So what can we learn from the in-running markets about the debate between Vice-President Joe Biden and Congressman Paul Ryan? It is in fact possible to visualize the shape a contest is taking by simply following the flows of money tracing their way through the relevant markets.
Biden seemed to be on steroids and amphetamines, as if he were trying to overcompensate for last week's lackluster performance by his boss, President Obama, in his match-up against Mitt Romney. This led to Biden actually punching himself around the ring a few times.
It is not that I don't think education is a subject worthy of national debate -- it is a critical issue in our society -- but it has been so botched by our two major political parties that I cringe every time education is mentioned in a political speech or debate.
Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan claim they want to help ease the burden on middle class Americans. Yet they both support out-of-touch policies that would harm women's health and economic well-being. It's something to keep in mind when Paul Ryan takes the stage tonight.
President Obama's policy provides contraception without cost. Based upon the results of this study, this policy may turn out to be the single most impactful social and economic program any Administration has instituted in decades.
Even if he clobbered Obama in all three debates, he no longer has any credibility. Lincoln's adage holds up: "You can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you can not fool all of the people all of the time." Put a fork in Willard. He's done.
People were passionate about W because they could sit down and drink a beer with him. He was just like them. He could not field dress a moose, God bless his soul, but darnnit, he could choke on a pretzel with the best of them. And where did that get us?
I don't want someone who believes their biggest asset is that they know what it's like to shop at WalMart and take their kids to hockey practice in a mini-van. How will that help in negotiations and diplomatic missions with other heads of state?