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Robert Reich

Robert Reich

Posted: July 26, 2010 07:42 PM

Second-quarter earnings reports are coming in, and they're making Wall Street smile. Corporate profits are up. And big American companies are sitting on a gigantic pile of money. The 500 largest non-financial firms held almost a trillion dollars in the second quarter, and that money pile is growing larger this quarter. Profits that plummeted in the recession have bounced back. Big businesses have recovered almost 90 percent of what they lost.

So with all this money and profit, they'll start hiring again, right? Wrong - for three reasons.

First, lots of their profits are coming from their overseas operations. So that's where they're investing and expanding production.

GM now sells more cars in China than it does in the US, but makes most of them there. The company now employs 32,000 hourly workers in China. But only 52,000 GM hourly workers remain in the United States - down from 468,000 in 1970.

GM isn't just hiring low-tech assembly workers in China. Last week the firm broke ground there on a $250 million advanced technology center to develop batteries and other alternative energy sources.

You and I and other American taxpayers still own over 60 percent of GM. We bought GM to save GM jobs, remember?

GM officials say no American taxpayer money is being used to expand in China. But money is fungible. Because of our generosity, GM can use the dollars it doesn't have to spend in the United States meeting its American payroll and repaying its creditors for new investments in China.

Second, big U.S. businesses are investing their cash in labor-saving technologies. This boosts their productivity, but not their payrolls.

Last Friday, for example, Ford reported a $2.6 billion second-quarter profit. The firm is already more than two-thirds the way to equaling its record 1999 profits. But due to labor-saving technologies, Ford now has half as many employees as it did a decade ago.

Wall Street analysts are happy with Ford's "commitment to keeping capacity in check," according to the Wall Street Journal. Ford shares rose 5.2 percent Friday. "Keeping capacity in check" is the Street's way of saying "no new hiring." In fact, the Street is advising investors to sell the stocks of companies that talk openly of expanding capacity.

Finally, corporations are using their pile of money to pay dividends to their shareholders and buy back their own stock - thereby pushing up share prices.

Last Friday, GE announced it would raise its dividend by 20 percent and reinstate its share-buyback plan. It's GE's first dividend increase since the company cut its dividend in early 2009. As a result, GE shares are up more than 5% in the past few days.

Bottom line: Higher corporate profits no longer lead to higher employment. We're witnessing a great decoupling of company profits from jobs.

The next supply-side economist who tells you companies need more incentive (i.e. lower taxes) before they'll hire is living on another planet.

The reality is this: Big American companies won't begin to think about hiring until they know American consumers will buy their products. The problem is, American consumers won't start buying again until they know they have reliable paychecks.

This post originally appeared at RobertReich.org.

 
 
 
 
 
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11:47 PM on 08/01/2010
The idea that a significant number of large corporations or businesses are holding back on hiring to hurt the President seems silly to me and I'm a liberal dem. The motivation of business is to make as much money as possible. Period. Rarely does the benefit to the country or individuals factor in to the equation. Reich I think lays it out rather well for the non-economist (me). Technology and out-sourcing is eliminating jobs. The incentive is to lower capacity (eliminate jobs). Small businesses and innovation is our only chance to avoid disaster. Our government needs to do a whole lot more to help both.
ajwriter
Healthy equilibrium, healthy democracy
11:25 PM on 08/02/2010
I am in accord with your point, but I'm going to nitpick about the premise.

For most businesses, especially small businesses, the goal is to DO something productive -- To make hats. To style hair and make people look good. To turn grapes into wine. To give surgeons a better tool for unblocking arteries -- And in the process, to earn money.

Most people are driven by more than just the desire for money, however, most people have intrinsic drives to do something of value, worthwhile. Quite often people value autonomy above money (or seek money as part of a drive for autonomy). Nearly all people desire as much control of what they do with their lives and time as possible.

I think it's mostly counterfeiters and insurance companies that are in business just to make money and not DO anything productive for it.
ropadopa
Exposing the failed conservative experiment
09:22 PM on 08/01/2010
I am no economist but I believe that there is some amount of "lets teach Obama a lesson" going on here. Our corporate leaders surely understand the point Mr. Reich is making on the relationship between the consumer having a paycheck and their ability to buy products.

So it comes down to this. They have built up enough corporate fat hoping that their reticence will result in a very long winter of discontentment. They are hoping that the President will surrender and revert to Bush era laissez Faire, no holds barred, they win we lose non-policies.

Good luck to them. The President is right, lets call their bluff.
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Kevin Atlanta
Active Citizen 54
08:47 PM on 08/01/2010
Americans should decouple further. Move your money, stop spending period. Do not support the "to big to fail" in any way shape or manner. Buy local and do not support the Corporate Fascist purchased politicians or Government.
America has been robbed of it's prosperity with socialization of the loss and privatization of the profits. Where is America's share of the obscene profits from Wall Street?
Where is America share of the obscene profits from the Corporate Fascist?
Strike, subvert, do not support this corrupt system.
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SShaw490
A man hears what he wants and disregards the rest
04:50 PM on 08/01/2010
Beyond all that, I'm convinced that American corporations feel that having a Republican-run government is in their best interest; and I'm convinced that they're going to sit on cash until after November in the hope that Republicans can take control of Congress, and then they'll start hiring and unemployment will drop. Then Obama will have to run against a narrative that "Once Republicans took control of Congress, unemployment started going down." Corporations lose very little with that strategy other than momentum in the economy, which can be regained as soon as unemployment starts to decline (see 1983 for an example), as long as they're all doing the same thing and none of them are gaining market share on the others.

In other words, I'm convinced that US corporate CEOs are so powerful, and so amoral, that they would literally tailor their own corporate strategy to suit their personal political preferences. They're using the cash in their publicly owned corporation for personal political leverage.

If that's the case, then we officially live in an oligarchic plutocracy, not a democracy. You can still vote for whoever you want, but CEOs will punish you if you vote for Democrats.
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Kevin Atlanta
Active Citizen 54
08:49 PM on 08/01/2010
We return the punishment by not purchasing from the Corporate fascists. Do not support the "too big to fail" or the investment houses that are gambling parlors.
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intotheabyss
Imperialism is a form of insanity.
03:30 PM on 08/01/2010
It's time Americans stopped relying on corporations for their pay checks and consumer goods. Employee owned companies are the way to go. Co-ops are beginning to crop up around the country. Employee owned means fair wages, no outrageous CEO salaries, no job outsourcing ,safe work environment, profits kept local that benefit the whole community, etc. We need to stop being victimized and take control of our own destiny, but it will take a major shift in attitude and behavior. It also won't happen over night, but we have to start somewhere. Convincing our neighbors that shopping at Walmart is unpatriotic would be a good start.
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margoharris
I used to be Snow White but I drifted.
03:40 PM on 08/01/2010
Good ideas but it would require financing by taxpayers, why not sell stock in public resource funds to finance employee run companies?
Walmart has pretty much destroyed the Grocery jobs. There was a time when you could support your family with a job at a grocery store, with only one working spouse. Walmart changed all of that now a grocery job is a low paying job that no one could raise a family with.

DON'T SHOP AT WALFART PEOPLE!!!!
01:54 PM on 08/01/2010
The US multinationals make their profits in Asia. They employ a lot of people in Asia. Ford and GM produce their parts in Asia and assemble a lot of them abroad too. All cellphones are produced in Asia, including apple's. The same with chemicals, computers, everything. This is the problem.

Glaobalization did not make the people of this country better off, it did not reduce prices, the savings went into the pockets of the corporations. Only balanced trade regulations can bring the jobs back in the US. Trade is only free and beneficial when it's balanced.

Mr Reich please study the topic of balanced trade. You can start with the articles of Ian Fletcher, here on HP.
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jazgr8
Ok, I give up, you win.
01:11 PM on 08/01/2010
Thanks for keeping it simple Mr. Reich. I personally think your second reason is the biggest of the three.

But it represents a catch 22, so what do we do about it?
11:55 AM on 08/01/2010
another reason why the republicans blocking the bill to help small business is purely obstructionist and doing NOTHING to help the citizens of this country given that small business employs the most americans. after reading this, it's even more clear that republicans serve the interest of the very rich few and not anyone else. unless you're one of those few, voting for republicans means voting against the interests of our future economic longevity and against yourself. voting against your own interests? that's just plain stupid.
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LiberalDemIda
You can't spell "Conservative" without Con.
12:08 PM on 08/01/2010
** voting against your own interests? that's just plain stupid. **

Republicans and self-proclaimed Conservatives with an income well below $ 250,000, don't have a clue about anything outside their greedy little "I want everything for FREE!" and that's exactly how they vote, much to the detriment of the rest of the American people who do get it.
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John Galt2
My life is my own...
11:31 AM on 08/01/2010
"You and I and other American taxpayers still own over 60 percent of GM. We bought GM to save GM jobs, remember?"

"We"???? Umm - I don't remember the American people being consulted about that decision. And with unemployment as high as it is, I wouldn't beat the drum about how taxpayer money was used to save UNION jobs, a reward to the Dems' voting base.

The GM/Chrysler "bankruptcies" were shocking examples of gov't over-reach (at the taxpayers' expense) in the private sector, and crass payoffs to the UAW. Those two bloated, uncompetitive, money losing behemoths should have gone through Ch 11 and the chips left to fall where they may.

So Mr Reich - time was when 98% of Americans engaged in agriculture. Today, 2% do, feeding not only this country, but a good portion of the rest of the world - are you saying 98% was better? What happened to the other 96%, did they go jobless?

Companies search out the best combination of input-costs vs. value added to maximize profits. When an input becomes too expensive to maintain profits, alternatives are found. Why are companies so set against hiring, vs. investing in productivity Mr Reich?

Capital flows to where it's treated best. Mr Reich - if capital is flowing OUT of the US, what does that tell you about how well it is treated here? Perhaps if we took a hard look at US tax and reg policies, we'd find the answers...
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margoharris
I used to be Snow White but I drifted.
12:18 PM on 08/01/2010
What you wrote is the biggest bunch of crap that I have ever read. 75% of wealthy people INHERITED their money. If saving over 5 million jobs and the manufacturing sector of this countrry isn't important, what is? . Good jobs that pay middle class wages are not worth saving? . "Why are companies so set against hiring vs investing in productivity Mr. Reich?"
Because sir one reason, GREED. They are making HUGE profits, but how much is enough? They are investing the profits in the Wall st Casino, in countries with cheap labor. The last ten years they have gotten everything they wanted, Deregulation, all of the big loopholes to dive through to avoid paying any taxes. Exxon/Mobil had record profits last year and yet paid no taxes in the United States. So many industries that employed our citizens have gone offshore so what is the solution? Let them have more profit to not invest in our country? Just pay no taxes to run a government that has given Big Industries every advantage to thrive. Get rid of environmental laws? Would that satisfy them? Let them polute the air and water?
Does Big Business owe anything to this country at all or do we have to watch as greed and corruption at the top destroys our economy and then get down on our knees to thank them ?
02:10 PM on 08/01/2010
The first rule of capitalism is... capital goes to the low cost producer. American labor is high cost. It is not competitive. Period. You prove it with every purchase you make that has any pricing component to it. The answer is improved education and a re-tooling of the workforce. Was a time no one knew how to operate heavy machinery, the farmers learned and the industrial revolution was born. Now it is time to accept automation and low cost foreign labor has rendered manufacturing jobs virtually obsolete and learn the next set of skills. For today those are computer and/or service centric. Stop howling at the moon of modern advance and get constructive. Of course that would make you quite different than the majority on this site, wouldn't it?
amtheone
I have wonderful children and a new grandbaby
02:50 PM on 08/01/2010
margoharris, what do I say? You go girl!
09:45 PM on 08/01/2010
This is a nice summary of the guiding philosophy of the elites in the United States. They are, for all practical purposes, stateless. What you, and they, fail to understand is that in the end, the states to which you send your capital, will toss you as easily as you tossed the United States.

The utopia you have built has cashed out and it will be a decade, if not longer, before the bulk of the United States recovers. This is no concern of yours, as you already have the monies so well gamed out of the ash heap.

Whatever riches you have gained are not the ones that earn you any respect from me. For American citizens who value their country, it is best to remember that keeping your purchases, banking and employment close to home is your best bet. Every time you do not, please remember that you are giving sustenance to stateless weasels.
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10:10 AM on 08/01/2010
A cogent, solid analysis all around. Thanks, Mr. Reich.
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10:02 AM on 08/01/2010
Mr. Reich gets it - like so few do. But what do we do about this world-wide ruling class that have robbed our treasury and country of TRILLIONS and export jobs to other shores and benefit from the lack of human rights that souls have? Do you really think that throwing our vote in a electronic black box in unverifiable elections will change this?

I dunno, but I do think about an ole George Harrison song and get a craving for pork.
09:45 PM on 08/01/2010
Purchase locally. Bank locally, Employ locally,

It is your only defense.
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laaambchop
Cheerfulness is a sign of wisdom
11:59 PM on 08/01/2010
That's what we are going to do.
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dennidus1680
09:16 AM on 08/01/2010
You are talking about the results of government regulation, tax policy and trade legislation since the Regan administration. Before that the top marginal tax bracket was so high, it made tax sense to pay higher wages and benefits so as to keep more of the profits. By dropping the tax rate as Reagan did, They could simply keep more money. Continuing through The first Bush Administration to Clinton. Now you see NAFTA etc. which allows the re-importation of products made by American companies off shore, with no tariffs. Also the set up through de-regulation of the great banking robbery of our tax dollars via bailouts. Then we get to Bush Jr and the robberies and the complete dismantling of the laws to make it legal. That is what allows for the current situation we find ourselves in. Does it take that much of a brain to see if we just re-regulate and go back to the laws we had to create and protect the average American middle class, we would create it again and have a great economy again?
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John Galt2
My life is my own...
11:34 AM on 08/01/2010
That simply makes no sense.

What do the "rich" do with the money they keep - hide it in a vault like Scrooge McDuck?

Are you saying that higher tax rates are justified, because the government has more claim on a person's income than they do?
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margoharris
I used to be Snow White but I drifted.
01:12 PM on 08/01/2010
It makes all the sense in the world. What are the rich doing with the money they keep? How about parking it in offshore accounts, moving operations offshore along with jobs. Yes they are hiding it in a vault like Scrooge McDuck. We pay out corporate welfare year in and year out with farm subsidies to factory farms that put family farms at risk, pay for the exploration and drilling of oil to companies flush with huge profits. And just because some mediocre ficton writer from Russia wrote a flawed and contemptable diatrib
01:29 PM on 08/01/2010
Civilization is ultimately a cooperative effort requiring all citizens to 'chip in' to keep it functional. It is fair that those who have benefited most from what civilization has to offer financed by taxpayer money (education, safe neighborhoods. roads and airports, etc) should contribute proportionally. The alternative is chaos where the strong victimize the weak and take all. I find it ironic that the rich complain most about taxes but end up paying effectively far less as a proportion of their income than some middle class bloke.
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David Durham
Just a guy who tries to stay informed and stand fo
08:51 AM on 08/01/2010
And Americans need to stop listening to this 'New Reality Of The Global Economy' crap that the Right, Deficit Hawks and Corporations are trying to sell. You see, because we can exploit workers in the Third World that means American workers have to accept sustenance wages, no benefits, longer hours and no retirement (unless you don't mind not eating and living in a refrigerator box). But if you look at the hated Democratic Socialists over in Europe you'll see that they have robust manufacturing bases, with very nice employment packages for their unionized workers. Germany and France together export more manufactured goods than China by a good bit. They haven't sold their workers down the river, and are showing clearly that competing in the global market doesn't require workers to sacrifice their Middle Class status along with their dignity. It does require the wealthy and powerful to share fairly the fruits of American labor.
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margoharris
I used to be Snow White but I drifted.
01:25 PM on 08/01/2010
{{{{{{{{{{CLAPPING}}}}}}}}}} BRAVO!! You've said it all. Thank you fanned and faved.
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HamletsMill
All Myth is Astronomy
03:34 PM on 08/01/2010
Fanned.
05:02 AM on 08/01/2010
I would like for Reich to do a short piece on what happens historically when the profits of the investor class become totally dissociated from the welfare of the working and middle class. I won't say the R-word, because it so scary!
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dennidus1680
09:17 AM on 08/01/2010
Then the tail doesn't wag the dog.
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John Galt2
My life is my own...
11:40 AM on 08/01/2010
Just answer this question - what does the "investor class" do with their profits?
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margoharris
I used to be Snow White but I drifted.
01:22 PM on 08/01/2010
They are taking advantage of insider trading and setting up scenerios that game the system by setting them up to fail and then betting that they will fail for profit.
You tell us what "investment" they have made for the future of this country? You tell us? We'll wait................
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margoharris
I used to be Snow White but I drifted.
01:26 PM on 08/01/2010
You tell us? We'll wait and be specific.............................
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03:36 AM on 08/01/2010
In the wake of this recession, some Americans, myself included, have reassessed their spending habits. I'm not buying what corporate America is trying to sell because I already have everything I need to live day to day. New car? nope. IPhone? nope. IPad? nope. Big Screen? nope, etc. It's all just more "stuff".