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Norman Solomon

Norman Solomon

Posted: December 9, 2008 02:21 AM

Will Afghanistan be Obama's Tragic Folly?


Sunday morning, before dawn, I read in the New York Times that "the Pentagon is planning to add more than 20,000 troops to Afghanistan" within the next 18 months -- "raising American force levels to about 58,000" in that country. Then I scraped ice off a windshield and drove to the CSPAN studios, where a picture window showed a serene daybreak over the Capitol dome.

While I was on CSPAN's Washington Journal for a live interview, the program aired some rarely seen footage with the voices of two courageous politicians who challenged the warfare state.

So, on Sunday morning, viewers across the country saw Barbara Lee speaking on the House floor three days after 9/11 -- just before she became the only member of Congress to vote against the president's green-light resolution to begin the U.S. military attack on Afghanistan.

"However difficult this vote may be, some of us must urge the use of restraint," she said. The date was Sept. 14, 2001. Congresswoman Lee continued: "Our country is in a state of mourning. Some of us must say, Let's step back for a moment, let's just pause just for a minute, and think through the implications of our actions today so that this does not spiral out of control."

And she said: "As we act, let us not become the evil that we deplore."

The footage of Barbara Lee was an excerpt from the War Made Easy documentary film (based on my book of the same name). As she appeared on a TV monitor, I glanced out the picture window. The glowing blue sky and streaky clouds above the Hill looked postcard-serene.

But the silence now enveloping the political non-response to plans for the Afghanistan war is a message of acquiescence that echoes what happened when the escalation of the Vietnam War gathered momentum.

During the mid-1960s, the conventional wisdom was what everyone with a modicum of smarts kept saying: higher U.S. troop levels in Vietnam were absolutely necessary. Today, the conventional wisdom is that higher U.S. troop levels in Afghanistan are absolutely necessary.

Many people who think otherwise -- including, I'd guess, quite a few members of Congress -- are keeping their thoughts to themselves, heads down and mouths shut, for roughly the same reasons that so many remained quiet as the deployment numbers rolled upward like an odometer of political mileage on the road to death in Vietnam.

Right now, the basic ingredients of further Afghan disasters are in place -- including, pivotally, a dire lack of wide-ranging debate over Washington's options. In an atmosphere reminiscent of 1965, when almost all of the esteemed public voices concurred with the decision by newly elected President Lyndon Johnson to deploy more troops to Vietnam, the tenet that the United States must send additional troops to Afghanistan is axiomatic in U.S. news media, on Capitol Hill and -- as far as can be discerned -- at the top of the incoming administration.

But the problem with such a foreign-policy "no brainer" is that the parameters of thinking have already been put in the rough equivalent of a lockbox. Dean Rusk, Robert McNamara and Lyndon Johnson approached Vietnam policy options no more rigidly than Hillary Clinton, Robert Gates and Barack Obama appear poised to pursue Afghanistan policy options.

I was thinking about this when I left the CSPAN building in the full light of day. The morning glow made the Capitol look majestic. Yet it was almost possible to see, streaked across the dome, an invisible new stain of blood and shattered bones.

Along with the grim patterns, there's a tradition of brave dissent on Capitol Hill. It's epitomized by Barbara Lee's prophetic statement just after 9/11 -- and by an earlier kindred spirit, the fierce Vietnam War opponent Senator Wayne Morse. If you'd like to see historic footage of them, retrieved from the nation's Orwellian memory hole, watch the Washington Journal segment.

On Monday, USA Today reported that the top U.S. commander in Afghanistan "has asked the Pentagon for more than 20,000 soldiers, Marines and airmen" to raise the U.S. troop level in Afghanistan to 55,000 or 60,000. General David McKiernan says that is "needed until we get to this tipping point where the Afghan army and the Afghan police have both the capacity and capability to provide security for their people." Such a tipping point "is at least three or four more years away," the general explained. So, "if we put these additional forces in here, it's going to be for the next few years. It's not a temporary increase of combat strength."

Is Afghanistan the same as Vietnam? Of course, competent geographers would say no. But the United States is the United States -- with domestic continuity between two eras of military intervention, spanning five decades, much more significant than we might think.

Bedrock faith in the Pentagon's massive capacity for inflicting violence is implicit in the nostrums from anointed foreign-policy experts. The echo chamber is echoing: the Afghanistan war is worth the cost that others will pay.

Sunday morning, before dawn, I read in the New York Times that "the Pentagon is planning to add more than 20,000 troops to Afghanistan" within the next 18 months -- "raising American force levels...
Sunday morning, before dawn, I read in the New York Times that "the Pentagon is planning to add more than 20,000 troops to Afghanistan" within the next 18 months -- "raising American force levels...
 
 
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11:08 PM on 12/09/2008
Biggest difference between Vietnam and Afghanistan- an attack on US soil did not originate in Vietnam. As BHO said on MTP, we must be mindful of the history of Afgh, and we don't want to come across as telling them what to do with their country, but we can't let it become a staging ground for Al Qaeda attacking the USA again.
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Reality disagrees with Conservative assessments
10:35 PM on 12/09/2008
Since the point of increasing the troops is to make up for the destabilization we caused, or at the very least severely exacerbated, and there's no chance of peace and stability unless we provide enough space to breathe, the troops are necessary. Blaming a president for doing what needs to be done when it's by far the best chance for improving things is not only, at this point, premature, but also obtuse.

The reason nobody dissents who should know what's most likely to work is because they know the troop increase can't be avoided if there's to be any sustainable improvements from where we've sunken the region. It's not particularly useful to decry necessity when both the most optimistic and the most pesimistic--the most idealistic and realistic--paths to some degree of a stable Middle East require this same first step.
03:56 PM on 12/09/2008
Yes, it will be Barrack Hussein Obama's Iraq. The Brits & Ruskis failed there. The USA will make it 3.
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Pdubya
03:00 PM on 12/09/2008
I hope so.

but most likely it will be the economy.

i guess the good news is we will all suffer together.
01:50 PM on 12/09/2008
We have to be smarter not tougher in Afghanistan, however, we can't just walk away either. The faction trying to take it back are the ACTUAL people who suported the attack on 9/11 and their list of crimes, from total supression of women to destroying the stone Buddhas, was legendary.

We have to find a popular, honest Afghan leadership and support them. We helped creat the chaos there when we supported anyone who would fight the Soviets in the 1980's. We shouldn't make the mistake of thinking we can "win" by destroying every competitor there from the air, but we CANNOT walk away.
11:17 PM on 12/09/2008
Thank you, exactly right. I think the pessimists disregard the power of what the Obama Administration will be able to do using diplomacy and cooperation among the surrounding countries, along with changes in policy, (perhaps a shift on the hard line on poppy cultivation...?)
01:47 PM on 12/09/2008
Afghanistan is a dream-come-true for our military-industrial complex. We can get bogged down there for years on end - something we simply couldn't do in Iraq because of its geography. We could only excuse our presence in Iraq for so long - unless we managed to pull the Kurds into our little war, which we never quite pulled off. But Afghanistan - ah, Afghanistan! where it's almost mandatory to get bogged down! And then on to Pakistan (just think how long India and Pakistan have been fighting over Kashmir - and neither nation seems to mind one bit). And we're going to be there till the Afghans are able to go it alone? "It" being an assault on themselves! So until they're able to defeat themselves, we'll have no choice but to fight both sides for them. And to prove he's no wuss, Obama foolishly bought into this madness. He'd have done better to find himself a teeny-weeny Grenada to invade, like Reagan. He'd have his notch on his belt, and the nation would still have an economy.
11:32 PM on 12/09/2008
President-elect Obama said "...we need a strategic partnership with all the parties in the region--Pakistan and India and the Afghan government--to stamp out the kind of militant, violent, terrorist extremists that have set up base camps and that are operating in ways that threaten the security of everybody in the international community. And, as I've said before, we can't continue to look at Afghanistan in isolation. We have to see it as a part of a regional problem that includes Pakistan, includes India, includes Kashmir, includes Iran. And part of the kind of foreign policy I want to shape is one in which we have tough, direct diplomacy combined with more effective military operations, focused on what is the number one threat against U.S. interests and U.S. lives. And that's al-Qaeda and, and, and their various affiliates, and we are going to go after them fiercely in the years to come."

What would YOU do, let the Taliban have it, kill all the secularists, and then let AQ set up their training camps to launch attacks again???
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
rlugbill
12:03 PM on 12/09/2008
When the Soviet Union was bogged down in Afghanistan, everyone said it was their Vietnam. It helped the demise of the Soviet Empire. Maybe it will help the demise of the American Empire as well.

There is an Afghan solution that is not well known here. The Afghans have a tradition of convening a loya jirga, a conference of leaders from throughout Afghanistan, to determine the future course of their country (remember it is their country). Within Afghanistan, this is being proposed as a peaceful solution to the war there, but since it excludes outsiders, such as the U.S., the U.S. is opposed to it.

They are trying to fix their own country and the U.S. is getting in the way. It's their country and halfway around the world from the U.S. The U.S. can't afford to keep policing the entire world in order to get its way. Let Afghans find their own solution.
11:35 PM on 12/09/2008
Right, but I still agree with Obama that we can't let Afghanistan become a safe haven for AQ terrorists to set up training camps and run amok.