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Robert Reich

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The Hostage Crisis Continues: Why Obama Can't Pivot to Jobs and Growth

Posted: 08/02/11 06:31 PM ET

With the hostage crisis behind him, the president is now ready to talk about the nation's real problem.

Nine paragraphs into his remarks today announcing the nation has paid most of the ransom the radical right demanded as a condition for maintaining the full faith and credit of the United States (he didn't use these exact words), the president pivoted to the agenda he should have been talking about all along:

"And in the coming months I'll continue also to fight for what the American people care most about: new jobs, higher wages, and faster economic growth."

But what precisely will he fight for now that the debt deal has tied his hands?

He says he wants to extend tax cuts for middle class families and make sure the jobless get unemployment benefits.

Fine, but the new deal won't let him. He'll have to go back to Congress after the recess (five weeks from now) and round up enough votes to override the budget caps that now restrict spending. What are the odds? Maybe a little higher than zero.

He says he wants an "infrastructure bank" that would borrow money from private capital markets to pay private contractors to rebuild our nations roads, bridges, airports, and everything else that's falling apart.

Fine, but the new deal he just signed may not let him do this either -- if the infrastructure bank relies on federal funds or even federal loan guarantees to attract private money. The only way he could create an infrastructure bank without sweetening the pot would be by privatizing all the new infrastructure. That means toll roads and toll bridges, user-fee airports, and entry fees everywhere else.

Apart from its potential unfairness to lower-income people, such a privatized infrastructure would have the same effect as a tax increase. After paying more for roads and bridges and all other infrastructure, Americans would have less cash for to spend on goods and services. That means no boost to the economy.

The president also wants to complete trade deals and reform the patent process. These may make the economy slightly more efficient, but they're not going to have any perceptible positive impact on the lives of the 26 million Americans who are now either looking for work, working in part-time jobs but needing full-time ones, or have given up looking.

More importantly, the deal he just signed makes it impossible for the president and Democrats to launch any major jobs program -- no WPA or Civilian Conservation Corps, no major lending program to cash-starved states and locales, no new help for distressed homeowners, and so on. Nada.

"We've got to do everything in our power to grow this economy and put America back to work," the president says, now that the hostage crisis is over.

But the sad truth is he and the nation remain hostage to the ideology of right-wing Republicans who won't let the government spend more money. Yet if the government can't spend more -- at least this year and next, until the pump is primed and the economy is growing again -- we won't see job growth. And without job growth, the economy will remain anemic.

That's why even the stock market is reacting badly to the end of the hostage crisis.

If you hadn't noticed, the number of people unemployed or underemployed keeps growing. (We'll know Friday how many it added in July, but remember it needs to add 125,000 a month just to keep up with the growth of the labor force. Anything below 125,000 means we continue to slide backward.)

The reason: Consumers, who are 70 percent of the economy, haven't been able to pick up the slack. That's because they're still deep in debt. Their homes have plummeted in value. They can't borrow. Their jobs are on the line and their wages are dropping.

So where will the demand come from if not government? The radical right points to the alleged "failure" of the stimulus program as evidence that government spending doesn't work. The fact is it did work -- it saved at least 3 million jobs, and would have saved far more if the stimulus was on the scale needed and directed to job creation.

To be sure, pump-priming is more difficult when the well is almost dry, as it is now. And widening inequality -- the rich taking home an increasing share of the nation's total income and wealth -- has left the vast middle class with even less purchasing power.

But the pump still needs to be primed.

And the well has to be filled: The nation must also push for real tax reform that reverses the surge toward inequality -- raising taxes on the wealthy, cutting them for the middle, and expanding the Earned Income Tax Credit for the poor.

To do this, though, requires that Americans understand the truth. But where will they learn it?

The radical right has not only captured the federal budget. In convincing so many Americans the problem is the size of government rather than their shrinking paychecks and growing economic insecurity, the radical right has also captured the American mind.


Robert Reich is the author of Aftershock: The Next Economy and America's Future, now in bookstores. This post originally appeared at RobertReich.org.

 
 
 

Follow Robert Reich on Twitter: www.twitter.com/RBReich

 
 
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06:15 PM on 08/07/2011
Why is the rhetoric of this President so different from the actions?
Could it be at the beginning he made a Faustian bargain with the plutocrats just to survive?
Let me do a bit for my base but the real focus of this administration will be on your wants and needs.
Heh, heh.
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Kauia
12:42 PM on 08/05/2011
Reich's pessimistic assessment is disappointing. He correctly calls for "priming the economy pump." He also correctly states the political reality that another larger government stimulus package is a non-starter. However, his dismissal of an infrastructure bank is disingenuous "Apart from its potential unfairness to lower-income people, such a privatized infrastructure would have the same effect as a tax increase. After paying more for roads and bridges and all other infrastructure, Americans would have less cash for to spend on goods and services. That means no boost to the economy." Not so. It certainly would put millions of people back to work rebuilding America. Reich should stop philosophizing and push for a real solution to our unemployment problem.
02:30 AM on 08/04/2011
Reality Bites Professor Reich. Game Over. Borrowed Enough. Must Stop.
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chocolateandcheese
Imagine if we could get 99% voter turnout
02:57 AM on 08/04/2011
Must ruin economy. Must get black man out of White House. Must let corporations reign supreme paying no taxes and creating jobs only overseas. Must keep poor poor while rich get richer. Must..do...what...Rush...tells...me...to...dooooooooooo
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Hikerguy22
This is your carbon footprint
10:12 PM on 08/03/2011
A lot of damage will be done to the economy and , but the Repulicans are digging themselves a deep hole. The Democrats will take the House in the next election.
02:31 AM on 08/04/2011
Yep. And then a recall, and then another. Money's gone. Pay people to work, not to stay at home.
10:10 PM on 08/07/2011
People would love to be paid to work. Where are the JOBS?
09:35 PM on 08/03/2011
The Professor is absolutely right about the disconnect between President Obama's rhetoric and the situation he finds himself in. His inability to conceive and communicate a coherent plan for moving forward is beyond disappointing.
02:32 AM on 08/04/2011
No kidding. You are an astute observer.
07:30 PM on 08/03/2011
Looks like what Arnold Schwarzenegger said sometime ago about the Democrats as bunch of " Girlie Boys" came true.
02:32 AM on 08/04/2011
Please link to photos.
06:48 PM on 08/03/2011
“But what precisely will he fight for now that the debt deal has tied his hands?”

His hands were tied long before the debt deal. His hands were tied when he selected Wall Street lap dogs Geithner and Summers. His hands were tied when he continued Bush’s molly coddling of bankster criminals. His hands were tied when he accepted Bush’s wars, bloated military spending, unfunded Medicare Part D, big Pharma’s subsidy and the tax cuts. They were tied when he sought bipartisanship instead of leadership. His hands were tied when he accepted a pathetically small, unfocused and compromised stimulus with Republican pandering tax cuts.

At this late date saying anything except he skrewed he pooch is soft pedaling failure.
02:33 AM on 08/04/2011
His hands were tied by reality. Big govt has reached its credit limit.
06:27 PM on 08/03/2011
If we want real change we have to start playing the game. Instead of donating to the democratic party we need to create a lobbying firm and send all political donations there. Only then might we get the influence we want.
02:35 AM on 08/04/2011
Gosh why didn't I think of that. Create and fund a lobbying firm. Right there in front of me the whole time.
08:27 PM on 08/04/2011
If you want to bring back American jobs, buy American products. The government is not going to help us. All the Democrats and the Republicans in Congress can't put this country back together again. All they can do is spend us into oblivion. We will have to do this ourselves.
01:42 PM on 08/06/2011
We can't buy American products. We do not manufacture anything anymore. All our manufacturing went to all our "FREE TRADE" partners. Along with our jobs. So you better get congress to cancel all of these free trade agreements if you ever want to buy american products again.
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medusa08
The floggings will continue until morale improves.
05:56 PM on 08/03/2011
It doesn't take much to capture the American mind. For the most part, it has all the power of a bowl of oatmeal.
02:35 AM on 08/04/2011
I love you too.
05:56 PM on 08/03/2011
Those who got a degree in engineering, math or science from university in the US should be able to get a work visa more easily.

Skilled immigrants linked to job creation
Cornell president wants rules eased for students, workers
http://www.stargazette.com/article/20110726/NEWS01/107260360/Skilled-immigrants-linked-job-creation?odyssey=mod%7Cnewswell%7Ctext%7CFRONTPAGE%7Cs
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MaryBethC3
05:46 PM on 08/03/2011
Another great article from Robert Reich. Thank you, Dr. Reich, for all you do on behalf of ordinary Americans.

It took me a long time to get out of my denial about President Obama. A strong Democrat, I, like millions of people, was so excited about the good things to come after eight years of Bush. For two years after his election, I scratched my head and as I watched time and time again as he made decisions him respond in a conciliatory, "compromising" manner as the GOP viciously attacked him with unprecedented objectionism. Back when he extended the Bush Tax Cuts I realized, with no satisfaction and only sadness, that this President is not working effectively for traditional Democratic Party principles nor ordinary working class people, the poor and the elderly.

Now this. Who would have imagined in 2008 that we'd be in this boat. And the maddening irony--it didn't have to be this way.
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05:16 AM on 08/05/2011
fanned.....thought Obama was less tied to old idea's, no connection to Iraq blunder, maybe a new Middle East policy and closer to peace in the "holy land."

But while I understand health care directly affects the US economy and jobs,
it should have been sold differently and likely later, or rammed through
so fast before the right could spread so many LIE'S and distortions.
Quite a few mistakes, mostly tactical, forgivable considering the
incredible problems he inherited, but in these times we needed
better, and someone less easily wounded by harsh, unfair attacks.

So I wonder if he should not run, and let Hillary become the first woman
President, or maybe Dr. Dean, etc.....it would be a less divisive campaign
and we should win by 3-6%.....Obama can, but it will be close at best....
quietfortoolong2
Consumers: the REAL job creators!!
04:41 PM on 08/03/2011
"And the well has to be filled: The nation must also push for real tax reform that reverses the surge toward inequality -- raising taxes on the wealthy, cutting them for the middle, and expanding the Earned Income Tax Credit for the poor.

To do this, though, requires that Americans understand the truth. But where will they learn it?

The radical right has not only captured the federal budget. In convincing so many Americans the problem is the size of government rather than their shrinking paychecks and growing economic insecurity, the radical right has also captured the American mind."

Very well said. I would add that the Right controls the media, and with it, the people's access to the truth about what's going on. In their quest for ratings and market share, the media has abdicated its responsibility to keep government honest. Just imagine how much better things would be if the MSM simply told the truth. Well, they won't be immune. They'll go down with the rest of us.
jhNY
Mercy.
04:11 PM on 08/03/2011
The long-term unemployed will get nothing from payroll tax holidays, as they are part of nobody's payroll, and nothing from unemployment extensions, as they have been unemployed for too long to qualify.
The 2-party austerity plan, whoever it helps, helps the long-term unemployed nary a whit. They have borrowed all they could in expectation of a future job; they have sold whatever assets they had to pay down what they owe. Neither party has a plan for them beyond benign neglect, except by this point he neglect is malignant.
03:51 PM on 08/03/2011
Mr Riech,

On July 7 2011 you wrote and articale: "Why would Mitch Mconnell win the day".
You were right! Your other articles are just as as well thougt out.

I wish you ran in the Democratic primary. We need someone like you to replace that incompatent leadership we have.

Robert Riech and Elizabeth Warren ticket.
03:33 PM on 08/03/2011
A lot of people seem to make a choice between blaming Obama and blaming the republicans. The fact is they are BOTH to be blamed.

We need to primary Obama out with someone that will stand for us, instead of the sellouts (Obama and congress) working for the billionaires. Blaming one side or another will not create employment.

We need representatives that don't bow down to the billionaires. It may be too late, given that the Supreme Court turned out to such anti people and so serving of the supper wealthy.

Get all the con men out and replace them with people such as Bernie Sanders and Robert Reich, or else things will get much worse for all but the wealthiest few.
jhNY
Mercy.
04:12 PM on 08/03/2011
"things will get much worse for all but the wealthiest few." Here's your lede.
04:35 PM on 08/03/2011
Yes! Bernie Sanders! In all of this, he seems to be the only voice of reason out there. The only one who truly cares about the general populace. I never payed much attention to it, but now I can see that the only way to have more like Bernie is to pass campaign reform. When big money is taken out of the equation, maybe we'll have a better choice of candidates. Otherwise, greed and corruption will prevail.