More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
HuffPost Social Reading
Paul Gilding

GET UPDATES FROM Paul Gilding
 

The Earth Is Full (Video)

Posted: 02/29/2012 9:27 pm

Although I've done a hundred or so public talks around the world in the last few years around my book The Great Disruption, speaking at the opening session of the annual TED event is an experience and opportunity like no other. Another speaker backstage, feeling similarly hyped about the opportunity, described it to me as being like "the world series of public speaking"!

For me the pressure was really on because I was going into the lion's den of "techno optimists" -- those who believe that technology can solve everything. My message is a tough one for this audience -- that sure technology will do wonderful things for us, but the reality is we are going to face some very difficult consequences of our overloading of planet earth, and its too late now to stop those consequences. I argue strongly that humans are amazingly capable and will recover from this inevitable crisis and indeed in the end build a stronger and happier society.

My focus in life is to motivate and inspire people to act on the urgent challenges of climate and sustainability and it is a real honor to speak to the TED crowd. This passionate and engaged community has an amazing capacity to make a difference in the world with their creativity, influence, innovation and entrepreneurship so I was delighted to make a contribution in the opening session.









 
Although I've done a hundred or so public talks around the world in the last few years around my book The Great Disruption, speaking at the opening session of the annual TED event is an experience and...
Although I've done a hundred or so public talks around the world in the last few years around my book The Great Disruption, speaking at the opening session of the annual TED event is an experience and...
 
 
  • Comments
  • 272
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2 3 4 5  Next ›  Last »  (5 total)
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
joemac1114
03:19 PM on 03/03/2012
Facts, so many don't seem to want to contemplate rational decisions, they just ignore them.
06:56 AM on 03/03/2012
The earth will be fine, its only our own greed and pursuit of power and to govern others that will be the demise of mankind but the earth will still flourish once we have killed each other off for oil and profit.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Turukano
Obama 2012
06:06 AM on 03/03/2012
Sigh. There will always be people out there that will say the world is this and the world is that just so they can curtail one's freedoms. The same was said fifty years ago when the population was half it is now.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
07:14 AM on 03/03/2012
Yeah, im tired of it too. If it was such a big problem why dont the same people think of scientific solutions to living on water. You know? The rest of the earth that people seem to forget about when they talk about this. All i hear is people stating the problems we have with no solution to offer in alternative.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jaredbrain
03:07 PM on 03/03/2012
that sounds like either rich people islands, or massive government projects to increase infrastructure and modernize the world.
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
MAJK
Economic Democracy > Capitalism
08:10 PM on 03/03/2012
Those people in the past were not scientists. The people now, are.
12:18 AM on 03/03/2012
The analogy of putting everyone on the plant in Texas is very flawed. You're not taking into account 'arable' land use, fresh water supplies and livable climates in those human existences. There is a reason that people are by coasts and the equator it's a more livable situation. The earth is indeed full and as soon as petrochemical agriculture fails we will be knocked back down to the lower trophic level that we surpassed with this technology. There really is only south to go around.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
11:25 PM on 03/02/2012
The Earth will be fine. The earth will live on till the sun dies out. It has survived many asteroids and other huge catastrophes. But you wana know what. We wont. The pace we are going we will be a blip in the earths history book compared to other species on this planet. It should never be thought of OH NO WE ARE DESTROYING THE EARTH. Cuz we are not. We are harming it for a minute second of its long life. What we are Destroying is our ability to thrive and live on its surface.
12:19 AM on 03/03/2012
I agree wholeheartedly...
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jaredbrain
03:09 PM on 03/03/2012
The earth, the giant hunk of rock in all its glory- will most likely survive us as a species unless we literally blow it up somehow. That doesn't mean it will be habitable, or beautiful, or what it is. We could die off from this world leaving it a wasteland, and that seems to be the direction that we're going.
05:55 PM on 03/02/2012
Please leave your pride behind. Of course we know the Earth won't sustain forever, but please be humble and try to work for the now. Even if we know that everything is inevitable, please just try to help the world. Don't give up, we didn't come this far to give up now. Simplify your lifestyle, one step at a time, even if it's just losing one unnecessary thing per year.

And frankly, I'm tired of the blaming. We all know these things--big business, overconsumption, religion, war, greed--has ruined a lot of the good. Stop blaming and do something, even if it's small. Stop blaming and trying to leave it to someone else to do a job that everyone in society is supposed to work for. Society sucks, I agree, but I believe it is time for society to GROW UP, get out of denial, and do something.

Religion is such an excuse. Get over it. I currently am not associated with religion in any aspect, but give it up. Figure out what's really wrong: greed and power. Power is the root of how humans act. Drop the power greed know-it-all face and be humble.
12:39 AM on 03/03/2012
It's hard for people to move forward with the constraint that they must operate within the current economic paradigm for survival.

I do appreciate your words and hopefulness though. That is definitely a start. Thank you for that ;)
photo
MikeDu
Both salubrious and lugubrious concurrently.
05:17 PM on 03/02/2012
I have a friend who likes to use the 'petri dish' analogy. You grow a colon of bacteria. It thrives and multiplies, fills the petri dish until the food medium its growing on is exhausted. Then no more bacteria colony. Technology can no more stop the inevitable than it can halt the tides. There may be an 'ideal' low-footprint sustainable population number for the planet but we passed that number long ago. In the year 1800 the earth's total popuation was approx 1 billion. 100 years from now the total population might hit 14 billion. Petri dish time.
photo
JWerner
Beware Macduff; beware the thane of Fife!
03:34 AM on 03/03/2012
The human race has been described as a 'virus' before, in terms of behavior. I'm not so sure the analogy is that far off.
photo
englishman545
English Born, Brooklyn Raised
03:38 PM on 03/02/2012
Dinosaurs lasted for millions of years and were prolific, but Man is threat due to overpopulation??

Well at least there are more people to buy your book.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ADRealist
High expectations are the key to everything.
05:50 PM on 03/03/2012
Dinosaurs did not run carbon based economies and learn to cultivate food so their population could boom from 100 million to 6 billion, then very soon 14 billion - all driving around cars, buying throw away cellphones, and nuking each other on both sides of the planet.

Did I really have to explain those differences to you?
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
HekmagaJuximaxx
Shish Kebab, anyone?
07:20 PM on 03/03/2012
I beg to differ. The cavemen that existed with dinosaurs had phones. How else do you think Fred could order a Brontosaurus Burger?
photo
englishman545
English Born, Brooklyn Raised
01:38 PM on 03/07/2012
The size and mass of Dinosaurs over millions of years exceeded mans total population to date.

The gasses given off by their farts alone could reduce the ozone layer.

Tha fact that they left so much oil from their decay further illustrates the great numbers they attained.

We're talking millions of years, not a few hundred thousand years of mankind..

Super T-REX, just discovered , there is so much we don't know and are still discovering.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
ProgressivesWin
TeaParty? We don' need no steenkin' TeaParty
02:21 PM on 03/02/2012
+The earth is NOT full; it's resources are simply bottlenecked and mis-used by greedy corporations and kings.
05:02 PM on 03/02/2012
Yes you right ProgressivesWin, and If I`m not mistaken you could put every person on earth in the state of texas and each one would have, I belive It was 1,98 acre. So the earth Is NOT full. Overuse Is the word and I bet we produce seeeeeveraaaal times more food than we need!
10:27 PM on 03/02/2012
167,672,913.14 approximate total land area in acres in Texas, 6,997,946,647 people in the world, results in 0.02 acres per person, not to mention most of the state is arid and unfit for human habitation. People still starve in this world, and food production is actually falling off in most of Africa. The world may not be "full", but it's getting there, and without better resource management, there will ultimately be a die-off.
photo
JWerner
Beware Macduff; beware the thane of Fife!
03:37 AM on 03/03/2012
Actually, your example of filling Texas is inaccurate, as sportscardmarket said. A good portion of the world is what we would call 'inhospitable' or otherwise unable to support large populations. The areas that we CAN easily inhabit are rapidly becoming filled, with many already supporting super-dense populations.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
mainmonkey
09:49 PM on 03/02/2012
mis-used? What are they being used for that they shouldn't? They are running out either way.
01:50 PM on 03/02/2012
Too many people and too few resources.

Every country needs to move to a more sustainable future.

We need to balance population, resources, food, water, oil, and jobs.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
theveggiedude
my body is a temple, not a living graveyard
03:11 PM on 03/02/2012
You are dreaming - nobody wants to be vegetarian, and so the resources will just continue to dwindle.

It's easter island all over again. History repeats. This time on a global scale.
12:21 AM on 03/03/2012
Straight Jared Diamond Style
photo
JWerner
Beware Macduff; beware the thane of Fife!
03:39 AM on 03/03/2012
Nobody said we have to be vegetarians. If we simply kept our consumption IN OVERALL in check, that would do wonders. As it is, people in Western countries consume far more per capita than is needed to survive and thrive, and a good portion of that goes towards wastage.
pcs5141
cut the crap
08:41 PM on 03/02/2012
In other words we need to eliminate GREED !!!!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
mainmonkey
09:51 PM on 03/02/2012
Only the greed of having more than 2 children.
photo
RevSpaminator
Life is too short to drink light beer!
01:47 PM on 03/02/2012
Human history is filled with the rise and fall of great empires. Each time we learn nothing and our base instincts blind us to any possibility of doing things differently. It isn't a question of if, only when.
12:15 PM on 03/02/2012
Sorry I disagree with this speaker,the Earth cannot handle 7 billion and will most definitely not be able to handle 8.9,10 billion people,the reason we're seeing all the problem is because just like when you put to many rats in a cage they start fighting,eating each other,humans that is what is happening now,this planet will either send us a plague or some natural disaster,and maybe we will need a 3rd world war to trim a few billion from this planet,because the more people on it the faster it grows, because their popping out more babies,this can't go on indefinitely,this planet cannot support that kind of demand forever,the planet is NOT sustainable at 7 yet alone 10 billion people,so something is bound to happen,it's just the Earth protecting itself.
01:59 PM on 03/02/2012
Exactly. First idiocracy.... then death. It's all inevitable.
photo
Scvoter1
Opinion vs. Facts...Facts win every time
02:24 PM on 03/02/2012
The earth cannot protect itself from population explosion when the Republican presidential nominees and the Republican Congress are proposing taking away the peoples' birth control devices.
photo
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
CDRUSNret
05:41 PM on 03/02/2012
cite?
07:16 PM on 03/03/2012
Stop spouting gibberish...this is important.
photo
Scholastica8
PEOPLE MATTER!
12:05 PM on 03/02/2012
All I can say is that for the most part, human beings are lemmings. They'll follow each other over the cliff... and unfortunately, carry many, who know that cliff is there, with them. Those that sound the alarm and try to avert the disaster will either be pushed over the cliff first, or left alone afterwards. Then all the technology will begin to break down.
postpostmodern
Atheism is a religion
11:20 AM on 03/02/2012
Planet overload... now where have I heard this Malthusian argument before???
11:56 AM on 03/02/2012
probably from Malthus.. am I right!!!! HIGH FIVES YO!!
12:29 AM on 03/03/2012
Lol
photo
JWerner
Beware Macduff; beware the thane of Fife!
03:42 AM on 03/03/2012
Indeed. And all the attempts to 'disprove' the basics of Malthus' arguments have ultimately failed, because we ARE faced with increasingly limited resources and an ever-growing population. No amount of technological tricks or innovations will enable us to escape this fact, unless we start adopting methods for true sustainability.
10:59 AM on 03/02/2012
We're really just one breakthrough away from substantially increasing the carrying capacity, though. If we can figure out how to produce glucose from synthesis gas (CO + H2), e.g. with enzymes or catalysts, then we can dramatically reduce the resource intensity of food production. We already know how to use microorganisms to produce proteins, fats, and micronutrients from glucose.

Today we largely rely on natural processes to assimilate wastes and regenerate resources, but it doesn't have to be that way. When push comes to shove, we are capable of deploying advanced regenerative life support systems. Consider the International Space Station, for instance.

We can process organic waste (including plastics) into hydrocarbon fuels at over 80% efficiency.

It's just cheaper to rely on natural processes as long as they remain sufficient, and industrial planners aren't doing much to price future conditions into the current marketplace. When we hit the wall, we may have a disruptive transition, but the challenges will not be insurmountable.
photo
MikeDu
Both salubrious and lugubrious concurrently.
04:36 PM on 03/02/2012
"Just one breakthrough away" means we will *never* get there. I've lost count of the number of grand futuristic ideas that are 'just one breakthrough away'. From fusion power to clean nuclear energy to Mars colonies. But Zephram Cochran is *never* going to invent warp drive. We're stuck where we are with the tools we have. Oh, and the International Space Station is scheduled to be flown into the Pacific ocean in a few years after having accomplished nothing of value.
12:21 AM on 03/03/2012
That's actually a very clever assessment of the situation. Unlike MikeDu's below, in response to yours. Channeling and reusing the energy of lightning and fire was once "one breakthrough away" as well, but it's not anymore. Men landing on the moon was "one breakthrough away" once, now it's been done. And you, MikeDu, should read more about the ISS. Accomplished nothing of value? For your "ability" to judge, I suppose you were expecting them to find evidence that Jesus is your one and only savior. They haven't yet, but hey, they still have 5 more years of low-gravity microbiology studies ahead of them. Don't lose hope just yet.

jsarets, I hope we don't have to "hit the wall" as you said. But having dialogues with folks of the MikeDu sort makes me feel like half my face is way past the wall already.