None of the claims generating so much controversy is worth war. China is carefully using "salami tactics," successively grabbing small pieces of a larger whole to avoid a conflict. But who is prepared to fight even for the larger whole?
Home for the weekend recently, I chanced upon my father's South Vietnamese Army uniform, the three silver stars still pinned meticulously onto each lapel. Once, as a child, I had looked up to a man who had seemed more like a deity. Hadn't I imagined myself as an adult walking in his soldierly footsteps?
Throughout my conversations with Japanese and Vietnamese colleagues, I have repeatedly heard how much they admire the Philippines' courage to take China to the court and openly criticize its destabilizing actions. Yet, the Philippines can also draw crucial lessons from its neighbors.
The U.S. inability to help resolve the myriad island disputes in Asia and its failure to overcome domestic resistance to the TPP suggest that a time will come quite soon when America no longer rules the waves in the Pacific (or has the hegemonic power to waive the rules).
Japan has always been Washington's number one Asian ally. That was demonstrated with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's trip to Washington, highlighted by a speech to Congress. Unfortunately, the relationship increases the likelihood of a confrontation between the U.S. and China.
As LinkedIn works to connect all the world's professionals, CEO Jeff Weiner is increasingly setting his sights on a bigger vision -- to create economic opportunity for every member of the global workforce.
OXFORD, England -- China seems to be trying to "create facts on the ground" -- what Admiral Harry Harris, the US commander in the Pacific, calls a new "great wall of sand." The U.S. response is designed to prevent China from creating a fait accompli that could close off large parts of the South China Sea. Nevertheless, the original policy of not becoming embroiled in the sovereignty dispute continues to make sense.
SHANGHAI -- There are many ways to dispel suspicion and build trust other than by sending a warship or spy plane into the contested space and water in the name of free navigation or innocent passage, either to invite a fiasco or test respective ability to deescalate at the last minute.
I interviewed James Ellroy, the great American noir novelist, at LA's venerable Pacific Dining Car in April 2001. We were there to discuss his latest book, The Cold Six Thousand, but wound up tackling a myriad of subjects over our three hour lunch.
As I understand it Memorial Day began out of the conflict of the Civil War. An effort to acknowledge the sacrifice of all those who perished in what was, at the time, the costliest loss of American life to war.
The Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) at The Hague has announced that in July it will be holding the first hearing on the 2013 arbitration case the Philippines filed against China questioning the legal validity of China's '9-dash line' claim over the South China Sea.
With these four new trump cards on the table, the odds against fast-track get better -- and almost certainly the next Presidential election will put the candidates of both parties to the test. Trade diplomacy's House of Cards looks ever shakier -- even if it doesn't topple in the next few months.
Names on the wall...