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Political Polls

Can We Trust Polls Without Cellphones Anymore?

Brian Stryker | Posted 05.06.2014 | Politics
Brian Stryker

In today's world, quality pollsters must guarantee their polls include cellphones, and poll consumers should demand the same.

Jon Ward

Scant Evidence That Obamacare Actually Moved Numbers In Virginia Governor's Race | Jon Ward | Posted 11.07.2013 | Politics

WASHINGTON –- Two weeks before Virginia's gubernatorial election Tuesday, Republican candidate Ken Cuccinelli's pollster e-mailed his senior campaig...

Flawed Gap Analysis

Jill Normington | Posted 12.15.2013 | Politics
Jill Normington

Poll consumers will continue to misinterpret data and draw erroneous conclusions about the institutions producing those data because our prediction models are careless and perfunctory? That seems wholly unacceptable when the data are there to be had.

GOP's Own Voters See Party Heading In Wrong Direction, Poll Reveals

The Huffington Post | Chris Gentilviso | Posted 07.23.2013 | Politics

More than eight months removed from a 2012 presidential election loss, a new poll finds that GOP voters are still having doubts about their party's pr...

Impeach Obama, Majority Of Texas Republicans Say In Poll

Will Wrigley | Posted 01.30.2013 | Politics

A majority of Texas Republicans support impeaching President Obama, according to a poll released today by the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling...

Obama’s Popularity Surges To Three-Year High | Posted 04.01.2013 | Politics

President Obama is riding a wave of personal popularity into his second term, with his highest favorability ratings since his first year in office, ac...

Polls That Led America Astray Long Ago Still Have the Power to Harm Our Future

Lawrence Kadish | Posted 01.01.2013 | Politics
Lawrence Kadish

We should better appreciate that history teaches us that our collective dependence on surveys, focus groups and partisan market studies can lead to enormous blunders in charting a course for America's future.

Wisdom of Bookies

David Crisanti | Posted 12.16.2012 | Politics
David Crisanti

The Romney debate win was unusually large -- so perhaps this time the debate did actually change the race. But the election betting markets strongly believe that Romney hasn't drawn very close.

You're Not Listening to Me!

Dave Helfert | Posted 12.02.2012 | Politics
Dave Helfert

The Romney campaign's problem is America is listening, but more and more people simply don't like what they're hearing.

Lies, Damn Lies .. and Polls

Tom Allon | Posted 06.25.2012 | New York
Tom Allon

There is no more misleading thing in politics today than polls, particularly those that are conducted more than three months before a primary or general election.

9 Out of 10 Americans Despise Being Asked Survey Questions

Mark C. Miller | Posted 05.06.2012 | Comedy
Mark C. Miller

"I mean, asking survey questions is our bread and butter. I always felt folks enjoyed giving their opinions about all sorts of things. But now, to find out that they hate what we do -- well, as you might think, it's depressing."

FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: How Useful?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media
Mark Blumenthal

For better or worse, FiveThirtyEight's prominence makes pollster ratings central to our conversation about how to interpret and aggregate polls, and I have some serious concerns about the way these ratings are calculated and presented.

Finally Seeing Clearly

Mike Papantonio | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media
Mike Papantonio

I was advised to take a break from political clutter and that peculiar kind of tunnel vision that develops when we focus too closely on any tiny part of the huge world around us.

McCain Spends $1M Campaigning Without Rival In Mich.

Dan Treul | Posted 05.25.2011 | Home
Dan Treul

McCain has been managing to lose a race against no one in the critical general election state, despite spending more than $500,000 per week since the end of May on TV ads there.