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Nikolas Kozloff

Nikolas Kozloff

Posted: February 24, 2011 04:03 PM

As more and more U.S. diplomatic cables get released by whistle-blowing operation WikiLeaks, researchers are developing a clearer picture of Brazil's rise on the world stage. A South American powerhouse displaying stunning economic growth, Brazil caught many by surprise as former President Luiz Inácio "Lula" da Silva sought a greater role for his country in global affairs. While WikiLeaks documents generally reveal Brazil to be a willing U.S. diplomatic partner, the cables also suggest that Lula saw opportunity in the wider neighborhood and tried to muscle in on Washington's traditional sphere of influence.

The recently disclosed cables show that Brazil has aggressively pursued narrow-minded self interest in order to further Machiavellian geopolitical and economic goals. In the Andean region, for example, the Lula administration bullied and cajoled smaller and more fractious countries such as Peru and Colombia. In the wake of Peru's presidential election in 2006, Lula met personally with incoming president Alan García in Brasilia in what insiders termed a "love-fest." Though both leaders had political origins on the left, García and Lula had long since jettisoned such ideals in pursuit of their respective careers.

Indeed, during the campaign, García ran on a conservative platform and had vocally criticized leftist president Hugo Chávez of Venezuela. For his part, Lula had publicly embraced Chávez but behind the scenes the Brazilians saw García's victory as a "needed reverse" for Venezuela. According to WikiLeaks cables, Brazil viewed the election as a necessary corrective which would help to restore "regional equilibrium" and to curb Chávez's increased geopolitical profile.

Perhaps, Lula sensed that Chávez's star had waned and that it was now time for Brazil to press its own strategic advantage. The Brazilian president stressed the need for greater physical integration between Peru and Brazil, including the dreaded Inter-Oceanic Highway which stood to exacerbate deforestation in the Amazon (for more on this, see my book No Rain in the Amazon: How South America's Climate Change Affects the Entire Planet). Lula also spoke of the need for a regional, military, and political alliance between Peru and Brazil. Lest García get the wrong idea about Brazilian intentions, Lula stressed that his country did not seek regional "hegemony" but merely sought to transform South America into "a global actor on a par with China and India."

Responding to Lula, García candidly admitted that he preferred Brazilian regional hegemony to that of the United States. Peru, the new president added, would surely be interested in forming joint ventures with Brazil and benefiting from Brazilian technological know-how. Judging from other cables, Peru sought to extend cooperation in yet other areas. In 2009, U.S. diplomats reported that Lima was interested in purchasing a dozen Super Tucano combat support aircraft manufactured by Brazilian aerospace giant Embraer.

Details of the deal were discussed during a Lula visit to Lima, "with a large commercial delegation in tow." The Peruvians may have been prompted to turn to Brazil out of pure frustration with the United States. According to leaked documents, the García government was dissatisfied with the "slow and complicated U.S. defense procurement process and high price tags for U.S. equipment."

If Peru proved a willing partner, Colombia turned out to be somewhat more recalcitrant. In April, 2008 Brazilian Minister of Defense Nelson Jobim met with his Colombian counterpart (and future president) Juan Manuel Santos to discuss the creation of a so-called South American Security Council. Brazil had been lobbying hard for the new institution, which would include all South American nations and address regional security concerns. The body would initially serve as a consultative mechanism among Defense Ministers, but would eventually adopt certain operational response capabilities.

The Santos-Jobim meeting took on somewhat frosty overtones when the Colombian expressed concerns that the new body might result in South American distancing from the United States. Fundamentally, Santos added, Colombia did not want its armed forces "subjugated to an institution whose details it does not understand." None too pleased, Jobim retorted that Colombia would be "completely isolated" in wider South America if it did not join the new Brazilian-sponsored organization.

Judging from WikiLeaks documents, Brazil has employed a wide spectrum of political strategies as it seeks to become the dominant player in the region. Taking a leaf from the U.S. playbook, Brazil employs strong arm tactics at one moment and subtle pressure the next. It's too early to say whether Brazil will fully eclipse Washington's influence in the wider neighborhood, but clearly this South American powerhouse is willing to play hardball in its backroom political deal making.

Nikolas Kozloff is the author of Revolution! South America and the Rise of the New Left (Palgrave, 2008) and No Rain in the Amazon: How South America's Climate Change Affects the Entire Planet (Palgrave, 2010). Visit his website, www.nikolaskozloff.com

 
As more and more U.S. diplomatic cables get released by whistle-blowing operation WikiLeaks, researchers are developing a clearer picture of Brazil's rise on the world stage. A South American powerho...
As more and more U.S. diplomatic cables get released by whistle-blowing operation WikiLeaks, researchers are developing a clearer picture of Brazil's rise on the world stage. A South American powerho...
 
 
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09:24 PM on 02/27/2011
I didn't know Wikileaks had become the postmodern Oracle of Delphos. That said, even the oracle couldn't be relied upon every time. To make a whole text with very decisive conclusions based on WikiLeaks alone? That is not what I'd consider a reliable and well informed article. It's silly to expect that, as Brazil becomes a regional power, it will be a unique country, the first society in mankind's History to be completely altruistic and innocent. Brazil deals with other states, and no representative of a state can be forgiven if he thought international relations is something for naïves that don't know each nation is seeking their own interests. What's essential is that Brazil, till now, hasn't acted in the imperialist, overtly interventionist way of the traditional Western powers. Subtle pressure, self interest, Machiavellian touches in geopolitical talkings and negotiations? Let's not be hypocrite: those things will exist as long as mankind maintains any kind of social organization, especially a State. What foreign countries abominate about the American or European "approach" is that the pressure is not subtle at all, the intervention was often justified as something not only necessary but good, and the self interests were often disguised in so-called "principles". For now I can't see anything particularly terrile about Brazil's rise, and for sure its "subtle pressures" on its neighbors are much more welcome than the coups d'état and "economic aid" promoted by the traditional powers for decades.
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03:34 PM on 02/25/2011
From this account nothing that Brazil has done or proposed is out of keeping with normal diplomacy and attempts to promote Brazil's national interest To state "that Brazil has aggressively pursued narrow-minded self interest in order to further Machiavellian geopolitical and economic goals" is uncalled for Such colored rhetoric obscures rather than illuminates what's going on in South America
02:26 PM on 02/25/2011
Brazil rendered the US a significant service by working with Turkey with a view toward achieving a resolution of the dispute regarding Iran's nuclear programme. The Obama administration foolishly spurned the Brazilian effort. And why? ISRAEL LOBBY!
02:14 PM on 02/25/2011
This is not the first article posted by this author that has leaned heavily on WikiLeaks, when in fact the diplomatic gossip from the State Department is hardly a measure of reliable intelligence. For the charges made, the sourcing should be more inclusive, not just a rehash of WikiLeaksb like so many articles are these days. Back when old hands like Ray Cline were running the State Department Bureau of Intelligence and Research and there was a lot of cross over with the old CIA, it was a respected shop. But the notion of manufacturing a so called Pink Revolution supported by indo deom WikiLeaks is merely a throwback to the Cold War paradigm that is, just that, manufactured.

Contrary to what this article posits, Colombia is Washingtons proxy in South America, with its US bases that have pushed the drug war into Brazils Amazon, and that proxy arraement will not change. If Santos is subjugated to anything, it is Uncle Sam. Not Brazil.
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01:11 AM on 02/25/2011
Nikolas,

By your judgement, what is the likelyhood of a trans-continental highway through the Amazon? And, what do you deem the likelyhood that such a highway would lead to the desertification of that region?

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02:16 PM on 02/25/2011
The highway is the best thing that could happen for Brazil and for Latin economic integration. US interests are using the environmental argument to slow it down because it will increase trade with China via the Pacific routes and provide Brazil with easier port access for its agro exports.
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08:42 PM on 02/25/2011
I didn't ask what would be the best thing for the Brazilian or South American economy. Of course such a thing would be good for the economy...in the short term. The question is, will the entire Amazon forest be lost once such a highway provides unlimited access? And if that happens, desertification, because of the poor soil structure of the rainforest, is sure to follow. Then what happens to South America's economy? Or the health of the Earth, as rainforests are like the lungs of the Earth?

But oh, I forget. The only thing that really matters to the economically minded is the making of money. The Market is perfect and will cure all ills! Wrong. The Market currently is a prime source for most of our ills, the insatiable species we have become.

Please excuse my anger. It's just, some days, I can't escape the vision of an Earth that has lost the carrying capacity for even a realtive handful of humans, because we think we can do whatever we want, where ever we want, however we want, and there are no consequences that we can't resolve with a little spit and gumption. Epic hubris.