Opinion Polling

The Attack on Election Forecasting Straw Men

Brendan Nyhan | Posted 01.16.2012

Read More: Election Forecasting, Political Science, 2012 Election, Poll Forecasting Elections, Flawed Political Polls, Obama Polling, Presidential Election Polls, Opinion Polling, Pollster Analysis, Politics News

In recent days, journalists, bloggers, and commentators have reared up to bash a fictitious conventional wisdom about election forecasting.

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LIVE Q&A: Ask A Polling Expert Anything

Jake Bialer | Posted 06.07.2011

Read More: Pollsters, Polls, Pollster Analysis, Polling, Public Opinion Polls, Elections 2012, Opinion Polls, Opinion Polling, Mark Blumenthal, Pollster, Politics News

With Barack Obama's reelection announcement and the ever more frequent public statements from Republican primary contenders, the 2012 election cycle i...

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An Automated Pollster Interviews by Cell Phone

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Pollsters, Cell Phone Polling, Automated Polling, Polling, Poll Methodology, Opinion Polling, Automated-Calls, Politics News

Will this be the year that "cell phone only" voters wreak havoc on the results of pre-election polls? And does the cell phone only problem doom pollsters that depend on automated, recorded voice methodologies?

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A Note to Nate

John Zogby | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: 538.Com, Nate Silver, Polling, fivethirtyeight.com, Online Polls, Oscar Predictions, New York Times, Obama Approval, UK Election, Opinion Polling, Zogby Poll, 2008 Election, Nate Silver Oscar Predictions, Politics News

Congratulations to you, Nate Silver. To date you have many fans. But remember that you are one election away from being a mere mortal like the rest of us.

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Massachusetts: When a Hunch Is Not a Poll

John Zogby | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Scott Brown, Polling, Massachusetts Senate Race, Sean Hannity, Opinion Polling, Martha Coakley, Politics News

I think that the Democrats have a better get-out-the-vote operation. There are lots of variables but, yesterday, I thought Coakley "might win" by less than a point. That, my friends, is a hunch.

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Independent Voters Are Shifting Away

RealClearPolitics | Salena Zito | Posted 05.25.2011

A poll of opinion polls shows Americans' attitudes are changing rapidly. They are less and less thrilled about the country's direction and Congress, ...

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Criticism of Obama Not About Race, Says New Poll of White People

Andy Borowitz | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Borowitz Report, Health Care Reform, Obama Birth Certificate, Andy Borowitz, Kenya, Opinion Polling, Barack Obama, Comedy News

The survey, conducted by the University of Minnesota's Opinion Research Institute, measured the opinions of a large cross-section of the nation's most virulent white Obama critics.

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Five Reasons Why The Iranian Pre-Election Poll Can't Be Trusted

David Moore | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Iran, Poll, Protest Demonstration, 2009 Election, Iran Elections, Mir Hossein Mousavi, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Statistics, Polling, Iran Protests, Opinion Polling, Iranian Election, World News

If we can believe the poll, and the authors' arguments, it's plausible that Ahmadinejad did in fact win the election with more than 60 percent of the vote. But don't be fooled.

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Majority Of Americans Want Pot Legalized: Zogby Poll

HuffingtonPost.com | Ryan Grim | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Marijuana, Public Opinion, Marijuana Legalization, Zogby Poll, Opinion Polling, Politics News

A majority of Americans, in a poll released Wednesday, say it "makes sense to tax and regulate" marijuana. The Zogby poll, commissioned by the conserv...

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Stewart Destroyed Cramer: Poll

HuffingtonPost.com | Jason Linkins | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Jim Cramer, Polling, Jon Stewart, Cnbc, Jon Stewart Jim Cramer, The Daily Show, Mad Money, Opinion Polling, Jim Cramer Daily Show, Eat the Press, Politics News

So, last week, Jim Cramer went on the Daily Show and had his ass handed to him, brutally, by Jon Stewart. And this was obvious on its face to everyon...

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How John McCain Still Can Win

Steven Hill | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: 2008 Elections, John McCain, Presidential Election, Democratic Presidential Candidate, Politics, Campaigns, Opinion Polling, Barack Obama, Republican Presidential Candidates, Politics News

Obama is in the lead, both nationally and in some very key battleground states. This election is his to lose. But what combination of factors would need to occur for Obama to lose?

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How John McCain Still Can Win

Steven Hill | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: 2008 Elections, Politics, John McCain, Campaigns, Barack Obama, Republican Presidential Candidates, Democratic Presidential Candidate, Presidential Election, Opinion Polling, Home News

How John McCain Still Can Win By Steven Hill Obama is in the lead, both nationally and in some very key battleground states. This election is his to...

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Expert Pollster Now Focused Strictly on Seven "True" Swing States

Marlene H. Phillips | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Suffolk University, Polling Data, Political Research, Opinion Polling, Economy, Barack Obama, 2008 Presidential Election, Home News

Based on Suffolk's current polling information, Paleologos believes that if just a few states like Ohio and Florida start significantly leaning toward Obama, the election will end in an enormous victory for the Democrat.

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Obama-McCain Matchup: Blowout Or Trench Warfare?

HuffingtonPost.com | Thomas B. Edsall | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: John McCain, Polling, John McCain Electoral Votes, 2008 Elections, Barack Obama Electoral Votes, Opinion Polling, 2008 Election, Barack Obama, Obama Mccain Poll, Politics News

Pollster.com has at the top of its front page a chart suggesting that the presidential election is all but over. The public opinion experts who run t...

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Americans Move Left, New York Times Misses It

Jeff Cohen | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Public Opinon, Americans Move to the Middle, Centrism, Charles Blow, Opinion Polling, NY Times, Media News

So the Times presents Gallup data showing a clear trend toward the left, and calls it a "move to the middle." Is the assumption that we were mostly right-wingers a few years ago?

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A Pollster Takes Me to the Cyber-Woodshed on Colombia and the Drug War: I Respond

Arianna Huffington | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Hillary Clinton Colombia, Pollsters, Bill Clinton Colombia, Polling, Drug War, Colombia Free Trade, Colombia, Mark Mellman, War on Drugs, Mike Isikoff, Opinion Polling, Drug Smuggling, Politics News

Writing in The Hill, pollster Mark Mellman took me to the cyber-woodshed yesterday. Mellman claims that Lockheed hired him to produce "a serious study on the underexplored subject of drug policy." Very noble of Lockheed.

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How Two Polls In The Same State Can Say Two Different Things

HuffingtonPost.com | Max Follmer | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Field Poll, California Primary, Polling, Opinion Polling, Mason-Dixon Research, Politics News

Can two polls released on the same day in the same state show two very different results? Yes, and it's happening right now - on the eve of Super Tues...

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California Results Expose Bad Polling

HuffingtonPost.com | Max Follmer | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Pollsters, California Primary, California Election, John Zogby, Polling, Super Tuesday, Zogby Poll, Opinion Polling, Super Tuesday Results, California Voting Results, California Propositions, California Primary Results, Polling Methodology, Zogby Polling Flaws, Politics News

In the wake of Hillary Clinton's decisive victory Tuesday in the California Primary, one pre-election poll from C-SPAN/Zogby/Reuters that showed Barac...

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New And Improved HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More

Huffington Post | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Polling, Opinion Polling, Huffpollstrology, Home News

Polls have come to dominate the media's horse race coverage of political campaigns. Pundits and reporters constantly use them to tell us who's hot a...

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Candidates' Polls, Horoscopes, Surrounding Weather For Tuesday, January 29

Huffington Post | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Polling, Opinion Polling, Huffpollstrology, Home News

To read Arianna's blog on the creation of HuffPollstrology click here. POLLS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ...

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Candidates' Polls, Horoscopes, Surrounding Weather For Wednesday, January 31

Huffington Post | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Polling, Opinion Polling, Huffpollstrology, Politics News

To read Arianna's blog on the creation of HuffPollstrology click here. POLLS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ...

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Candidates' Polls, Horoscopes, Surrounding Weather For Monday, January 28

Huffington Post | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Polling, Opinion Polling, Huffpollstrology, Home News

To read Arianna's blog on the creation of HuffPollstrology click here. POLLS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ...

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Candidates' Polls, Horoscopes, Surrounding Weather For Wednesday, January 30

Huffington Post | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Polling, Opinion Polling, Huffpollstrology, Politics News

To read Arianna's blog on the creation of HuffPollstrology click here. POLLS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ...

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Opinion Polling Off The Mark Again In SC

HuffingtonPost.com | Max Follmer | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: South Carolina Polls, South Carolina Opinion Polling, Opinion Polling, Huffpollstrology, Politics News

It was another bad night for pollsters, as the pre-South Carolina opinion polls underestimated the margin of victory for Illinois Sen. Barack Obama. U...

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New And Improved HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More

Huffington Post | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Polling, Opinion Polling, Huffpollstrology, Home News

Polls have come to dominate the media's horse race coverage of political campaigns. Pundits and reporters constantly use them to tell us who's hot and...

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