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Robert Hughes, Jr.

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Do Doubts About Getting Married Predict Divorce?

Posted: 09/10/2012 2:45 am

"Do you still want to get married?" my mother-in-law asked my future wife on the day we were to be married. Her intuition told her to be alert to premarital doubts, and she wanted to make sure my wife wanted to go through with the marriage. According to a new study by Justin Lavner and colleagues, reported in the Journal of Family Psychology, my mother-in-law was right to ask.

Although there is a long history of folk wisdom about uncertainty before marriage, there has been little scientific study of this issue. There are two competing views about the significance of premarital doubts. On the one hand, it is not uncommon for people to have some doubts about making big decisions in their lives, and marriage is a big decision. However, there is also evidence that suggests that premarital difficulties tend to persist in the marriage. To date, there has been insufficient evidence to sort out these competing claims.

To provide more insight into the significance of premarital doubts, Lavner and colleagues interviewed 464 spouses from 232 newlywed couples. The couples were all in their first marriages. The husbands and wives were older than 18, but younger than 35 years of age. They all had at least a 10th grade education. In their initial interview six months after the marriage, the scientists asked, "Were you ever uncertain or hesitant about getting married?" They also asked questions about marital satisfaction and other factors that have been shown to be related to divorce, including cohabitation, parents' marital history and neuroticism. For four years, researchers collected information about marital satisfaction and also whether or not the couples were still together.

The researchers found that at least one partner in two-thirds of the couples reported having premarital doubts; 47 percent of the husbands and 38 percent of the wives reported being uncertain about getting married. This finding alone suggests that premarital doubts are common among couples and that men are more likely than women to have doubts.

So what do these doubts predict about the likelihood of divorce in the early stages of marriage? About 12 percent of couples in this sample divorced in the first four years. For husbands, premarital doubts did not seem to predict divorce, but for wives, doubts did predict divorce. Among wives who did not report doubts, only 8 percent divorce, while for those wives who did report doubts, almost one out of five ended up divorced. Of course, perhaps doubts about marriage simply reflect a fragile relationship or other factors that predispose divorce. The scientists also examined whether growing up with divorced parents, living together, or having a difficult personality explained the findings rather than "doubts about the marriage." They found that premarital doubts still predicted divorce above and beyond these factors.

The findings in this study are interesting and significant, yet as noted by the researchers, there are important limitations of the research. Two major limitations are that "doubts about the marriage" were measured after the couple had been married for six months, so this may not be the best indicator of their premarital views. Also, "doubts" were measured in a very simple way -- by interview -- and it may not be a good measure of this dimension of relationships.

Despite these limitations, these findings suggest important new areas for scientists to study in regards to marriage and divorce. Likewise, if these findings hold up, it will be important for couples considering marriage to address the factors that contribute to their premarital doubts. My mother-in-law already knew this.

 
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"Do you still want to get married?" my mother-in-law asked my future wife on the day we were to be married. Her intuition told her to be alert to premarital doubts, and she wanted to make sure my wife...
"Do you still want to get married?" my mother-in-law asked my future wife on the day we were to be married. Her intuition told her to be alert to premarital doubts, and she wanted to make sure my wife...
 
 
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04:26 PM on 09/17/2012
Couples need to be able to distinguish between more normal premarital anxieties and those that might indicate more serious trouble. Research tells us that the real 'red flags' are issues like disagreements about having children, how to manage conflict, treatment of emotional disorders, abusive relationship patterns, sexual orientation and/or fidelity.

On the other hand, it's common for couples to have differences over finances, in-laws, other aspects of sex, chores, etc., and these normal differences don't necessarily indicate trouble if they are handled constructively.

A premarital education class is often a good, non-threatening way for couples to explore their concerns and learn how to manage differences without turning these into problems.

Couples can read more about handling cold feet at: stayhitched.com/coldfeet.htm

Dr. Greg Kuhlman, Psychologist
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
pslcitizen
I intend to live forever. So far, so good.
07:09 PM on 09/16/2012
Married. Divorced. No more doubts.
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trishwc
Stay Positive..Be nice
01:06 PM on 09/16/2012
I definitely had doubts. Think a bigger clue may have been the valium hidden on my person walking down the aisle. No regrets, because I have two great kids.
05:52 PM on 09/16/2012
Yep- me too! I have been married 38 years, yet I vividly remember having to take Valium to enter a marriage that was witnessed by about 20 people at my home wedding. My solace at age 22 was " I'll give this marriage a try-- if it doesn't work out their is always a divorce possibility." I laugh now when I think about how darn naive I was-- and how that naiveness worked out to be ok. --- 6 kids, 8 grandkids (so far) later!! Can't say we have had a blissful marriage, but rather a realistic one!
02:44 AM on 09/16/2012
All I can say after reading all of these is Wow. I have been married 49 yrs. The first 10yrs were happy and the last 10yrs miserable. The others somewhere in the middle. When you get to be my age you are stuck and it is way to late, don't let that happen. And yes, I had many doubts on my wedding day and before. Should have gone with my gut. Husband is not a bad person, just not for me, and I am miserable. Just thought I would comment.
08:28 PM on 09/15/2012
Of course you're going to have doubts! Marriage is a HUGE step to take in life! It's full of unknown things and changes. Like everything else in life, you have to be willing to put forth an effort and be willing to grow and change together. Granted, there are some marriages that a person should exit without a second thought. Abuse of any sort being one of those. But I often wonder if people are more willing to just throw in the towel and give up because it's easier than actually working through things together.
I was a nervous wreck, filled with doubt, and wondering if I was making a big mistake the second I hit the beginning of the aisle. My husband to be also looked like he was a nervous wreck. Next month, we'll celebrate our 19th wedding anniversary. Has it all been sunshine, rainbows, and lollipops? Hardly. Do we argue? Of course. It just boils down to how you deal with things as they happen.
02:58 PM on 09/14/2012
I find that most people who doubt getting married on their wedding day do so because family/friends are causing so much stress that they are interpreting it as doubts...and asking someone that is just rude.
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mairs
Four legs, good.
11:52 AM on 09/13/2012
What I find interesting is that marriages in which the wives have college educations, the divorce rate is a fraction of the general population.... only about 16%, and it has dropped over the years. Maybe money is less of a burden because of her earning power? Or the choice of partner is more considered? I wonder.
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Last Call
06:45 AM on 09/13/2012
No brainier...if you are not confident about the marriage, the intended spouse or your own ability to function in a marriage, do not do it. My dad gave me the best gift when I got engaged. My dad told me that if I wanted to call it off, even if half way down the aisle and if he had spent 50K, just let him know. Just the permission I needed. Thanks, Dad.
08:23 PM on 09/15/2012
So, have you found anyone else?
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Last Call
10:25 PM on 09/15/2012
Yes. Glad I waited.
11:06 PM on 09/12/2012
If you don't have doubts, you just aren't thinking. It's one serious commitment.
08:23 PM on 09/15/2012
I didn't have any doubts and we've been together almost 20 years.
09:15 PM on 09/15/2012
Lots of doubts, even at that we weren't scared enough:) 42 years later, parted by death.
07:02 PM on 09/12/2012
Under 50, marriage is the worst choice possible. It ends in divorce so often and so soon that there should be divorce ceremonies, divorce vows, divorce cakes, divorce presents, divorce rice, divorce nights (his revirginial and her reflowering) and divorcemoons.
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Renetta T
03:01 PM on 09/12/2012
If a person is having doubts, then something is wrong. Doubt is very different from being a bit nervous. Any doubt a person has should have been ironed out before he or she gets to the alter. Any concerns should have been weighed realistically and discussed with their partner or some other respected unbiased person. By the time it's time to say I do, your decision should be one you are happy, comfortable, and content with. Otherwise, you shouldn't be at the alter.
06:27 PM on 09/15/2012
I totally agree. Never had any doubt then and do not have any now. Married almost 34 years!!
08:24 PM on 09/15/2012
same here (almost 20 years)
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DSevere
Deviant mind
12:06 PM on 09/12/2012
It would have been interesting to see how living together previously (which I guess they asked about) affected people's doubts. There are a lot of things you'll never find out about a person until you live with them, so getting married without doing that is really plunging into the unknown in a lot of ways. Which I would guess would promote more doubts...
05:17 PM on 09/15/2012
Not necessarily true for some. Everyone (and I knew a lot of couples) I knew who lived together first, eventually divorced.

All of my other friends (except one couple) and relatives are still married 20 years later.
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DSevere
Deviant mind
12:07 PM on 09/16/2012
Very interesting and weird, might be a regional thing. I'm in L.A. and I think I only knew one couple who didn't live together before getting married, and they got divorced. So, statistics much better on the living-together-previously front. (But, you never know. I lived with both my husbands prior to marriage, #1 obviously didn't work out, #2, have been together almost 14 years if you count from our first date (almost 11 legally married), and still really happy.)
11:58 AM on 09/12/2012
I admit it, I had premarital doubts.
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Last Call
06:45 AM on 09/13/2012
Well, how is it going?
11:16 PM on 09/13/2012
Slowly but surely I'm getting there...happily at that:)

Thanks for asking.
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Stuart Hamilton
American Socialist Party
02:11 AM on 09/12/2012
Not to sound misogynistic, but I am very intrigued by the finding the premarital doubts of women had a greater role in divorce than the premarital doubts of men. To me this is the most profound possible discovery, and by possible I mean to say the likelihood of such a correlation being spurious is very high.

Never the less, I'm interested in what this could mean, or what it could not mean.
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Last Call
06:50 AM on 09/13/2012
I suspect it means that a woman's confidence in the upcoming marriage is a determinant of the success of a marriage bcz women tend to make the most compromises and adjustments; if she has doubts them it is doomed. A woman who is happy makes a happy marriage seems the the general rule.
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05:58 PM on 09/11/2012
Questions and doubts are the normal process of decision making, nothing more or nothing less. It is not a predictor of how things will end. Even when you buy that new car you have doubts before you drive it home.
All surveys are designed to give a certain response. I have given too many surveys in my lifetime, if the one in charge does not get the response he desires he/she designs it differently or simply throws out the survey sheets that do not fit their model.

Just like in election with polls or surveys on what people are watching on TV.