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Peter Brown Hoffmeister

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Sorry, Kobe -- I'm Good at Math

Posted: 05/10/2012 9:43 am

I spent all of Wednesday thinking about this. People around me were making a big (and I mean big) deal out of Kobe scoring 43 points against the Nuggets. They said things like this:

"I can't believe that the Lakers still lost!" and "The other Lakers guards need to step it up," and "The Lakers let Kobe down."

No, actually. Kobe let the Lakers down. I know that's not a popular position, and I know that I'm supposed to freak out because Kobe scored 43 points, but there's this little thing called "mathematics" that makes it impossible for me to bow down, to prostrate myself on the floor before the great throne of The Black Mamba, Kobe Bryant.

See, Kobe scored 43 points on 32 shots. And he made 14 shots. So my math looks like this:

32 - 14 = 18.

Kobe missed 18 shots in that game.

George Karl, the coach of the Nuggets, has to be a good sport (and it's easier for him since he won). So, after the game, Karl toed the party line, the popular media line, and said, "Kobe was incredible." But was he?

In a four minute burst, Kobe was incredible. He hit four three-pointers and got the Lakers back in the game when previously they'd been down by 15 points.

But how did the Lakers get down by 15 points? I'll tell you. Kobe kept taking and missing shots. He kept shooting bricks. Kobe bricks. Made out of Kobe Brick Clay. And that's the problem with a shooter. While "Kobe on a Streak" is one of the most lethal snipers in the game, "Kobe Gone Cold" is one of the most dangerous teammates on earth. He can kill his team and buy their caskets.

If you think I'm wrong, look at how the Lakers perform over a series. If Bynum has a huge night, the Lakers are much more likely to win.

Bynum has a 55.8% shooting percentage on the season.

Kobe, on the season, is shooting 43%, the same percentage he shot in his game against the Nuggets (which sounds to me like a math word called "average," as in, Kobe had an average shooting night against the Nuggets but took a lot of shots).

But considering Bynum and Kobe on the season, my math looks like this: 55.8% > 43%

Crazy.

By comparison, last Sunday, Carmelo Anthony scored 41 points in a game against the Heat. He was 15 for 29 in that game, a shooting percentage of 51.7%.

41 < 43 but Carmelo's team won. Now that's strange. It's as if shooting percentage rather than total points is a bigger contributing factor to a team victory.

So let's go back to George Karl's quote: "Kobe was incredible."

If Karl was allowed to be honest, and he probably was very honest behind closed doors, away from a microphone, he would have actually said, "JaVale McGee was incredible."

McGee scored 21 points, shooting 9 for 12. I'm no mathematics Ph.D. at MIT, but I think that 9 divided by 12 might be somewhere in the vicinity of 75%. The problem is that JaVale McGee is no Kobe Bryant. He isn't a household name. So Karl has to talk about Kobe. It's the rule. But I guarantee you that George Karl would take McGee's 75% shooting, for 21 points, over Kobe's average game of 43. Look who won.

 

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I spent all of Wednesday thinking about this. People around me were making a big (and I mean big) deal out of Kobe scoring 43 points against the Nuggets. They said things like this: "I can't belie...
I spent all of Wednesday thinking about this. People around me were making a big (and I mean big) deal out of Kobe scoring 43 points against the Nuggets. They said things like this: "I can't belie...
 
 
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hrc04
put on your pants and go home.
11:43 AM on 05/14/2012
Not a laker fan by a long shot. But to just say "give the ball to Bynum" is oversimplifying it. Just in these playoffs alone Bynum has proven to be quite unreliable, and prone to checking out on the defensive end. So it's more than just saying give Bynum more shots.
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kcnativnla
11:16 AM on 05/14/2012
This writer obviously is using the wrong math. Instead of counting how many shots Kobe missed, he should be counting how many open 15 to 18 foot jumpers Blake, Barnes and Sessions passed up. He should count how many times, with the shot clock running down they passed the ball to him and waited for him to bail them out. Then he should count how many times Kobe's twin tower teammates got pushed around and punked by opponents four to six inches shorter.

As a Laker fan, I've seen my share of games where you can legitimately say Kobe shot too much. This game wasn't one of them. Anyone who saw the game, and isn't just a Kobe hater, knows this.
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TisKishnsing
Brutal logic, unexpected honesty
01:20 PM on 05/12/2012
i watch WWE. my dog watches NBA
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Sistagirl Young
07:39 AM on 05/11/2012
Oooh, you cannot say negative things about Kobe. But Right On. The truth hurts. Kobe this, and Kobe that. Not being a Laker fan I couldn't care less. Well, if I thought about it...but hey he's only human. Even though Lakers fan think he's a deity. Please. Life.
IndependentAndProud
Stop trying to change the subject!
03:27 AM on 05/11/2012
Good at math, bad at the nuances of basketball - especially playoff basketball.
12:57 AM on 05/11/2012
I'd like to say that tonight's game begs to differ with you sir. In case you didn't notice, sometimes players don't make all the shots...Kobe was well over 50% tonight, making almost every shot for the lakers. And he was the one with the stomach flu. He can't be a one man team...I agree with you there. but he has no choice when no one else does anything for the team. No one has the desire and fire to win....except Kobe.
IndependentAndProud
Stop trying to change the subject!
03:25 AM on 05/11/2012
Pau is really starting to P me off.
08:56 PM on 05/10/2012
This was clearly written by someone who didn't watch the game nor understands basketball. Yes,7 foot tall centers who live in the paint shoot at a higher percentage than double teamed 2 guards. Kobe's shooting percentage was incredible in this game considering his teammates missed layup and dunk after dunk, allowing Denver to hold the double team on Kobe and have his teammates squander the game away.

If the author was so good at math why didnt he notice Gasol's numbers (4/11) or Sessions (3/12) or Barnes (5/14)?

There are times this argument would hold some weight against Kobe, it is interesting this guy chose a game where it holds none, showing he either didn't watch or just doesn't get the game.
05:29 PM on 05/10/2012
I don't like Kobe's attitude on and off the court, but he is an incredible basketball player, especially Tuesday night. Mr. Hoffmeister, your breakdown of Tuesday game is lame. The nuance of the NBA playoffs goes well beyond arithmetic.
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BriS
here a quack, there a quack
05:20 PM on 05/10/2012
43 points is amazing. Bricks or not. However, I do think Kobe needs to learn the art of teamwork. It's not the Kobe show, it's the Lakers show. When Kobe, and more to the point Mike Brown, see that he is throwing those "bricks", it's time to spread the wealth and let the other 4 guys on the floor take shots.
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Puzzlr
thegrouphugdotorg
05:14 PM on 05/10/2012
No one in the NBA wants to admit this.
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04:40 PM on 05/10/2012
Kobe deserves praise and I'm not a Bryant-aholic. The two problems were Gasol and Bynum. They did not up their game, not enough movement and Kobe, seeing that his teammates were either not measuring up or were under -coached in the fourth quarter, took it upon himself to get the Lakers close enough to win. But if you watched the entire torture called game 5 you saw multiple players missing easy lay ups and uncontested shots... It was one of the worst performances I've seen from the Lakers. And Kobe, the author doesn't point out..or did I miss it? scored most of his points in the fourth quarter in the last five minutes.
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Puzzlr
thegrouphugdotorg
05:19 PM on 05/10/2012
"seeing that his teammates were either not measuring up or were under -coached in the fourth quarter, took it upon himself to get the Lakers close enough to win"

He's a veteran. He shouldn't have taken it upon himself to shoot up bricks. He should have taken it upon himself to speak to his teammates. He should have gotten in their ears. Gasol is beyond useless, IMO. He looks like I could take him to the hole and I'm a 5'7" tall woman. BTW, the author did mention that he tried hard to bring them back. He even mentioned his mini streak of 3 pointers.
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06:45 PM on 05/10/2012
I wonder if he did or didn't speak to his team..he is the captain, you're right. Yes, I reread the last 5 minutes is there..but I don't fault Kobe in this...he was outmatched, 5 Nuggets to 1 Laker. I don't see who, beyond Barnes, he could throw to and count on to at least try to burst towards the hoop.
04:37 PM on 05/10/2012
still hating on Kobe! get over it!
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04:30 PM on 05/10/2012
Kobe tied 'Melo this season for the coveted Iverson Golden Brick Trophy, for worst shooting by a max contract player, at .430.

Melo barely escaped shooting less than 40% in the playoffs for the fifth time by having two consecutive 50% shooting games ... nearly unprecedented for him.

For those who rank Kobe as an all time player, it's this simple: Julius Erving's *worst* shooting year was better than Kobe's *best* shooting year. It takes a coach with a fantastic game plan to turn Kobe's inefficiency into playoff success ..... and he retired.
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RusStyles
Author of Getting Back in the Game!
04:24 PM on 05/10/2012
KB's shooting stat is misleading. When he passes the ball, on many occasions nobody else can make a move to get off a good shot and the ball ends up back in Kobe's hands with 4-6 seconds remaining on the 24 second clock. Now he has to force up--typically--a long trey under duress. It routinely happens at the end of quarters when he heaves a Hail Mary. Further, when players like Barnes who's constantly left alone like leper, repeatedly lay bricks when he passes to them, why should he keep feeding bricklayers?
04:11 PM on 05/10/2012
Kobe may have done great, but losing is still losing.