The origin of the problem that plagued Republican pollsters in 2012 (and to a lesser extent Democratic pollsters in 2010 and Republicans in 2008) is that we're really good at what has historically been the big question we've been asked to answer: How are people going to vote?
Protecting our democracy starts with protecting the fundamental right to vote. The U.S. is one of only eleven of the 119 democratic countries in the world that do not explicitly provide the right to vote in their Constitutions.
It really would be great if governments, organizations, associations, companies, or what have you would just keep things simple so we could truly understand what is expected of us. All of us would be so much more likely to abide by the rules, regulation, and laws, and to get along better with each other.
On immigration, the Republican Party knows it has a serious problem: their rhetoric and policy on the subject has been a factor in their consistently-...
Things are heating up. Today we had visits from Herman Cain and the Romneys themselves. Secret Service were circling the building inside and out all day. I didn't get a chance to meet any of them, though I did get to take a bite of Ann Romney's cold and lifeless leftover pizza.
Speaking from experience as the chief strategist in 2004 for President Bush, I saw in close detail how little gay marriage could influence turnout of conservatives or evangelicals.
The Republican brand and many of its candidates are seen as intolerant throwbacks to a time gone by and not compassionate to where people are in their lives.
Hey! A black guy! Speak of the devil, today I saw a black guy! He wore a dark woolen suit and was being escorted around by one of our sexier unpaid white Republican interns so I'm guessing he's a very high-level black guy.
To be sure some Republicans have come out of the closet for gay marriage and are talking about immigration reform in a way that does not involve putting ten million people on a bus bound for the nearest border. But that is just cosmetic blather as they still must cling to their base.
The image that Democrats and Republicans build for themselves will either help or be hung around the necks of their party-mates during midterm elections, and will set the tone for all things immigration related this political cycle.
Today Rick Santorum dropped out of the race. The entire digital staff were all gathered around the TV watching Fox "News" (naturally) when the broadcaster expressed his lackluster support for Romney and sounded almost sad to see Santorum go.
Remember when a big takeaway from the 2012 elections was the changing political calculus behind immigration reform?
The Romney campaign headquarters is located at 585 Commercial St. in the North End of Boston. The air conditioning is unpredictable. Like Romney, it first subjects us to an arctic freon blast, then overcompensates, exhausting us with hot air. It's clearly not environmentally friendly.
True the Vote used numbers that skewed their results in their favor when analyzing turnout in every single state they tested. Once recalibrated, True the Vote's claim that states with new voter ID laws, enacted or pending, experienced an increase in turnout is patently false.
Whether subject to hindsight bias or rationalization - or both - Republican and Democratic party leaders and their adherents should be mindful of the mental traps they face. If they are, they will become stronger for future campaigns.
There was no question. If I was going to land this job, if I stood any chance at infiltrating the Republican party, I would have to make it all disappear.