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Pollster Analysis

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Views Of Supreme Court Shift After Hobby Lobby Ruling | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 07.10.2014 | Politics

Partisans had a predictable reaction to Supreme Court in the wake of the Hobby Lobby decision. Forecasters debate the merits of the polls, partisan an...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Worldwide Opinion Sours On Russia | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 07.09.2014 | Politics

Negative ratings of Russia are on the rise worldwide. Americans want to hear less from Sarah Palin. And the Washington Post puts its charts before the...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Fewer Than Ever Americans Still Use Landline Phones | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 07.08.2014 | Politics

The growth of "cell phone only" Americans is cooling off only among young adults. Few are optimistic about prospects for peace in the Middle East. And...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Michelle Obama's Ratings Are Breaking The Pattern For First Ladies | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 07.07.2014 | Politics

Andy Kohut explains why Michelle Obama's popularity continues to soar above her husband's. Most Americans continue to align with one of the two partie...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: What Happens When You Ask Americans To Name The Worst President | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 07.10.2014 | Politics

United GOP loathing for Obama translates into lots of click-throughs. Facebook apologizes for communicating 'poorly.' Harry Reid doesn't like polling,...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Big Data Knows Who's Watching The World Cup | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 07.01.2014 | Politics

Americans like corporate wellness programs...if they're voluntary. Views of the ACA remain stable, but fewer American attribute their opinions to news...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Reviewing The Polling On Hobby Lobby | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 07.01.2014 | Politics

In the wake of the U.S. Supreme Court's Hobby Lobby decision, we look back at previous polling -- and why it's not always consistent. Hillary Clinton ...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Obama's Approval Rating Takes A Dip | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.27.2014 | Politics

Polls from six different pollsters confirm that President Obama's job approval rating dropped slightly in late June. Economic pessimism among groups i...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Exploring America's Political Typology | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.26.2014 | Politics

Two North Carolina polls bring good news for the Democratic incumbent. A massive study of political "typologies" finds divisions far beyond left, righ...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Why The Polls Missed In Mississippi | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.25.2014 | Politics

In Mississippi, an unprecedented turnout helped incumbent Sen. Thad Cochran defeat his tea party challenger. We explore why a handful of public polls ...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: What We Don't Know About Tuesday's Mississippi Runoff | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.24.2014 | Politics

Voters in Mississippi and six other states hold primaries elections today, but most attention is focused the Cochran-McDaniel runoff in Mississippi. P...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Reviewing The Oklahoma Senate Primary Polls | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.23.2014 | Politics

A leader emerges in Oklahoma's upcoming Republican primary for U.S. Senate. Gallup finds five percent of Americans bought insurance through the ACA ex...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Charlie Rangel Leads Democratic Primary Challengers | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.20.2014 | Politics

Rep. Charlie Rangel continues to lead his Democratic primary challengers. Americans are less apt to blame poverty on poor people than they used to be....

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Obama Gets Low Rating In Senate Battleground States | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.19.2014 | Politics

President Obama's job rating lags in some crucial midterm states. A post-mortem poll of Eric Cantor's district has some answers -- and some issues. An...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Voters Dislike Both Parties, Remain Split On Midterms | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.18.2014 | Politics

President Obama gets increasingly negative marks for foreign policy, while voter preferences for the U.S. House remain closely divided. A new Republic...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Americans Skeptical Of Iraq Intervention | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.17.2014 | Politics

There's little support for renewed U.S. military involvement in Iraq -- but exactly how much depends on how you ask. More pollsters weigh in on the Er...

Foreshadowing Eric Cantor's Defeat

Harrison Hickman | Posted 06.17.2014 | Politics
Harrison Hickman

As with the general electorate, Cantor's problems with Republicans has less to do with policy matter than a vast distance they sense separating them and their Congressman. His weaknesses were obvious in our poll two years ago.

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Clinton Outpolls Obama On Key Issues | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.17.2014 | Politics

Gallup finds the electoral environment for members of Congress at or near all time lows. Americans think Hillary Clinton would do a better job on most...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Most Americans Still Think Gitmo Should Stay Open | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.16.2014 | Politics

Americans remain opposed to closing Gitmo. More accounts show David Brat worked to increase turnout among 'far right independents.' And Eric Cantor is...

Why Cantor's Polling Really Failed: The One Where a Pollster Isn't Making Excuses for the Industry

John Garrett | Posted 06.25.2014 | Politics
John Garrett

Just as traditionalists once poo-pooed telephone surveys over face-to-face, so too must the modern American political pollster embrace new methodologies or risk finding themselves the punchline to the next Eric Cantor joke.

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: How A New Panel Helped Measure America's Polarization | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.12.2014 | Politics

Americans are increasingly polarized. Barack Obama's ratings increasingly look like George W. Bush's did. And here's a data-driven way to watch the Wo...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Why Did Eric Cantor's Polling Get It So Wrong? | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.16.2014 | Politics

We take a closer look at why two partisan polls missed Eric Cantor's surprise defeat. Economic optimism is growing. And New Yorkers are divided on fer...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Public Support Continues For Path To Citizenship | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.11.2014 | Politics

A majority of Americans continue to support a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants. Republicans trust Fox News while Democrats divide their...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Americans Lean Toward Disapproval Of Taliban Prisoner Swap | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.10.2014 | Politics

Veterans have little sympathy for Bowe Bergdahl. Hillary Clinton has lots of support among Democrats. And Nate Silver updates his (not-yet formal) mod...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Polls Got The GOP Primaries Right | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 06.06.2014 | Politics

The polls get it right in Republican primaries. A majority of Americans say the Constitution supports gay marriage. And people increasingly think socc...