On the one hand, there's a lot of denial going with our emphasis on youth in gay male culture. On the other, there was a whole generation of gay men who perished during the AIDS crisis meaning that today's Boomers and Gen-Xers don't necessarily have a road map to follow from those who came before us.
Wouldn't it be nice if we could dispense with all polling's expense, effort, and risk? Maybe there's a group of people so in-tune with the electorate that they could do the predicting for us? That's what bellwether counties are for! These mythical places come to prominence in every electoral cycle, most recently in On the Media's segment "Magic" Terre Haute.