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Weak Bounce Wednesday - Fed Can't Paper Over a Crisis of Confidence

Phil Davis | Posted 06.15.2016 | Business
Phil Davis

27% That's how many of your fellow Americans have "a great deal" or "quite a lot" of confidence in banks. Only 18% of the people have confidence ...

Monday Market Myopia - Yellen Speaks at Noon!

Phil Davis | Posted 06.06.2016 | Business
Phil Davis

It's always fun on days when Janet speaks. Our FOMC chairwoman speaks TWICE today in Philadelphia (again at 2pm), so all sorts of fun this afterno...

Janet Yellen Tells Senate To Stop Stalling On Fed Nominees

The Huffington Post | Daniel Marans | Posted 03.16.2016 | Politics

It's not just judicial appointments -- the Senate has declined to hold hearings for two potential Federal Reserve leaders for more than a year, and Fe...

Manic Monday - Waiting for the BOJ, Fed

Phil Davis | Posted 03.14.2016 | Business
Phil Davis

2:30 AM. That's what time tomorrow the Bank of Japan will have their press conference to announce their rate decision as well as, potentially, any...

Federal Follow-Through Thursday: The View From the Top

Phil Davis | Posted 12.17.2015 | Business
Phil Davis

60 points. That's the difference between where the S&P was Tuesday morning, when I warned "The Joke's on You if You are Buying this Rally" and where we are now.

Sticker Shock: Fed to Hike Rates First Time in NINE Years!

Phil Davis | Posted 12.16.2015 | Business
Phil Davis

It has been so long since the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates in the US that Banks and Brokerage houses are having seminars for their workers to help them understand the repercussions of a rising rate environment.

GDPhursday -- Fed Thrill Ride Continues

Phil Davis | Posted 10.29.2015 | Business
Phil Davis

It's wonderful to be able to take advantage of silly market moves after hours. Have you ever read something in the paper and wished you could place a trade but the markets are closed? Futures trading fixes that problem.

Fed Up Friday -- Janet Saves the Day!

Phil Davis | Posted 09.25.2015 | Business
Phil Davis

And up we go again! After failing the 16,000 line early yesterday, the Dow has now come back 450 points (2.8%) thanks to Janet Yellen's bullish outlook in yesterday's "do-over" speech at Amherst.

Falling Friday: Fed Fails to Inspire Confidence

Phil Davis | Posted 09.18.2015 | Business
Phil Davis

We caught a very quick ride down to 1,175 where the profit on two contracts was $2,500 on /TF and $2,000 on /YM and I sent out another tweet at 3:30 noting we called for taking the quick gains off the table - making $2,500 in 25 minutes - nice work if you can get it.

Faltering Thursday -- Fearing Fed's Forthcoming Failure

Phil Davis | Posted 09.17.2015 | Business
Phil Davis

This stuff isn't complicated folks, we read the news and, when we think we know what's going to happen next AND we can see an opportunity to make a nice trade to take advantage of it -- we go for it.

Fed Is in Eye of Volatility Storm

Daniel P. Collins | Posted 09.02.2015 | Business
Daniel P. Collins

They say the quietest place on Earth is in the eye of the storm, which perhaps is the reason comments from Fed officials are so remarkably obtuse. The biggest factor on the market is and remains what they do in September.

Will a Delay Mean We Have to Go Through This Again?

Daniel P. Collins | Posted 08.25.2015 | Business
Daniel P. Collins

Given market action over the last few days, there are plenty of market analysts who say the Fed will now be forced to hold off on tightening, perhaps even out until 2016. While there is some logic to this, the Fed's mandate does not mention anything about reacting to the market.

More to Sell-Off Than Potential June Rate Increase

Daniel P. Collins | Posted 05.17.2015 | Business
Daniel P. Collins

A market in transition can mean only one thing in our current environment. A potential top and the beginning of a bear market or longer-term correction.

What Did Janet Yellen and FOMC Comments Mean?

Harlan Green | Posted 05.19.2014 | Business
Harlan Green

The moment that the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting ended, and its comments were released, interest rates rose. Why?

Mark Gongloff

The Fed Was Constantly 'Behind The Curve' During The Financial Crisis, New Transcripts Show

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Gongloff | Posted 02.21.2014 | Business

Federal Reserve policy makers were repeatedly caught by surprise as the economy and financial markets collapsed around them in 2008, according to newl...

Good News/Bad News Economy Threatens a 2013 Taper

Daniel P. Collins | Posted 11.30.2013 | Business
Daniel P. Collins

I went back and listened to Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke's opening statement at his press conference last week and it is clear that he has no commitment to tapering any time soon.

Esther L. George Is the Lone Hero Within the U.S. Federal Reserve

Sheldon Filger | Posted 11.23.2013 | Business
Sheldon Filger

The recent conclave of the Fed's FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) that met and rendered a decision has sent the Dow Jones index soaring to record...

Is Another Emerging Market Crisis Brewing?

Nick Beecroft | Posted 10.22.2013 | Business
Nick Beecroft

Should we worry about potential contagion to weak eurozone peripheral countries? I don't think so, as the current account balances of Greece, Italy, Portugal, and Spain have all virtually improved to zero, compared to India's 4.8 percent deficit.

Managing Expectations--Why Fed Austerity Now?

Harlan Green | Posted 08.24.2013 | Business
Harlan Green

It seems that Ben Bernanke's Federal Reserve has lost its nerve. Last week's FOMC meeting confirmed that its Open Market Committee has decided to end...

Not in Kansas Anymore: Monetary Policy Demystified

Diane Swonk | Posted 05.13.2013 | Business
Diane Swonk

This report takes a closer look at monetary policy, what the FOMC is trying to accomplish, where voting members are in the process and ultimately, how far we have traveled from "home."

Fed Issues Dire Warning

Reuters | Posted 05.02.2013 | Business

WASHINGTON, May 1 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve stuck to its plan to buy $85 billion in bonds each month to push down borrowing costs and prop ...

Be Bullish! Bernanke Has Spoken!

Michael Farr | Posted 03.22.2013 | Business
Michael Farr

On the heel of Cypriot bank-deposit delirium, we suspect that the U.S. central bankers had more than enough concern to hold firm to the seemingly limitless flow of monetary easing.

The Fed Still Controls Everything

The Huffington Post | Mark Gongloff | Posted 02.21.2013 | Business

Science has determined that people need to know 7.5 things per day, on average, about the world of business. You can't argue with science. Lucky for y...

Stock Market Misunderstands Fed Minutes, Panics

Mark Gongloff | Posted 04.22.2013 | Business
Mark Gongloff

The stock market is having a not-very-good day, all because of a little misunderstanding.

Fed Underplayed Severity Of Situation Just Ahead Of Massive Crisis, New Docs Reveal

The Huffington Post | Mark Gongloff | Posted 01.18.2013 | Business

If you want to feel confident that the Federal Reserve knows where it's going as it steers the world's biggest economy, then you probably should not r...