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Robert Reich

Robert Reich

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Why Washington Should Pay Attention to the Economy Here and Now

Posted: 05/ 6/11 10:50 AM ET

After a week of non-stop Osama Bin Laden, Washington is now returning to the battle over the budget deficit and the debt ceiling.

All over Capitol Hill Republicans and Democrats are debating spending caps and automatic triggers, and whether to begin them before or after Election Day.

But if you don't mind my asking, what about the economy? I'm not talking about the economy five or ten years from now, when projections show the federal budget wildly out of control or when foreigners might start dumping dollars.

I'm talking about the here and now economy -- the one Americans are living in day to day.

The Labor Department reported today that unemployment for April was 9 percent, up from 8.8 percent in March. And of course that official figure doesn't count the percent of Americans working part-time who'd rather have full-time jobs.

Yes, 244,000 jobs were added in March, but that's chicken feed. We'd need 350,000 a month, every month for the next three years, simply to get back to where we were before the Great Recession.

And the percent of working-age Americans actually working -- 64.2 percent -- hasn't improved. It's as low as it was in the depths of the recession. 13.7 million people remain out of work.

Hello Washington?

Even for Americans with jobs, wages are going nowhere. Basically, the only employers hiring are paying peanuts. McDonalds just announced it would start hiring big time.

In fact, there's reason to worry we're heading back toward recession. The Labor Department also reports new claims for unemployment insurance soared to 474,000 last week.

Between January and March of this year, the U.S. economy slowed to a crawl -- a measly 1.8 percent annualized growth -- down from over 3 percent last fall. Higher gas and food prices are putting even more of a squeeze on American households.

And housing prices continue to drop.

Washington is fighting over how much to cut spending over the next ten or twelve years. But right now we need more public spending to get people back to work, stronger safety nets to help those who have lost their jobs or can't find new ones, lower payroll taxes on average workers, and a requirement that Wall Street banks renegotiate mortgage loans so Americans can keep their homes.

Why isn't Washington paying attention to what most Americans need in the here-and-now economy?

Because the White House and congressional Democrats don't dare admit how bad the economy continues to be for so many people. They're holding their breath, hoping the recovery catches fire next year before Election Day.

Republicans don't dare admit how bad the economy is because they don't want to increase public spending or strengthen safety nets. And their patrons on Wall Street don't want to modify mortgages. Republicans would rather Americans believe their big lie that taming the deficit will create jobs and restore the economy.

Washington would rather fight over the long-term budget, spending caps, taxes, and trigger mechanisms than do something about the pain most Americans are experiencing today.

But the here-and-now economy the most important thing on Americans' minds.

Ironically, Washington's disregard for what's happening right now is also worsening the long-term budget problem. That problem is not the debt per se; it's the ratio of debt to the overall economy. If the economy sputters or continues to grow at a snail's pace, that ratio becomes worse and worse.

In other words, attending to the here-and-now economy is also good for the future.

Earth to Washington: Listen to America.

Robert Reich is the author of Aftershock: The Next Economy and America's Future, now in bookstores. This post originally appeared at RobertReich.org.

 
 
 

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
gerald4
licensed mechanical and electrical engineer
06:51 PM on 05/09/2011
The USA needs to create wealth by making things.

We need smart individuals educated in Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics that can invent and create new products and services to sell to foreigners if US citizens are not willing to compete on product costs, which means matching foreign labor, foreign energy and foreign environmntal compliance costs.

If you build a factory to build widgets and sell these widgets to people outside of your country and collect foreign currency from outside of your country then your country (family, island, and/or nation) becomes more wealthy, and more of that wealth can be SKIMMED OFF to fund pork barrel projects, fund payrolls, military payrolls, or be able to pay off your federal government debts.

US government administrations of both major political parties have created "Free Trade" legislation killed and eaten that golden goose that laid those golden eggs that created new wealth, won WWII, and created the abundant lifestyle that US citizens enjoyed for a couple of decades after WWII and the government also de-emphasized engineering, technical and scientific educations.

Yes, this is oversimplified, but the principal of accumulation of wealth (manufacturing marketable things with value) is basic.

Future wars might be industrial wars where the nation with the most wealth creating industry will win the economic war! And non-wealth producing nations like the USA might destroy their own economies with deficit government spending which will impoverish all of the US citizens.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
gerald4
licensed mechanical and electrical engineer
05:40 PM on 05/09/2011
Dr. Reich:

We must all realize that without greedy businesses trying to make profits, there would not be any jobs, not even government jobs because without profitable businesses, the government would not have hardly any wealth available to be forcibly taken from the profitable businesses and individuals as taxes in order to pay government bureaucratic payrolls and jobs created by government pork barrel expenses.

To ignore the US government deficit spending will certainly destroy purchasing power and value of the US dollar when the wealth producing individuals in the industrial nations stop buying the Freshly printed US Treasury Bonds that the FED periodically prints and sells at auction (discounted) to get US dollars back from the Industrial nations that make the products that the US consumes, or they it they will only pay a fraction of a penny on the US dollar for these freshly printed paper US Treasury Bonds!

What if the US government borrows a lot of money from individuals and governments in the wealth creating industrial nations and then spends that borrowed money on green jobs, renewable energy, infrastructure renewal, welfare, unemployment, social security, national healthcare, police, firemen, school teachers, wars and similar non wealth creating expenditures for taxpayer supported government activities?

ONLY THE NATIONAL SOVEREIGN DEBT WILL INCREASE.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
gerald4
licensed mechanical and electrical engineer
05:33 PM on 05/09/2011
Private sector business profits, private personal income, property taxes and personal inheritance taxes are (almost) the ONLY source of wealth available for the government to SKIM OFF AND FORCIBLY TAKE a portion of in the form of taxes in order for the government to raise funds in order to pay for BUREAUCRATIC GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEE PAYROLLS, government pork barrel contracts and other government expenses, except for funds that the government raises by borrowing money (printing and selling US Treasury Bonds that obligate our private businesses, our children and future unborn generations to work harder than ourselves to repay these bonds when they become due).

There are a few additional sources of Government revenue such as Import duties, mineral right royalties from government lands, sales taxes, etc.
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patience1
“There is reward for kindness to every living th
10:43 AM on 05/09/2011
Agree. It seems to me that we will hear all campaign promises soon all over again.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Cleverboots
09:43 PM on 05/08/2011
Washington isn't paying attention because they have good jobs and benefits.
11:54 AM on 05/08/2011
Focusing on the here and now economy is ok, because a lot of people are hurting, but should we ignore long term sustainability? Eternal growth isn't a solution, and achieving it isn't sustainable. We should look at the fact that debt-based currency enforces a growth strategy that hurts people when the economy doesn't grow fast enough. We should look at ways we could prosper under a steady-state economy.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jamenta
There are other human values besides greed.
01:50 AM on 05/09/2011
Since when did right wingers worry about long term sustainability? Right-wing philosophy is turn everything over to private interests and let a few rich and powerful stockholders determine our social values. And who here will argue that corporations and Wallstreet are all about long term sustainability?

Who are these people trying to kid?
09:15 AM on 05/08/2011
"their patrons on Wall Street"

Mr. Reich, please be fair. Both r's AND d's are beholden to Wall Street. It's the Reid / Boehner Corporatists, not the Sanders / Paul Populists, who report to Wall Street.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Peter007
08:28 AM on 05/08/2011
The unemployment figures may also not take into consideration the millions that work for themselves and create jobs for other. All the stores that are vacant don't count in the unemployment numbers. All the construction workers that work on crews, new homes, non unions jobs are currently not working,. The home repair man, doing room additions , is not counted. Real Estate agents, life insurance agents, are not counted. The small cash jobs, baby sitting, newspaper delivery, landscaping...are not counted.

And all these jobs never get any government "safety net" benefits when the Feds are handing out cash to Unions members.,
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mauimom
12:04 AM on 05/08/2011
***" that official figure doesn't count the percent of Americans working part-time who'd rather have full-time jobs"***

Nor does it count just-graduating college students [or those who graduated a year, or even two ago and STILL haven't found jobs] because they can't file for unemployment.

Please, Professor Reich, do a column on the "real" unemployment numbers.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
rshrink
12:12 AM on 05/08/2011
I am sure he has. Read his book.
11:57 PM on 05/07/2011
The Obama Administration recentlyt apponted a VP of Monsanto to head food safety at the FDA which says everything about (it) Obama's closest advisors are those who have never had a long term energy, conservati­on, population­, infrastruc­ture, vocational training, or transporat­ion plan in sight for the USA except ivarious short-term­, self-servi­ng agendas. Eighteen percent of the workforce remains unemployed while another 30% is underemplo­yed as our infrastruc­ture crumbles, resources are depleted, population looms, and the craft foundation for our security and meaning in our labor is destroyed. After trillions in publc debt went straight into the megabanks that corrupted and wrecked the economy, Obama appointed their officers to lead the financial change he promised. During the stupifying stimulus program, he reached across the aisle to theocratic fascist hackss that fronted for every kind of crime against us during the previous eight years.. In those eight years, millions of civilians abroad were killed and more maimed along with tens of thousands of our family members as the United States was made into a madhouse of liars and cretins stealing us blind. Obama has held no one held accountabl­e for anything. Obama will get his billion dollar election but he will go down as the worst Democratic President in modern history.”
10:41 PM on 05/07/2011
I think it may be time to consider legalizing and encouraging polygamy. A legal family consisting of three or four bread winners might be able to generate enough income to scrape by. Two clearly won't be enough any more.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Julio Melendez Sr
boricua51
10:32 PM on 05/07/2011
Big problem but the TEA PARTY will block anything that has to do with spending ...... Reich you must have the Dem's ears why aren't they listening? The solution is simple term limits maybe then Congress will care about us and not their war chest.....
10:26 PM on 05/07/2011
Washington is not the only community that does not get it. Our society is set up to segregate the succesful people from the unsuccesful. Just talk to your neighbors, your friends, you colleagues and put them through a little quiz: how many homeless people do you think we have today in our township, how many of those are families with children, how many people attended the local soup kitchen or the local food bank, how much is that landscaper help paid? They will look at you and probably fail to answer, what is more, I bet most of us won't know the answer either. The conservatives want to keep the system this way. Keep the affordable housing from our doorstep and you will never see where your landscaper guy lives or your cleaner. Move homeless from one shelter to another, that way they will not settle somewhere. For a society with a GDP around the 14.11 trillion and about 8.4 MILLION millionaire families it is an utter shame that we are not able to put up a structure to keep individuals and children from living on the streets and having to ask for food. So spread that wealth, make a law to build more housing, tax the rich, tax jobs overseas and get universal health care. Simple plan. Let us do it by voting for the right people and petition our legislators.
10:12 PM on 05/07/2011
The Bible describes one of the original sins as " The pride of life".
This is the attitude of "look what I've got that you don't got". Until the rich are modified in their greed behavior nothing will change
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thejazz
I'll burn that bridge when I come to it.
09:00 PM on 05/07/2011
Washington is behaving like corporate america, managing for the next quarter. Nothing more. Banks wil not renegotiate mortages to reflect actual value until the entire housing market is free falling. and then it will be too late.

We are on the edge of another crash. Look at the criteria, free money, commodities + stock bubble, fueled by .5% fed interest rate. And the solution seems to be more free money! NOT!

In my Neighborhood, affluent Maryland, we lagged the initial 2008 crash by about 9 months with the forclosures, then it settled. Now, in the past 2 months, we had another round of empty houses. Not good!

We need support, a safety net, and when we pay for health care we need to get it, not have to keep paying and paying. These things will bring stability, not a free ride for U.S. corporations or lower taxes for the rich.
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maserati2
Finally an honest politician! ELIZABETH WARREN!
10:06 PM on 05/07/2011
A friend told me long ago that as he went up the ranks and starting pulling in the big dollars, he decided to start voting Republican, since if the party of business were in charge, his income and investments would be protected. It didn't take long to realize that his 6-figure salary was nowhere near the amount needed to earn him a spot at that exclusive and very small table.

In my state, we have many "affluent" areas. They are easy to find. Just look for clusters of McMansions with aging for-sale signs on the deep, manicured lawns.

Main Street America has been hemorrhaging for years. The upper Middle Class that once thought they were immune has since learned that they are not. To bad the rest of us didn't take notice before the hemorrhage turned into a flood.
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thejazz
I'll burn that bridge when I come to it.
10:40 PM on 05/07/2011
Exactly! Its is projected to the masses that a salary of 60,000 or more makes you affluent, but when it comes down to it, you gatta be making half a million or more a year to even be in the entry club of where you get the benefits that are advertised buy the government at large.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
joe canitano
10:13 AM on 05/08/2011
You thought it was a good idea to pay 200k for a 50 k house so why should I (wethe people who pay our mortgage) give them help pay your own bills, we can fix ignorance but stupidity is forever!!!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jamenta
There are other human values besides greed.
01:55 AM on 05/09/2011
That's the spirit Joe! Who cares what happens to our country now? Why should we help anyway. Let's just bend over for Wallstreet and corporate America even more now - becuz why should we help ordinary Americans even though we bailed out Wallstreet? That wouldn't make any sense now would it?
11:38 AM on 05/09/2011
The foreclosure on the neighbor's home decreases the value of your home and all the other homes in the neighborhood. The person who used to live in the foreclosed home is not going to reimburse you for your loss.