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Richard (RJ) Eskow

Richard (RJ) Eskow

Posted: December 15, 2010 11:49 AM

Last Friday the White House partied like it was 1999. It was fascinating to see Bill Clinton back at the podium, and it's always a pleasure to see a master of the medium at work. But the Administration's latest moves raise serious concerns about the future of Obama's Presidency. Clinton played the "centrist" angle brilliantly in the 1990s, artfully fusing Republican and Democratic positions and rescuing his own political fortunes. But times have changed, even if Washington's illusions have not.

Today the country's real center -- the commonly-held set of goals and aspirations shared by Democrats, Republicans, and independents alike -- has never been farther from the narrow right-leaning viewpoint that's still being peddled as a "centrism." If the White House and other Democrats buy into that illusion, as they seem to be doing, they'll lose the country.

The Third Way Fallacy

Politicians and journalists in Washington cling to the belief that there's a better way to run government, one that dispenses with the messy process of debate and disagreement. Call it "the Third Way Fallacy." It suggests that all will be well if we just stop all the partisan "bickering" -- "bickering" being a pejorative word for the political discourse that permits voters to distinguish one politician's views from another and vote accordingly. The Third Way approach would replace the quarrelsome democratic process with a system in which powerful people from both parties sit down amicably to "work things out," presumably in quiet -- and private -- places.

This elusive dream is revived every couple of years by some well-funded publicity campaign, and this year is no exception. Like its predecessors, this year's model assumes there's a political spectrum represented by Democrats on the left and Republicans on the right. If they meet in the middle, the fallacy goes, we will have found the "center."

But if we look at the public's opinions issue by issue we see that the opinions of this so-called "center" -- the points on which so many Washington-based Republicans, Democrats, and journalists agree -- is wildly out of step with Americans of all political affiliations. The nation's center is not the Beltway's center.

Truth in labelling

There's a reason why we have laws requiring labels. Without them people can get sold a bill of goods. Consider the latest PR campaign for the right-wing Washington consensus, "No Labels": Its "founding leaders" include two key members of George W. Bush's political team, several mid-level figures from the rightmost spectrum of the Democratic Party, and two career "centrists" (including Jon Cowan, whose organization "Third Way" provided the name for this new fallacy). The reason this group isn't labelled is because a label would read as follows: "A center-right to far-right group that reflects the worldview of powerful Washington insiders from both parties."

I feel safe in predicting that "No Labels" will revolutionize American politics every bit as much as Unity08 did. That is, it's going to be announced with great fanfare -- fanfare that's generated by the highly-paid efforts of Washington publicists. It will then be received enthusiastically by the David Broder crowd, and nobody else. Within six months it will have been forgotten by the few people who had ever even heard of it in the first place.

"No Labels" is the latest reflection of a deep-seated yearning among Washington insiders: the yearning to fuse the leadership of both parties into a unitary political order, one that can dispense with bothersome chores like justifying your actions to the public. Washington "centrists" are the One Worlders of American politics, dreaming of a Utopia governed by a Council of Elders.

Except that these Elders rose to power in the rough-and-tumble world of partisan campaigns funded by influential donors. They're not going to suddenly turn into a wise and kindly ruling body likes the ones that govern peaceful forest planets on old Star Trek episodes. If they're given free reign to cut secret deals behind closed doors, the result won't be Utopia.

Washington 'Bipartisanship' vs. Public Opinion

Some of the Administration's comments imply they've interpreted this election as a mandate to pursue precisely this form of centrism, and the President has often indicated that this is how he would prefer to govern. What have we seen so far, as the result of horse-trading conducted by party leaders along a narrow political spectrum?

  • Social Security benefit cuts appear to be a real possibility, despite the fact that a vast majority of the country opposes them -- including 76% to 77% of independents, Republicans, and Tea Party supporters.
  • The financial reform bill was largely negotiated behind closed doors, out of the public eye. As a result, we'll never know which politicians undercut some of that bill's most urgently needed provisions. That kind of secrecy that undermines democracy and public accountability, especially when most Americans want stronger bank regulations. That's an option that the bipartisan "consensus" has agreed is not on the table.
  • One financial reform measure rejected by the "bipartisans" -- a limitation on bonuses for bankers we've rescued -- was more popular with Republicans than Democrats! (That makes sense, when you think about it: If you believe in the free market, as they -- and I -- do, you should believe that bad judgement must be punished with economic pain.) Overall, 85% of the public wanted large bonuses limited or banned. The "centrists" say no.
  • Only one American in 25 thought that Congress should make deficits its first priority after the last election, and only one in 50 thought its first priority should be taxes. What's dominated Washington politics (and media coverage) since then? Deficits and taxes.

The end result is shown below:

2010-12-15-ThePublicvs.DCCentrism.JPG

The blue portion of the bar represents the majority opinion on each issue. In every case, this view is supported by most Republicans and independents, as well as by most Democrats. There's a real bipartisan consensus in the nation -- to protect Social Security, tax the wealthy, preserve Medicare, improve banking regulations, and ban big bonuses at banks which were rescued by the taxpayers. The ersatz 'centrism' being peddled in Washington is on the wrong side of every single issue. It would turn the leadership of the country over to people on the red, rightmost side of the chart, restricting the debate to the best way of implementing these unpopular positions.

No wonder 70% of people surveyed are "somewhat" or "deeply dissatisfied" with the way Washington works. The political consensus doesn't represent them, and these "solutions" would merely institutionalize that lack of representiation.

Bipartisan, Nonpartisan, Antipartisan

Sure, people say they'd prefer a "bipartisan" solution when pollsters. They'd rather see politicians act in the country's interests, rather than their own. But "bipartisan" literally means "of two parties" - Democrats and Republicans. On issue after issue, neither party is promoting the public's preferred policies. What's striking about the polling data is how much agreement there is among registered Democrats, Republicans, and independents - and how different that agreement is from the conservative agenda being peddled in their names as "centrism."

Neither the public, nor the press, nor politicians seem to understand the difference between "bi-partisanship" -- something negotiated between Democrats and Republicans -- and "non-partisanship," which is the process of making decisions without partisan preference or loyalty.

A "nonpartisan" set of solutions crafted by experts might closely parallel the public's preferences. Or the experts might offer several alternatives for the public to choose from. Either way, a non-partisan approach would probably lead to far more democratic results than the bi-partisan approach being pushed in Washington today.

The Third Way Fallacy fundamentally misreads independent voters, too. While many of those voters will vote for candidates from both parties -- "I vote the man, not the party," as they said in the old sexist days -- many of them hold both parties in equal disdain. They'll vote for a candidate like John McCain for just as long as they can believe he's not a self-serving politician like all the others. These voters aren't bi-partisan, either. They're anti-partisan.

Why doesn't the "centrist"/Third Way/ "No Labels" pitch ever work with voters who don't like either party? I can only use a personal example: I don't like pickles in my sandwiches. I don't like cottage cheese, either. If someone offered me a pickles-and-cottage cheese sandwich, I would not want to eat it.

Do not remove tag under penalty of law

Another prominent member of the "No Labels" team is David Walker, the former U. S. Comptroller General who comes to the team after two years in the employ of Pete Peterson's foundation. Peterson's the billionaire who opposes most taxes for the wealthy, wants to radically downsize government, and has spared no effort or expense in his mission to cut Social Security benefits. Peterson's used the "no labels" playbook for many of his highly subsidized ventures, including the "AmericaSpeaks" forums, his "bipartisan" commissions of right-wingers from both parties, and of course his Deathrace 2000 "Deficitball" games.

How would a truly "no labels" agenda look if it reflected the strongly-held policy preferences held by Americans across the political spectrum, and weighed the consensus view of truly non-partisan experts? It would protect Social Security benefits, promote public investment in jobs and growth, tax the wealthy and the big banks to restore deficit balance, and expand the financial regulations passed earlier this year.

What do all those positions have in common? They're the exact opposite of everything David Walker's been trying to accomplish for the last two years . As for "No Labels," it is keeping a veil of secrecy around its donor list. We're not allowed to know who's bankrolling this venture.

See why we need labels?

Behind the labels

Why aren't the views of the American majority represented in Washington? For one thing, they threaten the vested interests that bankroll political campaigns -- and gimmicky "centrist' organizations, too. For another, these views look an awful lot like liberalism, which Washington elites have spent decades demonizing. A lot of "Third Way" types are too locked in the left/right paradigms of the past to embrace positions that look this much like Mommy and Daddy's liberalism. But unfortunately for them, yesterday's liberalism is today's bipartisan consensus. So they keep trying to marginalize these ideas by pretending they represent the extreme wing of one party, rather than the views of an overwhelming majority.

There's nothing wrong with holding center-right opinions, of course. And there's nothing wrong with advocating a form of governance that would dispense with public debate and turn decision-making over to current or former leaders from both parties. But it's misleading to label those positions "mainstream" or "centrist." They're not. Back in the 1990s, a lot of people in both parties believed financial deregulation and reduced government services would lead to a brighter future. But deregulation led to disaster, and today the American people see the vital role government plays in their lives. The public has changed with the times. The "Beltway bipartisans" have not.

Third-Rate Results

We saw the electoral fruits of the Third Way fallacy in November's election. Democrats who embraced it were seen as representing nothing in particular, so they were judged by the status quo -- a status quo that was made worse by "centrist" policies. Now we're seeing an ever-widening gap between the public's wishes and a Republican/Democratic/media elite that refuses to accept or acknowledge them. That's a recipe for bad policy, and politically it's a one way ticket for the Democratic Party to receive the Mother of All Shellackin's in 2012.

It's still not too late. Many Democrats embrace the proposals most Americans want. A few Republicans will back them too, if forced into the open by partisan "bickering," as we learned during the financial reform debate. The President can still embrace them too, leading his party and the country toward a much brighter future than the one they seem to face today. But to do that he'll have to let go of the Third Way Fallacy and fight for the positions that the American people want and need.
_________________________________________________

(UPDATE: Most links for these polling figures can be found here or here.)

Richard (RJ) Eskow, a consultant and writer (and former insurance/finance executive), is a Senior Fellow with the Campaign for America's Future. This post was produced as part of the Curbing Wall Street project and the Strengthen Social Security campaign. Richard also blogs at A Night Light.

He can be reached at "rjeskow@ourfuture.org."

Website: Eskow and Associates

 

Follow Richard (RJ) Eskow on Twitter: www.twitter.com/rjeskow

 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mark Frazer
09:04 AM on 12/17/2010
"The pragmatic concern is not ends but means, which results in the substitution of technique for goals. This inner void of the centrists is a great incentive to the ideologues. And the centrists may even relish the stimulation of extremes because it is the context in which they can position themselves as moderate. Their stance, however, can be defined by the ideologues because their positioning is a product of outer-direction. Rather than offering general ideas, the pragmatists assume that isolated facts by themselves make a convincing case. They have no story to tell, except that their facts are not the story of nasty extremes. But power must seek purpose, or wither. The pragmatism of the centrists is a constant rationale, not a purpose itself; it is a true conservatism and a false pragmatism. It has little in common with the spirit of the philosophy that originated with Charles Peirce, or any philosophy. "
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mark Frazer
09:04 AM on 12/17/2010
"According to common political usage, pragmatism has no philosophical content, except the absence of such content, which is why there is often a bias in its favor; it means tactical adjustment within the current arrangements. Pragmatism is the politics of status quo maintenance, and it is ultimately inflexible because it rules out challenge to established power. Its absolute relativism, moreover, renders it derivative. The pragmatist never initiates, but constantly seeks middle ground. He lives by the spirit of the yardstick, always calibrating some elusive center determined by the distance between others' points. His program is a series of disconnected policies. The self-styled pragmatist rejects Mondale's image yet embraces Mondale's premise. Against that contradiction, the conservative defends his program as thoroughly consistent. But the ideologue's advantage is less his program than his purpose. Proposals divorced from larger principles are mechanical and cold, and however smoothly diagrammed are politically lifeless.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mark Frazer
09:03 AM on 12/17/2010
i always think of this in regards to what this article is talking about...

from rise of the counter-establishment by sidney blumenthal, p. 296:

As self-described "pragmatists," they continued their quest for the "center," just as Mondale had before his defeat. After two thrashings they regarded Reagan as a right-winger who, through occult powers, had spirited away this "center." Could it be won back by an even more intense "pragmatism"?

In the conventional wisdom, pragmatism is the rightful opponent of ideology. To be pragmatic is to be moderate, realistic, and sensible. Moderation, of course, may refer to an implicit belief in due process and a measured approach to citizenship. But the "moderation" of the self-conscious "centrist" is less a matter of principle than of positioning asserted as principle.
01:11 PM on 12/16/2010
I agree with everything in this article except that we should look to President Obama to champion the policies that the public wants vs what the centrists want. Obama is an enabler for the centrists. He doesn't deserve to be the leader of the Democratic Party, and should step down in 2012.
12:40 PM on 12/16/2010
This is the best civics lesson I've read in a long time. It's a shame that no one in the White House, Congress, or inside the beltway media will pay any attention. The calls for "bipartisanship" emanate primarily from those who define it as Democrats capitulating to Republicons. The truth is that we have never had non-partisan politics in this country. Political parties exist because they espouse a set of beliefs. People attach their allegiance to political parties because they share those beliefs. Example: Democrats believe in tax policies that share the burden fairly. Republicons believe in tax policies that benefit the wealthy. Those are two diametrically opposed points of view. Should we abandon our principles because there are some people who don't understand what the partisanship is about? The Romans had a phrase for it, "Cui bono?" Who benefits? Nothing in human nature has changed.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
ThatsTheTheWayItIs
religion, ideology, partisanship are delusional
11:28 AM on 12/16/2010
The author is political, partisan and ideological, can't see that Americans are not.
Like the religious, they think we'd be religious too if we just saw the truth.
11:55 AM on 12/16/2010
Evidence?
03:59 PM on 12/16/2010
Most voters are political, partisan, and ideological to varying degrees. A large chunk of the American people are not even adequately informed enough to be categorized as even "slightly knowledgable" of history, civics, or politics -much less are they involved in the political process or there would be a vastly different turnout and end result for all election cycles from local to national levels.

The author, however, doesn't come across as patently any of the things you accuse him of being -unless, of course, you like making unfounded charges.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
ThatsTheTheWayItIs
religion, ideology, partisanship are delusional
07:07 PM on 12/16/2010
It's roughly 1/3 who are totally non ideological or partisan, but they are like avowed atheists, true independents. Most others aren't true believers, aren't strongly liberal/conservative or Dem/Repub. They are in fact Independents, and change their party affiliation. The poll below shows that for the first time more Americans say they are Repubs than Dems, shows why Dems lost on Nov 2. People that change parties are really Independents, just a matter of who they currently identify with.

42% say they are conservative, 20% liberal. That leaves 38% as "other", there are about as many non-ideological as conservatives.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/partisan_trends

36.0% of American Adults identified themselves as Republicans; 34.7% considered themselves Democrats, and 29.3% were not affiliated with either major party.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Purplee
10:35 AM on 12/16/2010
Facts like the ones you show here just don't matter. It would be astonishing if we ever had a truthful discussion about wealth, poverty and the middle class in America. No debate went into the recent tax cut compromise. President Obama's constant assertion that taxes on income above $250,000 per year should return to previous levels belies the fact that a quarter of a million dollars is peanuts to those 403 billionaires and 7.8 MILLION millionaires who reside in the U.S. Some of our multi billionaire's wealth is at the 40 billion dollar level. Meanwhile I am 62 years old, have worked 43 years and cannot retire until I am 70 thanks partly to my 401 K losses of 2008. I have not had a raise in 4 years and my health insurance policy has been dramatically cut back. The annual social security projection report I received this week showed that if I retire at age 62 I will receive less money than last year's projection yet my average 5 year income rose. I am one of the lucky ones.

Multi-millionaire Rick Santelli ranted last week on CNBC that a 2 year extension of tax cuts was not enough time to change anything. So I guess that means we will not be seeing job creation coming out of this tax break scheme. That attitude from Wall Street coupled with the 2012 presidential election will support the status quo and increasing debt levels.
09:53 AM on 12/16/2010
Another outstanding piece, argued with unflinching logic, revealing the bankruptcy of the 'Third Way' approach that has been ceding ground to the right and undermining liberal goals for the last twenty years. It's so refreshing to see progressive principles clearly and unapologetically articulated like this. Keep up the great work, R.J.
bcunnin679
Political Correctness, the enemy of free speech
09:13 AM on 12/16/2010
What are the cuts to SS?
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
oldngrumpy
My micro-bio is no longer empty
02:00 PM on 12/16/2010
Every attempt to weaken the program, which have been continuous from the right wing, is a prelude to a "cut". It's the same approach that the right uses against government in general. Make it unworkable and point out your own inflicted damage as proof that it doesn't work. Their ultimate goal is the destruction of our foundational law that provides the underpinning of our society and culture. Without the protections of the citizens provided by government business becomes completely unrestrained and can remake the American culture to it's liking.
bcunnin679
Political Correctness, the enemy of free speech
03:59 PM on 12/16/2010
You did not answer the question. What are the cuts?
Are you in politics, because you certainly gave a circle answer
09:10 AM on 12/16/2010
the president presents a problem for the Democrat-captured media. They pump out his propaganda for him --- and, like the opinion monitors in Ayn Rand's novel, "Atlas Shrugged" --- they are dodging brickbats and rotten vegetables.

He's pompous, pampered, and pretentious --- a pseudo-intellectual fop. He's a glorified, smooth-lyin' dandy, and slicker than Sick Willie Clinton. He's a dictator-on-the-make, a bloodsxcking, predatory humanitarian thug, and a low-down skunk.

He's a fraud and a swindler. He lies when he inhales and he lies when he exhales; his oxygen is the falsification of reality. He lies, placidly and laconically, as if deception were a soporific drug.

He's a friend of the poor and the downtrodden --- indeed, you can hear the milk of human kindness sloshing around inside of him when he walks.

He declares himself the post-racial leader --- "Let me be clear!" he intones --- and he hides behind his race, daring his critics to put their reputation for fairness at risk.

He pauses to ponder the portent of his propaganda --- and it is fakery; he smiles and his mendacity comes shining through. Shake hands with Barak Hushpuppy OhBummer --- "The Mistake of '08"
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
LouGots
07:16 AM on 12/16/2010
This essay betrays which side stands to gain from economic downturn. Many on the Right care about the so-called "social issues" more that economic issues. The lives of the unborn, the right to keep and bear arms, the defense of marriage--those are the things that matter to the "What's the Matter with Kansas" set.

The Leftist dream is to make the social conservatives scared and hungry. Economic adversity is a window of opportunity for baby-murder, gun-grabbing and the promotion of perversion.

Well, you just do that Tovarischii, take the gloves off. Don't let those old, White people push you around. Go for the gusto. While you're at it, start talking about a new "Assault Weapons" "Ban," more open borders and amnesty. Wave those rainbow flags around. Push racial quotas a lot--that's another big winner.
11:58 AM on 12/16/2010
I'm a liberal. I want capitalism to succeed. You are wrong about my wishes. Republicans have gained from the economic downturn. We don't need this author or you to tell us who will benefit, we just had an election. The rest of your post is doublespeak the North Koreans would be proud of.
02:33 PM on 12/16/2010
thyself
02:33 PM on 12/16/2010
Know theyself:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Right-wing_authoritarianism
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
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06:25 AM on 12/16/2010
The most succinct assessment I have seen in years!Thanks
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
aacme
My micro-bio is on a strict need-to-know basis.
05:33 AM on 12/16/2010
The president is faced with a huge opportunity here, to side with the majority of the people. If he doesn't grasp that opportunity, I believe the time may be right for a 3rd party to come on the scene and gather together those frustrated voters.
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ljmck
Stand Up, Show Up, Speak Up
05:20 AM on 12/16/2010
Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.

Media today cover the news as if it is a yearlong version of the Kentucky Derby, where bettors may win or lose and no one cares if the horse dies. What we are getting is news reporting designed not to offend anyone, especially the powerful perpetrators of whatever public depredation is currently occurring.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
rystew2040
03:17 AM on 12/16/2010
Very, very well said. The people that constantly argue that ALL issues should be compromised somewhere in the middle are the same ones who see someone flailing their arms while drowning and don't do anything because they say they aren't certified lifeguards.

The irony of this whole thing is that in the pro-business/capitalists society we live in there is no such thing as a middle or compromise. A corporation is not shy about the fact that their sole purpose is to make money for the corporation by any means necessary. The corporation NEVER COMPROMISES when it goes against their own interest. When it comes to the well being of the corporation THERE IS NO MIDDLE. When it comes to the corporation it either helps the business OR IT DOESN'T EVEN GET CONSIDERED. So why, I ask, are all the very same people who claim to be such hard line capitalists so offended by the idea of our entire nation, a nation that is supposed to be run by you and me, running itself the same way. That is, as a nation, we do not support policies, regardless of being left, right or center when we know they will DESTROY OUR NATION.
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ljmck
Stand Up, Show Up, Speak Up
05:29 AM on 12/16/2010
Once upon a time (I know you'll think this a fairy tale), business thought delivering value was part of the transaction. Today, the only consideration of a business's worth is its bottom line. Worse, business supercedes every other value we might once have held dear, because everything supposedly depends upon commerce.

In the face of recession, it's too easy (and too profitable for business) for us to lose sight of other values. You know, those silly concepts of life, liberty, the pursuit of happiness, education, inspiration, community...