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2008

Electoral Math -- Obama Sure Could Use A Bump

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama has slipped below the magic 270 number for the first time since he became the Democratic presumptive nominee, and McCain has just about caught up with him.

Lunchtime Status Update for 9-19

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Another day, another 37 mew statewide polls (as of this writing) logged into the Pollster.com database. Today's batch managed to change classification...

Why the Conventions Mattered

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

You may have seen these statistics on other political blogs by now, but Nielsen released some very helpful ratings statistics on the conventions that ...

Memo to Netroots: Stop Tearing Down Obama's VP Shortlist

Erik Ose | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Erik Ose

If the left is ever going to get serious about winning elections, we need to stop insisting on 100% ideological purity from our candidates. News flash: politics is about assembling winning coalitions.

A Chinese American at the Olympics (or, an American Chinese?)

Deanna Lee | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media
Deanna Lee

As an ABC-- American-Born-Chinese -- I had to settle for a less personal sort of honor and pride in "returning" to my family's homeland.

2008 District of Columbia Presidential General Election:
McCain vs Obama

Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

DC-Pres: McCain vs Obama

Friday Talking Points [43] -- And The Gold Medal For Snarkiness Goes To...

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

I don't usually comment on sports, so take anything I say with a grain of salt. I'm no professional sports guy, nor do I play one on the web. But I h...

Thank You, John Edwards

Erik Ose | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Erik Ose

Because Edwards is out of office, not on the ballot, and now out of the running for a convention speech, VP slot or cabinet post, the scandal will have little effect on Democrats' chances this fall.

9/12 Lunchtime Status Update

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

We have logged another 16 new statewide presidential polls in since yesterday's noon update, including multiple surveys in the key swing battleground ...

Internals of the McCain-Palin Bump

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column, on the "internals" of the McCain-Palin post-convention bounce, is now online. In the column, I quote from a conversatio...

9/11 Lunchtime Status Update

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Since noon yesterday, we have logged a 14 new statewide surveys in the presidential race. Most continue to show evidence of the post convention bounce...

The Bradley Effect v. The Obama Effect

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Will Obama's white voter support in the polls be higher than his actual support on Election Day? Will this be a regional factor, or a nationwide factor? And how big a factor is it?

2008 Montana Senate General Election:
Kelleher (R) vs Baucus (D-i)

Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

MT-Sen: Kelleher vs Baucus

Introducing Politics Home

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

If you are a regular reader, you no doubt noticed the new PoliticsHome.com panel that now appears in the right column on every page on Pollster.com. P...

Status Update for 9/9

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

As most readers of our site know all to well, we had new national survey releases yesterday from USA Today/Gallup, CBS News, ABC/Washington Post and C...

I'm Disappointed in John Edwards

Erik Ose | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Erik Ose

In retrospect, Edwards' entire political career was a flash in the pan, a triumph of hype over substance, and a big let-down for any progressives who were fooled into thinking Edwards was the second coming of FDR.

Friday Talking Points [42] -- Get Up, Stand Up, Barack

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

I have to assume if you're reading this that you're sick of the Olympics already. Wow, that was fast. Is NBC's coverage going to be twice as bad as ...

Pass S. 223!

Paul Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Paul Blumenthal

Thanks to outdated rules, Senate campaign finance information takes weeks, if not months, to reach the public after it is disclosed. Now it's time to change that.

Electoral Math Charts Updated

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

It's time once again to take a look at the Electoral College math from state-level polling. Nationwide polls are not completely meaningless, but they are pretty irrelevant as that's not how we elect a president.

2008 Illinois CD-13 General Election:
Biggert (R-i) vs Harper (D)

Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

IL-13: Biggert vs Harper

2008 Alabama CD-03 General Election:
Rogers (R-i) vs Segall (D)

Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

AL-03: Rogers vs Segall

2008 Pennsylvania CD-10 General Election:
Hackett (R) vs Carney (D-i)

Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

PA-10: Hackett vs Carney

Looking at the Internals

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My second Convention Daily column for the week, on the way last week's Democratic convention changed perceptions of the candidates on the so-called "i...

"Internal" Measures of Change on the CBS Survey

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

The just released CBS survey we posted a few minutes ago is one of the first of the post Democratic convention polls to include extensive "internal" m...

2008 Missouri CD-09 General Election:
Luetkemeyer (R) vs Baker (D)

Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

MO-09: Luetkemeyer vs Baker