Tuesday elections are unrealistic and burdensome in today's hyperactive workweek. Americans are busy. Finding the extra time to vote mid-week is difficult for everyone and practically prohibitive for many working class citizens clocking long hours at work while looking after a family.
Elections aren't won entirely on the ground -- the national mood will obviously matter, as will the state of the economy and the effectiveness of the rival campaigns' messaging. But field organizing can make a crucial difference, particularly in tight races.
We all know true believers in areas that range from politics, to sports, to religion. True believers often make the assumption that many other people believe as they do, and that they are part of a movement that may be larger than it really is.
Obama will win, and especially against the backdrop of Tea Party advocacy and tactics, the Democrats may recapture the House and maintain a majority in the Senate. If the jobless rate stagnates or moves in a negative direction, Obama cannot win.
What will happen in the general election if Romney is the nominee is anyone's guess. I suspect that Republican conservatives will line up behind Romney, but they will not do so enthusiastically, as the low voter turnout in contested states thus far shows.
For a long time now, Senate and House Republicans have said their main goal is to defeat Barack Obama, and they have certainly behaved as though all else is secondary. Any lack of interest among the GOP rank and file would greatly threaten that.
Durkee may be the Bernie Madoff of California Democrats, having allegedly embezzled from hundreds of campaign accounts. While it might be tempting to view this as an isolated case, the problem cuts much deeper.
The politicians who go on the stump proclaiming to speak on behalf of the American people saying "the American people in their great wisdom want..." don't know what they are talking about, or are deliberately spinning the political process.
Smart politicians know that the 2010 electorate is unlikely to repeat itself in 2012. Expect them to adjust their policies and rhetoric accordingly if they plan to be reelected to another term in office.