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POLLSTER UPDATE - Wendy Greuel, LA Mayoral Candidate, Attacks 'Flawed' Poll

POLLSTER UPDATE - Wendy Greuel, LA Mayoral Candidate, Attacks 'Flawed' Poll

Mark Blumenthal  05.20.2013
Barack Obama had a terrible, horrible, no good, very bad week, but his job approval ratings remain stable. Pollsters are fighting pollsters...
'Worst Week' For Obama Has Surprising Effect On Polls

'Worst Week' For Obama Has Surprising Effect On Polls

Mark Blumenthal  05.20.2013
WASHINGTON -- President Barack Obama may have had the "worst week in Washington" -- perhaps even his "worst week ever" -- but so far polls...
What Went Wrong? Gallup Shares New Details

What Went Wrong? Gallup Shares New Details

Mark Blumenthal  05.18.2013
BOSTON -- Gallup, the company that has faced intense criticism after its polling consistently understated President Barack Obama's support...
POLLSTER UPDATE - AAPOR Attendees Review The State Of Polling

POLLSTER UPDATE - AAPOR Attendees Review The State Of Polling

Mark Blumenthal  05.17.2013
A who’s-who of pollsters and researchers are gathered in Boston for their annual conference today, and two thirds of Team Pollster are...
POLLSTER UPDATE - Few Supporters For The IRS

POLLSTER UPDATE - Few Supporters For The IRS

Mark Blumenthal  05.16.2013
Most Americans don’t like the IRS, most Virginians don’t know anything about their candidates for governor, and AAPOR kicks off in...
POLLSTER UPDATE - British Columbia's Polling Fail

POLLSTER UPDATE - British Columbia's Polling Fail

Mark Blumenthal  05.15.2013
A low turnout election in British Columbia yields the sum of all pollster fears. In New Hampshire, which knows of such meltdowns, Hillary...
POLLSTER UPDATE - Will Second Term Scandals Be 'Game Changers'?

POLLSTER UPDATE - Will Second Term Scandals Be 'Game Changers'?

Mark Blumenthal  05.14.2013
Without fresh survey data, pundits turn to political science and prediction to evaluate the impact of the week's new scandals. On Benghazi,...
POLLSTER UPDATE - Another Look At Kelly Ayotte's Approval Ratings

POLLSTER UPDATE - Another Look At Kelly Ayotte's Approval Ratings

Mark Blumenthal  05.13.2013
Kelly Ayotte's job rating gets another look. Politico discovers Gallup's review of its methodology. And PPP is asking about "hipsters"...
Did The Youth Vote Actually Increase in 2012?

Did The Youth Vote Actually Increase in 2012?

05.10.2013
I'd argue it's also not nearly as important as what Republicans plan to do to win over more of those young people who do show up.
2012 Election: A Failure to Mobilize the Youth Vote

2012 Election: A Failure to Mobilize the Youth Vote

05.10.2013
Among the most dramatic findings reported in the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey is a large decline in turnout rates among young...
POLLSTER UPDATE - Could Pennsylvania Be A 2016 Swing State?

POLLSTER UPDATE - Could Pennsylvania Be A 2016 Swing State?

Mark Blumenthal  05.10.2013
It's a good time to ignore horse race numbers in Virginia, but a fine time to speculate about battleground states in 2016. Eliot visits...
POLLSTER UPDATE - Census Turnout Data Shows Record Black Turnout

POLLSTER UPDATE - Census Turnout Data Shows Record Black Turnout

Mark Blumenthal  05. 9.2013
Political data geeks rejoiced over the release of the biennial Census report on voter turnout, a report which shows black turnout exceeding...
2012 Turnout: Race, Ethnicity and the Youth Vote

2012 Turnout: Race, Ethnicity and the Youth Vote

05. 8.2013
The big news from the Current Population Survey will be that African-American turnout exceeded non-Hispanic white turnout. But I contend...
POLLSTER UPDATE - McAuliffe, Cuccinelli Running Close In Virginia

POLLSTER UPDATE - McAuliffe, Cuccinelli Running Close In Virginia

Mark Blumenthal  05. 8.2013
Pollsters missed the South Carolina special election outcome by a mile. So...on to Virginia! And Pew Research confirms that off-year turnout...
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