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Peter S. Goodman

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Debt Ceiling Deal: Staving off Disaster With Disaster

Posted: 08/01/11 12:45 PM ET

Considering the unpalatable choices, the deal to raise the debt ceiling passes for good news, or at least better than the alternative: no deal, a likely downgrade to the nation's credit-rating, and then the once-unimaginable prospect of an American default that triggers global panic.

Yet the deal that staved off this catastrophe is itself a disaster. It comes with some $2.5 trillion in spending cuts over the next decade -- cuts that will weaken an already feeble economy. The deal is good news only in that we are happy to see that the guy who has been standing on the ledge and threatening to jump has instead gone back inside: He has not plunged to his end, yet the bitter circumstances that put him there have not changed.

In our case, stepping back from the ledge entails a cost that will only make our circumstances worse. The unemployment rate reached 9.2 percent in June, and anyone who sees evidence of significant improvement anytime soon is straining to tell a story that involves religious faith in the self-healing properties of markets -- the same sort of nonsense that delivered the financial crisis and economic downturn worthy of their collective moniker, the Great Recession.

Pulling back on spending relegates the nation to a longer stretch of lean times that will feel most punishing to the people who never even shared in the bounty of the boom times: people who pay their bills not with exotic investment returns but with paychecks; people who sometimes need public assistance for health care, housing or groceries, or an unemployment check while they scramble to get back into the workforce.

We are in a moment when the complex academic discipline of economics has become remarkably simple. For a quarter-century, the vast majority of working Americans have seen their wages stagnate while the cost of housing, health care and education have soared. We have contrived various schemes to work around this basic limitation on household finances. In the 1990s, much of the nation feasted on the effects of an unsustainable investment orgy in emerging technology, coupled with financial deregulation that allowed Wall Street to borrow against an infinitely bountiful future. Last decade, we papered over the fact that work did not cover the costs of ordinary life via exotic mortgages that allowed people to turn increased home values into cash.

But all good fantasies eventually succumb to reality, and that's where we are now: in dire need of a real economy, a genuine engine for growth, a plan to generate jobs by the millions. We have none of those things. Now, the ransom paid to the extremists who have hijacked the political process will only make it harder to recover.

Washington has squandered the opportunity that came with the pain of the recession, a chance to reorder our priorities and construct a solid future. The Republicans cynically concluded that further damaging the economy would boost their electoral prospects, while President Obama naively assumed that his oratorical gifts could transcend the partisan fratricide that passes for American politics, never mustering a fight for a viable fix.

The deal that emerged late Sunday reinforces that reality, eliminating with finality the possibility that our elected leaders might somehow find a way to invest in the future. Instead they have relegated us to more of the same -- an unwinding of traditional American economic expectations. This is a disservice to taxpayers and working people. This is a disservice to democracy, the most advanced form of governance known to humanity, now turned into a craven spectacle.

We have stepped back from the ledge, averted our gaze from the pavement below, yet find ourselves staring at something hardly more comforting: a bleak future.

 
 
 

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Considering the unpalatable choices, the deal to raise the debt ceiling passes for good news, or at least better than the alternative: no deal, a likely downgrade to the nation's credit-rating, and th...
Considering the unpalatable choices, the deal to raise the debt ceiling passes for good news, or at least better than the alternative: no deal, a likely downgrade to the nation's credit-rating, and th...
 
 
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12:38 PM on 08/03/2011
Why do you insist on calling this "a $2.5 trillion spending cut" when you KNOW it is only a reduction in the RATE OF INCREASE in spending over the next ten years. We'll be going from $10 trillion in new spending to a mere $7.5 trillion in new spending. Some "spending cut", huh?
01:44 PM on 08/03/2011
exactly! I don't understand why no articles even mention this. No one wants to admit that all the bickering and fighting in Washington was for essentially nothing. woop de do they passed some BS cut that like you said only MARGINALLY DECREASES THE RATE OF GROWTH!!! OF OUR DEBT OVER THE NEXT 10 YEARS! Is that really an accomplishment worth mentioning? They need to be there still working this stuff out. They don't need to be worrying about getting re-elected. Give me a friggin break. Fix it!!! Pushing it off hasn't worked so well in the past why the F are we continuing to do the same damn thing. This cut is garbage and this whole ordeal has been a waste of time for the US. Fix the problem don't just put a band-aid on it.
07:36 PM on 08/07/2011
UNFINISHED BUSINESS KEEPS THEM RELEVANT, I GUESS!
12:11 PM on 08/03/2011
Well the Republicans have been working diligently to cause a double dip and here we go. Consumer spending down means demand is down so businesses won't create jobs (no reason to). The only entity that can jump start the economy is the Federal Government but the Tea Partiers say no...I just hope the voters blame the proper people this tiome around...although the GOP will pin it on Obama.
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Marysdude
GySgt USMC (Retired)
12:03 PM on 08/03/2011
There has never been much doubt in my mind...as soon as we encouraged TeaPublicans, first by electing a significant number of them, and second by kow-towing to their hostage taking...we were sunk as a nation of significance in the world. TeaPublicans were so furious at our termerity to elect a President of color, they determined to take us down. The Tea movement, in and of itself, was not the danger, but when the Koch brothers bought out the movement founders, and Rupert Murdoch agreed to act as shill and recruiter, it no longer lacked significance.

The lines of demarkation are now drawn. The United States of America is an Oligarchy, and will achieve third world status within this decade.

Our thanks for the downgrade can be laid almost eclusively at our own door for allowing TeaPublicans so much power in our governance. It makes little difference what we do from this moment on. It makes no difference if we reverse our course by de-electing them, as the taint is on us now, and the world will eat us alive.
07:39 PM on 08/07/2011
SO GLAD I AM OLD! BEEN HERE LONGER THAN I AM GONNA BE HERE!
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Mark Klempner
07:38 AM on 08/03/2011
‎"Better than the alternative." Perhaps this should be Obama's 2012 campaign slogan.
04:11 PM on 08/03/2011
I think that has pretty much been the slogan for the last 10 elections...no one really votes "for" anyone anymore...it's just an "against" the other guy....
07:41 PM on 08/07/2011
IF IT AIN'T . . . IT OUGHTA BE! THIS IS BAD, BUT WE HAVE ALREADY BEEN SHOWN THAT THE REPUBLICAN PARTY HAS NO DESIRE TO DO ANYTHING FOR ANYBODY EXCEPT THE RICH! IF YOU AIN'T RICH, YOU BETTER WATCH OUT
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JohnnyWalkerBlueLabel
527HP, 12.4@112mph 1/4 mile
08:54 PM on 08/02/2011
Trying to reign in out of control spending is not fiscal insanity. A Priori, how can anyone not conclude that borrowing $.43 of every dollar the government spends is fiscal insanity?
08:27 AM on 08/03/2011
To contract the economy during a jobless recession is just silly - it's a recipe for more job losses and further suppression of wages.

I can't help think believe this was the real point - to drive wages down even further...
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Marysdude
GySgt USMC (Retired)
12:14 PM on 08/03/2011
I'm pretty sure the object was to turn us into an oligarchy. This was an indirect war launched against unions, Social Security and Medicare. That we will lose our first world status, become just another cheap labor outlet for the big boys to play with is just the icing on their cake. Those at the forefront of the Tea movement are now in the driver's seat, and like a ship at sea, turning around is a slow and painstaking process. Even if we win a battle or two in the immediate future, the war is almost certainly lost.

I'm in my seventies now, so my sympathies lie mostly with those who have not had time to appreciate what, freedom and reasonable wages, great treasures are.
07:00 PM on 08/02/2011
Since the GOP and the teabaggers only care about NOW and not the future, this should not be a surprise. You get what you elect.
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intolleft
ObamaCare...getting you shovel ready
04:17 PM on 08/02/2011
"It comes with some $2.5 trillion in spending cuts over the next decade..."

There will be no spending "cuts". Simply cutting the rate at which you spend is not a cut.
Karma2U
Blessed are the Peacemakers
02:39 PM on 08/02/2011
The very fact that this argument went this far secures their place as one of the worst congresses in history.
01:39 PM on 08/02/2011
Same old stuff-- The wealthy win, the rest of us get the short end
01:29 PM on 08/02/2011
I think the debt limit "crises" has made it clear that our current form of democracy will hinder our ability to compete in the new global economy. Players such as China, are able to react much faster than us to emerging economic anomolies. They also tend to quickly punish business leaders who cause harm to the populace, sometimes with death sentences. We, on the other hand, have issued bailout after bailout to the very people responsible for creating the malaise we now suffer from. I think the best solution for America is for Republican and Democratic moderates to break away from thier respective organizations and form a third major political party to break the log jam and get us moving forward again.
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MSROADKILL612
am not convinced geothermal energy is above ground
12:38 AM on 08/03/2011
I mostly agree. The much lauded 2 party democracy sucks. More later. But the US is worse w/ strong state rights and ~50 of them.

An economic model is radio stations. If 90% like rock & 10% classical - u need 10 stations b4 one would logically cater for classical. Both parties aim for the middle ground. There is no real choice or representation.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
muck-raker
give me liberty or give me death
12:25 PM on 08/02/2011
“Matt Taibbi: So the debt deal has finally been reached. As expected, the agreement arrives in a form that right-thin­king people everywhere can feel terrible about with great confidence­.

The general consensus is that for the second time in three years, a gang of financial terrorists has successful­ly extorted the congress and the White House, threatenin­g to blow up the planet if they didn't get what they wanted.

Back in 2008, the congress and George Bush rewarded Hank Paulson and Wall Street for pulling the Cleavon-Li­ttle-"the-­next-man-m­akes-a-mov­e-the-n---­er-gets-it­" routine by tossing trillions of bailout dollars at the same people who had wrecked the economy.

Now, Barack Obama has surrendere­d control of the budget to the Tea Party, whose operatives in congress used the same suicide-bo­mber tactic, threatenin­g a catastroph­ic default unless the Democrats committed to a regime of steep spending cuts without any tax increases on the wealthy.

http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/blogs/taibblog/debt-ceiling-deal-the-democrats-take-a-dive-20110801
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
search4meaning
Democracy is the worst govt - except all others
01:36 PM on 08/02/2011
Mr or Ms Raker, thank you so much for this. F&F.

Matt Taibbi has become must read journalism.
03:12 PM on 08/02/2011
Matt Taibbi is one of the top five journalists working today. Thank you very much for this pointer, Mr/s Raker!
12:18 PM on 08/02/2011
Committees and panels are meant for just killing legislation.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
choco1996
tucson Az
11:47 AM on 08/02/2011
this bill will send us into a double dip because it will end up causing states to cut back on teachers, fireman, policemen,and other govt job..the republicans have made govt jos equal to welfare and the dems have not fought this idea....without revenue being part of this it gave reps hope that they will win the fight when the Bush tax cuts sunset....with good reason, like Obama and will vote for him again based on the clowns running against him..mitty waited for the vote to make his statement..it will be an interesting fight between wall street and the tea party..intra squad squabble...Obama allowed the linkage of the debt ceiling and the debt...that was the big mistake... we played on their field and now the people will pay for it
03:13 PM on 08/02/2011
Agreed with all of your post. Just wanted to point out that Pres. Obama is on the "Wall Street" team...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
muck-raker
give me liberty or give me death
05:58 AM on 08/03/2011
choco thank you for your response...my sentiments are exactly like yours...because of many knowledgeable journalists the people today know what really makes the World turn....and, again. its MONEY...People today have no leadership against the 400 ultra rich who are playing us like a fiddle...down the road we will all see the Fed doing Quantitative Easing part 3. the US dollar then will be worth just pennies. The Banksters will be foreclosing big time on mortgages they now hold....THEY WANT IT ALL.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
choco1996
tucson Az
01:38 PM on 08/03/2011
thanks totally agree...it just keeps getting worse everyday
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Timma
...paulatim crescam...
11:33 AM on 08/02/2011
Bravo - In two words Peter Goodman describes perfectly this nightmare for what it is - a craven spectacle...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Rendy Bee Mulyono
Someone with constant stream of
10:38 AM on 08/02/2011
So it's like bleeding badly, then you decide to get a blood transfusion you know is contaminated with Hep C or AIDS. Nice.