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Richard (RJ) Eskow

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Desolation Row: Five Pictures of the Future in a Paul Ryan/Mitt Romney America

Posted: 03/30/2012 4:15 pm

Economic radical Paul Ryan has endorsed Mitt Romney, Romney's embraced the Ryan budget, and the House Republicans have voted to enact the Romney/Ryan vision of the future into law. Yet an eerie silence has settled over the vision itself: How would it affect our daily lives? What kind of country would we become?

The Romney/Ryan America of tomorrow is more like the science-fiction worlds of H.G. Wells' The Time Machine or Fritz Lang's Metropolis than it is like the United States as we know it. The privileged few would be even more wealthy than they are today, while the rest of us struggle to survive in a dystopian world of disease, deprivation, and fear.

That's not lefty rhetoric, either. All you have to do is read the budget.

What did Romney say about Ryan's budget? "He is setting the right tone for finally getting spending and entitlements under control. Anyone who has read my book knows that we are on the same page." For his part, Paul Ryan expressed confidence that Romney will enact something very close to the budget he proposed and House Republicans passed this week.

And yet the real vision they're offering for the country is somehow off-limits in polite company. They're being treated like reasonable politicians, rather than as radicals whose social agenda is severely out of step with that their predecessors in both parties. That has to stop. We need to quit discussing the political horse-race and start talking in real-life terms about the country they intend to create.

Here are five glimpses of the American future under Romney, Ryan, and the Republicans:

1. Diseased America

Forget what it means to be a just society for a moment (they certainly have) and think about what it will mean for the public health of our nation if the Romney/Ryan budget is ever enacted.

By 2022 their plan would cut federal Medicaid funding by roughly one-third. The Urban Institute has estimated that states would drop between 14 million and 27 million people from Medicaid by 2021. Provider reimbursements would drop by roughly one-third, too, meaning that even people who still have Medicaid coverage will find it increasingly difficult to find doctors and hospitals willing to treat them. The Romney/Ryan plan's radical changes to Medicare would also dramatically cut older Americans' access to health care.

We live with the constant threat of deadly pandemics like avian flu and SARS. The fact that those two diseases didn't kill millions shouldn't be taken as proof that it can't happen, any more than failed terrorist attacks prove we aren't at risk: We are. And we're increasingly facing the risk of MRSAs and other deadly drug-resistant infections, which have a tendency to develop and spread in medically underserved populations such as inner cities and prisons.

So forget the inhumanity of this plan, one-percenters, and look at it selfishly: The Romney/Ryan plan to dismantle health will endanger your lives.

2. Time Machine America

Middle class? Not in their world. There will be the rich -- and everybody else.

The Romney/Ryan plan guts the financial security of middle-class Americans by leaving them to face on old age of deprivation, impossibly costly health care, and reduced benefits. What's more, their radical cuts will create a cascading wave of unemployment that will make today's intractable job situation even worse.

At the same time the Romney/Ryan plan promises more huge tax cuts for the wealthy and uber-wealthy (more about that shortly), which it tries to offset by closing unspecified loopholes.

Which loopholes could they mean? There aren't many to choose from. They probably intend to cut or eliminate the mortgage interest tax deduction, which would decimate already-struggling middle class homeowners, and the tax deduction for employer-provided healthcare, which would leave middle-class Americans with even less health coverage than they have today.

Their tax policy, along with the dismantling of our retirement security, will guide us toward that H.G. Wells world, where a small pampered elite frolicking in luxurious gardens while the rest of the country struggles in dark underground tunnels of job insecurity and financial difficulty.

3. Starving America

And a lot of those "underground Americans" will starve. As the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities documents, 62 percent of the Ryan/Romney cuts come from programs that serve low-income communities.

Millions of people would lose access to food stamps or see their benefits cut substantially, even though studies have shown that this program doesn't contribute to the deficit in any substantial way. (In other words, they're just doing it because they don't like people in need.)

The Ryan/Romney plan to promote what Ryan calls "Welfare Reform Part 2" ignores the lessons of Part 1. By reducing funds and turning many of these programs back to the states, their plan would subject low-income Americans to humiliating tests, steep benefit cuts, and other cutbacks.

The end result would be a steep increase in food insecurity and hunger, in a nation that's already at or near the top of the charts for these problems when compared to other industrialized nations. In fact, at last report more than 9 percent of US homes experienced "food insecurity" and 5.4 percent of homes were severely food insecure. Expect those figures to rise sharply in Ryan and Romney's America.

4. Death-Star America

Romney and Ryan don't want to cut all government spending. They're proposing steep increases to defense expenditures, in ways that clearly violate the last "grand bargain" between congressional Republicans and the president.

When combined with their steep cuts elsewhere, which reduces all non-mandated government spending to something close to zero, the Romney/Ryan vision of government is one that provides less than the bare minimum to its citizens while spending many times (see CBPP and Matt Yglesias for more) what other nations spend on extravagant and needless military programs.

2012-03-30-RYANROMNEYDEFENSESPENDING.jpg

Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan would turn our nation into an armed fortress, ringed on the outside with expensive but often nonfunctional science-fiction weaponry and rotting from within from poverty and fear.

5. Obscene-Wealth America

That's the world the rest of us would live in. But for wealthy people like Mitt Romney life would be very sweet indeed. Millionaires would get to keep their extravagant Bush tax cuts, under which a top tax rate that was 91 percent under Eisenhower and 70 percent under Reagan is only 35 percent -- and Ryan and Romney would top that off by giving them another $265,000 per year in cuts!

As the CBPP reports, "After-tax incomes would rise by 12.5 percent among millionaires, but just 1.9 percent for middle-income households" -- and after the many other cuts and "loophole closings" in Romney/Ryan, after-tax income would actually plummet for those middle-income families.

Conclusion: RomneyWorld USA

All that -- and it doesn't even reduce the deficit! In fact, Ira Stoll correctly notes in Reason that "it would increase federal outlays to $4,888 billion in 2022 from $3,624 billion in 2012, an increase of about 35% over ten years."

And yet Ryan's being celebrated in the media as a "bold" advocate for deficit reduction, and he's Mitt Romney's right-hand man on the economy. Americans need to understand what kind of country we will become if they succeed. Mitt Romney is likely to become the standard-bearer for his party, and he has embraced this vision of the future.

Voters need to understand what that means. When they talk about budgets they're not talking about numbers on a page. They're talking about us.

Richard (RJ) Eskow, a consultant and writer (and former insurance/finance executive), is a Senior Fellow with the Campaign for America's Future and the host of The Breakdown, broadcast Saturdays nights from 7-9 pm on WeAct Radio, AM 1480 in Washington DC

 

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bigtimechillerm
Why does the left despise self-governance?
10:01 AM on 04/02/2012
In my opinion, Ryan's budget doesn't go far enough, cutting too little too late. Currently, the US Federal debt is equal to the GDP. While progressives would partially blame too little taxation on corporations, our corporations are already taxed at the highest rate in the world, hence our jobs were transferred elsewhere. They also blame the richest 1%, even though they already pay 40% of all revenue the IRS takes in.

JFK, Reagan, Clinton and Bush2 all cut taxes on the wealthiest and the result was a thriving economy, increased revenues and LESS people living below the poverty line in each case according to government statistics.

So we cannot tax our way out of debt as more poverty, more jobs and capital leaving the country would be the result. The only other option is to CUT SPENDING. The MAJORITY of spending is for ENTITLEMENTS. Its either cut it now or we go the way of Greece.

We are living beyond our means to provide these safety nets, yet all of the $trillions that have been thrown at poverty subsidies have done little to change the percentage of the population living in poverty.

Keep demagoguing the issue though (diseased, starving, obscene wealth etc.) and the problem will be self-solving when we become completely bankrupt.
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Josh Crawford
Just the facts, man!
04:31 AM on 04/02/2012
People with incomes above $1 million would receive a $265,000 average annual tax cut just from the new Ryan proposals (i.e., not counting the $129,000 they would also receive from extension of the Bush tax cuts). For these people, their tax CUTS would be eight times the average total after-tax INCOMES of people in the middle 20 percent of the income scale. Middle-income taxpayers — those with incomes between $50,000 and $75,000 — would receive $1,045, on average. And someone making $10-20,000 per year would get a $113 break, on average. After-tax incomes of people who make more than $1 million a year would rise by 12.5 percent, on average — six times more than the 1.9 percent average gain for middle-income households. People making more than $1 million a year would receive 37 percent of the new Ryan tax cuts even though they constitute less than one-half of one percent of U.S. households.
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Jody Dobis
04:57 PM on 04/01/2012
In a nut shell, the republicans believe that God created all humans equal. Inequality, however, has everything to do with the devil and not following the word of God. While you wouldn't expect us to be at this point in 2012, we are. When is the last time you heard someone complain that the rich was taking to much of the wealth and resources of this country? I don't hear the outcry. On the other hand, when was the last time you heard someone complain about the poor and disadvantaged taking unfair and even "immoral" advantage of our social safety nets? In some circles, it's every day to every hour. The discussion is dominated not so much by the rich but the average middle class worker. No wonder the republicans love them. As with a bully, it is easier and a lot less riskier to blame the poor than the wealthy that signs your pay role check every week. the unions were willing to trade beatings, death and a whole host of life's necessities for a fair share of the wealth they helped to generate for the wealthy class. In today's America, the average middle class has been fooled to believe that the rich won't come after their wages and benefits in the next round of down sizing. What fools. If the middle class is not willing to fight for their own existence, they only have themselves to blame for the inevitable decline to extinction in this country.
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Robert SF
03:40 PM on 04/01/2012
But isn't this what America wants? The vision is very heroic. It's about freedom and independence. It's about standing and surveying all that you own, and however little that is, it's about the fact that you earned every single button that you own. Nobody gave you a damn thing. You surivived because you are super man. And not only that, but the weak ones, you know, the dark ones? They're GONE.

That is the conservative vision, and they manage to poke it into the brains of the poor, who then vote against their own interests.
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Harleigh
a merikan snarkerer fer jebus!
01:14 PM on 04/01/2012
Sounds alot like early 1930's Germany and we all know how that worked out. But we still got 7 carrier groups and a non-working missile defense shield system! Ain't it a hoot we have not won a war since 1945 even by just attacking 3rd world places we still lose. LOL
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BrettnCalgary
12:00 AM on 04/02/2012
That's not at all true, the notzees bought the support of the population with public works and full employment, not austerity. The elites in their case were smart enough to realize the benefit public support provided their entire agenda.
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Azheera
Born libertarian
04:10 PM on 03/31/2012
All the more reason to elect Ron Paul, whose economic proposal will NOT increase the federal debt and will balance the federal budget by the third year of his term. Read it here:
http://www.ronpaul2012.com/the-issues/ron-paul-plan-to-restore-america/
And Ron Paul is the only one who predicted what we are experiencing now and he predicted it way back in 2002:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zGDisyWkIBM&feature=share
01:06 PM on 04/01/2012
Please spare us the libertarian rhetoric that does not address the future of the USA, only the future of the libertarian wealthy.
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Robert SF
03:41 PM on 04/01/2012
He would run into the same fate that Obama has: the Republicans would block him at every turn.
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Azheera
Born libertarian
07:33 PM on 04/02/2012
As I've commented before, many times, there is much that Ron Paul can do without the aid of congress. Thanks to recent history, our government has become unbalanced, the executive branch is more powerful than the legislative branch at this point (and SCOTUS usually accedes to whatever gives government more power and the people less). Most of the things that need changing most and first are under the purview of the executive. Once America gets a taste of what it is like to live under a Constitutional government it is highly likely to pressure congress to continue on the path Ron Paul would set.
02:03 PM on 03/31/2012
“[Conservatives are] engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral philosophy; ...the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness. --- JK Galbraith
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Rixar13
U.S. Coast Guard Veteran and University
12:26 PM on 03/31/2012
"The Romney/Ryan plan guts the financial security of middle-class Americans by leaving them to face on old age of deprivation, impossibly costly health care, and reduced benefits."

Hopefully won't happen.... sigh
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Azheera
Born libertarian
04:12 PM on 03/31/2012
You can hope all you want but hoping doesn't change anything, we saw that with Obama's administration, so much hope and all we got was complete disappointment.
09:51 AM on 03/31/2012
The architect and his empty suit henchmen plot the final destuction of the American middle class, seniors along with the hope and prosperity of millions of Americans. They have so much, yet want us to have so little. The new radical GOP has become the menace to decency and democracy within our own borders.
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Azheera
Born libertarian
04:13 PM on 03/31/2012
Which is why we do NOT elect Romney, Santorum or Gingrich. Ron Paul is our only choice for a free and prosperous America.
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Robert SF
03:42 PM on 04/01/2012
Be serious. Even under the best of circumstances, Ron Paul is a person, not a movement. Who would come after him? And if he were elected President, what could he do? As Obama has found out, being President doesn't mean people have to do what you say.
06:39 PM on 03/30/2012
Oh God, I can see it now: http://youtu.be/Nv4uY01_VoU
06:24 PM on 03/30/2012
disturbingly one sided
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gene2kelly
09:24 AM on 03/31/2012
do the research, the country does better under a more progressive government.....
01:19 PM on 03/31/2012
Says you, yet you back it up with no research yourself.

- Government out of the economy is a good thing, unless you want to pay higher prices for everything (I live in Canada I should know)
- Government have raised the tuition prices for everyone by creating student loans. Fact is without student loans, college prices would drop
- Capitalism works, we don't need the governments help
- Government should not force you to buy health insurance, just like it shouldn't stop you from doing anything that doesn't harm others
- Housing market collapsed due to the government (Bill Clinton)
05:20 PM on 03/30/2012
disturbingly scary