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Why Are Ideas Shrinking If We Have So Much Information?

David Sable | Posted 07.25.2016 | Business
David Sable

Confirmation Bias...the tendency to interpret new evidence as confirmation of one's existing beliefs or theories while giving disproportionately less ...

Brexit Bregret -- Or as The Economist Asks: "How Did the Wisdom of the Crowds Fail So Spectacularly?"

David Sable | Posted 06.27.2016 | Business
David Sable

"Brexit: Europe stunned by UK Leave vote" - BBC Stunned seems to be the most used, operative word around the world, regarding the results of the UK v...

'People Never Lie So Much as Before an Election, During a War, or After a Hunt.'

David Sable | Posted 03.14.2016 | Business
David Sable

Having just completed an around-the-world tour, I can report with accuracy and honesty that wherever I went, wherever I go, the topic of the U.S. elections raises its sometimes ugly, sometimes comic, sometimes tragic head as people, everywhere, perceive it as affecting them in one way or another.

Top Pollsters Recount The Most Bizarre Things They've Ever Polled

The Huffington Post | Sam Stein | Posted 10.15.2015 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- The life of a pollster has its perks. You work on some of the most consequential elections, rub elbows with top business and political l...

Natalie Jackson

Polls Lean In, Too: Weighing House Effects In The 2014 Election | Natalie Jackson | Posted 01.27.2015 | Politics

When it comes to predicting elections, pollsters are often judged on whether their results seem to consistently favor one party over another. The indu...

The Death of Polling: Can We Trust the Polls in 2016?

Jeanne Zaino | Posted 01.10.2015 | Politics
Jeanne Zaino

Inaccuracies and errors are part of the nature and essence of election polling, it will be off almost as much as it's on. But that said, we can do a better job reporting results and putting them into context.

Latino Decisions' Election Eve Poll, Early Results

Latino Decisions | Posted 01.04.2015 | Politics
Latino Decisions

The main story is that "immigration reform/Dream Act" surpassed "jobs/economy" as the most important issue motivating 2014 midterm cycle likely Latino voters.

Hidden Errors and Overconfident Pollsters

David Rothschild | Posted 01.02.2015 | Politics
David Rothschild

Election forecasts report a margin of error of typically 3 percentage points. That means that 95 percent of the time the election outcome should lie within that interval. However, the true error is actually much larger than that.

The 12 Most Overrated Things About 2012

Mark Juddery | Posted 03.02.2013 | Comedy
Mark Juddery

In case you expect me to include 50 Shades of Grey, the Kardashians or Clint Eastwood's profound discussion with a chair, sorry, but nobody actually rated them highly.

Jon Ward

Gloomy Old Party: Pollsters Say Mitt Romney's Quest For Swing Voter An Uphill Battle | Jon Ward | Posted 10.01.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- The tone on a conference call with Republican pollsters Monday, discussing Mitt Romney's chances of winning over key swing voters, was r...

The Battle To Control Poll Narratives

Daniel Simon | Posted 11.25.2012 | Politics
Daniel Simon

With the presidential election closing in, pollsters, donors and campaign officials from both parties are scrambling to get ahead of the narrative now...

Is This Race Over? Ask a Pollster

Jason Stanford | Posted 11.11.2012 | Politics
Jason Stanford

Democratic pollsters working in top races across the country say they don't expect Obama to run up the score like he did in 2008, but Romney's window is closing quickly. Most I talked to pointed to the upcoming debates as Romney's last chance.

Jason Linkins

Pollster Saves Woman's Life | Jason Linkins | Posted 04.20.2012 | Politics

Now that the election season is upon us, people are probably dreading the inevitable phone calls from polling agencies, which always seem to come at t...

That Old-Time Populism Debate

Mike Lux | Posted 06.11.2012 | Politics
Mike Lux

Because they do tons of polls and the same kinds of questions over and over, pollsters have a very good idea in advance of writing their questions for any given poll what phrases or even individual words will trigger a more positive answer.

9 Out of 10 Americans Despise Being Asked Survey Questions

Mark C. Miller | Posted 05.06.2012 | Comedy
Mark C. Miller

"I mean, asking survey questions is our bread and butter. I always felt folks enjoyed giving their opinions about all sorts of things. But now, to find out that they hate what we do -- well, as you might think, it's depressing."

Occupy Wall Street Speaks for America: A "Centrist" Hit Job's Polling Data Helps Prove It

Richard (RJ) Eskow | Posted 12.17.2011 | Politics
Richard (RJ) Eskow

Thanks to a hit piece by one of those Beltway pseudo-"bipartisans" we can now state conclusively what many of us have long suspected: Occupy Wall Street speaks for the American majority. We've got the polling numbers to prove it. We now know where the real center lies.

Will Politicians Listen to Pastors?

Jim Wallis | Posted 09.13.2011 | Politics
Jim Wallis

Our country is in the midst of a clash between two competing moral visions, between those who believe in the common good, and those who believe individual good is the only good. It's time our leaders in Washington listen to someone other then themselves.

LIVE Q&A: Ask A Polling Expert Anything

Jake Bialer | Posted 06.07.2011 | Politics

With Barack Obama's reelection announcement and the ever more frequent public statements from Republican primary contenders, the 2012 election cycle i...

HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For November 1

The Huffington Posth | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

Polls have come to dominate the media's horse race coverage of political campaigns. Pundits and reporters constantly use them to tell us who's hot and...

21 Days to Go and Democrats Facing a 60 - 70 Seat Loss

Steve Lombardo | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Steve Lombardo

The White House and Democrats want this election to be a "choice," but midterms are rarely ever "choice" elections -- that's what Presidential elections are for. Instead, midterms are a referendum on the President and the party in power.

Democrats' Difficult Summer Stretches Into Fall

Steve Lombardo | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Steve Lombardo

The political pendulum has swung toward the Republicans and at this point there is almost nothing that Democrats and the president can do to alter the overall course of the midterm elections.

An Automated Pollster Interviews by Cell Phone

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Will this be the year that "cell phone only" voters wreak havoc on the results of pre-election polls? And does the cell phone only problem doom pollsters that depend on automated, recorded voice methodologies?

Democratic 'Pollster' Doubles as Tea Party Candidate?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Well, here's a story you don't read every day: A pollster for Florida Democratic Congressman Alan Grayson is running as a Florida Tea Party candidate...

FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Ratings: How Useful?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media
Mark Blumenthal

For better or worse, FiveThirtyEight's prominence makes pollster ratings central to our conversation about how to interpret and aggregate polls, and I have some serious concerns about the way these ratings are calculated and presented.

DailyKos Fires Research 2000

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Markos ("Kos") Moulitsas has opted to "part ways" with DailyKos polling partner Research 2000 and seek "a new polling partner to finish out this elect...