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Robert Creamer

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Reducing Income Inequality Is the Key to Economic Growth -- Time to Pass the Buffett Rule

Posted: 04/10/2012 10:04 am

It's not rocket science.

The chief goal of our economic policy is to increase per capita economic output -- measured by per capita Gross Domestic Product. That's what allows people to live better next year than they did the year before. That's what allows our children to live a better life than we do. That is the basis of the American Dream.

Increased per capital economic output is made possible by increases in productivity. When productivity increases, the same number of hours of work generate more goods and services.

But it should be obvious to anyone that if all of the income that results from increases in economic output flow to the top one percent of the population, then the rest of us won't have that income to buy the increasing number of products and services that result from the increased productivity.

What happens, then, is simple: economic growth stalls. Companies won't hire people to produce more products and services if no one has the money to buy them, so they lay people off. Taken as a whole, the economy then has even fewer people with the money to buy new goods and services.

Simply put, increasing economic inequality is a straight-forward formula for economic stagnation.

At the beginning of the Great Depression, income inequality, and inequality in the control of wealth, were very high. Then came the great compression between 1929 and 1947. Real wages for workers in manufacturing rose 67 percent while real income for the richest 1 percent of Americans fell 17 percent. This period marked the birth of the American middle class. Two major forces drove these trends -- unionization of major manufacturing sectors, and the public policies of the New Deal.

Then came the postwar boom 1947 to 1973. Real wages rose 81 percent and the income of the richest 1 percent rose 38 percent. Growth was widely shared, but income inequality continued to drop.

From 1973 to 1980, everyone lost ground. Real wages fell 3 percent and income for the richest 1 percent fell 4 percent. The oil shocks, and the dramatic slowdown in economic growth in developing nations, took their toll on America and the world economy.

Then came what economist Paul Krugman calls "the New Gilded Age." Beginning in 1980, there were big gains at the very top. The tax policies of the Reagan administration magnified income redistribution. Between 1980 and 2004, real wages in manufacturing fell 1 percent, while real income of the richest one percent rose 135 percent.

The Republican Congress has staunchly resisted President Obama's attempts to pass tax policies that require the wealthy to pay their fair share and stem the flow of income to the very top. As a result, economic concentration has continued.

In 2010, according to a study published this month by University of California economist Emmanuel Saez, 93 percent of income growth went to the wealthiest one percent of American households. Everyone else divvied up the seven percent that was left over.

In order for companies to hire new workers, consumers have to have the money to buy their products. This is not hard. But Mitt Romney and the Republican Party don't get it.

Yesterday the Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff visited Washington and met with President Obama. Last week, I attended a seminar in Sao Paulo on Brazilian economic and energy policy along with my wife, Congresswoman Jan Schakowsky.

The most striking thing you come away with after visiting and studying Brazil is that there is a clear political consensus that the top priority of Brazilian economic policy is to reduce economic inequality.

The Brazilians have pursued this policy, not only because it is right, but also because they understand it is critically necessary to their long-term economic growth.

Over the last 20 years, Brazil's policy of reducing economic inequality has brought 40 million people out of poverty and into the consumer economy. The Gini coefficient of inequality fell from .63 in 1989 to .53 in 2011.

As a result, Brazilian Gross Domestic Product per capita has grown to $13,000 in 2012 from $3,000 in 2002. It has more than quadrupled over only 10 years. The political consensus in Brazil is that the reduction of poverty -- decreased economic inequality, creating more consumers and educated producers -- is the principal engine of long-term economic growth for the entire society.

Brazil has a long way to go. But it is now the sixth largest economy in the World.

Two examples of Brazil's policies aimed at reducing economic inequality are particularly instructive.

  • Brazil just raised the minimum wage by 14 percent. And it indexed the minimum wage both to inflation, and to increase in Gross Domestic Product. In other words, if the GDP goes up 2.7 percent, so does the share of income going to the lowest earners in the society.
  • Brazil has a program of cash transfers to women in its poorest families. To receive these payments, mothers have to make sure that their children attend school and get medical care. That program alone has converted millions of formerly desperately poor families into consumers. By the way, it has also reduced levels of domestic violence. Men are apparently not so eager to abuse women who have their own sources of family income.


In other words, then, the Brazilians are committed to the economic principles that America once embraced -- principles that lead to the creation of the American middle class.

But in the mid seventies, the corporate CEO class and the far right organized a movement to undermine the American consensus that ending income inequality was necessary for our economy. They set to work cutting taxes for millionaires, putting the brakes on spending for education and children, attacking Social Security and Medicare and -- perhaps most important -- attacking unions whose muscle defended middle class incomes, both at the bargaining table and the ballot box.

In the end, that has increased income inequality in America. That, coupled with the deregulation of the big Wall Street banks and their reckless speculation, led to the Great Recession.

Next week the Senate will vote on the "Buffett Rule" -- a bill supported by President Obama and Democrats in the Senate that is aimed at requiring that, at the very least, millionaires should not pay a lower percentage of their income in taxes than ordinary people like their secretaries.

The Buffett Rule -- named after billionaire Warren Buffett, who is its chief advocate -- would be a major first step in eliminating the spectacle of multi-millionaires like Mitt Romney paying an effective tax rate of less than 15 percent, while ordinary middle class people pay substantially more.

It would effectively end the so-called "carried interest" rule where hedge fund managers like John Paulson, who made $5 billion dollars in 2010, pay marginal tax rates of only 15 percent on what they made speculating (and creating nothing of value) while ordinary working people may pay 20 percent, 25 percent or even 35 percent of income earned by producing useful goods and services.

There is simply no excuse for the Republicans in Congress fighting to maintain these kind of tax give-aways for millionaires and billionaires -- especially while Republicans argue they are "forced" to cut Social Security and Medicare benefits.

But Republicans like Mitt Romney will throw themselves on the railroad tracks to prevent increased taxes on the top 1 percent. It is their chief political mission. It is why people like Paulson and the Koch brothers give huge sums of money to Republican candidates and super PACs.

They think of their investments in politicians the same way they think of investments in other financial assets. They are looking for a return -- in some cases a return of billions of dollars in lower tax bills. And of course, as a guy worth $250 million, Mitt Romney himself would benefit handsomely from his policies.

Of course, the Senate vote on the Buffett rule will not be the last opportunity to turn the economic tide against increased inequality. In the fall election the choice between President Obama and Mitt Romney could not be more stark.

Over the next seven months, we must mobilize Americans to reject economic inequality -- to embrace the politics and economics of inclusion -- to vote for a society where we all stand together, where we have each other's backs -- and where we return the goal of reducing inequality to center stage where it belongs. And we should do it both because it is right and because it is the only way to create long-term economic growth for us all.

Robert Creamer is a long-time political organizer and strategist, and author of the book: Stand Up Straight: How Progressives Can Win, available on Amazon.com. He is a partner in Democracy Partners and a Senior Strategist for Americans United for Change. Follow him on Twitter @rbcreamer.

 
 
 

Follow Robert Creamer on Twitter: www.twitter.com/rbcreamer

It's not rocket science. The chief goal of our economic policy is to increase per capita economic output -- measured by per capita Gross Domestic Product. That's what allows people to li...
It's not rocket science. The chief goal of our economic policy is to increase per capita economic output -- measured by per capita Gross Domestic Product. That's what allows people to li...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Just logic
11:24 AM on 04/12/2012
The problem is your solution sounds like it would work. I agree that the problem is inequality. If nobody has money then nobody is buying and therefore layoffs occur. Agreed. The problem is that by increasing taxes on specific classes you are starting a class seperation. I know that the more you make the more you spend. So sure raise the tax up and a few years later then what? We are already extremely high matched up against the world. So then what. Not to mention that raising taxes on the rich does not put money back in to hands of the people that are buying the products. You are however taking more money from those that hire people. The Buffet Rule says that the loop holes are to large and rich are not paying their fair share. What exactly is fair. And I say 0. Let people keep their money.
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03:18 PM on 04/11/2012
The Buffet rule is purely a political move promoting class warfare. It does not raise enough money to actually make a meaningful difference in the deficit. Everyone would have to be taxed more to make a difference, including the "gasp" middle class. The numbers do not lie.
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Opposition Research
Studying the enemies of civil liberty for 20 years
06:51 PM on 04/12/2012
True.

We need a "use it or lose it" Standing Wealth Tax on people with more than $50,000,000 in liquid assets.
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10:17 PM on 04/12/2012
What????? Use it or lose it???? If you earn it why should anyone else have a right to it for any reason?
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wmnorton
Moderate where moderate used to be
01:31 PM on 04/11/2012
The article alluded to this but didn't say it explicitly, so I will. RAISING TAXES ON THE WEALTHY STIMULATES THE ECONOMY. I know there are conservatives out there who's hair is on fire right now, but I think I can explain why that is true. The wealthy hate to pay taxes, so when their taxes are made higher they would rather give the money to their employees or give it to their favorite charity. In either case the recipient of the money will spend it whereas the wealthy will not. You can also stimulate the economy by lowering the taxes on the poor and middle class, you do this by raising the Standard Deduction.
So you end up with a simple rule; To stimulate the economy with taxes you must raise taxes on the top and lower taxes on the bottom
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Chubbster
Partisanship is a mental illness
11:56 AM on 04/11/2012
Whether you raise or lower taxes at the highest-marginal or average tax rate, the share of the GDP pie that government gets to take out of our pockets remains stubbornly flat at around 17-18%. It seems growing the pie may be a more attractive approach than raising taxes but then how would that play in an election year with below trend growth and stagnant income in a Ponzi economy?
11:11 AM on 04/11/2012
Whatever happened to the day's that, if you go out, do well in school, if possible, get a higher education, then go out into the work force, by working for a company that the owner has already paid his dues, and became successful with the help of those he hired, and paid well for his success? It seem's now day's that nobody want to work for their living, they just want hand outs. I can say this, because I have been in management, but I had to work from the bottom up to show myself worth, that job was just not handed to me, I just like everyone else in the work force had to show themselves approve, because the workman is worthy of his hire, and the key here is WORK. I had guy's working under me that I had to run that thought that by them just coming in, that I should be happy with that and pay them at the end of the week. People are lazy, and expect those who worked hard to be where they are in the work force should pay them, without any initutive on their part. As far as how much I was paid, well like I already said, "The WORK man is WORTHY of his higher", This 99% that I am also apart of, does not get it. And, the fair share guy's, well I have been their to, and agree with it only for those with Knowledge & Confidence of
11:00 AM on 04/11/2012
You do not shrink income inequality by giving more money to the government for failed programs. The government already controls 43% of GDP almost double it's % of the economy in a generation. By massive increases in taxes, the government has failed to increase prosperity.

The debate has been tax more, tax more tax more. In other words, take away things from one group to reduce the inequity rather than policies that raise the opportunity for everyone. You don't make my candle burn brighter by blowing on the candle next to mine.

Opportunity is hampered by government policies (promoted by both parties) that regulate the market toward oligarchies rather than hyper competitiveness. It has created corporate tax policies that hurt domestic industries and promote multinationals.

Opportunities are created by a change in the skill and education levels of the workforce coupled with capital flow for business formation (not more taxes). While K12 education has seen a doubled in real $, there has been no change in outcomes. The system must change. We still have 1/3 of people with HS or below and 27% with BA/BS or better. Unfortunately, even the BA/BS group is poorly educated in math, science and engineering, the needed fuel for a modern economy.

If you want to compete and create opportunity for the majority, you don't increase tax friction or promote policies for large business domination.
10:59 AM on 04/11/2012
The Buffett rule is really nothing more than a sneaky way for Mr. Obama to justify doubling the capital gains and dividend tax rate to 30% from 15% today. That's the real spread-the-wealth target. The problem is that this is a tax on capital that is needed for firms to grow and hire more workers. Mr. Obama says he wants an investment-led recovery, not one led by consumption, but how will investment be spurred by doubling the tax on it?
10:58 AM on 04/11/2012
The Buffett tax would only make loopholes more valuable. The White House has already carved out one exception to its own Buffett rule: charitable donations. So a billionaire could avoid the 30% effective tax rate by giving away millions of dollars—say, the way Mitt Romney so generously does.
10:57 AM on 04/11/2012
The Obama Treasury's own numbers confirm that the tax would raise at most $5 billion a year—or less than 0.5% of the $1.2 trillion fiscal 2012 budget deficit and over the next decade a mere 0.1% of the $45.43 trillion the federal government will spend.

Get Serious!!!!
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creativ786
independent of the left a centrist for life
11:27 AM on 04/11/2012
What PR nightmare for the left, back to trying to hide the spending problem..What about housing , what about the hidden inflation in food costs, what about the common man..

the Tax's cuts for everyone expire next year that alone will raise much much more then this silliness..
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Ted229
11:30 AM on 04/11/2012
If you ask any progressive, they think this is going over cover the cost of the deficit.
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01:21 PM on 04/11/2012
That is the narrative you need to tell yourself to avoid confronting your own unexamined chase of excess.
10:54 AM on 04/11/2012
Silly stuff.

Buffett rule barely dents the deficit and doubles capital gains taxes. Very counterproductive. Stupid economics. Obama peddling class warfare instead of addressing real problems. Very Sad. No leadership.
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Chubbster
Partisanship is a mental illness
11:58 AM on 04/11/2012
It's Creamer doing the peddling here. Good dog!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tqjones44
Gotta put something into something to get somethin
10:53 AM on 04/11/2012
Greed is not good for our society, and Gordon Gecko is not going to be walking through that door. Our country is at a critical inflection point right now, and the days of unbridled capitalism and excessive corp. greed are coming to an end. I expect the greedy and powerful to fight to the death, but in the end, they will lose because they are outflanked and outnumbered; ordinary Americans have finally awakened and have figured out this charade and their scams...the jig is up!
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Chubbster
Partisanship is a mental illness
12:01 PM on 04/11/2012
If greed is so bad how come the vast financial frauds have been so studiously covered-up? How come the banks are still enabled to rip people off?

Being a successful hardworking person who makes some money, maybe drives a nice car and lives in a nice house has nothing to do with greed. I think your post more relates to your own envy.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tqjones44
Gotta put something into something to get somethin
12:28 PM on 04/11/2012
You're description of a hard working person is right on...those are the folks that are getting screwed!
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01:24 PM on 04/11/2012
You describe modest middle class living standards. That does not include possession of multiple properties, tacky mcmansions with absurd square footages, ridiculously expensive cars and lots of them, crass luxury and a rabid desire for more.
10:52 AM on 04/11/2012
What do you do when you’re losing a debate? Change the subject. That’s really all you need to know to understand Obama’s resuscitation of his infamous “Buffett Rule”.

The Court gave Obamacare a nasty audition, leaving even defenders of the law grasping for straws while theso-called constitutional law professor flailed the court for doing exactly what the Constitution intends. So what is Obama's response? Change the subject.

Soaring gas prices have put enormous strains on families and business. Obama has no energy policy. His most notable policies relating to gas prices is to kill a oil pipeline, propose algae as an energy source and seek to raise taxes on oil companies. Response? Change the subject.

Then came last Friday’s jobs report, which was universally disappointing: job growth cut in half from the modest levels of previous months, a unemployment rate that fell only because thousands of Americans just gave up looking. If Obama had left the economy to heal itself, performance today would have been much stronger and unemployment lower. Everything this Obama has tried has failed noticeably, and voters have noticed. Response? Change the subject.

With nowhere else to go, Obama has fallen back to his most comfortable setting – class warfare. Now that it is painfully obvious the Buffett Rule is the President’s chief policy priority and the centerpiece of his reelection campaign, it is fair to ask, what would the policy do to address any of the nation’s problems?

The answer is – absolutely nothing.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tqjones44
Gotta put something into something to get somethin
10:38 AM on 04/11/2012
Why do some folks think income inequality or redistribution is okay when it benefits the rich, big banks, corp exec et al, but deem it un-american when we talk about it benefiting the greater majority of americans who fall into the middle-class and working poor?
10:20 AM on 04/11/2012
The Buffett Rule ia a very modest conservative measure that will affect very few people and raise a relatively small amount of money. The very fact that we are seeing the two parties arguing over such a modest tax propôsal shows just how far to the right the country has moved. It would be a lot better if we actually has a progressive party that would not be afraid of promoting real universal health care reform, the end of all the Bush tax cuts and a serious cutting back of the overseas empire but in the meantime we are stuck with the center right democratic party.
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AirForceZoomer
Erin Go Bragh.
10:14 AM on 04/11/2012
Maybe I missed something but I have sometimes a problem with tomes. Anyway, by all means, pass the Buffet rule, i.e., tax the rich at the rate President Obama proposes. That will have immense impact (ahem, nada zero zip rien) reducing the proposed ten-year debt of nine trillion more added to the national borrowing, by 46 billion big ones. Zoweee..............