalgirl I'm a Fan of legalgirl 19 fans permalink
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Yes, great post. I couldn't agree more. Break out the dependz!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:17 AM on 02/11/2009

Miles, you are so right! It's time to push back at the bullies and show them up for the cowards they really are. Obama needs to draw a line int he sand and make it clear that there is only so far he is willing to bend. Now is the time or else, as you say, a very bad precedent will be set.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:38 AM on 02/11/2009
- SteveK9 I'm a Fan of SteveK9 4 fans permalink

If the Republican strategy is to weaken the bill, hope it fails to stimulate the economy and then hope the people return them to power---then I believe it will fail. Obama will simply explain that the bill was weakened and we need to do more. The idea that we would return to Bush economics would be a nonstarter, in my opinion.

I do agree that Obama should have urged Reid to allow the Republicans to filibuster, then go over their heads to the American people. That is more than worth a week or so delay in the bill.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:47 AM on 02/11/2009
- TheGuide I'm a Fan of TheGuide 6 fans permalink

Agree

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:26 AM on 02/11/2009
- bayside I'm a Fan of bayside 38 fans permalink
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Reid had been given the whitehouse and congress but still runs and hides..Why ..I agree with you make republicans grow up and show the world their temper tantrums of me me me at our expense..S­how the world Obama....

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:21 AM on 02/11/2009

The state of the nation is not advanced with this kind of peurile diatribe.

Did you vote for Obama? Do you remember UNITY?

We ALL have to work together or we will ALL fail.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:15 AM on 02/11/2009
- Girl28 I'm a Fan of Girl28 12 fans permalink

I agree wholeheartedly. The times are too dire, and the pricetag on this recovery package is too high, to compromise the bill with too much republican input. We have huge majorities in the house and senate and we still have to bend in order to appease 3 republican senators who apparently know nothing about the economy? I don't think so. We have to take back control of the situation, put together a great package, and let the f.ools filibuster it if they want. I'd love to grab a bag of popcorn and watch that show. Eventually we will get a bill passed and the republicans will look like the obstructionists that they are. Checkmate.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:01 AM on 02/11/2009
- tegrat I'm a Fan of tegrat 4 fans permalink

Make. them. filibuster.

That is the only way to assign responsibility to these children, apparently.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:59 AM on 02/11/2009
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You are exactly right.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:39 AM on 02/11/2009
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