Hobbled by opposition from the carbon incumbents and their short-sighted allies on Capitol Hill the Obama administration acknowledged this week that it would not return from Copenhagen with any groundbreaking commitment to control green house gases. Meanwhile, Congress is backsliding on the administration's wise commitment to impose a rational price on carbon. Behind the logjam, a treacherous U.S. Chamber of Commerce, always willing to put its obsequious scraping to Big Oil and King Coal ahead of its duty to our country, has battled every effort to accelerate America's transition to a market-based de-carbonized economy.
The Chamber has continued to argue, idiotically, that energy efficiency and independence will somehow put America at a competitive disadvantage with the Chinese. Meanwhile, the Chinese have shrewdly and strategically positioned themselves to steal America's once substantial lead in renewable power. China will soon make us as dependent on Chinese green technology for the next century as we have been on Saudi oil during the last.
Indeed, the Chinese are treating the energy technology competition if it were an arms race. China is spending as much or more on greentech as it does on its military, hundreds of billions of dollars annually on renewable energy and grid infrastructure improvements. Those investments, if not vigorously countered, will effectively erode America's greentech industry leadership and secure China's dominance. China's economic stimulus package, targeted 38% of spending on greentech, as compared to a miserly 12% of the U.S. stimulus program. By 2013, greentech will account for 15 percent of the Chinese GDP. While the United States is projected to roughly triple its wind generation by 2020, China will increase its capacity twelvefold to a wind generating capability more than twice that of America's. And, while the United States is projected to increase its installed solar generation a modest 33% by 2020, China's solar generation is projected to increase 20,000%.
China's investments in solar technology have so powerfully stimulated the growth of a Chinese solar market that Chinese solar panel manufacturers now far outnumber American ones, and they are achieving low-cost production much faster than their American counterparts. Chinese companies are now flooding the American market with cheap Chinese solar panels and devastating the American manufacturing sector that was gearing up to create tens of thousands of U.S. jobs for our own ailing economy. Hundreds of U.S. solar manufacturers now see their prospects as grim. BP Solar, Evergreen, and General Electric have already announced the closing of American-based solar panel factories and outsourcing, primarily to China. America's leading solar manufacturer, Applied Materials, has opened the largest non-government solar energy research facility in the world in China. Of today's ten leading solar panel manufacturers, only one is American. The largest solar panel installation in the United States is a 70,000 panel, 14.2 megawatt array on Nellis Air Force Base in Nevada. The array provides more than 25% of the base's power needs, and saves the Pentagon a million dollars annually in energy costs, but the panels' manufacturer was China's Suntech Power Holdings. Even in the thin film solar market, among the last redoubts of American dominance Chinese businesses are squeezing profit.
Last year, America achieved a milestone, building more wind power generation than all new oil and coal generation combined. We have led the world in wind installations for several years, and the wind industry already accounts for more American jobs than coal mining. At one point the U.S. enjoyed global domination of wind turbine manufacturing with great prospects for job creation. Yet today, of the five leading wind turbine manufacturers, only one is American. While Congress dawdles, China is clobbering us. Shenyang Power Group recently inked a deal to be the exclusive supplier of turbines to the largest wind project in the United States, a 36,000 acre, 600 megawatt development in west Texas. The project will create 2,800 new jobs -- 2,400 in China, but only 400 in the United States. As Lu Jinxiang, chief executive of Shenyang's controlling shareholder noted, "This is just the beginning ... [the United States] is an ideal target." China is likewise poised to take away our lead in batteries and electric cars, and has already pulled far ahead of America in automobile fuel efficiency.
Capitol Hill Republicans will soon recognize that the arms race of the 21st century is already in progress with a totalitarian nation that they not long ago called "Red China." But America will not win with more warheads and better rockets. We can only prevail with robust investment in and support of U.S.-based greentech innovation.
Darrell West: Time to Allow Member Blackberrys and iPads on Congressional Floor
The government has the money to pay for universal health and to reduce the carbon footprint of office buildings by 50%.
The Federal government pays for almost one billion square feet of office space. It is is very expensive yet it sits unused 70% of the time because white collar work is scheduled for only one shift per day. 30% efficiency is unacceptable in today's economic and ecological environment. We could schedule 2 shifts of white collar workers, reducing our costs and carbon footprint by 50%. The potential savings could be $50 billion per year, enough to pay for healthcare reform.
This simple plan will help our government and private industry in the following ways:
•Save federal gov a trillion dollars in next 10 years
•Exactly amount needed for universal healthcare
•Reduce white-collar overhead costs by 50%
•Reduce carbon footprint of office space by 50%
•Reduce budget deficits for most state governments
•Reduce our dependence on foreign oil
•Make workers competitive in the global economy
•Improve profits for all businesses and
•Increase tax receipts for state/fed governments
•Businesses can hire more employees & lower prices
see:
http://whitecollargreenspace.blogspot.com/
http://www.youtube.com/user/greenspaceguy
Regards,
Ray McConnell
Saginaw, Michigan
The "Prisoners' Dilemna" is used by the police to extract confessions from criminals -- seperate a pair of suspects. Offer each the following, 1) No sentence (time served) if he confesses and his partner doesn't -- 2) or 3 years if his partner also confesses, 3) 10 years if he doesn't confess, and his partner does, 4) If neither confess, then each only get 1 year for a misdemeanor. The dominant strategy for each would be to rat the other out, given that each can't control/trust the other, given that they're crooks to begin with. What happens is that instead of cooperating and getting only 1 year, each will get 3.
What happens with multiple parties in extracting, and selling a finite resource, in an unregulated market.... economic game theory shows that the natural resource will be depleted sooner than would be optimal for maximizing the natural resources value to society. In the case of a slowly renewable resource, like fish. This model shows that the resource will be deplted before there's a chance to replenish the resource, and it will go extinct.
This skepticism is despite watching hugely expensive new infrastructure develop in our lifetimes, such as the network of satellites which make our global communications something to take for granted. Or the interstate highway system which was "invented" just fifty years ago. Or the ubiquitous computer and internet systems which have shrunk the globe and changed communication in less than twenty years.
"Common sense" says we cannot afford the expensive new technologies, yet history says we can. "Common sense" has people buying stock in these new technologies only after they are well established and proven, long after you can make a great return on your investment. Who doesn't wish they had bought stock in IBM in the 1950s or Wal-Mart or Microsoft in the 1970s? The same short sightedness is dominant in the current energy discussion.
The good news is that the opposition is mostly based upon ignorance, and ignorance can be cured.
The bad news is that the ignorance is vast and entrenched and seemingly unable to look past the surface of the issues.
One of the biggest distortions is the issue of job and revenue loss. It is hard for people here to seriously envision an economy or society where petroleum is not the overwhelming source of energy and jobs. "Common sense" reasoning is prevalent, and empirical science is dismissed and rebuked. This makes it easy to believe fraudulent “research” and “statistics”. One doesn’t know who to trust, so many just pick and choose the ideas and numbers which support their preconceived biases.
Industry speculation has kept oil prices artificially high by cutting back on production and refining. $4.00 per gallon gasoline will return and eventually look cheap. Those prices have a fairly direct correlation with electricity prices.
Higher prices will be a fact. Diversifying and developing new energy sources will be the only way to stabilize prices in the long run.
Then again, China has a distinct advantage; they are not trying to occupy two countries. Instead they are busy developing undeveloped nations in Africa to be their satellites, suppliers, and customers.
The windmills we would need to comply with the treaty would be way cheaper to buy from China than from here, and we would lose more ground. Even if we invented some huge advance in renewable energy, countries like China and India do not respect intellectual property rights. They would just start producing it with dirt-cheap labor and none of the enviro laws that we have to comply with.
For decades the USA has maintained that it is ideologically superior because of free election , freedom of speech and generally being free. Yet today we allow fascistic gang stalkers to openly and notoriously stalk, harass, poison and irradiate people without the slightest fear of arrest or governmental action. Speak of it at your own peril.
How can we claim to have a superior ideology today?
If you bribe them into supporting green energy, Congress will go to work.
Until then: "Hasta Manana!"