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Robert Reich

Robert Reich

Posted: December 14, 2010 10:56 AM

America's two economies are getting wider apart.

The Big Money economy is booming. According to a new Commerce Department report, third-quarter profits of American businesses rose at an annual record-breaking $1.659 trillion -- besting even the boom year of 2006 (in nominal dollars). Profits have soared for seven consecutive quarters now, matching or beating their fastest pace in history.

Executive pay is linked to profits, so top pay is soaring as well.

Higher profits are also translating into the nice gains in the stock market, which is a boon to everyone with lots of financial assets.

And Wall Street is back. Bonuses on the Street are expected to rise about 5 percent this year, according to a survey by compensation consultants Johnson Associates Inc..

But nothing is trickling down to the Average Worker economy. Job growth is still anemic. At October's rate of only 50,000 new private-sector jobs, unemployment won't get down to pre-recession levels for twenty years. And almost half of October's new jobs were in temporary help.

Meanwhile, the median wage is barely rising, adjusted for inflation. And the value of the major asset of most Americans- - their homes -- continues to drop.

Why are America's two economies going in opposite directions? Two reasons.

First, big profits are coming from overseas sales of goods and services made abroad, not here. The world's fastest-growing markets are China and India, whose inhabitants are eager to buy "American" products, and just as eager to work for the American companies that sell them. The U.S. market is barely moving.

Increasingly, American corporations are able to extract healthy gains from their global operations without adding much in the United States except executive talent.

Second, American businesses are boosting productivity by having U.S. employees do more work for less pay. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, between the third quarter of 2009 and the third quarter of 2010, productivity rose 2.5 percent, output increased 4.1 percent, the number of hours worked was up 1.6 percent, and unit labor costs dropped by 1.9 percent.

In other words, American workers are losing even more bargaining power as a sizable chunk of corporate profit goes into software and digital equipment that can do what people used to do -- but more cheaply.

So what is Washington doing about all this?

Making the tax code more progressive so more Americans reap the benefits enjoyed by those at the top? Increasing the bargaining power of American workers? Forcing Wall Street banks to reorganize under bankruptcy mortgage loans that are dragging down the housing market? Expanding early childhood education, hiring more teachers, putting fewer kids into each classroom, and making higher education more affordable -- so more working and middle-class kids can become tomorrow's high-priced "talent"?

No. None of this. In fact, Washington is busily separating the two economies even further.

It's extending the Bush tax cuts -- the lion's share of which go to the very wealthy; reducing the reach and rate of the estate tax; and giving corporations additional tax breaks for investing in software and equipment. Meanwhile, the states are cutting back on preschools, firing teachers, and yanking up tuitions and fees at public universities.

Oh, and yes, Washington is also extending unemployment benefits for the long-term jobless. Which is the least it can do, given that their ranks continue to swell.

Robert Reich is the author of Aftershock: The Next Economy and America's Future, now in bookstores. This post originally appeared at RobertReich.org.

 
 
 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Fred Ross
business owner that creates jobs
01:51 AM on 12/16/2010
Mr Reich. If your position is correct, then it is all of us who have failed and allowed this to happen. We have no national vision on how to get from point a to point b. I remember you from the Clinton years and you are one smart cookie! Your logic and reasoning appeals to progressives and conservatives alike. However, I disagree with your statements on this topic. Washington is trying to solve the problem with bandaids and bubble gum. when what we need is a whole new approach and clear leadership on what we need to do - let the private sector figure out the how we will do it - they are brilliant at that - what our leadership needs to articulate is where we are going? Every well read person knows we need to cut our dependence on foreign oil, our government leadership gets all screwed up when they try to figure out how. Just set the course and goals - ie: We are going to put a man on the moon in 10 years. President Kennedy did not try to tell NASA and the aerospace industry HOW to do it, just that we need to do it and THEY figured it out ahead of time!
12:14 AM on 12/16/2010
Well said...once again! You've nailed it perfectly. Unfortunately the gap will grow wider and more quickly as the wealth accumulates on the side of the rich. Their ability to sway Congress through huge monetary political funding will quickly out pace singular donations by the electorate...all thanks to a Supreme Court that supports a nation of, for and by the corporation !!!
08:46 PM on 12/15/2010
Right now unemployment is officially 2% over the NAIRU. So if unemployment did drop 2.5% the government would be declaring the economy to be overheating and take measures to promote unemployment. This is part of the problem in Western countries today.  Unemployment is something the people in charge want and promote.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
APMOTRBC
Urban Warrior Princess of The Table!
09:26 PM on 12/15/2010
I was 19, in 1981, when I discovered that anytime unemployment dipped below 5%, that the fed raised the interest rate in over to ward off inflation. Everyone with money explained to me how this was good. It meant that wages didn't get too high, people could afford to buy things. But it also meant that you needed 5% of those who could work and have jobs to be unemployed for you to reap the benefits of low inflation. So those people were making more money by 5% of the population being unemployed. Yet at the same time many of these people were furious about the lazy poor and those who refused to work even though they were keeping them from being fully employed to make more money.

Frequently these unemployed were the marginal and the marginalized. So no one cared. Most kind of thought well those people deserve to be unemployed. I hustle, I work hard, you don't have to be in that 5% if you don't want to be.

I think more people are discovering that when they came for the 5% and said they didn't even deserve any benefits at all, I didn't stand up because that wasn't me. And when they came for the teens (51% under the age of 24 do not have a job) I didn't stand up, because they didn't really need the money and that was me. And when they cut the pay of the . . .
10:01 PM on 12/15/2010
There was a study to see what was causing the inflation - it was interest payments and executive salaries. So their fraudulant NAIRU isn't even the cause of their problem. The people, they don't know that the government has unemployment rate targets, that they cause unemployment when the rate goes below that target. If they were to know...many would not believe it.
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Walter Westcot
05:36 PM on 12/15/2010
It's not going to be healthy to be ostentatiously wealthy in America for much longer.

It's like what's happened to boating in the Caribbean. It used to be you could sail the islands with impunity - not anymore.

At some point, when the 'locals' begin to resent the differential, as in the Caribbean, and Latin America, you start to see piracy and kidnapping of boaters in places like Honduras, Belize, and even Antigua.

Razor wire and broken glass are the norm for homes of the wealthy in south America and the 3rd world. It won't be long before it's normal here.

People are rooting for the thieves when banks and casinos are robbed. I know I do.

Behind all fortunes THERE ARE CRIMES..... there is no such thing as honest wealth anymore... its all stolen.

AND when THIS former Republican -- lifelong entrepreneur thinks the wealthy are ALL CROOKS.... and I know I'm not alone.... then the sun is setting on the privileged.

Children will be kidnapped... houses burned to the ground... the rich will not go unpunished in the coming years... or months.

It's about time. They deserve everything they are going to get.

And I'm not some hourly wager. I own my own business. But I also know how hard it is to break through to extreme wealth from an independent business. It doesn't happen without government help - or ties to investment banking.
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APMOTRBC
Urban Warrior Princess of The Table!
09:42 PM on 12/15/2010
Welcome and hello Dear Walter. I've been wealthy adjacent all my life and now more than ever. I too am an entrepreneur and now a social entrepreneur. "it is not what you know it is who you know."

I have to admit that is one of the reasons I'm such an advocate for willingly sharing and not being too greedy. I haven't been greedy and when they come over the fence, I live next door and that means my head is probably gone too . . . I keep saying we can do this easy or we can do this hard ..

It is so obvious, particularly if you are successful that there isn't even a hope unless you break into "the circle of wealth socially" that you will get there. One of my major donors is the black sheep of a dynastic family and I was saying how many people defend the wealthy and talk about how hard they work and he just cracked up . . couldn't stop laughing.

The first step to financial wealth is social capital. It is the most restricted form of capital, flowing largely in closed personal “bonded” networks of similar individuals characterized by having either too many or too few material resources. These isolated networks further reinforce unequal power dynamics & deepens disparities.

But so many hate the poor and love the rich. I don't know. Will they wake from their stockholm syndrome and unite?
12:22 AM on 12/16/2010
A lot of truth in what you say. I've got this feeling that they really want the guns to be more legal for virtually any situation, so they can arm their personal body guards and personal armies protecting their properties...kind of like Batista's Cuba.
04:26 PM on 12/15/2010
I honestly can see no way to save this super capitalistic society. We should be moving further away not closer to this form ,but the ultra conservatives seem to have convinced a lot of people to do so and vote so.

Our form of financing and trade are going to ruin us.
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Trittydi
Special on pap smears at Walgreen's this week ....
03:31 PM on 12/15/2010
I have a severe case of buyer's remorse. Obama had everyone that voted for him fooled. He was a complete Trojan Horse.

This is not the kind of job performance I can reward.
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CTDFalconer
Think twice, post once.
04:05 PM on 12/15/2010
He always was a centrist and a moderate and he's acting like it. I wouldn't be so shocked. He's just playing the hand he was dealt, and make no mistake it was a bad, bad hand.
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Trittydi
Special on pap smears at Walgreen's this week ....
02:44 AM on 12/16/2010
He's not a centrist - he's doing the republican's dirty work for them.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
APMOTRBC
Urban Warrior Princess of The Table!
09:47 PM on 12/15/2010
I don't know who he had fooled . . he was always a centrist. Truly. Truly. Truly.

Not only that . .one who taught at of the University of Chicago . . . Didn't anyone notice that? That he thought that Reagan was the most influential president.

it was really scary is that the HCR is less liberal than what Richard Nixon proposed in 1974 and Obama is being called a socialist for presenting it. He was never a liberal firebrand. ever, ever. ever. That's what everyone liked about him . . . that he was cool and level. You may not have realized it, but that person was always in the room . .the measured, compromising (and I don't mean that in a bad way. He actually believes that governance is compromise clearly no one else does but I think he believes this).
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Trittydi
Special on pap smears at Walgreen's this week ....
02:44 AM on 12/16/2010
He's not a centrist - he's a republican.
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efmo
Oh no, my micro-bio is empty!
11:25 AM on 12/16/2010
I think my problem with Obama is that I thought he was a real centrist, not a to the right centrist. He really doesn't have any new or different ideas - just recycled ones from the Clinton admin & republican ones from the era of Reagan. I believe Reagan's policies started the US on the downward slope we are on now & I always thought that many of Clinton's policies were right of center, too, as least as far as the financial industry & corporate monopolization practices.
02:01 PM on 12/15/2010
Making the tax code more progressive (Karl Marx's idea) will only make the governament more bloated. The poor see very little of the funds. This philosophy has done nothing to reduce poverty.
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CTDFalconer
Think twice, post once.
03:14 PM on 12/15/2010
It's a gross oversimplification to say that Marx invented progressive taxation since it bears little resemblance to the idea of community ownership society that he espoused. Economists pin the origin of the modern progressive tax on Adam Smith from a particular passage in "Wealth of Nations."

But that's beside the point. It makes little sense to tax those who can least afford it at the same rate as those who can most afford it. It's no coincidence that the countries with the highest standard of living also have highly progressive taxes and the poorest countries tend to be highly economically stratified. Taxes are only part of the equation but without robust income, no government can establish robust social and physical infrastructures.
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philhellene
Far Left and Proud of It!
03:23 PM on 12/15/2010
Then I expect that you will be the first in line to give up your Social Security payments and Medicare coverage.
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07:13 PM on 12/15/2010
If you are not near retirement, it won't be there for you anyway. The ones in their 60's coming up to retirement might even be lucky to get it at the rate we are going.
01:42 PM on 12/15/2010
Big business is doing well due to fake interest rates. The middle class saver gets zero interest on their savings. Big business is the one getting the profit not the pension funders or the savers.

END THE FED. We need sound money and rewarding interest rates not Zero, this is insane.
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Trittydi
Special on pap smears at Walgreen's this week ....
03:32 PM on 12/15/2010
Much of what is happening is insane.
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RTIII
Poster of over 0.0135% of all HufPost comments
08:13 PM on 12/16/2010
FEDERALIZE the Fed - it's private now.

I say this not because I think we shouldn't end it but because we probably can't. But we probably CAN get it federalized.
05:10 PM on 12/18/2010
What needs to happen is we follow the State Bank of North Dakota. And have 50 competing State run banks. Each state would have its own State currency. Those who offer the sound money will win, those who print illegally shall be destroyed through market forces.
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ksjprod
Never met a wise man, if so, it's a woman
12:22 PM on 12/15/2010
Wait a minute. Profits are up, bonuses are up, stocks are up.... and businesses aren't hiring! Now we hear, "just keep our taxes this low and we'll be able to do some hiring..."

They sound like junkies!
02:03 PM on 12/15/2010
Reduction of unemployment is always the last thing to improve druing a recovery. It is a lagging indicator.
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philhellene
Far Left and Proud of It!
03:30 PM on 12/15/2010
I suspect you will still be saying that ten years from now.

Do a little research on what happen in Japan during the 1990s to see just how lagging an increase in employment can be.
11:47 AM on 12/15/2010
Oh, if the people in power would only tell the truth (what a refreshing thought that would be). Truth! Both parties are entrenched and are protecting their corporate supporters (I don't think the founding fathers ever visualized how bad this could get). The Supreme Court is of no help (they are protecting the proletariat as they were appointed by them). Regulation went out the window with Ronnie & the Bushes. If there are only 1% of THEM, how can 99% sit back and take the thrashing we are getting? How bad does it have to get before enough is enough? We already know where the latest legislation will not change the past 30 years of trickle down -- it ain't going to happen. Trickle up is going to continue and the have nots are going to suffer MORE! When are Americans going to wake up?
03:02 PM on 12/15/2010
What is even crazier is they know it will happen and they hve been changing the laws to protect themselves. US Troops since 2008 deployed on American soil to fight Americans, and it is legal. The president and those he assigns have the right to haul any citizen away, Wiretapping citizens, gov infiltrating clubs, gov creating terrorist plots then arresting those they recruit, arresting people because they think they may commit a crime, media that does not report just reads propaganda, edited world news, political figures snapping their fingers and having people arrested for questioning them, speaking out against power and being arrested, elected officials saying the press should only report what gov tells them to, no workers rights, and FILLING US UP WITH FEAR EVERY WAKEN MOMENT. I wonder how many of us will continue to be killed, imprisoned, tortured or humiliated before we fight back. The longer we wait the more difficult the fight. Oh I forgot private security unprecedented powers here in the US and Police Departments better equipped than some Armies.
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07:16 PM on 12/15/2010
trobts " How bad does it have to get before enough is enough? "

I've been asking myself that exact question for the past 8 years, going on 10 now. What will it take to get Americans moving and stop all of this nonsense that we did not authorize??
11:11 AM on 12/15/2010
All good comments on here...now try this one...President Obama has 3 big problems: 1) jobs 2)Afghanistan and 3) infrastructure...why not solve them all at once ( a 'threefer' )...bring the troops home and leave the middle east to their own devices ( they would slit our throats in a minute if they could )...Ambassador Holbrooke made it his dying wish - what a fitting memorial to him...no more senseless American deaths ( Vietnam was enough for me)...put them, and a whole lot more of them, to work rebuilding our crumbling roads and bridges...he wouldn't even have to change the paperwork - they're already Federal employees!...we owned the twentieth century because of our invention, innovation and entrepeneurial 'spirit'...we have to pay the planet back...first let's heal ourselves, then our nation, then the planet...the rest of the world will watch us strengthen and marvel at us once again...the 'sleeping giant' will awaken yet again!...and how delicious would it be to watch the rest of the world fawning all over themselves to get on board our train (high-speed rail?), knowing full well that the righteous might of the United States of America is once again leading humanity up and out of it's self-indulgent greed, avarice and immorality to a very bright future indeed (appropriate blaring of trumpets please)...just a thought. :)
11:51 AM on 12/15/2010
Agreed! However the top 1% aren't into healing -- they make profits on bloodshed and malaise. f & f'd
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ksuetorres
Truth, Fairness, Civility
11:00 AM on 12/15/2010
Mr. Reich, PLEASE run for president.
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10:54 AM on 12/15/2010
It doesn't take a genius to figure out that the politicians fall into the "wealthy" category--that seems to be a perk of office--and so they make laws that benefit themselves. In any other profession, this would be called "conflict of interest" even if it didn't entail outright corruption (let's give them the benefit of the doubt). Until we get the money out of elections, we will continue to be two Americas.
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TMMA
your micro-bio did not meet our guidelines
10:54 AM on 12/15/2010
"Washington is also extending unemployment benefits for the long-term jobless."

Misleading! DC is ONLY extending the dates - NOT the benefits! You are helping to mislead the public as to who is beinging 'saved' and who is not Mr. Reich. Shame on you.
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Decorina
Hypocrisy means your karma ran over your dogma
11:45 AM on 12/15/2010
Thank you for that. Fanned.
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WFWS
Proud Liberal
10:44 AM on 12/15/2010
I can already sense the growing GOP spin up to kill 'Class Warfare.' Robert Reich will soon become an outlier, cast to the sidelines of national discussion. So will the all our liberal scrummings over income disparity and the like. All just dismissed as liberal extremism.

It won't take much- they just pooh pooh it, dismiss it out of hand. And because the top few percent of people that are actually engaged in politics are most often wealthy themselves, they don't follow moral arguments that cause personal loss at tax time.

Cokie Roberts was on Meet the Nation (whatever) and when the Noble laureate economist Krugman suggested that demand was the problem, she glibly replied 'make all the rich people buy something'. Its the pundit equivalent of 'let them eat cake'. From a respected pundit, its a stark revelation. I'm guessing her income, well into the affected tax brackets, has affected her journalism.

And so it goes. Maybe Robert Riech isn't paid enough. Yeah. I'm sure he's not.
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ksjprod
Never met a wise man, if so, it's a woman
12:15 PM on 12/15/2010
Hell yes it's affected their journalism!