The oil patch mumbo jumbo continues unabated. Today, Rex Tillerson, the CEO of the nation's largest oil company, Exxon, took a minute or two to instruct us about the reasons for the current price of oil. This is the same personage who, a while back informed us, his customers, that "ethanol is moonshine."
This time around, according to Tillerson, "Inventory levels are at historic high levels--especially in the U.S." he then provides us with his particular self-serving oil patch rationalization for high oil prices.
You see, it is not the machination of OPEC of which Exxon and its peers are the primary beneficiaries, nor the speculation of oil traders and bank holding companies, nor the possibility that the producers, with their enormous cash reserves, might be gaming the price of oil on the exchanges. No, in the spirit of that great American philosopher Alfred E. Neuman, Mr. Tillerson has come up with a causation that is outside the perceived responsibility of the oil industry. Who, him worry? You see, it mostly rests with the currency effect of a weak dollar.
According to Tillerson some $20/25 per barrel is due to the erosion of the dollar. Really? Since February of this year the price of oil has increased some 250% from $33/bbl to reaching $80/bbl Just a few days ago. This while the value of the dollar has eroded some 15% only. A relationship between the price of oil and the erosion of the dollar on a percentage basis should bring the price of oil to approximately $38/bbl. Certainly not the near $80 we are transferring to Exxon and their comrades in arms.
Far be it for the industry to play it straight, to simply state that price as currently constituted has nothing to do with market dynamics of supply and demand. Something far more sinister is afoot and it is long past due that our oversight agencies such as the CFTC take a very serious look at how our commodity exchanges are contributing to these distortions.
But then again, within the confines of the oil industry Grimm's Fairy Tale narrative, Mr. Tillerson's imaginative turns of phrase are always welcome.