Bashar Assad is still VERY MUCH in trouble, he does not have the strategic initiative and the human toll of both sides is mounting, but let us remember a simple demographic fact: there are MANY MORE Sunnis than Alawites.
Obama has not acted decisively with Western allies in an effort to end the horrific civil war in Syria. The tragic loss of nearly 150,000 Syrians, 9 million internally displaced persons and refugees, and the massive destruction would still pale in comparison to the near-complete devastation of the nation if nothing is done soon.
For the three days leading up to March 15, Syrians gathered in front of the White House to read the names of 100,000 victims of Syria's war.
The story of the hundreds of thousands of children in Syria that pass through the gates of hell is yet to be told. Starving to death, burned to ashes, gassed, summarily executed, gunned down, tortured, orphaned, and displaced, the lucky ones become refugees facing an ever gloomier future.
The age of the Arab dictatorship ended when tyrants opened fire on unarmed protestors. This, our most difficult battle, was won by heroes who sacrificed their futures for ours. A better tomorrow depends on our ability to find a new way of doing politics in our country and our region.
Both parties in Syria are having the same vision, though diametrically opposed to each other. They want to survive as communities, but they act as if their particular survival cannot happen by having a co-existence of equals.
The situation in Syria will only get worse. Foreign policy experts in Washington warned on Thursday that the war in Syria will "grind on."
To what degree could Putin, or those acting upon his direction, be encouraged to consider the rule of law in their actions in Crimea and beyond and no longer be confident in their impunity?
I believe that President Obama is probably handling world events about as well as they can be handled. He seems to have a good feel for American public opinion. And he appreciates the complexity of the global order.
Generating a General Assembly resolution to support humanitarian relief and encouraging states to pursue humanitarian remedies at least isolates Putin and Assad from the will of the world and yields at least broad moral authority to act.
I spent a few days visiting with the female refugees, mothers and grandmothers who were tired and overwhelmed by the same tragedy that has befallen almost 10 million Syrians.
Time is running out and every day we continue to embrace the illusion of a political solution. Without first changing the balance of forces on the ground, scores of Syrian men, women and children will die and millions of Syrian refugees will have no home to return to.
Many nations attending the Geneva II conference, including the United States, appear to have been totally caught off guard by a recent hastily organized news conference and announcement issued by U.N Secretary General Ban Ki-moon.
The crisis of power is troubling, especially when it comes to tackling some of the world's most serious threats. There are a great -- and mounting -- number of issues that require collective international action.
So, there is now Geneva 2, possibly Geneva 3 and 4, but not one meaningful peace accord. The civil war will continue, and not many Syrians will be as lucky as a girl aged 17 who was treated medically in Israel, and now appealed to the Israeli High Court against being sent back to Syria...
The Syrian people deserve a better outcome from Geneva II. But given the prevailing political and military realities they're unlikely to get it. Instead, Syria's war will extend well beyond the three-year mark.