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Raymond J. Learsy

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OPEC Meets This Week, Holding World Hostage to Its Budget "Needs"

Posted: 06/11/2012 7:16 am

Ah, the Arab Spring! How convenient for it to alight just when oil prices were once again going through the roof. Saudi Arabia and its OPEC brethren are trying so hard to make us understand that their need for higher oil prices is now more essential than ever before. They cite the sharp increase in budgetary spending required in response to the "Arab Spring" to keep their restive populations in check.

In other words, folks, you like the "Arab Spring?" Well then, pay for it through higher oil prices. This is akin to France proclaiming, 'We need you to make up for our budget shortfall so we will significantly increase the price of Camembert 'fromage' exports.' Yes, yes, I realize our passion for Camembert doesn't compare to our need for crude oil and petroleum products, but you get the idea, the concept is about the same.

The irony is that we (the U.S. and oil consumers throughout the world) are being asked to bail out the budgets of OPEC nations, especially the booming Gulf Arab States (Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, U.A.E. et al.) while we and much of the rest of the world are sinking into recession, if not depression. Saudi Arabia seems poised to rein in production to protect a price of $100/bbl for Brent crude. To support its objectives, earlier this month it raised the price of its main crude grade, Arab Light, to Asian customers, according to the Centre of Global Energy Studies in London. Wittingly or unwittingly, this is making Iranian oil that much more attractive to these very same buyers -- and, of course, in case you missed the point, it's a clear signal from the Saudis that the price for Brent crude better not sink below $100/bbl.

Given the prosperity of the Gulf States piggybacking on extortionist oil prices while the world's economies are reeling, it is well past time for those in charge of our government, especially now, given our growing domestic production of oil and gas bringing us to the cusp being free of all dependence on Persian Gulf and Eastern Hemisphere oil supplies, and natural gas supplies altogether, take the initiative to whisper sweet 'somethings' into their assembled ears before the OPEC meeting, somewhat along the following lines:

"Gentlemen, your oil cartel game in restraint of free trade in oil markets has gone on for too long. It's time you bellied up to the bar and paid your fair share to rectify one the greatest economic distortions, shell games and hijackings in human experience. If you continue to obstruct a free market in oil pricing, we the United States will in short order withdraw our Naval Task Force plying the Persian Gulf at a cost to America's citizens of hundreds of millions a day, and leave you and your coastline undefended by us. We would, of course, wish you well in dealing on your own with your neighbor Iran and its murderously bellicose ambitions.

And good luck!"

 
 
 

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Baghooli
Immortals!
10:31 PM on 06/12/2012
Sure, literally burn finite crude oil for betterment of others while the owners (people) of these oil wells live bellow poverty, essence of Imperialism in a nutshell!
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Tingalor
The Dude...takin 'er easy for all us sinners.
01:37 PM on 06/12/2012
America has enough oil?! Do you have any idea what staggering amount of oil we import every day?
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MarcEdward
likes all cats more than most people
10:35 AM on 06/12/2012
This is why we need alternative energies.
If setting up giant solar farms cost us a large investment, so what? The money would go to American workers, rather than to support the armies of high priced hookers required by the Royal Family of Saudi Arabia.
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03:00 AM on 06/12/2012
I have a solution to every Westerner who thinks they have some sort of right to dictate what other countries do with their natural resources; don't buy it. I understand this can be difficult for a nation who built their economy on gluttonous consumption and cheap energy easily acquired from friendly autocrats but there it is there. If you think you have problems now, just wait until your friendly autocrats are gone.
nothingchanges
too soon old, too late smart
09:51 PM on 06/11/2012
The United States has now spent over 4 TRILLION dollars on wars in the Middle Eastern Region over "cheap oil".

THINK of what we could have accomplished with that amount of money, had we used it for research and development of alternative renewable energy resources here at home.

For those that weren't around at the time. Please read President Carter's energy speech from 1977.

For a so called "Failure" he sure pegged that one right.

If only the American people had listened.

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/features/primary-resources/carter-energy/

"I give myself, very good advice, but I very seldom follow it, that explains the trouble that I'm always in" (From the Disney version of Alice in Wonderland)
08:36 AM on 06/12/2012
4 trillion dollars would have built about 400 nuclear power plants, giving us the energy to extract enough hydrogen from sea water to rebuild our entire transportation system (cars, trucks, buses, trains) on hydrogen fuel, reducing our use of oil to less than the US produces, making the US an oil exporter, and 100% independent of OPEC.
08:42 AM on 06/12/2012
Thank you, nothingchanges.
Reading your post and link made reading Learsy's claptrap worthwhile. After starting to read the speech, I remembered watching it long ago.

Carter was no failure...........he was unappreciated.
RTIII
Poster of over 0.0135% of all HufPost comments
01:09 PM on 06/15/2012
I wish there were more like you here on HufPost - fan #11 for recognizing - and saying publicly - that Carter wasn't a failure and is merely unappreciated by the overwhelming majority of his constituents.
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realitytrumpsbull
Two 'alves of coconut!
09:46 PM on 06/11/2012
OPEC can't monopolize sunlight. Shoot the hostage.
05:51 PM on 06/11/2012
Here, Here.

I agree, this is nothing more than yet ANOTHER attempt by OPEC to extort money for doing nothing.

OPEC's nations have been exporting oil for profit since th 1930's. In all that time have they ever built a real economy around real products? No! They have just been sitting on ther rears doing nothing except collect checks and abusing thier women ans killing thier enemies with someone elses money.

Time to stop.

If the "free" markets are not allowed to decide supply and demand then the OPEC nations should have to pay MORE for everthing they get, so we can maintain our economies with THIER money.

Tell OPEC to flip off. We do need nor want thier oil.
They want prices to maintain at $100 per barrel? Then they should not have jacked it up to $145 per barrel...

We in America put organized criminals in jail (unless your a Bankster or a Wall Street thief, who are currently protected by Congress, appearantly...).
Lets charge them with racketeering and put them in jail.
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04:56 AM on 06/12/2012
It's their country and their oil. You'd be singing a different tune if the US was a desert floating on oil! And if we don't need or want their oil, what's the beef?
09:23 AM on 06/12/2012
The U.S. is 3rd largest producer of oil in the world.
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intolleft
ObamaTAX...getting you shovel ready
10:32 AM on 06/12/2012
The US is floating on oil. We just don't have the political will to get it.
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BluePhantom2
The Blacksmith & the Artist reflected in their art
05:51 PM on 06/11/2012
If Obama wanted to affect the OPEC meeting (He does not!) he could announce new auctions for drilling oil and natural gas on federal land on and off shore the day before the meeting, then sign the XL pipeline deal. It might even help in the Nov elections but again he's gone green so not going to happen. The US, Canada and Mexico could in fairly short order (No more than 5 years) bankrupt the oil cartels. If the new natural gas finds are exploited OPEC could become Europe, Japan & China's problem. Pulling the 5th fleet out before we have some type of energy policy in place is typical liberal emotional drivvle!
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realitytrumpsbull
Two 'alves of coconut!
09:48 PM on 06/11/2012
Didn't Mexico join OPEC? Let's get energy-independent. Other countries, Mexico included, are long past due to learn how to pull their socks up and do for themselves. Long past due.
05:11 PM on 06/11/2012
Along with my own analysis, several peer-reviewed papers have shown due to lack of quota discipline, OPEC has had no long-term effect on prices since 2004. Regardless of what they announce this week, the USA contract crude price is headed to $65/barrel by May.

Barrel Meter charts: http://trendlines.ca/free/peakoil/BarrelMeter/BarrelMeter.htm
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realitytrumpsbull
Two 'alves of coconut!
09:50 PM on 06/11/2012
This is June.
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03:02 AM on 06/12/2012
:)))))
09:26 AM on 06/12/2012
LMAO
03:57 PM on 06/11/2012
When in the 1970's the US was was blackmailed for foreign oil, the government announced we would be working toward "energy independence" for economic and national security reasons. Instead our addiction has only grown.

We can try to produce more domestic oil, but not for long as our reserves are too small and our consumption too great.

It might be time to take a more serious look at efficiency and alternative sources instead of playing around the edge.

In the meantime, OPEC has us over a barrel.

A solution won't come fast, but what if we had been steadily working on it since the shot across the bow years ago?
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realitytrumpsbull
Two 'alves of coconut!
09:53 PM on 06/11/2012
If we really meant it on the energy independence stuff, there'd be fuel rationing, incentives for businesses to close on the weekends, lowered speed limits nationwide, carpool awards, all that jazz. There isn't. So, it's just a big money game. We're getting closer, though. They're doing oilfield development over the objections of the politically questionable environMENTALISTS, and there's other stuff like EV development, natural gas being put into use, more biodiesel and stuff along those lines, ethanol going into production, people reading, studying, learning, taking care of their cars, changing the driving habits, trading down, all that jazz. Change is on the wind, permanent change that'll eventually hopefully get us out of the unsavory position of having to do business with middle eastern and other countries that mean to try and bankrupt us if possible. Some countries DO not like the United States, period. Unfortunately, we have to do business with them, currently, unless we change our ways.
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02:54 PM on 06/11/2012
Raymond, you wouldn't want us to REALLY tell the KSA et al, "If you continue to obstruct a free market in oil pricing, we the United States will in short order withdraw our Naval Task Force plying the Persian Gulf...." would you?
As ugly as we might be, we would look terrible without a nose.... and besides you can't expect us to start WALKING everywhere, can you?
02:49 PM on 06/11/2012
http://www.npr.org/2012/04/11/150444802/where-does-america-get-oil-you-may-be-surprised

Read the link above for a breakdown on where the US imports its oil from.
Only 13% is imported from the Middle East/OPEC. The rest comes from Canada/Mexico and Venezuela, Nigeria etc..

Since the Arab oil embargoes of the 1960s and 70s, it's been conventional wisdom to talk about American dependence on oil from the Persian Gulf. But the global oil market has changed dramatically since then.

Today, the U.S. actually gets most of its imported oil from Canada and Latin America.

And many Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. now imports roughly the same amount of oil from Africa as it does from the Persian Gulf. African imports were a bit higher in 2010, while Persian Gulf oil accounted for a bit more last year.

America is one of the world's largest oil producers, and close to 40 percent of U.S. oil needs are met at home. Most of the imports currently come from five countries: Canada, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Venezuela and Nigeria.

Only 8% from Saudi Arabia a US ally where women are not allowed to vote or drive.
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Richard Pearce
Atheistic-agnostic Canadian polymath
02:43 PM on 06/11/2012
That the US pulling its enforcers out of the Gulf would result in the House of Saud falling, and a likely much more democratic (and definitely less oppressive) Saudi Arabia looking to Iran for leadership has NOTHING to do with 'Iran and its murderously bellicose ambitions' and everything to do with Iran managing to keep being democratic, independent, and successful (success meaning, in this instance, an increasing middle class, increasing standard of living, and increasingly diversified economy) despite the US doing everything it could get away with to punish Iran for the 'crime' of embarassing the US by overthrowing the murderously oppressive regime they were backing even after its fall was obvious. It is ironic that the thing the US has to do (keeping the house of Sauds in power) to keep its reputation as a superpower that can get away with practically everything it wants (such as its attacks on Iran) threatens its economy so much that it can't really afford to do it (and continuing to do it anyway is going to lead to a situation where it has neither the financial clout, nor the military reputation, to do more than sputter unheeded threats, at least for a while)
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Glen Davi
All Men Are Brothers
02:37 PM on 06/11/2012
How can what you say be true if all America has to do is produce more oil
and gas?

Surely OPEC and what it does is meaningless, and we can create $2.50 gal
gas on our own.

When I tell people that sure we can produce more and are, but they can
intentionally produce less and the free market will keep the price of oil and
gas wherever they want it to be, they look at me as if I had just said the dumbest
thing any human could possibly say.
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powercosmic
The Anti-Christ
02:33 PM on 06/11/2012
Hmmm....

First one has to realize that the Oil Lobby owns everything, no I'm not suggesting direct ownership, but by virtue of the fact that they can raise or lower prices on a "Prerequisite" (with a capital P) resource means that they can own things indirectly. This extends to Politicians, Banks, and Wall Street, in essence the Global Economy.

The Charter of our Constitution is one that gives the illusion that this kind of top-down power and control over "the Economy" is what we Citizens were supposed to prevent.

Americans have failed in their Constitutional Duty and they will now pay the price, the Oil Lobby has no allegiance to anyone or anything.

Now some reading this may think that I'm implying that there is a "conspiracy" or coordinated effort to keep the world enslaved to the Oil Lobby. Well, that would be wrong. I do not believe that and there does not have to be any such conscious effort for harm to come to us from unregulated Market forces, just as there does not need to exist a global conspiracy to addict people to crack cocaine for harm to come to people from that market.