Christie must adapt, however awkwardly, to the zeitgeist of the Republican Party faithful. He once mastered the spirit of his own state. Perhaps he will do it again nationally. Perhaps he is chasing ghosts.
What July will bring is anyone's guess, in other words. Obama wound up down for the month when the monthly averages were calculated, but they could very easily go right back up again in July.
On the campaign trail, Hillary Clinton has said, "We need to make the middle class mean something again." What does being middle class mean to Americans, and has the meaning changed?
Mental health care in the U.S. underwent significant changes over the past decade. But what does the public think -- how important do they think mental health problems are and how much do such issues affect their lives?
The Republican party's educational platform prioritizes school choice and the programs that facilitate it, while the Democratic party has rejected the idea of vouchers and similar systems. Party identification, however, does not seem to drive attitudes about this issue among the public.
Rather than blame Latino voters -- Why was your turnout so low? Don't you care who wins?-- we should think about how well the candidates for office in 2014, did or did not make their case to Latino voters.
In the country's third largest city, Latinos are almost a third of its population. Still in Chicago elections -- with Latinos making up nearly 1 in 5 registered voters -- they are consistently underrepresented in public opinion surveys.
Just before the U.S. Senate released its report at the end of 2014 on the CIA's use of "harsh interrogation" tactics against prisoners, the question was whether or not the report would provoke a public backlash against torture. The answer is no.
Some economists on the left argue that the deficit is not a serious threat to the health of the economy, while other experts say that projected increases show that long-term solutions need to be found. What does the public think about this debate?
We'll need far more than a single question to decode the role gender has in Clinton's political fortunes. We would need to control for party, and mask that we're investigating bias. Because if voters are viewing Clinton through the lens of party, rather than gender, perhaps that may be progress after all.
Despite the enormity of the Holocaust, and the many books, movies, museums and memorials aimed at ensuring remembrance, Americans in more recent years have shown surprising ignorance of what happened under the Nazis.
Central to the American public's understanding of the torture debate is their belief that torture provides important information about terrorist activities
Pundits have few kind words for politicians who consult public opinion polls when formulating policy. On the other hand, pollsters themselves consider polls no less than the voice of the people. But where does the public stand? A review of polls about polling, from the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research archive:
The holiday season is in full swing, and for many Americans that means just one thing: shopping. But in a difficult economy, can the public afford its annual spending spree?
We did no serious modeling with the raw data - only applying basic demographic weighting at the state level. These straightforward adjustments mean the results shed light on the important roles that scale (large numbers of interviews) and heterogeneity (diversity of respondents and sources) play in poll accuracy.
Despite the sticker shock, the public has consistently believed that college is worth the money -- though questions that mention actual dollar amounts tend to leave respondents somewhat more skeptical.