It is time once again to peer deeply into my somewhat-foggy crystal ball, and attempt to pick the winners of tomorrow night's New Hampshire primary. Before I get to that, though, some old business needs to be brought up. First, we have some very recent old business and then some truly ancient business, so bear with me.
New Hampshire woke up this morning to ever-tightening Republican and Democratic 2016 primary races. And if there is anyone familiar with the presidential hopefuls, it's the men and women in aprons on the dining room floors and behind the counters who have been serving them over the past year as they've touched down in the Granite State.
Now that the Iowa Caucus has concluded, the political playoffs have finally begun. The Republican Party still has an overcrowded roster, which will be trimmed after the New Hampshire primary, with some veteran players likely to be cut. But who would have ever imagined that rookies such as Donald Trump and Ben Carson could even make it to prime time with no in-game experience?
My pragmatist friends make a number of arguments in their effort to dismiss the Sanders phenomenon.First, Sanders is too left-wing to get nominated, much less elected. In principle he is, but this isn't a normal year. There is mass economic frustration in the land; it is finally, belatedly, the main issue in a presidential campaign; and, it is up for grabs politically and ideologically. We can blame foreigners and government, or we can blame a badly tilted economic system. If a Republican populist is nominated, a Democratic populist might well do better than a Democratic moderate in energizing the electorate and winning over working class voters who might otherwise support a figure like Donald Trump. The polls show Sanders doing better than Clinton against the main Republican contenders. My pragmatist friends dismiss these on the grounds that the voters haven't really focused on Sanders' views yet, and the Republicans haven't yet opened up the heavy artillery.
Of the plethora of plays being run in presidential debates, it's hard to ignore the game and gamesmanship now surrounding Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) -...
As a former Assistant Minority Leader in the New Hampshire Legislature, I am weighing in on the New Hampshire primary. There is no choice: It's got t...
The Democratic generational divide grew even more palpable last week when feminist Gloria Steinem accused young women of only voting for Bernie Sanders because they crave attention from young men, who also tend to lean towards Senator Sanders.
Is Senator Bernie Sanders on the verge of morphing from protest leader into potential President of the United States? And would that be good or bad for what has been a strikingly successful cause-oriented campaign?
Sanders has served as an elected official for over 34 years. Clinton has not. Sanders has supported gay rights since the early '80s. Clinton has not.
Democrats are down to a head-to-head contest, which was on full display last night. Both Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders made their respective cases fairly well, and the jostling between them for position was notable.
Who won the fifth Democratic debate? Hundreds of thousands of people voted online, and an overwhelming majority declared Bernie Sanders the top-performer.
If you are a Bernie supporter today, what you need is ammunition. Not to persuade your Democratic friends that Bernie is desirable -- that's another argument -- but to persuade them that he is electable.
In sum, if you're happy with the status quo, you'll get plenty of that with Clinton. If you want change, if you're tired of a "rigged" economy and a corrupt political process, Sanders is far more likely to act in your favor. The millions of dollars she has accepted in speaking fees from banks and investment houses, she suggested, would have no impact on her policy decisions, which is simply implausible.
In many respects, I find Ted Cruz to be an even more troubling candidate than Donald Trump. Trump is a nativist and a xenophobe. But Cruz is something new on the American scene -- a religious zealot with a strong chance of becoming the nominee of one of America's two major political parties.
Both sides now have a two-person race, each with an establishment candidate and an outsider. On the left, it's Hillary Clinton vs. Bernie Sanders. On the right, it's Marco Rubio vs. Donald Trump. Cruz's win, while it did shake things up, is a distraction.