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Robert L. Cavnar

Robert L. Cavnar

Posted: October 20, 2010 08:18 AM

Today marks the six-month anniversary of the blowout of BP's Mississippi Canyon Block 252 well in the Gulf of Mexico, now famously known as the Macondo well. The disaster, which cost the lives of 11 good men, also exposed the dangers and incalculable risks to our environment of drilling on the open ocean in thousands of feet of water. Up until the night of April 20, most Americans had no idea that we were even drilling in the extreme conditions of the deepwater, much less understood the razor-thin margins of error that exist when exploring for oil in that territory. As the crisis unfolded on our television screens, we watched with fascination as extremely sophisticated robots operated on the seafloor, attempting, in vain, to get the blowing out well under control. No one seemed to know that to do... the federal government had no deepwater oil and gas experts; the industry had no technology or procedures for managing a blowout 5,000 feet below the ocean's surface. No technology existed to contain or collect oil in a deep-ocean environment. This was an accident that simply wasn't supposed to happen. Even though government bureaucrats, Coast Guard officers, and politicians all asserted that they were in charge, in reality, no one was, except for BP, who had started its campaign of finger-pointing in the very first hours of the crisis to deflect blame away from itself as its well fouled the Gulf of Mexico.

The disinformation campaign and mismanagement of the crisis began immediately. In the early hours, private fireboats fought the fire on the blazing rig as the Coast Guard, who had successfully rescued the survivors the first night, stood by and just watched. Firefighting on offshore drilling rigs is not part of its mission, with that responsibility falling to private operators. Because there was no central authority on site, the fireboats, desperately trying to save the rig, deluged its decks with millions of gallons of seawater, eventually flooding the vessel and actually hastening its ultimate sinking two days later. After the rig was lost, the Coast Guard announced that the well had stopped flowing, even as BP representatives stood mute right next to them, knowing full well that the assertion was false. While Rear Admiral Mary Landry was making the remarkable announcement that no oil was flowing from the well, BP was desperately attempting to shut in the damaged blowout preventer with remotely operated vehicles as oil roared out of the well only feet from where they were working. Ultimately, the truth that the well was flowing tens of thousands of barrels per day eventually became public. However, to this day, BP has never disclosed their estimate of flowrate, and the government let them get away with shutting in, and eventually killing the well without first measuring the flow. Because of this fact, BP will certainly dispute the government's estimates of flowrate when it comes time to calculate the per-barrel fines and other liabilities.

As the crisis grew, BP implemented a very carefully executed public relations plan; while appearing to be transparent with numerous "technical briefings" and press opportunities, they never really gave much information. Besides hiding the flow rate, BP kept vital information from the public for weeks and months. They poured hundreds of thousands of gallons of toxic dispersants into the ocean even as the EPA ordered them to severely limit their use. After BP began providing live video feeds from the seafloor, these feeds oddly became blurry or simply unavailable during critical operations. The company's mantra became "all is going according to plan," even though they were making things up as they went along as each new attempt to control the well failed. The only real BP casualty was Tony Hayward, who lost his job and was shipped off to Russia after becoming a one-man gaffe machine.

As days turned into weeks and weeks into months, we began the national debate over energy policy asking why we were even in the deepwater. Some environmentalists predicted apocalypse, accusing big oil of raping the earth and poisoning the populace, ignoring their own use of fossil fuels. The industry retreated to their familiar territory, making the discussion all about money and using their employees as pawns, even as they avoid US taxes and employment laws by flagging their rigs and locating their headquarters in foreign countries. The politicians, doing what they do best, played politics. The left called for drilling bans and criminal charges; the right, ignoring eight years of Bush administration deregulation and rubber-stamping of drilling permits, severely criticized the very organization they helped create, calling for even more deregulation at the same time. Scrambling to keep up with the crisis, the Obama administration imposed a ban on all offshore drilling, eventually limiting it to deepwater operations, while at the same time slow-playing all offshore permits trying to figure out what to do.

The well was officially killed and cemented on Sept. 19; under extreme political pressure from the upcoming fall elections, as well as from Gulf Coast politicians and businesses, the Secretary of Interior relented and lifted the government ban on deepwater drilling on Oct. 11, justifying the move by just adding yet another layer of new certifications, but no tangible improvements to safety. The new drilling rules requires no redesign of blowout preventers or control systems, merely mandate third party certifications that they are "... capable of cutting any drill pipe... ," knowing full well that no blowout preventer can actually do that. The new rule also requires a certification from the CEO that the company is in compliance with all the new government regulations, but there's no mention of that CEO actually having to be within reach of US laws. Salazar left open the door for new regulations some time in the future, including redundant shear rams for blowout preventers, but has so far stopped short of any real reform to deepwater drilling safety.

So, six months after the largest environmental catastrophe in the history of the United States, we are poised to go back into the deepwater, doing the same thing we were doing before the disaster on the Deepwater Horizon, with the same equipment, same rigs, and same systems. Once again, politics has trumped saving human lives and the environment, and here we are, doing too little, too soon.

Bob Cavnar's new book, Disaster on the Horizon, is being released October 22.

 
 
 

Follow Robert L. Cavnar on Twitter: www.twitter.com/dailyhurricane

Today marks the six-month anniversary of the blowout of BP's Mississippi Canyon Block 252 well in the Gulf of Mexico, now famously known as the Macondo well. The disaster, which cost the lives of 11 ...
Today marks the six-month anniversary of the blowout of BP's Mississippi Canyon Block 252 well in the Gulf of Mexico, now famously known as the Macondo well. The disaster, which cost the lives of 11 ...
 
 
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10:42 PM on 10/21/2010
United States Joint Forces Command:
U.S. JOINT OPERATING ENVIRONMENT REPORT 2010
http://www.fas.org/man/eprint/joe2010.pdf
“A severe energy [global] crunch is inevitable without a massive expansion of production and refining capacity. While it is difficult to predict precisely what economic, political, and strategic effects such a shortfall might produce, it surely would reduce the prospects for growth in both the developing and developed worlds. Such an economic slowdown would exacerbate other unresolved tensions, push fragile and failing states further down the path toward collapse, and perhaps have serious economic impact on both China and India. At best, it would lead to periods of harsh economic adjustment. To what extent conservation measures, investments in alternative energy production, and efforts to expand petroleum production from tar sands and shale would mitigate such a period of adjustment is difficult to predict. One should not forget that the Great Depression spawned a number of totalitarian regimes that sought economic prosperity for their nations by ruthless conquest...

...By 2012, surplus oil production capacity could entirely disappear, and as early as 2015, the shortfall in output could reach nearly 10 million barrels per day...

...The implications for future conflict are ominous, if energy supplies cannot keep up with demand and should states see the need to militarily secure dwindling energy resources.”
end quotes

A 10M shortfall is like vacating every road in the US forever: http://www.eia.doe.gov/neic/infosheets/petroleumproductsconsumption.html
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snowballinhell
Humans have a 100% chance of extinction
03:41 AM on 10/26/2010
So, what's your point? Drill, Baby, Drill? Sorry. Time to Conserve, Baby, Conserve. And develop alternative energies like fuel cells and solar collector driven turbines. See Bloomenergy.com

Cheers
11:00 AM on 10/26/2010
The point is that there is no solution. Your life is going to change. Bios are so poor at net energy return they cannot possible replace petroleum. Wind solar are useless as a replacement for petroleum because they will not supply liquid fuels. This is a liquid fuels problem. I have a recommended book for you that was released in Oct 2010. The book is forwarded by Dr. James Schlesinger is a former CIA director and the first Energy Secretary under Jimmy Carter. There's 12 videos. They will play in succession
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Am1DGjzxBrI&feature=&p=C67C313D080214AA&index=0&playnext=1

So who is Dr. Hirsch? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_L._Hirsch

Welcome to your new reality. Better get ready for it.
01:05 PM on 10/21/2010
From what I've observed, there are many people that have their livelihood based on oil exploration in the Gulf. And it seems to have promise and reduce dependance on foreign OPEC dispositions which are not the best and that leads to politics so I won't go there.
There was much activity and wells begun until bp got there with its evil CEO. Because of him I now use Mobil products in my automobile. I think most companies would be very careful and employ much safety measures with new technologies now being employed. Seems like activity was uneventful until bp and think it may remain that way.
I think bp should be banned from further exploration in the Gulf. Go back to Libya bp and colaborate with terrorists as you are wont to do.
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LONDON3
Music keeps me sane in a crazed society :-)
08:51 AM on 10/21/2010
Doing the same WRONG thing, will definitely lead to the same WRONG result ...... its all about politics at the end of the day. Corporations never really care about "actual humans" and how it affects us ALL in the end ...... the Gulf crisis is one of many that have passed... and that will come ..... to fail !
05:30 AM on 10/21/2010
I suppose the author has never had an accident.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jstrate
12:52 AM on 10/21/2010
Issues like this tend to disappear quickly from the public agenda . The well is plugged and it's no longer news. It's perhaps best to wait awhile before reaching any conclusion on the causes (human and other) of this environmental disaster. The first instinct is the "blame game" or the fundamental attribution error. Perhaps there were some Type A personalities in charge, trying to save a few $$, ordering subordinates to do things that those subordinates knew should not be done, or skip procedures that subordinates knew should be followed. Maybe the truth will come out in the end.

A similar scandal is hospitals not implementing proven methods of preventing infections because doing so costs some money and takes a lot of effort. About 50,000 people die each year from such infections. Many are needless deaths. Medicine kills a lot more people than deep water drilling.
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MadAs
Tuned-in science editor
12:22 AM on 10/21/2010
Okay Huff editors, it's now 3 hours since my initial comment, and no one has commented since me. Maybe you blew it on the headline (or whatever it's now called). Dammit, you should have linked it to the Anita Hill story...

Something like: "Six months after Gulf blowout, Virginia Thomas creates 20-year Blowage News of her Own (the judge is surprisingly mum)."
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MadAs
Tuned-in science editor
09:06 PM on 10/20/2010
Thanks for exposing this yet-one-more Gulf-politics/US gov debacle. I see at this time 52 comments; this morning (PDT) there were well over 3000 comments (by now -- who cares) on Virginia Thomas's request for an apology from Anita Hill.

This country has gone totally upside-down, when we comment in such a sad lopsided manner (and by the way I did too comment on that story... sorry to say). Why? Lack of education? Lack of concern, as in giving up? Or is it just a desire to escape via our comments, Or???

Sad reality for Huff commenting and even sadder that this Gulf story has been all but forgotten in the news.
08:49 PM on 10/20/2010
Has anyone noticed that gas prices are creeping up toward $3/gallon? Did anyone stop to think that maybe the oil companies are all helping BP recoup the money from the fines and penalties over the oil spill in the Gulf? Do they think we're that stupid? You didn't think that THEY were going to pay the cost for that mess, did you?
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LONDON3
Music keeps me sane in a crazed society :-)
08:55 AM on 10/21/2010
..... definitely noticed the creeping up of gas prices in my area ....... just part of the "game" ..... Just like 911,.... I will never forget this oil spill in the Gulf, whether the news media does or not ..... whatever age you are now,........ chk back in about 15 years or so (God willing) ...... then this story will re-appear with what actually happened and how it WILL be or IS affecting us
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snowballinhell
Humans have a 100% chance of extinction
03:14 PM on 10/21/2010
Yes. Looks like the investment banks are active again in the oil market. Price increases means they stand to make more money and can be assured that stagflation isn't a problem to worry about now. Price increases are good for the economy, following this logic. Artificially manipulating the prices of oil and other commodities puts a lie to the market place as the ultimate solution for our problems So higher gas prices is just what the doctor ordered. As in "I order gas prices to rise!".
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Valerio della Porta
Entrepreneur and Web Developer
05:47 PM on 10/20/2010
"... capable of cutting any drill pipe... ," knowing full well that no blowout preventer can actually do that.

This is factually untrue as most of assertion in the article. The Blind Shear Ram in the BOP is perfectly capable of cutting a drill pipe. The real issue is that that the Ram has several critical parts that have no backup. Any failure of one of these parts such as the shuttle valve result in a catastrophic failure of the BOP.

BP was reckless in its behavior and deserves all the blame but the misinformation in this article is just as bad as BP campaign.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Robert L. Cavnar
06:52 PM on 10/20/2010
Actually, that's not true. Blind shear rams have a large failure rate, and cannot cut tool joints in drill pipe. That's why the variable bore rams are spaced out so the blind shear is set opposite the body of the pipe, not a tool joint. I stand by my assertion.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Valerio della Porta
Entrepreneur and Web Developer
09:12 PM on 10/20/2010
"... capable of cutting any drill pipe... ," is not the same as "cannot cut tool joints in drill pipe". At any rate the following regulation undermines your entire argument.

Recent USA Federal Requirements-
The Department Of Interior’s May 27, 2010 publication of Increased Safety Measures
For Energy Development On The Outer Continental Shelf sets new requirements of
safety features on BOPs and related backup and safety equipment on page 3 including:

“…a requirement that BOPs have two sets of blind shear rams spaced at least four
feet apart to prevent BOP failure in a drill pipe or drill tool is across on[e] set of rams during an emergency;…”

The dual shear ram thinking is that if the thicker drill pipe tool joint blocks one set of
rams from shearing the material in the hole, the second set of rams will land on only the
smaller diameter drill pipe. Note the shear rams are physically in series. However, you
must consider how they function as the functional results can be either in series (lower
reliability) or in parallel (higher reliability) for the shearing operation.
05:17 PM on 10/20/2010
Well - - apparently Americans have no memory - - because we're about to do the same thing politically - - i.e., just 21 months after the GOP disaster known as the Bush Administration ... that brought us the worst economic conditions since The Great Depression ... and unilateral invasions of two foreign countries ... American voters are poised to return to high political office the very mooks who brought us to the brink of economic and foreign policy disaster ... singing their same-old-same-old worn-out tunes, promising the same-old-same-old and clearly failed policies, and praising those very same-old-same-old 2000-2008 systems that have all but flushed this country right down the toilet!

Just twenty-one months after the cockroaches were totally removed ... they're about to launch a counter-attack with the same old and hackneyed white-backs that spent eight years harrassing Clinton nearly to death and another eight years bringing us to near total ruination ... again leading the charge of this particular iteration of the "Party Of No!"

Unbelievable.
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TheMediaRanger
Pull over, buddy, let's see your poetic license
04:05 PM on 10/20/2010
I cringe every time I see another BP commercial with sincere "workers" vowing to make things right in the Gulf, because that's where they live too.

In the town where I live outside of Chicago, we've been trying to get BP to sell, demolish or do SOMETHING with an abandoned gas station for 6 years. By now they've paid out more to loyyers just to stall us than it would have cost to take it down and remediate the soil, like a responsible corporate neighbor would do.

I don't trust BP as far as I can toss a piano.
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MadAs
Tuned-in science editor
12:32 AM on 10/21/2010
Sad thing is that those are the small-oil lawyers they pay just to run simple (no-time-involved) interference for them: "You boys, just file another delay brief with our paid-off judge there in Oilville and screw those A-H's daring to take us on, them bassterds."
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Vincent Gormley
Artist, activist, volunteer, compassion lives
04:00 PM on 10/20/2010
We live but we don't seem to learn much.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Vincent Gormley
Artist, activist, volunteer, compassion lives
03:58 PM on 10/20/2010
The John Lennon song "Why don't we do it in the road" comes to mind, except much has been done in the Gulf and elsewhere in plain sight.
02:51 PM on 10/20/2010
It's so damn sad—and entirely expected—that people will "forget" about the environmental disaster faster than you can say 'Boo!'. The love of $ will always trump anything else in this country. HATE.
02:46 PM on 10/20/2010
Once again politics will trump common sense. We go from crisis to crisis without learning a great deal. Another catastrophe is sure to follow and it too will be subject to the inaction of our politicians. The problem with crises is that they do not bring votes to the table.

It seems that only when there are military implications or in matters of national security will the nation be prepared to make the far-reaching and needed changes that are required. We forget too easily and we bury our head right back in the sand.

Boomerwarrior
11:11 PM on 10/21/2010
Global oil production has peaked and going into decline, Yet the government isn't telling you the truth of that reality. Why? Because if people understood what that meant they'd panic and collapse the stock market and any since of a recovery. http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,715138,00.html

But since oil has peaked and GDP is dependent upon oil declining oil supplies equals declining standards of living along with declining GDP and an inability to service all that US/global debts.

This isn't an economic recovery. It isn't a double-dip recession. Nor is this a going into another Great Depression. With oil going into decline this is the beginning of the first global collapse of complex societies

http://www.financialsense.com/financial-sense-newshour/in-depth/joseph-tainter-phd/the-collapse-of-complex-societies