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Robert L. Cavnar

Robert L. Cavnar

Posted: May 28, 2010 12:36 PM

From "Drill, Baby, Drill!" to "Spill, Baby, Spill!" Now What?

What's Your Reaction:

On April 20, 2010, at 10 pm, 50 miles southeast of  Venice, Louisiana, the oil and gas industry changed forever.  Eleven good men lost their lives at the moment that BP's Mississippi Canyon Block 252 exploratory well violently blew out, shooting over the crown of the derrick seawater that had been used to displace the heavier drilling mud in the riser that connected the semisubmersible rig to the well 5,000 feet below it.  Gas followed almost instantly, sucked into the inductions of the deck engines.  Breathing in huge gasps of hydrocarbon-rich air into the fuel mixture, the overwhelmed engines ran away with themselves, exploding in moments.  The blasts set off a chain reaction of events that ignited the giant jet of oil and gas coming up through the drilling rig floor, incinerating everything that was close.   All power was instantly lost.  Transocean's Deepwater Horizon was doomed.

Everything that could go wrong did go wrong.  The entire rig floor crew was dead.  Whoever triggered the blowout preventer (BOP), if they did, failed to activate it.  The deadman, a system that automatically closes the BOP if it loses contact with the rig on the surface, failed.  The emergency disconnect that blows the riser away from the top of the BOP failed.  The well was flowing uncontrolled to the surface while the rest of the crew scrambled for the lifeboats or jumped to safety.  The Coast Guard and workboats rushed to the scene, but mostly watched helplessly as the doomed rig began to drift and list, its dynamic positioning and flotation systems dead.  Two days later, the rig sank, landing on the bottom 1,300 feet from the blowing out well. It will remain there forever as not only a monument to those who died, but as a stark reminder of the arrogance of overconfidence in sophisticated technology.

The riser, still connected to the well, kinked and fell to the bottom, oil and gas roaring from several breaks in the pipe putting even further stress on the BOP.  It remains there today, 35 days after the blowout, as engineers and scientists from BP, Transocean, dozens of contractors, and government agencies scramble to figure out what the hell to do next.  Oil has now begun washing up on beaches and wetlands of Louisiana's fragile coastline, and giant plumes of oil are now reaching the loop current that will take the oil out of the Gulf and beyond.  No serious person believes that the well is flowing at only the 5,000 barrel per day rate that BP and the MMS have stuck to since the beginning of week 2, and finally, a joint team has been assigned to calculate what we all sense anyway; it's much larger.  One can take a little comfort, though, that as the days drag on, the well is flowing less than at the beginning, just due to depletion of the reservoir.  In the meantime, the world waits.

So.  Now what?  All of the shouts of "Drill, Baby, Drill," of the 2008 Presidential campaign are now silent.  The free market Libertarians and Tea Party activists, who called for de-regulation of the oil industry and letting the free market solve our energy problems, who also railed against a "government takeover of healthcare" are now ironically calling for a government takeover of BP's well control effort.  The voices that speculated that the Obama Administration was secretly planning to shut down the oil and gas industry, then criticized him for not going further in opening new areas to offshore exploration a mere two months ago, are now severely criticizing him for not doing enough to make BP get this well killed, and make offshore drilling safer.  Politicians from both sides are doing what they do best: playing politics.

In the midst of this, though, are the real problems confronting us.  Some are calling for shutting down all offshore production.  We simply can't do that, since over 20% of our domestic energy supply comes from that region, and shutting it down would require us to import more oil, not less, from countries who hate us and use our own money against us.  Others call for alternative energy sources and nuclear.  These should certainly continue to be developed, but none of these technologies are no where close to taking any material part of our energy demand, especially transportation.  They are years, if not decades away.

Surely, even the most ardent free marketer sees the results of a self-policed regulatory system and non-standard operating procedures.  As it now stands, the government is completely incapable of dealing with a disaster of this magnitude and is at the mercy of the industry.  The technology, equipment, and people all belong to private enterprise.  Since the government has no resources to deal with an incident of this scale and technical complexity, the only way it could take control is to nationalize the oil industry, which no one believes is the proper course.

This well will get shut in; if not tomorrow with the top kill, then in August with the relief well.  But the damage, to our environment, our economy, millions of lives, and our national confidence is done.  It is as hard to repair, as it is to calculate.  Certainly, there are steps we can take to prevent this from happening again.  Here are a few:

  • An immediate moratorium on all offshore drilling that involves sea floor well control, until standardized systems are developed and tested that prove a well can be controlled and killed without the necessity of a connected surface rig.
  • Development of a sophisticated, high volume, subsea oil collection system that is available 24/7 to the industry for more efficient clean up of spills in the event they do occur.
  • Strict regulation of the types and use of oil dispersants to mitigate damage to the environment and life.
  • Complete the split of the MMS into the three agencies, making safety and environmental regulation totally separate from the revenue and leasing functions.
  • Conform safety, equipment, procedures, and inspections for all vessels working in US waters, whether they are foreign or US flagged.  Strengthen tax regulation to assure all vessels are on equal footing.
  • Establish a subsea technology function within NOAA or the MMS to advance the research, standardization, and regulation of all subsea operations in US waters, with the goal of making these functions safer and more reliable.
We will be watching with held breath as BP tries the top kill. If it succeeds, the clean up, in earnest, must begin, but so must we not lose our focus on advancing the safety and reliability of these operations so that a tragedy like this never happens again.

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On April 20, 2010, at 10 pm, 50 miles southeast of  Venice, Louisiana, the oil and gas industry changed forever.  Eleven good men lost their lives at the moment that BP's Mississippi Canyon ...
On April 20, 2010, at 10 pm, 50 miles southeast of  Venice, Louisiana, the oil and gas industry changed forever.  Eleven good men lost their lives at the moment that BP's Mississippi Canyon ...
 
 
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10:49 PM on 05/29/2010
I recently worked at an airport along the Southeast coast. One day, a crowd of employees gathered at the big windows that look out on to the tarmac. I thought a plane had just crashed. I looked out the window and saw a crowd of men and two fire engines surrounding a jet refueling truck. It had spilled about 50 gallons of jet fuel. The storm water drain was about 30 yards from the spill and the emergency crews were doing everything possible to prevent even one drop of the fuel from reaching the storm drain, where it would have been washed into the Ashley River and out to the Atlantic. Spill mats were spread out all around the fuel spill and special equipment was used to mop it all up. It took about three hours and fifty or so workers before the spill was completely eliminated. All this effort for just 50 gallons of jet fuel!

There are many laws and regulations in place to protect our waterways. All in the name of preventing any oil from reaching the rivers and oceans.

How ironic, then, that while all of this regulation and structure is in place to prevent domestic oil spills from reaching navigable waters, that oil from the BP well offshore is coming onshore to foul our marshes and beaches.

If we only had regulations (and regulators) in place like we have for domestic (or on land) oil spills, the BP situation could have been avoided.
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whirlpool
founder walnut tree congregation
07:22 PM on 05/29/2010
It is time for some adult action. Gasoline rationing should be established in the country, the price controlled with a steep tax included and all offshore drilling suspended until relief wells are in place on all of them. BP officials should be treated as terrorists and all their assets frozen and used to pay for cleanup. The EPA should place stiff fines on the release of all greenhouse gases and these revenues used to launch massive projects in nuclear, high speed rail, algae farms, ocean tide and wave farms, wind farms and every other damn thing we can think of to employee people and get us off carbon. We should gear Detroit up for the massive production of electric cars, natural gas fueled trucks and hybrids. Thousands of people should be employed replanting dead trees in Colorado, swamp grasses in the Gulf and everywhere else we have destroyed the ecology. It is time to quit screwing around with this pseudo socialism/private enterprise argument and do what we did in WWII. Let the government lead but leave it to industry to work under contract and regulation to obtain national goals. The President should do as much as he can with executive orders and using the Justice Department without waiting for the dumb ass Senate to act. Arguments about whether God wrote the Constitution are irrelevant when one is dying economically and our living habitat destroyed.
10:12 PM on 05/28/2010
Pictures are better than Obama's blah blah inaction...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/anderson_cooper_360/
04:26 PM on 05/28/2010
We need to get serious about using less. God forbid we live close to each other or to our workplace. Oh right, I forgot, the American way of life is non-negotiable.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Jes Alexander
Publisher, Herald de Paris et Cie.
03:50 PM on 05/28/2010
It’s NOT a Spill. http://bit.ly/abd7l3
02:04 PM on 05/28/2010
Complex systems such as the one surrounding the oil spill crisis tend to migrate to the "edge of chaos" (see my post at www.c0mplexity.wordpress.com) in order to maximize its output- An unpredictable event can then tip the system into chaos, triggering other unpredictable reactions with it.
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Vegasyankee
Making Energy for a Strong America!
01:42 PM on 05/28/2010
Sigh, the first two paragraphs seem like something long ago, forgotten, and have been completely overshadowed by the environmental disaster.

"We simply can't do that, since over 20% of our domestic energy supply comes from that region, and shutting it down would require us to import more oil, not less, from countries who hate us and use our own money against us."

Plain and simple, there seems to be very few people right now who understand such a simple fact.
Butquestioning
Searching for truth
04:15 PM on 05/28/2010
But doesn't this eclipse even the worst thing that any terrorists could do to us? We did this to ourselves...the worst disaster in US history and it isn't even done happening yet...and may not be for years to come. If we can send a man to the moon and back, as the saying goes...why can't we find other options to oil? We need to spend as much on further developing other alternatives as we spend on oil. then we can cut the garbage that the oil companies and countries have been giving us for decades. while it is impossible to end all oil use, we need to cut back drastically NOW! It will force us to use other options and spend our money on them instead of more oil. Haven't we learned anything from this???