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Senate Shaping Up 50-50

Brent Budowsky | Posted 12.08.2014 | Politics
Brent Budowsky

When the new Senate convenes next year, the most influential person on Capitol Hill could be Greg Orman, the independent candidate for senator from Kansas, who I predict today will be elected in November.

What The Washington Post and FiveThirtyEight Have in Common on Climate Change

Daniel Kessler | Posted 06.04.2014 | Green
Daniel Kessler

The remedies to their common problem should be the same for both The Post and FiveThirtyEight. Both must correct the record and be forceful when they do. This means publishing a correction connected to the original piece.

Statistics and Climate Science: Roger Pielke Missed the Mark

John P. Abraham, Ph.D. | Posted 05.27.2014 | Green
John P. Abraham, Ph.D.

In his inaugural post on Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight website, Roger Pielke Jr. put forth a number of arguments suggesting that many changes to extreme weather are not occurring as our climate changes.

A Few Numbers for Nate Silver and Roger Pielke Jr. on Climate Change

Daniel Kessler | Posted 05.20.2014 | Green
Daniel Kessler

Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight website got off to a bad start with the hiring of Roger Pielke, Jr, one of the country's leading tricksters on climate change.

Jason Linkins

Nate Silver Hates All The Right Things About The Political Media | Jason Linkins | Posted 03.06.2014 | Politics

In the upcoming issue of Time magazine, Jack Dickey will offer a feature on Nate Silver, whose FiveThirtyEight enterprise will soon become a semi-inde...

The End of the GOP: Why I Disagree With Nate Silver

Walker Bragman | Posted 10.06.2013 | Politics
Walker Bragman

There is a very real chance that the Republican voters in Kentucky and South Carolina will vote for the Tea Party challengers because they view their senators as too moderate -- and that is problematic.

What Happens if Public Education Is Privatized? Clues From the Health Care Fiasco

Alan Singer | Posted 04.07.2013 | Politics
Alan Singer

The near religious commitment of the United States to private for-profit administration of social programs has proved to be an economic disaster. Health insurance and education are not an entitlements. They should be social rights.

Post-Election: Fact & Fiction

Rick Horowitz | Posted 01.13.2013 | Politics
Rick Horowitz

Some people would rather spin stories. Some people would rather change the subject. So: Before the Woes of Petraeus drown out that whole election thin...

Uh Oh, Drunk Nate Silver Has Gone Mad With Power

Posted 11.08.2012 | Comedy

Dammit, Nate Silver. You just had to be right about everything, didn't you? Within a matter of weeks, Nate Silver's celebrity rose to its highest m...

Countdown Election

James Campion | Posted 01.06.2013 | Politics
James Campion

Nate Silver is a shrewd customer. In a way, this election is on him and his ilk. The geeks have taken over baseball and football and every inch of our country's computer landscape. Why not politics?

4 Lessons From Nate Silver's Election Predictions

Inc. Magazine | Posted 01.06.2013 | Small Business

By Erik Sherman, visit Inc. Unless you've been safely ensconced in a media-free hideaway, you've probably heard of Nate Silver, the predictive phen...

Political Junkies' Newest Fix: Election Modeling

Maria Ehsan | Posted 12.29.2012 | Media
Maria Ehsan

The numerous blogs that review elections start to increase postings on poll statistics this time of the year and really get followers engaged. The lure of a model that can provide probabilities of various election outcomes is downright exciting to wonks.

Two Weeks Out -- Nine Reasons Why Democrats Will Keep Control of the House

Robert Creamer | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Robert Creamer

With two weeks to go in the 2010 mid-term elections there are a number of good reasons to believe -- contrary to most conventional wisdom -- that Democrats will still control the House once the smoke clears from the electoral battlefield.

Pollster's Mark Blumenthal Challenges Nate Silver's Method At FiveThirtyEight | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

For better or worse, FiveThirtyEight's prominence makes these ratings central to our conversation about how to interpret and aggregate polls, and I ha...

NYT Picks Up Nate Silver, To Host

New York Times | BRIAN STELTER | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media

The New York Times said Thursday that it would begin hosting the popular blog FiveThirtyEight and make its founder, Nate Silver, a regular contributor...

A Note to Nate

John Zogby | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
John Zogby

Congratulations to you, Nate Silver. To date you have many fans. But remember that you are one election away from being a mere mortal like the rest of us.

FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: How Useful?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media
Mark Blumenthal

For better or worse, FiveThirtyEight's prominence makes pollster ratings central to our conversation about how to interpret and aggregate polls, and I have some serious concerns about the way these ratings are calculated and presented.

Nate Silver: Health Care Is Hazardous to Poll Numbers for Grassley, Other Senators | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

One of the things about the so-called Gang of Six -- the group of Senators to which Max Baucus issued an exclusive invitation to participate in health...

Jason Linkins

Investor's Business Daily Publishes Ludicrous Poll Claiming 45% Of Doctors Would Quit Over Reform | Jason Linkins | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media

Hey, kids! Have you heard the one about the poll that indicates that 65% of doctors are against health care reform, and that 45% of doctors hate it s...

A Surprise In Obama's Poll Numbers

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Rather than looking at the overall picture of how Obama's doing in the polls, I have been noticing something interesting which I don't believe others have picked up on.

Jason Linkins

Scritti Politti: March 16, 2009 | Jason Linkins | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

After the 2008 Election, it was generally decided that Nate Silver, of was to be crowned the new God of The Maths and King Kahuna ...

Guest Hosting for Rachel Maddow Tonight: the Lineup is Coming Together

Arianna Huffington | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media
Arianna Huffington

Thank you for all of your great suggestions for tonight's Rachel Maddow show, which I'll be guest hosting. They've been incredible and, as you can see from tonight's lineup, we've listened: Google CEO Eric Schmidt will join me to discuss the ways Obama can harness the Internet to make his administration more effective. Bill Maher will discuss the day's top stories. Newark mayor Cory Booker will weigh in on the impact the economic crisis is having on America's inner cities. And's Nate Silver will crunch the latest numbers in the still-pending Senate races. Click here for some real time video of me behind-the-scenes at the show -- and be sure to tune in tonight at 9 pm on MSNBC.

Political Polling Expert Nate Silver Signs Two Book Deal

New York Observer | Leon Neyfakh | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media

Earlier today Media Mob reported that political polling expert Nate Silver, the wunderkind statistician behind the Web site, was o...

Jason Linkins

Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty Pushes Back On Voter Fraud Allegations | Jason Linkins | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media

[Via Newshounds] On last night's edition of Hannity and Colmes, the show's hosts took up the issue of the ongoing Minnesota Senate race, with Sean Han...

Obama Is Dominating in the Polls, but Four Things Keep Me Awake at Night

Mitchell Bard | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mitchell Bard

As a lifelong Democrat who has seen my party lose winnable races, I can't help thinking about how things can go wrong this year. These are the four factors that keep me up at night.