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Battleground States

The Secret Diary of a Trump Poll Watcher

Peter Mandel | Posted 08.23.2016 | Politics
Peter Mandel

"You've got to get every one of your friends. You've got to get every one of your family. You've got to get everybody to go out and watch. And go out ...

Being Trump

Chris Weigant | Posted 08.18.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Trump's campaign is now going to fully commit to "letting Trump be Trump." Because, obviously, the problem all along has been that Trump wasn't being Trump enough. Obviously.

5 Optimistic Electoral Maps for Clinton

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.09.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Can Clinton actually break the 400 Electoral Vote barrier? This hasn't happened since 1988, but it used to be a lot more common. In the 10 elections from 1952 through 1988, the winning candidate got more than 400 votes seven times.

A Hard Look at the Big Blue Wall

Chris Weigant | Posted 06.08.2015 | Politics
Chris Weigant

The true magnitude of the problem for the Republican Party only becomes apparent when you compare the big blue wall to what might be called the "small red picket fence" of the consistent Republican-voting states.

Why Missouri Will Not Be a 2016 Presidential Campaign Battleground

Rob Richie | Posted 04.22.2015 | Politics
Rob Richie

For more than a century, Missouri was known as the "bellwether state" because of its tendency to swing between Democratic and Republican presidential candidates. However, recent elections suggest that presidential candidates in 2016 are highly unlikely to target Missouri as a battleground and that, just as in 2012, it will be nearly completely ignored.

Dear Democrats: Please All and You'll Please None

Anat Shenker-Osorio | Posted 12.16.2014 | Politics
Anat Shenker-Osorio

It's deeply fitting that the animal in Aesop's "Please All, Please None" fable was a donkey. This kind of, let's meet people where they are and actually say nothing, approach is the best summation of current Democratic strategy.

Democrats Will Place President Obama In Suspended Animation Through 2014 Midterm Elections

Spencer Green | Posted 11.16.2014 | Comedy
Spencer Green

The process of placing the President in suspended animation will involve a metal compound made of carbon and tibanna gas used to smuggle items or transport people across the galaxy.

Red, Blue, and Purple States Agree: Limit Carbon Pollution

Heather Taylor-Miesle | Posted 04.29.2014 | Politics
Heather Taylor-Miesle

With critical mid-terms approaching, some GOP strategists are trying to say that Republicans will benefit in midterm elections if they go on record opposing efforts to clean up our air and protect future generations from climate change. They are wrong.

The Unexpected Blue in Texas

Charlie Saginaw | Posted 10.15.2013 | Politics
Charlie Saginaw

The idea that Austin is the democratic oasis in a red dessert fortifies the status quo and allows Republicans to continue winning state office by default.

In 2012, Hispanic Voter Turnout vs. Voting Power

Eric Rodriguez | Posted 08.21.2013 | Latino Voices
Eric Rodriguez

What politicians do today and the tone of their comments, particularly on immigration reform, will leave an indelible mark in the minds of Latino voters and the young people who will join the electorate in the years to come.

Martinez-Rubio: The GOP's 'Dream' Ticket for 2016?

Martin Luz | Posted 08.02.2013 | Politics
Martin Luz

A Martinez-Rubio ticket is just as credible as any other. On paper -- with no faces and names attached -- they tick all the conservative boxes. Add in their demographic appeal and they cut into the Democrat's potentially decades-long advantage with women and Hispanic voters.

2012 Election: A Failure to Mobilize the Youth Vote

Michael P. McDonald | Posted 07.10.2013 | Politics
Michael P. McDonald

Among the most dramatic findings reported in the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey is a large decline in turnout rates among young people. Obama's smaller margin of victory in 2012 was thus partially a turnout story.

The Case for Battleground Texas

Jeremy Bird | Posted 04.29.2013 | Politics
Jeremy Bird

Grassroots voices were enormously successful in 2012 and 2008. So where do we go from here? How do we continue to engage Americans in the democratic process and make our politics better reflect our population? One of the answers is in Texas -- a state that is at a political crossroads.

Turnout in the 2012 Presidential Election

Michael P. McDonald | Posted 04.13.2013 | Politics
Michael P. McDonald

The reelection of Barack Obama was tarnished by a lower voter turnout rate than 2008, dropping from 61.6 percent of those eligible to vote to 58.2 percent, or a decrease of 3.4 percentage points. Here, I place the 2012 turnout rate in historical perspective.

The Bellwether Belt

Jacopo della Quercia | Posted 02.03.2013 | Politics
Jacopo della Quercia

When Missouri's electors convene on Dec. 17 to cast their electoral votes, it will mark the second presidential election in a row their state voted for the losing candidate. What are the state's proudest, most nostalgic citizens to do?

Thank You People of the Battleground States

Shari Cohen | Posted 01.07.2013 | Politics
Shari Cohen

Dear People of the Battleground States, as a phone banker for the Obama for America Grassroots Campaign, I just wanted to say 'thank you' for your kindness, patience and humorous interactions after being called incessantly for months now.

An Independent Perspective: Election 2012 Predictions

Bill Hillsman | Posted 01.06.2013 | Politics
Bill Hillsman

Independents will once again be the deciding factor in this election, despite the pains of both campaigns to pooh-pooh the impact of self-identified independent voters like you. Governor Romney needs to carry independents by a large margin in order to win.

Got Any Plans for Tuesday? Want to Go on a Road Trip?

John R. Talbott | Posted 01.05.2013 | Politics
John R. Talbott

If you have already voted but want to do more, get to a battleground state and help out and volunteer for Barack Obama. There are never enough volunteers on Election Day to help people get to the polls.

Hurricane Politics

Evan Winiker | Posted 01.01.2013 | Politics
Evan Winiker

Both candidates spent a good deal of this week on their constituents' flat screens, but one wonders if the time and money spent could have been used for a better cause.

Never Mind the Models, Here's Some Data

Simon Jackman | Posted 12.30.2012 | Politics
Simon Jackman

So, at the end of a day when Twitter was alive with the sound of pundits railing against poll averages (well, one poll average or even one poll averager in particular), I thought I'd try this.

Is Presidential Race a Dead Heat? We Really Don't Know

David Paul | Posted 12.30.2012 | Politics
David Paul

The unknowns as we head down to the wire are significant. If the ground game is not accurately taken into account, as Obama advisor David Axelrod suggests, no doubt polling firms are struggling to account for the air war as well.

Jon Ward

Obama, Romney Collide In Ohio, A Sign Of Things To Come | Jon Ward | Posted 10.26.2012 | Politics

DEFIANCE, Ohio -– As the Election Day countdown neared single-digit territory Thursday, President Barack Obama and challenger Mitt Romney continued ...

Jon Ward

Mitt Romney Hammers New Phrase For His Campaign: 'Big Change' | Jon Ward | Posted 10.25.2012 | Politics

CINCINNATI -- Mitt Romney began a two-day swing through the crucial swing state of Ohio on Thursday by repeating a phrase that got big roars from a ra...

Janell Ross

In Philly, Democratic Political Machine Waiting And Worrying For Obama | Janell Ross | Posted 10.24.2012 | Politics

The way Congressman Robert Brady (D-Pa.), chairman of Philadelphia’s Democratic City Committee, sees it, nothing has changed –- not the players, n...

2012 COUNTDOWN: Obama, Romney Battle For Last Bloody Yards

Howard Fineman | Posted 12.24.2012 | Politics
Howard Fineman

The debates over, we're now in the Battle of Verdun phase of the 2012 campaign. It is a bloody war of attrition over tiny pieces of real estate: t...