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Neil Greenberg

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This Is Not the End of the Line for Transit

Posted: 12/15/11 07:07 PM ET

I am fully confident that we will have rail in Detroit. We need it. The demand and the benefits are indisputable. Like so many people, I dream about it. I picture myself using it every time I commute.

That said, the cancellation of this specific light rail project does not surprise me -- nor does it particularly disappoint me. The project was fraught with problems from the beginning. That is true of the older "M-1 Rail" private initiative, as well as the city-led Woodward Light Rail plan.

Over the life of the project, two themes dominated: light rail as a monument to local powerbrokers and as a silver bullet for economic development.

As a career transit professional, I was puzzled to see so much emphasis on the people rather than the project. Good intentions aside, these champions failed to enlist expert advice at critical moments. Instead of an effective public-private partnership, we ended up with a perverse private-public flip-flop: "investors" were to bankroll an inherently unprofitable public utility. With their money tied up in infrastructure, after all, who would invest in real estate along the line?

As for the second theme, the positive economic impacts of rail are proven worldwide. But those successes aren't based on rail alone. They are the result of special zoning, mixed land uses and hundreds of small development projects happening along the rail corridor. In Detroit, we gambled on an unrealistic sequence: build the rail first and then hope that everything would happen afterward. Oh, and forget about those hundreds of small projects -- we'll handpick a few big projects favored by the in-crowd and call it done.

In the background, actual or near-actual developments along Woodward hardly oriented themselves to transit. The most egregious of them all is Gateway Park at the State Fairgrounds -- a single-use, parking-centric power center with no meaningful provision for rail, pedestrian or bike access. Elsewhere on Woodward, new construction consisted largely of gas stations and strip malls. That is not the face of a vibrant transit corridor -- or a healthy urban center.

Remember the People Mover? This piecemeal approach is why it never reached its expectations. True, Woodward rail would have connected nodes rather than making circles. But there's still a fundamental lesson that we have not learned: transit is an important ingredient, but it's not the only ingredient. To quote Ben Falik, "The People Mover didn't fail Detroit so much as Detroit failed the People Mover." Or, as once quipped on DetroitYes: "Just because you have eggs, cheese and vegetables, doesn't mean you have an omelette."

For all the talk of legacy and development, one topic rarely entered the equation: the line's functionality as a transit service. Transit is a system -- not a vacuum-sealed package. Supporters point to Dallas, Denver, Houston, Salt Lake City as successful single-line starter systems. And they're right. But those systems feature a vital element which, to us, was a pesky afterthought: connectivity with the bus system.

Challenges notwithstanding, we politicked our way to federal funding for rail. But Federal Transit Administration (FTA) money has a very logical string attached: if you want hundreds of millions of dollars from Washington, you need to prove your ability to operate the new service for at least 25 years. We tapped Gilbert and Penske for an up-front capital investment - but should they be on the hook for $10-$15 million every single year to keep the trains running? No one ever addressed that question seriously.

Meanwhile, as the FTA is going through its standard checklist, our current transit systems are literally falling apart. The city has threatened to close the People Mover. No one knows what to do with DDOT. And, earlier this week, SMART put into effect devastating, ill-conceived service cuts. Nothing is coordinated. Nothing is moving toward a plan. It's all spiraling out of control, and the best answer that anyone around here can offer is "blame the unions."

What does this all look like if you're Ray LaHood? Objectively, not a very wise investment of federal money -- especially when other metropolitan areas have their acts together. Consider rapid bus service -- our consolation prize. Implemented properly, bus lines connect real dots and lay the groundwork for rail. As demonstrated in Los Angeles, Pittsburgh and Ottawa, buses can hold their own when it comes to service quality and appeal. Really.

All the breath-holding, finger-crossing and wood-knocking in the world aren't going to build us a transit system. Transit is a complex undertaking and a technical profession; this is what we Detroiters can't seem to grasp. If we want a credible transit plan, we'll need credible transit planning. That much is simple.

 
 
 
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11:40 AM on 01/19/2012
Neil, Neil. I do so love you. You hit the nail on the head once more. Your "Freshwater Rail" was a duplicate of my senior thesis project that was never to be (I chose another, albeit by close call). I have always been dismayed by our region's lack of cohesive mass transit, but in today's super fast economic world-wide "winner take all" climate, Detroit does not have a choice but to get it's act together once and for all. It is do or die, quite literally. Simple to use area wide transit is no longer an option - if we wish to live as a viable region. Big players with little ideas are not going to pull this off, not as long as the people of the region are not sold on the necessity of mass transit. Unfortunately, people of this region are not sold on the idea. First and foremost, we need a system big enough to realistically get people out of their cars, take them where they need to really go, and do it in a cost effective, easy to understand, and comfortable manner. I am sad to surmise that we, as a region, are not ready to "do" so we will "die" - being relegated to the marginalized fringe of a modern world.
10:05 PM on 12/19/2011
Does anyone else remember the parody of' Purple Rain' (Coleman's Train) when the people Mover was built?
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kroyall
04:40 PM on 12/19/2011
Until Detroit can become a favorable destination for businesses and new residents, light rail is a waste of time and money. Improving public safety and schools should be the main priority. Government should do its primary functions well before we give them money to spend on 19th century era transportation projects that will never pay for themselves. The Detroit area is not laid out well for transit anyway, it is a car town and always will be.
11:18 AM on 12/20/2011
Here's a thought: the distance from Wicker Park to the Chicago Loop is the same as it is from New Center to Campus Martius. Why, exactly, is Detroit only a car town, and why are you ignoring the $3B in new investment in a 10x10-block area smack-dab in the center of Detroit?
02:37 PM on 12/19/2011
I agree with many of your points though I'm unconvinced of your overall assessment that we will have light rail in Detroit. Initially, I was as thrilled as anyone about the prospect of having this glamorous system available. I've been to Portland, OR and used their MAX light rail - it's great. But then I looked at how much these systems cost. $550 million for 9.3 miles = $59.1 million per mile. And that's if the project stays on budget. Add $10 million per year for operating costs for 25 years (no inflation included) and the total is $800 million or $86 million per mile! Expand the system to 25 or 45 miles and you can potentially see some really big $'s.
Let's start with a real plan that connects the city and the burbs, get clean, safe, on-time buses via a regional system and work out the kinks on the way to building a REALISTIC transit system that meets as many users needs as possible.
11:46 AM on 12/20/2011
but what is being proposed by Bing and Snyder is not a realistic transit plan. If they want to provide clean, save, on-time buses to and from the suburbs, then they would FUND THE EXISTING TRANSIT PROVIDES -- DDOT AND SMART -- INSTEAD OF TRYING TO RUN THEN INTO THE GROUND
ChangeAgent007
Changing the world everyday
06:54 AM on 12/19/2011
Neil,

Does Detroit have a Regional Transportation Planning Board? If so, I would like to get involved. I used to serve on the one in Chicago Metro. It would be exciting to be a part of the planning process. And if you have ever been to one of the Chicago meetings you know I'm not going to be intimidated by Detroit. :)
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Ben Falik
01:54 PM on 12/20/2011
Hi ChangeAgent.

There's a few different bodies involved with -transportation- planning. However, they rarely delve into the details of -transit- planning. They leave that mostly to the transit systems themselves. And we all know how that looks. Don't mean to be so snarky, but the fact is that it's rather poorly coordinated.

Most regional transportation planning is the domain of SEMCOG. Good luck.
01:45 PM on 12/18/2011
As much as I hate to disagree with Neil on anything related to transit, there is one point that I feel a need to make here. It is highly that the system that Gov. Snyder and Mayor Bing have proposed will be anything remotely resembling a bus rapid transit system.

According to a 2001 study by the GAO, the average construction costs for a BRT system is $13.5 million. A 110 mile BRT route should thus cost approximately $1.5 billion, even before one accounts for a decade of inflation.

But Gov. Snyder and Mayor Bing say they can get it built for 1/3 of that at only $500 million?

That simply strains credibility. It highly doubtful that this will be anything remotely resembling a BRT system.
11:49 AM on 12/20/2011
Exactly Frank, this plan is a joke. It is a carrot attached to a stick. They cancel a reasonable transit project --- the first leg of a ENTIRE system --- and offer us a "much better alternative" called BRT that is "much cheaper and will serve many more people," which is a bold faced lie. This plan will never get off the ground, DDOT and SMART will continue to be cut, and Michigan will remain in the dark ages of transportation.
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Dean P. Simmer
09:16 AM on 12/18/2011
Good words Neil. Thanks for sharing. Here is hoping that voices like yours are listened to by our decision makers moving forward.
11:45 PM on 12/17/2011
Neil Greenberg is a resource that the leaders of Detroit and the whole metro region should be aware of. His knowledge of public transportation is second to none. Look forward to hearing more from him in the future!
11:42 PM on 12/17/2011
Neil Greenberg is a resource that this area has to take advantage of. His knowledge of public transit is second to none. Wake up Detroit and utilize the knowledge of this man!
01:27 PM on 12/17/2011
Hello Detroit decision-makers....you should be listening to Neil. He gets it.
And maybe it's time for all the people who have been stranded by the recent transportation cutbacks (mismanagement) to come together and occupy the bus-stops so that they might spark some real planning - and yes, also be part of it.
I have more and more kids who can't get to our school.
Those who have them also can't get to their jobs - and winter is just about here.
Once again the so-called "leaders" have failed the people they are supposed to serve. Neil - in future articles will you please suggest a process for a plan, and for public participation? We need your expertise, creativity and passion now more than ever.
10:04 AM on 12/17/2011
It saddens me that the light rail has been axed, at least to eight mile. I live in Ferndale and the discussion of the M1 has been a great topic of conversation. Many of our citizens were excited about the possibility of M1 crossing over and through our city in the future. I feel there are many people who would gladly give up driving their cars downtown, myself being one of those people. In a time when everyone is talking about greener alternatives and a better quality of life within their environment I would have to say buses are not what most would have in mind. I doubt these hulking things will be electric and easy on the eyes, plus having to convince people who already avoid the Ghetto Freight, as I heard it called in a song, Isn't going to be easy. I hope they added some media cost to the plan on how to persuade people in the outer suburbs to give up their cars they rely on so heavily for bus ridership. It's a different culture and mindset out there.
I do hope the first stretch of rail can be laid between downtown and midtown, so that we can at least have a little taste of that vision and dream of a sleek future.
11:39 PM on 12/16/2011
Could you please point me to some unbiased evidence that proves that the "benefits are indisputable" and the "positive economic impacts of rail are proven worldwide"? Specifically for a city comparable to Detroit would be best. I really would like to support light rail, but I haven't seen good research demonstrating the ROI vs. rapid bus or simply investing in the quality of life and walkability in the downtown core.
07:53 AM on 12/17/2011
It is obvious you have not left the state in sometime.
11:47 PM on 12/17/2011
Neil Greenberg is a resource that the metro region must take advantage of. His knowledge of public transportation is second to none. Get this man in a position of power!
ChangeAgent007
Changing the world everyday
06:50 AM on 12/19/2011
Minneapolis has an excellent light rail system that connects their airport and outlying suburbs to their downtown as well as the Mall of America. They have had it running for several years now. They should have some data for comparison.

That would be the closest I could think to what I would envision for Detroit. If we could connect the Airport, the outlying suburbs to Downtown we would have a great start. Integrate that with our bus system and you have an effective mass transit.

I used to serve on the Regional Transportation Board for the Chicago Metro I would be interested in working in the same capacity for Detroit.