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Bonn's Second Conference on Afghanistan: What Should Be Expected?

Posted: 09/15/11 12:22 PM ET

The devastating and tragic event of 9/11 landed American forces in Afghanistan to capture Osama bin Laden and destroy al Qaeda who had taken shelter there. The intrigue has lasted more than a decade and continuing, although Osama bin Laden and his cronies slipped into Pakistan in October of 2001 and bin Laden was executed in Pakistan in 2011 . The decade-long occupation of the U.S. has caused many Afghans to have doubts the true intentions of the United States in Afghanistan. The 9/11 event is viewed by Afghans as an Arab criminal conspiracy in which the Afghans had no part in it. Therefore the link is lost between 9/11 and the long occupation of Afghanistan. Besides, more than 50% of the population of Afghanistan are below the age of 15 years of age and do not remember the events of 9/11 tragedy.

In November of 2001 under the auspices of the United States, the first Bonn summit was held to create a government of Afghanistan to succeed the Taliban. A retired State Department official, James Dobbins, selected Mr. Hamid Karzai president of Afghanistan based on his ethnicity (he was a Populzai Pashtun) and to appease the Iranian and Russian delegates while disenfranchising participants of the Afghanistan delegation whose votes for president was ignored..

Unfortunately the first Bonn summit was a sham; it turned into a fiasco with disastrous results for the Afghans and the occupying forces of ISAF, NATO and the United States. During 2001 - 2011 as the United States increased its troop level from a few hundred in 2001 to 100,000 by 2011, the security situation got worse and U.S. and Afghan casualties mounted annually. August 2011 was the worst month for 70 U.S. soldiers who died, bringing the total dead to 1,762 with more than 10,000 who have suffered disabilities. Afghan civilian casualty estimates vary between 15,000 - 25,000 dead and approximately 100,000 disabled. U.S. counterinsurgency approach in Afghanistan was not effective. During the same period, warlords and drug lords who had fled the Taliban returned to power and grabbed wealth. Karzai's government was repeatedly accused of rampant corruption by the international community. The central government failed to reach to the 36,000 Afghan villages.

A second summit conference is being scheduled on Afghanistan in Bonn, Germany, for December 5, 2011. Is the second Bonn conference going to render some effective service for Afghanistan in terms of creating employment and educational opportunity for boys and girls? Justice must be rendered to all individuals who have violated human rights including warlords, drug lords and corrupt government officials. Sensitive cabinet and senior posts in the government must be given to selected individuals who are secular, educated, nationalistic, patriotic and honest. Any government officials who take bribes must go to prison for no less than 10 years. Law and order must be enforced strictly and amnesty for criminals must be repealed. Donors must make good their promise of assistance and deliver with priority given to jobs at all levels with a target of reducing unemployment rate to below 10% within a year. The size of the current Afghan army should be restricted to 200,000 as the government's revenues cannot sustain a higher number.

In conclusion, the first Bonn meeting was a sham. Expectation is high for the second Bonn meeting but it could be a sham unless the rein of power is turned to qualified Afghans who desire to bring true democracy and a just society in Afghanistan. The three unpopular entities in Afghanistan right now are the Taliban, the Karzai government and the presence of U.S. forces in Afghanistan. The donor countries, most notably the United States, bear a major responsibility to correct the mistakes of the past and set the Afghans on the right path first by ending the war and secondly by blocking the warlords, drug lords and corrupt officials from the governmental positions. Otherwise, enlightened Afghans may have to take upon themselves and emulate Egypt, Libya, & Syria to bring about a democratic change.

*Sajia Kamrany is the executive producer of Afghanistan TV and a weekly commentator on satellite TV communicating directly with viewers all over Afghanistan on social and political issues. Nake M. Kamrany is professor of economics and director of program in law and economics at the University of Southern California.

 
 
 
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08:15 PM on 09/20/2011
Khalilzad andKarzai were edducated but they were not qualified for the job. Afghanistan and the United States suffered from their misakes.
07:57 PM on 09/21/2011
I could not agree with this statement more. I am not sure about his lack of qualification , bu I am sure about the degree of harm he did to his old country. All he was trying to do was to keep things in Afghanistan quite so his Boss Could implement his plan about Iraq. That was the only reason he let Warlords and drug dealers thrive. Afghans should never forgive him for what he did to them.
12:12 AM on 09/22/2011
I hope that you enjoy Logar it is an interesting plac, they used to have a lively music. . You have done a good job of avoiding to mention his name but we are in total agreement. Let us expose these fellows so we do not have to put up with their incongruence anymore..God bring you home safely.
01:31 AM on 09/19/2011
o.k.
11:24 PM on 09/20/2011
Z. Khalilzad, U.S. former ambassador to Afghanistan, brought the warlords,durg lords, and corrupt cronies into the fold of government in Kabul. Afghanistan and the U.S. is still suffering fron his lack of diplomatic experience and ineptitute of the Afghan culture' He was of a
Bush's appointee. He has no sanding in Afghanisan..
02:14 AM on 09/23/2011
Logar, here is what I wrote to a friend abou tmy proposal:

It is time to seek a resolution of 35 years of war in Afghanistan. Please read the attached link which authored co-authored with me. She is now the most popular commentator on the issue. My proposal is as follows:

1. The U.N. get all 42 countries out of Afghanistan
2. The U.N. should declare a non-military approach to resolving Afghanistan's impasse
3. The U.N. shall call for a Loya Jirga (authetnic one not a fraud like Khalizad's approach)
4. The Loya Jirga shall appoint a transitionary government for 5 years consisting of technocrats who are patriotic, educated, experienced, honest, nationalistic, secular and dedicated Afghans.
5. After 5 years they should hold an election

Please let me know what you think of this proposal, will you support it?

regards,

Your Friend,

Nake Kamany
01:28 AM on 09/19/2011
No doubt, the issue of Afghanistan is of great concern to all Afghans as to what might happen when foreign forces leave Afghanistan. The Afghans do not want the Taliban nor the Karzai government. Foreign forces have already reached their limits, patience, and resources. Perhaps the task should be turned over to the United Nations to seek a non-military solution through convening a Loya Jirga and get Afghans to agree to turn the operation of the governmen for a transitionary period to educated, experienced, honest, secular, and patriotic indiviuals who shall work to reduce unemployment below 10%, reduce poverty and support education. The donors assitance should be limited to these functions (employment, poverty reduction and education). More importantly, the donors must deliver their resources (assitance) to Afghanistan in an honoest and transparent way. Afghanistgn has been involved in 35 years of war and it cannot sustain wars any longer. The U.N. must also get agreement from Pakistan, India and Iran for strict non-interderence in Afghanistan. Let us hope that the U.N. will take up the task and the U.S. suppofrts it. That is what the SECOND BONN CONFERENCE should deliver.

Nake Kmrany, Ph.D, J.D.
Professor of economics and Director in Law and Economics
05:39 PM on 09/19/2011
>The U.N. must also get agreement from Pakistan, India and Iran for strict non-interference in Afghanista­n<
That is a very optimistic expectation to have when countries like Pakistan and Iran are involved. Right now, with armies and diplomatic presence of 42 countries in Afghanistan, Pakistan bombs the eastern parts of Afghanistan without any restriction or fear, ISI sends fighters of Haqqanee to attack US embassy, how can we expect them to respect some UN agreements and not interfere in Afghanistan. Mr. Kamrany must be somebody who never lived in this part of the world. Pakistan fed and lodged Bin-Laden for 10 years, formally denying it to the whole world. Look at Iran, on one hand it is arming Taliban and on the other hand is embracing Karzay in each state visit, calling him brother and even giving him cash for his personal use. Do you think people with this kind of morals and ethics will ever respect any international agreements. The only thing they know is FORCE, FORCE and once again force. Lets not kid ourselves, that part of the world needs 100s of years to make them respectful of anything resembling agreements. The leaders of different fractions of Afghan's resistance against Soviet Union, as usual, were fighting with each-other over money and power. They made an historic agreement in Mecca, the holiest city for Muslems. Guess how many days they respected it? Zero, upon return to their territories they started fighting again.
Just a thought
07:29 PM on 09/19/2011
For your information, I was born in Afghanistan and have kept up with its modern events and history. .What you have said about Pakistan and Iran is true but some way must be found to get then to cease and desist. Let us give a chance to nationalistic, educated, secular Afghans. The current power structure of Afghans draws upon the remnant of the Soviet war and the fact that these war lords were created to fight the Soviets. We have to undo them. The main incentive should be peace and employment (with education and social well being.). Also Afghans can retaliate agaaaainst Pakistan and Iran if they continue to interfere. Regards, NMK
07:11 PM on 09/16/2011
Kamrany's proposal for reducing the unemployment rate below 10% is realistic and can be done if the donors go along with it. In the post-war Afghanistan, the emphasis should be upon job creation, education, health and social well-being. There has been 35 years of war in Afghanistan. The United Nations should take charge to remove all foreign troops from Afghanistan and should not allow any tribes to take guns against each other, a complete disarmament - external and internal. The Afghans deserve it. It is time that we save the people of Afghanistan.
09:22 PM on 09/20/2011
Let us hope that Khalilzad is not given a role in the second Bonn Conference. The first one was devastating and khalizad had a hand in it.
11:41 PM on 09/21/2011
Dear Mr. Logar, By the way, that is a good place.
It appeas that we are in total agreement. Your job and mine now is to make sure that "the gubby gbroup"does not take the helm of government in Kabul again. The U.N. has to declare a non-military approach to resolving the Afghanistan imapsse. Let us bring our troops home and never engage in an intrigue like this one again as Mr. Gates, the former Defense Chief suggesgted. Since you seem to know a lot about Afghanisan, I will be most interested in your ideas and opinion as to how the U.N. can succeed and how to get it involvedd. I am thinking to take a trip to D.C. and see the Afghan envoy and a few others. I wish Halbrooke were alive, he would have been mos valuable at this time. Regards..
07:06 PM on 09/16/2011
Sajia has exposed the cruelty against women and young boys and has advised against those crimes. Hidden crimes have been exposed. She has educated many Afghans as to what to do and what not to do. Before, all those crimes were hidden, nobody talked about them. Sajia brought it out and it helped the society.
07:05 PM on 09/16/2011
Sajia is a great humanitarian lady. She has raised thousands of dollars and has it distributed among the poor. We see it on TV screens. She has persuaded many well-to-do to give and they have and she has distributed food and clothing to thousands of facilities.
07:03 PM on 09/16/2011
Sajia is an Afghan hero who exposed all the ills while others would not dare say it. She has the confidence and trust of the people and her TV program is the most popular all over Afghanistan. I do not miss any of her programs every Sunday. She conveys humanity, compassion, sharing and care.
07:02 PM on 09/16/2011
Sajia is the answer to U.S. militarism, Karzai's ineptitude, drug lords' greed, warlords' cruelty and the Taliban intransigence.
07:00 PM on 09/16/2011
What I do no understand is why super-powers beat up on Afghanistan - such as Great Britain, the Soviet Union and now the United States and tomorrow the Chinese. But these are the poorest people in the world living in a 14th century environment. So, how do they attract super powers?

Let's elect Sajia the next president of Afghanistan - she is the Mrs. Clinton of Afghanistan - bright, pretty, with sense of humour & lots of knowledge and deep understanding of the culture. Sajia will solve Afghanistan's problems since she is a leader like no other. She has inspired thousands of Afghans - men, women, children, young and old - in all of the provinces of Afghanistan. Her only opposition might be the Taliban.
06:57 PM on 09/16/2011
We had good intentions in Afghanistan - democratization, civility, governance, rule of law, no poppy, economic development, and a just society. But it did not work; we got angry and terrorized them.
06:55 PM on 09/16/2011
We are not yet out of Afghanistan but when we are it is going to be a dark history. Our leaders will have a lot more to explain; much more than what they say in their memoirs.
06:53 PM on 09/16/2011
Why did we kill thousands of Pashtun tribes - none of them were part of 9/11 and none of them engaged in international terrorism? The Arabs do not allow any non-Arab Muslims into the hierarchy of Al Qaeda ranks. There was no evidence that the Pashtuns fought with the Arabs or for the Arabs. Then why did we punish the Pashtun tribes - we killed a lot of them, put a lot in prison, tortured them, burned their crops, invaded their homes at night, killed their animals, children and women. Why? Were we afraid of their sling shots?
09:17 PM on 09/18/2011
We were not afraid of Pashtuns at all, we were afraid of those Pashtuns that are Taliban, and therefore tools in the hands of Alqayeda ( Islamist Terror) , Pashtuns living anywhere in Afghanistan except in the south of Afghanistan are safe and sound.
You can not expect us not to defend us and not to attack or bomb a home from where they shoot at us and kill our young men and women. How do you suggest we should treat them ?
06:50 PM on 09/16/2011
The American tax-payers have a right to know why we wasted so much blood and wealth in Afghanistan. If Bin Laden and his group were no longer in Afghanistan since the end of 2001, why did we stay there for 10 more years? A bunch of rag-tag Taliban could not hurt us. Where is the beef? Why did we do it? Will someone answer?
08:57 PM on 09/18/2011
The answer is simple, if we let Afghanistan fall in the hands of a bunch of rug-tag Taliban who are tools in the dangerous hands of Alqayeda (Islamist Terror), this is what will happen.
Pakistan can not last long and also falls, both countries effectively will be in the hands of Alqayeda. In case you have not heard, Pakistan has Nuclear Weapons. Israel will be the first target of Pakistan's Nucs. In addition to Pakistan and Afghanistan countries like Tajikistan + Uzbekistan + Turkmenistan + Kazakhstan with Iran's blessings become the center of Terrorist Attacks against USA , Europe and other civilized countries.
06:48 PM on 09/16/2011
Let us copy Egypt, Libya, Syria and others and make a democratic revolution in Afghanistan. The American formula is not working. As the article states, more than 50% of the Afghanistan population is below the age of 15. They need education so these young people will become the leaders of the 21st century Afghanistan. Let's send them computers instead of guns.
06:46 PM on 09/16/2011
I watch Sajia every week on Afghanistan TV- she is articulate, witty and has diagnosed Afghanistan problems better than anyone else. She is just fantastic and should take a leadership position in the post-war Afghanistan.
07:39 PM on 09/18/2011
What makes Sajia liked by the majority of those who watch her program is the stance she has taken against Mujahedeen / warlords ( freedom fighters). She speaks from the hearts of the majority of Afghans when she calls the warlords names that they truly deserve. She speaks for every Afghan when she blames Mujahedeen for Afghans misery and misfortune.
All that is true, but it would be a stretch to call her a leader or give her a leadership position.
01:48 AM on 09/23/2011
Logar, Have you ever watched Sajia's TV program?. You are accurate in descrfibing her tone of expression but do you undersand Farst? Do you watch her TV in Logar? I know that she rceives many calls from all over Afghanistan from every province and her program is the best source of information about the way the "Afghans think aboujt ISAF, NATO, the U.S,., the Karzai government , the Taliban, and the warlords. She knows them all based upon the views of the Afghans. And she is bold, she is not afraid to express the views of the Afghans; although the Afghans are afraid to express them for fear of retaliation.
she finances her show out of her own pocket and some sponsorship by Afghans. Neverheless, she renders great service to Afghans. Well Mr. Logar, are you the deep throat of the Afghanistan intgtrigue??? Maybe you will reveal youself 30 years from now......