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Opinion Polling

Poll Shows That A Tax Increase Can Be Popular, Even Among Republicans

The Huffington Post | Sam Levine | Posted 06.01.2015 | Politics

A recent survey in Nevada suggests that if framed a certain way, a tax increase can actually be quite popular. In a poll flagged on Friday by journ...

Polling Observatory Forecast April 1st Update: Conservatives Gain Ground, But Labour Lead Government Remains More Likely

Robert Ford | Posted 06.08.2015 | World
Robert Ford

We forecast the Conservatives to win 34.0% of the vote, up 0.3 points on last month, and enough to give them a slim lead over Labour.

The Death of Polling: Can We Trust the Polls in 2016?

Jeanne Zaino | Posted 01.10.2015 | Politics
Jeanne Zaino

Inaccuracies and errors are part of the nature and essence of election polling, it will be off almost as much as it's on. But that said, we can do a better job reporting results and putting them into context.

Using and Abusing Polls

James Zogby | Posted 01.30.2014 | World
James Zogby

I have seen news stories, commentaries and tweets implying that our findings have good news for the Muslim Brotherhood, bad news for the military and surprising news about the US, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. In fact the results are far more complex and nuanced.

49 Percent of Americans Support the Majority Opinion: The Sociology of Obamacare Poll Numbers

Galanty Miller | Posted 11.30.2013 | Politics
Galanty Miller

According to the latest polls, more Americans oppose Obamacare than oppose the Affordable Care Act. Obamacare and the Affordable Care Act are the same thing. Nevertheless, I can understand the sentiment behind public opinion.

Decision Making at Warp Speed - May Be Warped

Terry Newell | Posted 11.16.2013 | HuffPost Home
Terry Newell's "What Do You Think?" wants your vote on whether priests should be allowed to marry and have children. The White House, on its "We the Peop...

The Attack on Election Forecasting Straw Men

Brendan Nyhan | Posted 06.18.2012 | Politics
Brendan Nyhan

In recent days, journalists, bloggers, and commentators have reared up to bash a fictitious conventional wisdom about election forecasting.

LIVE Q&A: Ask A Polling Expert Anything

Jake Bialer | Posted 06.07.2011 | Politics

With Barack Obama's reelection announcement and the ever more frequent public statements from Republican primary contenders, the 2012 election cycle i...

An Automated Pollster Interviews by Cell Phone

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Will this be the year that "cell phone only" voters wreak havoc on the results of pre-election polls? And does the cell phone only problem doom pollsters that depend on automated, recorded voice methodologies?

A Note to Nate

John Zogby | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
John Zogby

Congratulations to you, Nate Silver. To date you have many fans. But remember that you are one election away from being a mere mortal like the rest of us.

Massachusetts: When a Hunch Is Not a Poll

John Zogby | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
John Zogby

I think that the Democrats have a better get-out-the-vote operation. There are lots of variables but, yesterday, I thought Coakley "might win" by less than a point. That, my friends, is a hunch.

Independent Voters Are Shifting Away

RealClearPolitics | Salena Zito | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

A poll of opinion polls shows Americans' attitudes are changing rapidly. They are less and less thrilled about the country's direction and Congress, ...

Criticism of Obama Not About Race, Says New Poll of White People

Andy Borowitz | Posted 05.25.2011 | Comedy
Andy Borowitz

The survey, conducted by the University of Minnesota's Opinion Research Institute, measured the opinions of a large cross-section of the nation's most virulent white Obama critics.

Five Reasons Why The Iranian Pre-Election Poll Can't Be Trusted

David Moore | Posted 05.25.2011 | World
David Moore

If we can believe the poll, and the authors' arguments, it's plausible that Ahmadinejad did in fact win the election with more than 60 percent of the vote. But don't be fooled.

Ryan Grim

Majority Of Americans Want Pot Legalized: Zogby Poll | Ryan Grim | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

A majority of Americans, in a poll released Wednesday, say it "makes sense to tax and regulate" marijuana. The Zogby poll, commissioned by the conserv...

Jason Linkins

Stewart Destroyed Cramer: Poll | Jason Linkins | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

So, last week, Jim Cramer went on the Daily Show and had his ass handed to him, brutally, by Jon Stewart. And this was obvious on its face to everyon...

How John McCain Still Can Win

Steven Hill | Posted 05.25.2011 | Home
Steven Hill

How John McCain Still Can Win By Steven Hill Obama is in the lead, both nationally and in some very key battleground states. This election is his to...

How John McCain Still Can Win

Steven Hill | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Steven Hill

Obama is in the lead, both nationally and in some very key battleground states. This election is his to lose. But what combination of factors would need to occur for Obama to lose?

Expert Pollster Now Focused Strictly on Seven "True" Swing States

Marlene H. Phillips | Posted 05.25.2011 | Home
Marlene H. Phillips

Based on Suffolk's current polling information, Paleologos believes that if just a few states like Ohio and Florida start significantly leaning toward Obama, the election will end in an enormous victory for the Democrat.

Thomas B. Edsall

Obama-McCain Matchup: Blowout Or Trench Warfare? | Thomas B. Edsall | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics has at the top of its front page a chart suggesting that the presidential election is all but over. The public opinion experts who run t...

Americans Move Left, New York Times Misses It

Jeff Cohen | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media
Jeff Cohen

So the Times presents Gallup data showing a clear trend toward the left, and calls it a "move to the middle." Is the assumption that we were mostly right-wingers a few years ago?

A Pollster Takes Me to the Cyber-Woodshed on Colombia and the Drug War: I Respond

Arianna Huffington | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Arianna Huffington

Writing in The Hill, pollster Mark Mellman took me to the cyber-woodshed yesterday. Mellman claims that Lockheed hired him to produce "a serious study on the underexplored subject of drug policy." Very noble of Lockheed.

Max Follmer

California Results Expose Bad Polling | Max Follmer | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

In the wake of Hillary Clinton's decisive victory Tuesday in the California Primary, one pre-election poll from C-SPAN/Zogby/Reuters that showed Barac...

New And Improved HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More

Huffington Post | Posted 05.25.2011 | Home

Polls have come to dominate the media's horse race coverage of political campaigns. Pundits and reporters constantly use them to tell us who's hot a...

Max Follmer

How Two Polls In The Same State Can Say Two Different Things | Max Follmer | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

Can two polls released on the same day in the same state show two very different results? Yes, and it's happening right now - on the eve of Super Tues...