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Mindy S. Lubber

Mindy S. Lubber

Posted: September 10, 2010 10:05 AM

Now that the climate bill is in hibernation, it would be easy to despair that the US power sector will resume its tradition of burning high-polluting coal to sell increasing amounts of electricity.

The Washington Post opted for such a conclusion in an Aug. 23 article, "Proliferation of old-style coal plants increases despite public outcry." The article noted that "dozens" of old-style coal plants -- 32, to be exact -- have been built since 2008 or are under construction. But there was an important context missing: The article failed to note that wind power production was the largest source of new electricity in the US last year and that for every new coal plant built in the US in recent years, four proposed coal plants have been canceled or delayed.

The reality is the US power sector is undergoing a dramatic transformation to decarbonize its energy offerings and sell less, not more, electricity.

Examples of this shift were aplenty during the hot sweaty last days of August:

This shift has little to do with altruism and lots to do with long-term economics.

Even without climate legislation, other market forces are compelling the industry to change. Wind and other forms of renewable energy are becoming more cost-competitive with fossil-fuel based generation, and states are setting aggressive renewable energy targets while the federal government provides financial incentives. Energy efficiency is gaining regulatory support as the lowest-cost option for meeting energy demand. Environmental rules for limiting mercury, SO2 and other air pollutants are getting tighter. And with climate legislation stalled, EPA greenhouse gas regulations are looming.

Add these trends together, and it's easy to see why the traditional business model of building large fossil fuel-fired power plants to sell more electricity is becoming outdated.

Among those embracing a cleaner future is Exelon CEO John Rowe, whose company has set a goal to cut its carbon emissions by 15 million tons per year by 2020, which is equivalent to taking nearly three million cars off our roads.

"Whether harmful (CO2) emissions are priced or regulated, our combined capacity of nearly 19,000 megawatts of zero-emission wind, solar, hydro, landfill gas and nuclear power remains a clear competitive advantage that will only become more powerful," Rowe told the New York Times last week.

Power giant Tennessee Valley Authority, whose 15,000-megawatt coal plant fleet is among the nation's largest, is also lowering its carbon exposure. Last month, TVA announced plans to ramp up energy efficiency and demand response efforts by 1,900 megawatts and idle 1,100 megawatts of coal capacity by 2015.

Use of coal is already declining in the U.S., reaching its lowest level in 15 years in 2009. Bernstein Research recently forecast the retirement of about 20 percent of the nation's coal-fired capacity by 2015.

But whether such forecasts become reality is difficult to know.

Even without climate legislation, coal-based power production is being held somewhat in check by low prices for natural gas, a cleaner fossil fuel that emits roughly half the CO2 as coal when it is burned. But this is a temporary solution and pollution reduction gains could easily be eclipsed if gas prices rise again.

What's required now is continued support that accelerates the development of renewable energy and new EPA pollution rules that spur innovation in the power sector.

The long-term solution, however, is in the hands of Congress. The longer it delays passing national legislation to reduce carbon emissions and provide clarity for the industry, the greater the temptation for utilities to cling to the past with old dirty technologies -- stalling the promising paradigm shift now sweeping the industry.

 

Follow Mindy S. Lubber on Twitter: www.twitter.com/CeresNews

 
 
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07:39 PM on 09/13/2010
"Hawaii's utility regulators approved plans to sever the amount of profits the island's largest utility earns from the amount of electricity it sells, the 12th state to approve decoupling. "

The we will let you profit the same amount even if your customers become more efficient actions are not incredibly popular in my book. Sell much less energy and we'll let you charge more for every unit you sell is massive government welfare to energy companies.

It steals the reward I should receive for investing in insulation, high efficiency windows, low energy appliances.... It steals the reason for large corporate energy users to increase efficiency or move to green energy.

All it does is guarantee energy company monopoly shareholders profits of a subsidy from ratepayers. Which means voters will see energy increasing in cost per unit even as they act to become more efficient creating the appearance that the energy companies were right changing over is to expensive. And therefore hyping opposition to more meaningful measures as policy evoolves over the decades.
Linda from Deerfield
Paying attention
09:03 AM on 09/13/2010
Compared to the past, when affordable electricity prompted subtle inducement by the utility to use more, it is certainly the case that Commonwealth Edison / Exelon has adopted a very credible attitude toward empowering the customer to become more efficient. They told customers that if we don't improve, then we will be forced to pay for new nuclear power, and they provided meaningful tools to help focus attention.

When my husband and I awoke to what was possible and went to work on it, we reduced household usage from just over the national average to less than half. Rates increased 30%, but ComEd's real time pricing enabled us to shift usage to off peak hours and our bills fell by more than half.

Though it embarrasses me to think that we unwittingly wasted energy for years, that doesn't keep me from proudly broadcasting our progress. The primary keys were revitalizing the whole house fan for cooling, and judicious sealing and insulation that reduced heating requirements by more than 30%. When the old furnace finally gets replaced, it will drop our usage even further.

I listen to the central air cyling at our neighbor's brand new house that replaced the modest 1950 one, and I fear that the tremendous build-out of the last decade did little to nothing for our nation's energy efficiency. There is tremendous opportunity if only it can be tapped.
IMOPINIONH8D
because I want it empty...
06:53 PM on 09/11/2010
Good
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02:13 PM on 09/11/2010
Sadly, the shift is from one expensive wilderness-killing Big Energy boondoggle to another expensive, wilderness-killing boondoggle, often brought to us by familiar names Chevron, BP and Goldman Sachs.

A REAL revolution is possible - we could be democratizing, cleaning and decentralizing the grid if we would only implement the PROVEN solution of feed in tariffs for solar panels within the built environment. We would get more clean power, more GHG reductions, in less time and for less money, but it would not provide the unneeded middleman (Big Solar, Big Wind Big Transmission) with their pound of flesh, so they are squashing it.

Feed in tariffs create many more LOCAL jobs, they improve property values, they reduce energy bills and they create returns on investment to LOCAL citizens, which stimulates local economies, aka Main Street. Big Energy does the opposite, and will really really hurt our environment and our economy even with its greenwashed "renewable" energy.

The entire political spectrum agrees with feed in tariffs wherever they are tried. George Schultz (Reagan Sec of State) has promoted them here in the US and the conservative Bavarians have installed the greatest number of rooftop systems in Germany, the model for all successful FIT programs. Even if you don't like global warming, surely you like energy security and independence, alongside lower bills and cleaner air?

We can do "clean" energy the right way (affordable local solutions) or the wrong way (expensive, wilderness-killing, GHG emitting Big Energy) - which do you support?
08:17 AM on 09/11/2010
I'm also in favor of thorium reactors--very promising.
12:18 PM on 09/10/2010
Public power giant TVA is building new clean and green 24/7 always on baseload nuclear for 5 cents a kwh and shutting down coal.

Pirate power operator Cape Wind is getting 24 cents a kwh going to 34 cents over 15 years for an ugly unreliable sometimes available bird and wildlife murdering wind plant. It can never replace deadly coal plant.

Is the difference stupidity or corruption. You vote. Why not ask your representatives to explain?
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lbsaltzman
Permaculture and Sustainability
11:55 AM on 09/11/2010
Much can and should be done to mitigate bird deaths from wind. In reality bat deaths are a bigger problem and off shore wind eliminates that problem. But remember in the long run global warming will kill far more birds than wind power.
10:49 AM on 09/10/2010
Don't forget about this ... the US currently unleashes the Solar Millennium!

1,000-Megawatt Plant in Calif. Marks New Milestone in Solar Expansion

http://www.nytimes.com/gwire/2010/08/26/26greenwire-1000-megawatt-plant-in-calif-marks-new-milesto-77858.html?emc=eta1