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Robert P. Jones, Ph.D.

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Obama and Romney's Faith Perception Problem

Posted: 08/03/2011 1:57 pm

While President Barack Obama and GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney may have different religious backgrounds, they share a surprisingly similar religious dilemma: most Americans can't correctly identify their religion, and more Americans than not say that each of these leader's religious beliefs are different from their own.

Much ink has already been spilled about the challenge Mitt Romney may face because of negative public perceptions of his Mormon faith. But the new PRRI/RNS Religion News Survey, conducted by Public Religion Research Institute in partnership with Religion News Service, shows that at this point in the campaign only four-in-10 Americans correctly identify Romney's religion as Mormon. Ten percent identify him as either Protestant or Catholic, and 46 percent say they don't know what his religious beliefs are.

Despite a very public falling out with his church pastor during the campaign and providing numerous testimonials of his Christian faith, President Obama faces a similar knowledge gap with the public. Only about four-in-10 (38 percent) correctly identify his religion as Christian, 18 percent continue to wrongly identify him as Muslim and 40 percent say they do not know what his religious beliefs are.

Beyond the religious identity challenge, both Obama and Romney also face a religious identification challenge with the public. Specifically, more Americans than not say that each of these leader's religious beliefs are different from their own. Romney of course faces a hurdle here that Obama does not: 72 percent of Americans report that Mormons have religious beliefs that are somewhat or very different from their own. But any advantage that might accrue to Obama because of his more familiar Christian faith is not evident in the numbers. The number of Americans saying Obama has religious beliefs that are different from their own stands at 48 percent, a number that is slightly higher than the same measure for Mitt Romney (43 percent).

2011-08-02-Religious_Similar_Different.jpg

In order to measure the average distance between Americans' own religious beliefs and their perceptions of political leaders' religious beliefs, we created a scale that accounts for perceptions of both similarity and difference. On this scale, former President George W. Bush provides a helpful benchmark. Bush scores right at the mean of the scale (0.00), indicating that equal numbers say his religious beliefs are similar to their own and different from their own. On this measure, again, Obama's score is nearly identical to Romney's score (-0.40 and -0.43 respectively), indicating that for each, more Americans think these leaders' religious beliefs are different than think they are similar.

Why does all this matter? Because most Americans are religious, and religion remains a lens through which many evaluate political candidates and measure their identification with them. The impact of perceived differences in religious beliefs is clearly evident in a question measuring a hypothetical vote for president.

If the vote were held today among all Americans, 44 percent of Americans report they would vote for President Obama, compared to 36 percent who say they would vote for Romney. However, among those who say Obama's religious beliefs are somewhat or very different from their own, Romney wins over Obama 48 percent to 32 percent. Romney faces the same fate. Among those who say Romney's religious beliefs are somewhat or very different from their own, Obama comes out strongly ahead 55 percent to 28 percent.

Much has been written about the challenges Romney may face because of his Mormon religious identity. But Obama's continued religious identity and identification problems, which are, if different, as significant as Romney's, have not been fully grasped. Should these perceptions hold throughout the 2012 campaign, they could have significant electoral repercussions at the ballot box.

The PRRI/RNS Religion News Survey was designed and conducted by Public Religion Research Institute in partnership with Religion News Service. Results of the survey were based on RDD telephone interviews conducted between July 14 and July 17 by professional interviewers under the direction of Opinion Research Corporation. Interviews were conducted among a random sample of 1,012 adults 18 years of age or older living in private households in the continental United States. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 3.0 percentage points at the 95 percent level of confidence.

This article was originally posted by Dr. Jones on his new blog "Figuring Faith" at the Washington Post's On Faith section.

 
 
 

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While President Barack Obama and GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney may have different religious backgrounds, they share a surprisingly similar religious dilemma: most Americans can't correctly id...
While President Barack Obama and GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney may have different religious backgrounds, they share a surprisingly similar religious dilemma: most Americans can't correctly id...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
BroBrigham
08:44 PM on 08/04/2011
Obama is not a Muslim!? This is new news to me!
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LintLass
"When you can balance a tackhammer on your head...
08:40 AM on 08/05/2011
You should get your news elsewhere than Fox. :)
02:35 AM on 08/08/2011
I don't have the link.So try to search 'Obama admitts that he is a Muslim.'
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
builder101
VOTE!
08:09 PM on 08/04/2011
"There is a reason why one man is born black and with other disadvanta­ges, while another is born white with great advantages­. The reason is that we once had an estate before we came here, and were obedient, more or less, to the laws that were given us there. Those who were faithful in all things there received greater blessings here, and those who were not faithful received less."
http://www­.religious­tolerance.­org/lds_ra­ce2.htm

Direct from the great mormon regelion.
01:30 AM on 08/05/2011
Post a peace like this about a non-Christian related religion and i'll take you seriously. Tolerance isn't really tolerance if it's only directed toward a certain group of people.
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LintLass
"When you can balance a tackhammer on your head...
08:46 AM on 08/05/2011
Tolerance doesn't mean 'Blame someone else for what a Christian religion does.'

Especially because a lot of Christians don't consider Mormons real Christians, thus don't want to vote for them.

Of course, Romney's acting like the Mormon church in that he's signed onto an intolerance pledge toward LGBT Americans, while he's just received a shady million in campaign donations from a company that was created and closed between March and now, apparently just to make that contribution, maybe some more.

Too bad, I suppose, it looked like Romney was the only hope of any of the GOP nominees being anywhere *near* 'moderates.'
02:41 AM on 08/08/2011
Joseph Smith set a presidence that is carried forth to this day by high ranking Mormon officials, I hope that the mods will respect me and let this one be read by everyone. http://nowscape.com/mormon/negro2.htm
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
builder101
VOTE!
10:12 AM on 08/08/2011
Thank you for the link
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
DiogenesOfAlaska
Mitt Romney for president - of the Cayman islands!
03:41 PM on 08/04/2011
"Only about four-in-10 (38 percent) correctly identify his religion as Christian, 18 percent continue to wrongly identify him as Muslim and 40 percent say they do not know what his religious beliefs are."

I guess it's a safe assumption that the majority of US voters do not know what the debt ceiling debate was all about, then.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
WESmith
Just say no to gasoline
08:23 PM on 08/04/2011
It wasn't about the debt obviously.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
DiogenesOfAlaska
Mitt Romney for president - of the Cayman islands!
02:46 AM on 08/08/2011
hardly
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Karl Wilder
03:36 PM on 08/04/2011
I think public disclosure of religious beliefs should be enough to keep you from becoming president. It is a non issue. IF anyone in government uses religion to make public policy decisions they need to be impeached and removed from office.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
WESmith
Just say no to gasoline
08:27 PM on 08/04/2011
~80% of the voters use religion as criteria for their choice of Representatives. Almost everyone uses religion in their comment in these blogs. Saying that "disclosure of religious beliefs..." is using religion to make their point about politics.
02:24 PM on 08/04/2011
A question EVERYbody should ask Mormons, like Romney is,

"Do you really believe you will become a God?"

If he answers, "No" he's either a liar or he does not really believe in the most important of Mormon concepts, that Mormon MEN can become Gods in their "Mormon Only! Heaven" (aka, the Celestial Kingdom) as long as they practice Celestial Marriage (polygamy) which they'll be required to do.

This is from the Doctrine and Covenants, which is considered superior to the Bible, by Mormons, since it's revelation given directly to Joseph Smith, the founder of Mormonism.

D&C 76:58 Wherefore, as it is written, they are gods, even the sons of God—

D&C 88:107 And then shall the angels be crowned with the glory of his might, and the saints shall be filled with his glory, and receive their inheritance and be made equal with him.

D&C 132:19-20 And again, verily I say unto you, if a man marry a wife by my word, which is my law, and by the new and everlasting covenant, ......20 Then shall they be gods, because they have no end; Then shall they be gods, because they have all power, and the angels are subject unto them.
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bookreader451
"You can't ever have my books," she said.
11:26 AM on 08/04/2011
What makes me the most angry about this pervasive tie between religion and government is the fact that our government founders made a very specific effort to separate the two.
nothingchanges
too soon old, too late smart
08:16 AM on 08/04/2011
"VOTE FOR ME..............I'M A CHRISTIAN"

Isn't one of the 10 Commandments "Thou shalt not take the name of the LORD, thy God, in vain"?

IMPO...........It's a whole lot easier to CLAIM to be a Christian, then it is to be one, I.E. to actually lead a "Christian" life.

Those that would USE their religion for personal or political gain, can hardly claim to be moral. But then how can you be a politician and abide by Christian rules of ethics?

A truly ethical individual can't get elected.

Unless you are willing to "play the game"..........to negotiate your future votes for corporate campaign cash, you'd never raise enough money to even get on the ballot.

When our system of election finance, is based on legalized bribery...............why be surprised when those we elect are less then honorable?
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
ConfuciusSay-
Aglets: their purpose is sinister.
06:53 AM on 08/04/2011
The only thing I can immediately agree upon, is seeing GWB rated as zero.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
fjg
a jolly good fellow
11:48 PM on 08/03/2011
My gosh...only 38% of those surveyed think that President Obama is a Christian? C'mon...all he's done since he's been elected is turn the other cheek and loved those who hate him. What's he gotta do to convince the others?
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10:14 AM on 08/04/2011
Mooning those who disagree with him does not meet the Christian ideal of turning the other cheek.
12:24 PM on 08/04/2011
the book he wrote before running for president has some interesting quotes.. they suggest he might not be a believer at all
08:54 PM on 08/03/2011
This is not a proper issue in a political campaign -- or at least it should not be.

The Founding Fathers wrote Article 6 and the First Amendment to the U.S. Constitution intending to prevent such a "religious litmus test."

The Founding Fathers wanted not only freedom of religion. They wanted freedom from religious domination by any one religion or any religious sect or coalition of sects. As Thomas Jefferson put it, speaking for his fellow Founding Fathers, the religious freedom clause was to establish "a wall of separation between church and state."

Read Quotes From the Founding Fathers Regarding Religion, at http://messenger2.cjcmp.org/foundingfathers.html
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Poster9999
Opinion without thought means it's not your truth
09:28 PM on 08/03/2011
"This is not a proper issue in a political campaign -- or at least it should not be."

Ya, that ship has sailed. I was actually wondering if either side would try to exploit this in some way.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Jie Jones
"Eat me!" -- Jesus, at the Last Supper
08:01 AM on 08/04/2011
Of course they have and will continue to.

Why do you think the Tea Party keep calling Obama a Muslim?
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hempster
Let it be said, let it be written, let it be done.
12:47 PM on 08/04/2011
Have to "ditto" Jie Jones. Of course they will.
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hempster
Let it be said, let it be written, let it be done.
07:07 PM on 08/03/2011
Barack says he's a Christian. He must be since he behaves in ways I'd attribute to the teachings of Jesus. He's like a lot of us. Not perfect but his hearts in the right place.

Mitt says he is a Christian and in Mormon traditions in good standing with the Church.

The evangelical christian will probably not vote for either of them. But then these folks are in a world of their own.

Since the constitution of the United States clearly states no religious test can be applied for holding office. They both qualify.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
WESmith
Just say no to gasoline
11:23 AM on 08/04/2011
The Constitution only says the the US Congress cannot set which religion we can be or not be.
Voters are free to vote for anyone for any reason or for no reason at all.
Technically if a majority of the people in one State decided that their government should be a theocracy, it would be unconstitutional to tell them that they cannot. In reality, several States have chosen a government style that is religious in nature.
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hempster
Let it be said, let it be written, let it be done.
12:37 PM on 08/04/2011
WESmith. I think you need to review the "establishment clause" as it doesn't quite jive with your concept of "technically....should be a theocracy. In fact you have it a little topsey-turvey. No federal, state or municipalithy can establish a theocracy under the "establishment clause".
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hempster
Let it be said, let it be written, let it be done.
08:55 PM on 08/04/2011
Oops more. In the early 19th century states and municipalities could be theoracies. Not now.
12:33 PM on 08/04/2011
if it comes down to Obama vs. Romney. I have to take Obama for no other reason than Romney is a Mormon. I mean come on, all religions are silly. But, this one has to be on top of the list.

Is there any doubt this religion is a racket created by a conscious charlatan? Romney will believe something based on no evidence at all and this is to be admired.

and I am quite sure Obama is a non-believer.
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hempster
Let it be said, let it be written, let it be done.
05:37 PM on 08/05/2011
Hey auburnbob. Seems like my comments keep getting lost. Took hours for your response to show up!

Paragraph #1 Agree with the exception they all "head" the list.

Paragraph #2 Not a single one and That would be a lot of thenm

Paragraph #3 Agree.
06:20 PM on 08/03/2011
Until he was 31 years old, Romney's religion taught, as official dogma, that black people lacked a spiritual wholeness that other races possessed.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Theophrastus
Stuck in the orgone chamber, again...
07:35 PM on 08/03/2011
It all goes back to when Noah cursed the entire Negroid race by cursing one of his own sons for busting up laughing because he passed out buttnekkid.
It's in the Book, people... look it up.
Jesus being black is in there too, if anyone here has even bothered to read that shocker.
04:03 PM on 08/04/2011
Actually there is no official church declaration on why the African race was prohibited from ordination to priesthood with in the Mormon church. There were speculative theories, theorized by high level clergy which gave these theories a lot of traction and circulation among church membership, but as such these were private ideas, which were published through private publishers. Furthermore their theories never represented official church doctrine. Also for something to become official with in the church, the church must sustain it by a unanimous consent. Such a ceremony is conducted twice a year during general conference, a world wide conference of the church. The entire body of the church most sustains it.

The clergymen who theorized about the priesthood ban on the African race were quick to denounce their "private" theories after a revelation given to church president Spencer W. Kimball, (which revelation was sustained as binding upon the church by the entire church membership giving a sustaining vote in the September 30th 1978 semi annual general conference) that the African race could be ordained to the priesthood http://lds.org/scriptures/dc-testament/od/2?lang=eng

There is NOT one explanation for the priesthood ban that is official doctrine. The individual theories were derived from scripture that Cain was given a curse, and black skin which, led these private theorist to theorize about the origin of the priesthood ban. So if I haven't stressed it enough these theories never represented the beliefs of the church.
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ShellyintheWest
No pain or trial that we suffer is ever wasted.
12:18 AM on 08/04/2011
Probably, and at the turn of the century 4 million Evangelicals were registered with the kaykaykay.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
glojet
06:15 PM on 08/03/2011
oh please. i am 27 years old and i dont know ANYONE who actually goes to religious services, even if they say they are religious. i get that old people care but in 20 years i project that most churches will be bankrupt.
06:33 PM on 08/03/2011
I've worked with organizations across the country, and know thousands of young Christians. The young hipster Christian movement with churches in lofts, coffee shops, concert venues and old churches is alive and well my friend. I would venture to say that many young people are leaving traditional, liturgical denominations, but there is a proliferation of unaffiliated "Indie" house churches springing up to take it's place.
07:42 PM on 08/03/2011
"Emergent churches" will never go broke . Not as long as they can vacum out the pockets of their congregations pockets. And that will never end. As long as the congreagation believes that they have invested their money in hopes of a miracle,that never comes.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
methodman
05:32 PM on 08/03/2011
Fact-Free Religion is the Enemy of Faith
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01:23 PM on 08/04/2011
Faith is the enemy of reason and facts.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
methodman
05:32 PM on 08/03/2011
Faith is not Diatribe of Dogma. Faith is building an object management system.