Initial climate data for the U.S. in January is in, and according to NOAA, January 2012 was the fourth warmest for the contiguous U.S. while parts of Alaska experienced record cold.
The average temperature for the contiguous U.S. was 36.3 degrees Fahrenheit, which is 5.5 degrees F higher than the 20th century average. In addition to being the fourth warmest in the 118 years of record, it was the warmest since 2006. Precipitation was .37 inches less than average. Snowcover was the third lowest in the 46 years that such records were kept, with snowfall being much less than normal in the northern Plains, Midwest, and Northeast.
The Pacific Northwest, on the other hand, was pounded with a major snowstorm from the 18th through the 23rd, including snowfall in the more heavily populated regions in western Washington and western Oregon, where snow is a relative rarity. The storm resulted in the loss of power to more than a quarter of a million homes.
The warmest conditions (relative to average) were found in the middle of the country, especially across the northern Plains, where some all-time January record high temperatures were established. In sharp contrast, it was much colder than average across Alaska, where several locations experienced the coldest January on record. In Bettles, the average temperature for the month was -35.6 degrees F.
Even though precipitation was below average in general, the second consecutive month with above average rainfall in Texas improved the ongoing drought conditions. And the combination of warmth and abundant moisture resulted in a rare tornado outbreak in parts of the Southeast on the 22nd.
NOAA has not yet released its global climate data, a report that will include data from the extreme winter cold that arrived in Europe during the latter part of the month and has continued into this month. Hundreds of Europeans have been killed to date in what is considered the coldest outbreak since 1991. The extreme cold is expected to continue through much of February.
Bill McKibben: The Great Carbon Bubble
Elliott Negin: Off The Wall On Climate At The Wall Street Journal
Christian Parenti: Why Climate Change Will Make You Love Big Government
Mary Ellen Harte: Climate Change for Dummies: Go Boil Water
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08:42 PM on 02/10/2012
Well, the good news is that the Arctic Ice is back
Second Highest Bering Sea Ice Extent On Record
http://www.real-science.com/highest-bering-sea-ice-extent-record
For a moment there I though the planet was warming.
Whew!
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Cherry picking at it's finest.
Now for the real story.
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2012/02/arctic-ice-extent-low-overall-high-in-the-bering-sea/
From all over the world, time-lapse photography of glaciers receding during 2007-2011.
http://www.extremeicesurvey.org/index.php/new_gallery/
(see James Balog's new documentary, now at Sundance)
Time-lapse history of human global CO2 emissions from burning fossil fuels:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kqV-kx2ClXU
(It all began in England)
NASA GISS animation of global/regional surface temperature anomalies from 1881-2007:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/01/29/nasa-visualization-global-temperature-changes_n_1239137.html?ref=climate-change
Surface temperature change relative to 1870-1899 baseline, as simulated by the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research's (NCAR) global CCSM model
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d8sHvhLvfBo&feature=related
Greenland ice cap melting data:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uyXQWimVrfw&feature=endscreen&NR=1
Potential impact of total polar ice cap melting on U.S. Gulf Coast and south Atlantic states sea level rise:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6szDWFeT5dw&feature=related
How greenhouse gases warm the Earth: from the National Geographic
(or what our resident deniers' mothers never told them):
http://environment.nationalgeographic.com/environment/global-warming/gw-overview-interactive/
These variables make the exact calculation of your velocity at impact a virtual impossibility.
There is, however, no doubt that you will go “splat” when you hit. I assure you. Don’t try it. Please.
Anyone who has done even a little honest reading on this subject should know by now that the temperature of the surface of the earth is regulated by our relatively constant sun, and by the ability of our atmosphere to retain heat. NO scientist of any repute denies this. Why then should the fact that the fossil fuel waste product known as carbon dioxide is an efficient heat trapping gas confuse anyone? And why then should any curious and intelligent person not be interested in the realization that we are putting 2 million pounds of this gas into the air PER SECOND?
anyone with any credibility will admit that without considering all variables you shouldn't make a prediction.
we don't know many of the variables, and the ones we do act upon each other differently at different times.
an infinite set of equations according to edward lorenz
anyone can look at numbers and summarize
but no one can begin to comprehend the number of variable forces that created those numbers and predict their future.
obama pushed for health care over the future of life on earth
he isn't convinced
Familiarize yourself with the science and you'll quickly realize that your concerns have been addressed.
Nighttime temperatures increased more than daytime;
predicted: Arrhenius 1896 observed: Dai et al. 1999, Sherwood et al. 2005
Winter temperatures increased more than summers;
predicted: Arrhenius 1896, Manabe and Stouffer 1980, Rind et al. 1989, observed: Balling et al.;1999, Volodin and Galin 1999, Crozier 2003;
Arctic warming faster than Antarctic; predicted: Arrhenius 1896, Manabe and Stouffer 1980, observed: Doran et al. 2002, Comisa 2003, Turner et al. 2007;
Amount of water vapor feedback due to ENSO events; predicted: Lau, et al., 1996, observed: Soden 2000, and Dessler and Wong, 2009;
Response of southern ocean winds to ozone hole; predicted: Fyfe et al., 1999, Kushner et al., 2001, Sexton, 2001, observed: Thompson and Solomon, 2002;
Hadley cell expansion; predicted: Quan et al., 2002, observed: Fu et al., 2006, Hu and Fu, 2007;
Poleward movement of storm tracks; predicted: Trenberth and Stepaniak 2003, observed: Vin 2005;
Rising tropopause and effective radiating altitude; predicted: Thuburn and Craig 1997, Kushner et al., 2001, observed: Santer et al. 2003, Seidel and Randel, 2006;
Clear sky super greenhouse effect from increased water vapor in the tropics; predicted: Vonder Haar 1986, observed: Lubin 1994;
Near constant global mean relative humidity; predicted: Manabe and Wetherall 1967, observed: Minschwaner and Dessler 2004, Soden et al., 2005, Gettleman and Fu 2008
Increased coastal upwelling of ocean water; predicted: Bakun 1990, observed: Goes et al., 2005, McGregor et al., 2007
Take up as much SPACE as possible so your post is more NOTICEABLE.
Start a new paragraph for EVERY thought.
DON'T worry if your thoughts are disconnected, just spread as much GISH GALLOP as you can. Let your opponents sweat over making a cohesive argument!
No need to present credible EVIDENCE (you don't have any) - lying is faster and easier. And when your opponent presents irrefutable evidence, IGNORE it.
Use CAPITAL letters and many exclamation marks!!!!!!!!!!! This might optically compensate for lack of substance.
You can't argue the science, so don't even try; better to SMEAR and ATTACK the scientists.
When you have nothing to say, use AL GORE insults or make up a conspiracy like a carbon credit WORLD DOMINATION. Don't worry about sounding irrational.
For the more advanced...
CHERRY PICK data and focus on minutia but whatever you do, don't let your opponents mention the BIG PICTURE or the overwhelming EVIDENCE.
And finally, don't worry if you have to behave like a jerk or your actions contribute to a miserable future for your children. Just remember, if you had any integrity, you wouldn't be doing this.
It's against HP Comments Policy, but they don't seem to be taking it seriously. I'll admit that they probably have bigger fish to fry at present (eg, the apparent failure of many of their Social News features, such as fanning, comment history, etc.).
Exxon, Shell, Chevron, BP, PetroChina, and PetroBras, plus Conoco-Phillips
have all stated that MAN-MADE GLOBAL WARMING IS REAL and all of them have installed greenhouse gas mitigation programs.
The 3 laggards among the top 14 are: Berkshire Hathaway and two Communist Chinese banks, all major coal investors (along with KOCH INDUSTRIES, Peabody Energy, and Arch Coal).
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/maxwells/neil-degrasse-tyson-climate-change_b_1134054_122499348.html
The 11 includes Walmart (right-wing Walton family).
And 73% of America's 500 largest corporations have GHG mitigation programs,
including Rupert Murdoch's FOX NEWS/NEWS CORP.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/maxwells/weather-extremes-climate-change_n_1137587_122593388.html
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/maxwells/weather-extremes-climate-change_n_1137587_122592277.html
And the Dept. of Defense, CIA, and Billionaires with net worth 1/2 $Trillion have publicly stated their belief in man-made global warming, along with 200 more CEOS, and investment groups controlling $20 Trillion.
http://www.defense.gov/qdr/images/QDR_as_of_12Feb10_1000.pdf
https://www.cia.gov/news-information/press-releases-statements/center-on-climate-change-and-national-security.html
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-15352764
http://investorsonclimatechange.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/2011-Investor-Global-Statement.pdf ”
Some people have been brainwashed into thinking CO2 causes it to get colder especially in winter.
This logic is impossible for the average layman to comprehend.
Alarmists are capable of believing that CO2 causes warm and cold winters. It also causes average winters.
What other type of winters are there ?
If there were more the alarmists would claim that they were caused by CO2 also.
Here we have 7 times banned Neptune2=netdr=NGC2623=HoosierDaddy25=Leesburg-Larry=Ptolemy101=Texas-Titan talking about brainwashing.
Then again, as his original nick, netdr, he said expertly:
"Actually I am a college professor."
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/netdr/farm-bill-climate-change-crop-insurance-subsidies_n_1146058_123792610.html
And
"I have a BSEE and have created computer models professionally for several years."
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/netdr/farm-bill-climate-change-crop-insurance-subsidies_n_1146058_123797495.html
So, Publicola asked the obvious:
"What college do you teach at that allows people with just bachelors degrees to become professors?"
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/Publicola/farm-bill-climate-change-crop-insurance-subsidies_n_1146058_123811028.html
And who but a full-time, fossil fuel SHILL would, or EVEN could, post 1230 times on HuffPo in less than 8 weeks, and exclusively on just one topic - climate change, far from his specialty?
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/netdr?action=comments&display=all&sort=oldest
And netdr/neptune2 somehow does all that, while handling a college teaching load, plus academic research.
Ain't he simply amazing?
Netdr was never abusive and always backed up his ideas with links.
He was banned for being CORRECT !
WE SKEPTICS DO NOT FEAR DISCUSSION BUT THE ALARMISTS DO !
WHY ???
Vegan wrote:
“Please stop spinning this data, which could possibly confuse people and lead them to do nothing about the very serious problem we're facing with global warming. If you continue to spin the data and confuse people, I'd say your days of posting in these discussion boards are numbered. Now there's a number you might understand.”
He and Jodester made good their promise! NetDr was BANNED FROM POSTING !
WHY because those fish fear me ?
Why because I post the truth !
It has been abnormally warm in Canada and the US during this winter, and about right for Russia, and abnormally cold in Europe.
In the Southern Hemisphere, it is summer.
Weather patterns have displaced for January and much of February. This is entirely consistent with a climate changing due to CO2 and other GHG's.
Your non-spin is entirely unconvincing, because it is devoid of fact.
http://www.drroyspencer.com/
You are right it isn't spin.
The planet has been cooling since 2001.
2001
http://tiny.cc/wmlv3
#Least squares trend line; slope = -0.00488513 per year
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:2001/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:2001/trend
Since the panic is over a slight warming between 1978 to 1998 which has stopped for almost as long where is the catastrophe ?
EVERYTHING which can possibly happen is consistent with CO2 changing the climate
That is why I am certain the alarmists are selling snake oil !
By the way. can I quote your second two sentences next time some "skeptic" gleefully points out that it's snowing in Alaska in January? Thank you.
Of course a worldwide warming would be expected too.
Skipping winter altogether would definitely be attributed to CO2.
The alarmists are playing with a stacked deck.
The weather is becoming increasingly strange. Natural variation is one thing- what has been happening the last few years is another.
Dr. Nicola Scafetta's Science based forecast at the link below is clearly more skillful that the IPCC.
How many months must pass before the IPCC admit their mistake?
http://tinyurl.com/8a6d9c2
Scarfetta fails to explain how Jupiter and Saturn's orbital cycles are driving global warming, which is no surprise since per basic physics that is physically impossible.
http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/ccr/strandwg/CCSM3_AR4_Experiments.html
Actually it has cooled since 2001.
2001
http://tiny.cc/wmlv3
#Least squares trend line; slope = -0.00488513 per year
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:2001/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:2001/trend
The ar4 models are worthless !
Has Scafetta released his computer code???
Batten down the hatches, hide the children...IT'S GLOBAL WARMING...
Not..
Just La Nina.
REal scientists know all about this and it has NOTHING to do with the science fiction of global warming.
"...Scientists have predicted that current La Niña conditions and below-average sea surface temperatures might be the cause for the mild 2012 winter on the Eastern U.S..."
Notice the mention of BELOW AVERAGE sea surface temps. That would be the PACIFIC OCEAN. You know, that huge body of water off of that big bowl of granola...KaliFornia.
Not WARMING of ocean but COOLING...
Cooling...Much Much scarier than warming.
Global Warming ....Good.
Global Cooling......BAD....VERY VERY VERY BAD.
http://www.skepticalscience.com/year-after-mclean-review-of-2011-global-temperatures.html
Too funny. And very, very sad.