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Richard (RJ) Eskow

Richard (RJ) Eskow

Posted: April 16, 2010 01:50 PM

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon knew what he was talking about when he said that "large corporate America is in very, very, very, very good shape." It's a crude and insensitive remark, but an accurate one.

Unfortunately, the rest of us are still paying for the party. We bailed out the big bankers once, and if Dimon has his way we'll probably be forced to do it again. Despite his company's record first quarter, he's complaining. He thinks that asking banks to cover the cost of their own potential failure is "punitive." Dimon, once known as the "Democrats' banker," is throwing more cash to the GOP these days, and in return his wishes are being slavishly carried out by the likes of Mitch McConnell.

How dangerous are Dimon and his colleagues? Using data from Robert Litan's valuable study of derivatives, as well as source data from the Comptroller of the Currency (plus some handy tips from Mike Konczal), I put together some pie charts.

1. "Too Big to Fail" is Worse Than You Think

The misuse of derivatives nearly brought down the economy, and the concentration of these instruments in a few hands forced the government to bail out their holders. Are we any safer today? Here's the market share held by the top five banks trading in derivatives:

2010-04-15-Top5asPctofTotMarket.JPG

No, your eyes aren't deceiving you. The top five banks hold nearly 96% of the entire derivatives market. And we're not talking about small numbers here. The projected value of the market in over-the-counter derivatives is over $500 trillion dollars. (In "real" terms it's $3.3 trillion, which isn't chump change either. Here's a good explanation of what figures like these really mean. Short version: It's a lot of money.)

These "too big to fail" megabanks make up what Litan calls the "Derivatives Dealers' Club." Led by Dimon, they have the motive and the will to impede meaningful change -- and to do an end-run around whatever rules are eventually passed. Who are these "dealers"?

2. Meet the Derivatives Overlords

Here are the top four traders in derivatives (number five is much smaller), along with the share of the market they command. Notice that each one of them individually is bigger than "everybody else" put together.

2010-04-15-Top4inDerivativesMarket.JPG

If you're inclined to be impressed by Dimon's competence (which impresses mainly because basic competence seems to be rare in bank CEOs), look at the other companies in this chart. Ken Lewis at Bank of America and Chuck Prince at Citigroup were textbook examples of runaway in-competence. For that matter, so was Citi's "strategic" guru Robert Rubin. As for Goldman Sachs, that would be the same Goldman Sachs that just got indicted for securities fraud by the SEC. How safe do you feel?

Let's look at Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan Chase place in the pecking order:

3. Dimon's Dangerous Dominance

2010-04-15-jamiesworld.JPG

A single bank, JPMorgan Chase, has 44% of the derivatives market. This is the concentrated power and leverage that Dimon's fighting to protect. That's one reason why Simon Johnson calls him "The Most Dangerous Man in America". Moreover, as Johnson points out, Dimon knows how to present a great PR case for this irresponsible financial structure he represents. He's the friendly public face of a dangerous and greedy system.

And for you Dimon fans out there, remember: He's not going to be in the job forever. There could be a Chuck Prince or Ken Lewis waiting in the wings even now.

4. Here in the Real World

While Dimon's doing the victory dance - "large corporate America is in very, very, very, very good shape" - how's the rest of the country doing? These folks aren't doing so well:

2010-04-16-Longtermunemployed.JPG

Long-term unemployment is at levels we haven't seen since the Great Depression. These 6.5 million people face a future where they may never be able to return to the lives they once enjoyed.

5. Who Are the Unemployed?

2010-04-16-joblessbyage.JPG

(source for this slide and the one above: Bureau of Labor Statistics)

44% of all jobless people meet the definition of "long-term unemployed." Many of these people are too old to realistically start over. Their lives have been ruined. As for the wonderful state of large corporate America that Dimon celebrates, it came in part because Fortune 500 companies laid off more than 800,000 people in 2009. For these people, life is "very, very, very, very" grim.

That's the damage caused by greed. Here's the danger: George Soros says another, bigger crash is coming. (via ZeroHedge) Three of the Federal Reserve's regional heads say that we need to do something about "too big to fail" banks. The centralization of risk and power is leading us right into another disaster. We need to get the banking oligopoly under control. But Jamie Dimon is fighting back tooth and nail.

And that's why we must fight Jamie Dimon.
____________________________

Richard (RJ) Eskow, a consultant and writer (and former insurance/finance executive), is a Senior Fellow with the Campaign for America's Future. This post was produced as part of the Curbing Wall Street project. Richard blogs at:

No Middle Class Health Tax
A Night Light

Website: Eskow and Associates

 

Follow Richard (RJ) Eskow on Twitter: www.twitter.com/rjeskow

 
 
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03:25 PM on 04/23/2010
They made a movie about bankers headed to a meeting in Washington.

"Snakes on a Plane"
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10:55 PM on 04/18/2010
the financial terrorists are executing their shock and awe campaign.

Shocking how wall street is back at its highest levels ever, bankster bonuses are back to their highest levels ever all after paulson crawled on his knees to beg Pelosi for a tax payer bailout.

Shocking how these banks and hedge funds are American when it comes to tax payer bailouts and in name only since like murdoch setting up operations in China they are at least as entrenched in China and other countries as they are the US

Awful how they have decimated the middle and lower classes with the highest unemployment, foreclosure and bankruptcy rates, and loss of family savings as acceptable collateral damage
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09:40 PM on 04/18/2010
these guys are

financial terrorists

wielding weapons of mass destruction

to execute the greatest redistribution of wealth in history

upward to the wealthiest few.

they belong in prison in madoff's cell and their assets clawed back.
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Buckeye54
...the One your mom warned you about!
08:33 PM on 04/17/2010
Since 9/11, we've been scared of terrorists and thought they'd have Arabic names and be wearing bhurkas.
Turns out they were wearing 3-piece suits and sitting in corporate boardrooms across America.
Who knew?
KIampfbeobachter
Misanthropic economic and political shaman
08:18 PM on 04/17/2010
Pie chart #1. 96 of all derivatives controlled by 5 players. Each derivative need a counter party. If I buy a CDS someone must sell it to me. The seller gets the premium or fee or whatever my payment is called, I get the payout in the case of the default of the underlying debt. That is the simple part. The underwriter of that CDS of course can sell the position, in reality the revenue stream to someone else. Now "someone else" is on the hook. In order to have a liquid market in those things one needs speculators. How about creating a synthetic CDS based on a fictitious debt or bundle of debts. The buyer of that synthetic CDS expects a revenue stream, the seller expects the default. The default is determined by an agreed upon instrument i.g. the monthly foreclosure report.
How many of the $500 trillion are real, how many are synthetic, how many are are double and triple positions on the same CDO? Do at least some of our regulators know???
what if they don't? the most likely case!!!
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wethepeople3884
in Order to form a more perfect union ...
06:38 PM on 04/17/2010
Shout out to syracuse i think it was for petitioning against dimon giving a speech there
12:10 PM on 04/17/2010
They made the financial system so complicated with terms that the average Americans do not know: derivatives, credit swaps, etc. even finance and economic majors are having difficulties to define it except the brilliant economists such as Krugman, Simon, Kwak, Stiglitz and so on. Why is there even necessary for this complication is because the more Americans get confused about such complicated finance system, the less people become interested or they leave naively the knowledge and their money into the hands of financiers in good faith. Lessons learned: always ask your politicians and economists what does it mean for them when such financial policies, deregulations, free market, take effect. I hope those economists, politicians, etc fighting for this are protected because the corporations, including bankers, can now even go too extreme to control the government and the people because they have been allowed to accumulated out of control wealth to do whatever they want. Which is the fault of government and the inaction of people not to demand.
01:39 PM on 04/17/2010
"The more Americans get confused about such complicated finance system, the less people become interested or they leave naively the knowledge and their money into the hands of financiers in good faith."

Exactly. In reality, it's really not that complicated -- just a lot of smoke and mirrors. Economics in its purest form is basically just supply and demand. But when you artificially maintain a financial system -- as the Fed has done since 1913 -- you need to prop it up with explanations to cover your tracks.
11:31 AM on 04/17/2010
Sorry Timothy, I wasn't directing that last sentence at you.
11:24 AM on 04/17/2010
Each article about derivatives needs to begin with an explanation of what they are. If the general public understood how tenuous the values are in the derivative market, the GOP politicians who are opposing the regulation of that market would be set upon by mobs.

It is not a stretch to say that the value of almost everything we contract for is whatever these 4 banks say it is, and that is the most basic flaw in the system. Derivative values are established by the banks and the variables that are introduced into their calculations can be anything. The agencies that regulate derivatives have a negative command function. They don't look at securities and say: Does this calculation of value have basic integrity or not according to these standards? Rather they approve all derivatives unless there is a glaring inconsistency in the calculus.

The current scandal is exactly this: The derivatives traded by the 5 big banks were glaringly corrupt, but when a negative command structure is in place, all goes as it always has until someone says "no" and not one did.
11:12 AM on 04/17/2010
Timothy I agree with you. The Government should have let the banks and GM and Chrysler file for bankruptcy. What the general public doesn't realize is that bankruptcy does not necessarily mean go out of business. It just means reorganize. For the government to buy and run large industries is textbook socialism. And before you disagree with me on that, please go look up the official definition of socialism.
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Dynamohum
12:28 PM on 04/17/2010
Geez, you may swallow whatever load you choose but don't force it down the throats of anyone else. You are a LIAR. Anyway do you remember the Chrysler Bailout? Who was that under, oh year republicant rule. The Wall Street and Bank Bailout was orchestrated and formalized by none other than the SHRUB, GW Shrub. Before you disagree with me on that you had better get someone who can explain socialism to you.
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Timothy Wallace
09:37 AM on 04/17/2010
Bottom line. The next wave of bank failures will not be met with the Fed rushing to place a pillow under it's "to big to fail" butt before it crashes. If this administration publicly bails out one more bank, regardless of size, it can kiss it's *ss goodbye. It's credibility with it's own people is razor thin based on the bailout and continued unemployment. So, the banks and play and crow all they want. Their fate isn't our problem anymore.
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Dynamohum
12:32 PM on 04/17/2010
The Wall Street and Bank Bailout is BUSH'S crap, don't keep flinging it on Obama. We will have some reform but expect a long drawn out wait, because the slimey scummy republicants are going to obstruct every step of the way. We had all better hope that the system doesn't collapse again before we have reform. The only positive thing about that is that it could be blamed on the Republicants. I still wouldn't want Americans to go through that for political expediency.
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edva
Capitalism vs Humanity
09:17 AM on 04/17/2010
Capitalism run amok.
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mootown
Respect my existence or expect my resistance
09:01 AM on 04/17/2010
PUNITIVE to pay for ones own gambling--which is what this behavior is. Dimon--you and your kind need to be thrown from your high horse. Risky behavior has consequences--which I guess you feel doesn't apply to you. Think you prosper America with your despicable practices? Try retiring just as the economy tanks and then getting the statements from the 401k's you Demon, oh I mean you, Dimon, pushed on us. You still want Social Security don't you? Off with your head. A little punitive will do you some good. The only class warfare going on is the levitation of 95% of the rest of us and our wealth up to YOU and your cult. The party is over. if you can't live on 20-50 million- well, boo, hoo.
09:28 AM on 04/17/2010
this guy has been identified... but upper management "knew nothing about it". Isn't that just amazing.. No responsibility from Blankfield and his little Gods
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intotheabyss
Imperialism is a form of insanity.
07:53 AM on 04/17/2010
Time to hunker down and get ready for hard times. Washington DC is too broken to save us from these gangsters. This is what crumbling empire looks like only this one is trying to take the whole world down with it.
08:47 AM on 04/17/2010
This is nothing less than a malignancy in our banking system! These guys are eating us alive!

At this point, I am afraid that the malignancy has gotten control of the patient: I am afraid that nothing substantive can/will be done to protect the citizens of this country from this banking cancer.

In the not too distant future, this cancer will take the "life" of our entire country.

Put another way: Is the bank of United States - the back stop for this banking cancer that has already eaten through the lives of millions of Americans - too big to fail? Not if the rest of the world can find a way around it - and they might.
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ugly american
"I drank what?"- Last words of Socrates
07:13 AM on 04/17/2010
There is also a rumor that J P Morgan Chase has been involved in manipulating the silver Markets in some very illegal ways. They have managed to avoid being called to account for it so far or the price of silver would seem cheap at it's present level. Don't know how trust-worthy this link is but if it is it is scary.

http://beforeitsnews.com/news/27964New_Whistleblower_Exposes_JP_Morgans_Silver_Manipulation_Scheme...And_the_Same_Exact_Thing_Happens_in_the_Gold_Markets_Too.html
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intotheabyss
Imperialism is a form of insanity.
07:59 AM on 04/17/2010
I just clicked on to your link and the page seems to have gone missing. Interesting.
08:54 AM on 04/17/2010
http://beforeitsnews.com/news/27964/New_Whistleblower_Exposes_JP_Morgans_Silver_Manipulation_Scheme...And_the_Same_Exact_Thing_Happens_in_the_Gold_Markets_Too.html

Thats because he (she?) pasted the URL wrong. That's the proper link.