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The Palestinian Statehood Bid - What Comes Next?

Posted: 09/28/11 11:00 AM ET

President Barack Obama, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu all played mainly to their domestic political bases at the United Nations General Assembly meeting last week. Despite the drama, nothing in the basic discourse has changed, no party shifted its bottom-line positions, and none of it brought us any closer to peace or improved the situation on the ground.

Abbas gave a rousing speech articulating the Palestinian narrative and case for independence, but didn't offer any outreach to the Israeli public. Netanyahu gave a defiant speech, including denouncing the UN as a "house of lies" aimed mainly at securing his leadership of the Israeli right. And Obama -- who offered empathy to Israel and the Jewish narrative but none to the Palestinians -- was essentially defending himself from a relentless attack from the Republican right on his Israel policies.

All three leaders emerged from the UN meeting politically strengthened, but the prospects for peace were not. Netanyahu marshaled Israel's international assets to nip the Palestinian bid for full UN membership in the bud. The application will no doubt be referred to the 15-member Membership Committee, which meets and votes in secret and which requires unanimity to refer the application back to the Security Council for a possible vote. Past precedent shows this process can take years. Even if Palestinians decide to push for a vote in the Security Council, and can secure an at-present uncertain nine-vote majority, the Obama administration is publicly committed to vetoing their membership.

Caught between the rock of Israeli occupation and the hard place of (at least thus far) failed diplomacy, the Palestinian leadership sought recourse at the UN, knowing full well they were risking a damaging confrontation with the United States over a potential veto. By submitting a formal application for full UN membership, Abbas may appear to have taken a confrontational approach, but in fact the Palestinians have left an important opportunity for compromise open by not demanding any immediate vote or action.

That opportunity is best represented by the statement of the Middle East Quartet issued to coincide with the Abbas and Netanyahu speeches. It is clear that the Quartet has not resolved its differences which have emerged over the past year, particularly the question of Palestinian recognition of Israel as a "Jewish state," but this body remains the most promising venue for creating a new framework, and even terms of reference, for future negotiations when political realities adjust to allow for their resumption with a reasonable prospect of success.

While the resumption of such negotiations will depend a great deal on improvements in internal Palestinian and Israeli political conditions, and especially on the resolution and outcome of the US presidential election, it is imperative that the prospects for a genuine two-state solution are preserved, and even enhanced. To achieve peace, Israelis and Palestinians must move beyond binary worldviews that cast each other simply as enemies in order to appreciate the complexity and interdependence of their relationship, not only now but into the future.

This means, first and foremost, preserving, protecting and enhancing the gains made on the ground in the occupied West Bank by the Palestinian institution-building program led by Prime Minister Salam Fayyad. Many members of Congress from both parties and Republican presidential candidates have been irresponsibly calling for a cut in US funding to the Palestinian Authority and any international organizations that accord upgraded status to the Palestinians.

Nothing could be more shortsighted than threats by grandstanding members of Congress to cut US aid to the PA, the single biggest source of external funding for the Palestinians, which would undermine the legitimacy of the moderate, secular, nationalist leadership in Ramallah and ultimately threaten the viability of both negotiations and negotiators.

It would jeopardize the important cooperation between Israeli and Palestinian security forces that has greatly reduced violence and restore law and order in some key areas of the West Bank. It could undermine, perhaps fatally, the credibility not just of individual political leaders but the whole Palestinian national strategy that seeks the establishment of an independent state living alongside Israel in peace, security and mutual dignity. And it would play directly into the hands of rejectionists forces like Hamas and the extreme settler movement that cling to a zero-sum mentality that seek a total victory of one party at the expense of the other.

It is evident that the status quo is untenable, the conflict has no military solution, and a negotiated agreement is the only alternative to continued conflict. The Israeli occupation must end and, in turn, Israel must become an accepted member of the community of nations in the Middle East. No Israeli, we hope, wants to occupy another people and no Palestinian, we believe, wants to be occupied. The few benefits the Israelis accrue from occupation (e.g., arable land, settlements, water resources) can be better secured through long-term arrangements with friendly neighboring countries, including a State of Palestine. Real "strategic depth" doesn't come from belligerent occupation. It comes from an end of conflict.

Even though the presidential campaign is underway, Obama and his team should not shrink from urging Israeli and Palestinian leaders to do the right thing and resume negotiations within a specific time frame and with clear terms of reference, which becomes the basis of a just and lasting peace. The Quartet statement was a welcome indication that serious diplomacy continues and a reasonable framework for resumed negotiations can be developed in the coming weeks, even if the actual resumption of talks may have to wait for a more propitious political environment on all sides.

Abbas and Netanyahu have returned to their countries with stronger political positions and therefore more leverage and leeway to take bold moves that help lay the political groundwork for the resumption of talks aimed at a fair compromise.

Regardless of what transpires at the UN with respect to Palestine's membership, it must become the impetus towards increased commitment on the part of the international community to finally fulfill the legitimate aspirations of the Palestinian people and the yearning of Israelis for peace and security. The parties cannot accomplish this on their own.

Now is the time for leaders on all sides to rise above politics and use their strengthened positions to begin the difficult, and probably prolonged, process for creating a more positive political environment that can eventually produce successful negotiations. Above all, the gains that have been secured on the ground through the Palestinian institution-building program and Israeli-Palestinian security cooperation -- which are real and not theoretical -- must not be squandered, but protected and enhanced.

Saliba Sarsar, Ph.D., is professor of political science and associate vice president for global initiatives at Monmouth University, and is a member of the Board of Directors of the American Task Force on Palestine. Hussein Ibish, Ph.D., is a senior research fellow at the American Task Force on Palestine and blogs at www.ibishblog.com.

 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
trader14
08:11 PM on 10/05/2011
It is quite obvious that this is written by a phd who lives in a ivory tower. Unfortunately there are many many key and strategic facts missing here however I will lay one out very simply. The PA has no mandate to act and if they do act and are successful they will never recognize the jewish state of israel. However I digress, the key issue missing here is that Hamas is the clear and dominant military force in the west bank and gaza and if abbas is able to pull his scheme off somehow then hamas will overthrow the pa in the west bank and there will be terror in both gaza and the west bank instead of just gaza - the world has enough terror states, why add another one. JUST SAY NO TO THE PALS
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lilipilicious
02:19 PM on 09/30/2011
Peace is not achieved through grand speeches and demands. It is achieved through hard work, compromise, respect and hard decisions, neither of which israel is either willing to do or has exhibited. Netanyahu's and then Obama's objections (Obama is such a coward by the way) is PREVENTING peace. If you are not willing to let the opposing party into your "cricles" and at the discusion table, you will lose their trsut and confidence and forfeit whatever good will you may have towards them. If you have a dispute with someone and need to work things out yet they continuously sabotage you and backstab you, would you trsut them? Palestine is not going to respect a jewish state because Israel doesnt respect Palestine enough to support their membership into world institutions. Israel has bene doing nothing over the past 60 years than bulldoze homes, insisting on its zionist amibtions to populate every corner of the land they unlawfully occupied until the bitter end. That is not a peace maker and anybody who thinks it is must either be in denial or just insincere.
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trader14
08:14 PM on 10/05/2011
ummm err i guess you forgot about this: A good example of israel gobbling up palestinia¬n land is when unconditio¬nally israel left gaza hoping for a good peaceful economic neighbor. instead israel and the world got hamas and terror
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lilipilicious
01:58 AM on 10/07/2011
What? If you want ot talk about terror and human rights violations: Israel bulldozes the homes of innocent arabs and is in fact one of the world's top human rights violators. Israel doesnt have a clean slate and they committed their share of crimes against humanity. Just that it is not published because, well it is Israel. God forbid you say anything critical of Israel.

Let me make this clear for you if you didnt get it the first 500 times: Israel;s idea of "negotiation" is telling the arabs what to do and them agreeing no questions asked. Like a colonial power that imposes its will on the conquered nation and kills everyone who opposes as disturber of peace.
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trader14
10:09 AM on 10/07/2011
keep repeating the lies, they seem to work as the world has no demand for facts...i know it is harsh but if you come into israel, turn yourself into a human bomb and blow yourself up and kill women children and entire families you will have your home bulldozed...sorry i know that seems like a horrific fate. Israel doesn't bulldoze homes in a vaccum it is in response to terror or infrastructure. even here in the usa a government has the right to go to court and remove citizens from their homes and take ownership of it....oh the collective punishment, give me a break.

Israel unlike the vast majority of arab countires is one of the most noble countries in the world but againa, just keep spreading the lies because the world has no demand for facts...most countires on this list who are human right violaters are arab muslim countires and israel isn't on it http://www.infoplease.com/world/statistics/top-ten-human-rights-violators.html

get over it, the arabs attacked the Jews and the jews won and Arabs lost..... get used to Israel being a Sovereign Jewish State in the Mideast, regardless of your rage and hatred

The Muslims don't hate the Jews because of Israel, the muslims hate Israel because of the Jews
10:53 PM on 09/29/2011
"Nothing could be more shortsighted than threats by grandstanding members of Congress to cut US aid to the PA"

I certainly agree with the above. I am a strong opponent of the President and hope he loses the election. But he is still the President. While Congress is within its rights to control the purse strings, the fact remains that foreign policy is in the hands of the President, and the Congress should be very careful not to act so as to gratuitously foul up the President's diplomacy.
06:43 PM on 09/29/2011
Here's what Netenyahu's speech actually said....
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ebOsg9CCj6c
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Nwo2012
Sue me, I boycott products from the settlements
03:09 PM on 10/02/2011
Netanyahu claims to speak for the Jewish people now.

More than half who choose to reside outside israel and have no intention living there. Ever.
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Howard64
BBA, MS, PhD
11:29 AM on 09/29/2011
Are these authors saying that the PA is threatening the US Congress?
Are the authors saying pay protection or the PA will unleash Hamas?
12:46 PM on 09/29/2011
This appears to be the case...!!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
streetmagik
You can't fight in here this is the war room!!
08:19 PM on 09/29/2011
No, they are saying if the PA collapses Hamas will fill the vaccume - which is accurate.
10:28 AM on 09/29/2011
It was between the years 1948 to 1967 that the disputed territories now demanded by the Muslim-Arabs of the Land to become an independent Palestinian Arab state were "cleansed" of their former Jewish residents by the Muslim-Arabs, and ruled by the latter. Yet, during this whole period no independent Palestinian Arab state was set up there, nor was Jerusalem proclaimed its capital city.

But, three full years before Israel captured these territories in the defensive June 1967 Six-Day War, the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO), now headed by Mr. Mahmoud Abbas, was set up, 1964. Which part of "Palestine" was the PLO to "liberate"? And, is that the same part of "Palestine" it is eager to "liberate" in the future?

The answer of course is found in the PLO's Charter, etched deeply in the hearts and minds of its leaders and followers...!!

I suggest to anyone expressing an opinion about the conflict at hand to read that Charter...!!
04:13 PM on 09/30/2011
"the defensive June 1967 Six-Day War"
Wait... there were TWO June 1967 Six-Day Wars? The one where Israel launched surprise attacks and a "defensive" one that no one had ever heard of?
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10:22 AM on 09/29/2011
One thing is clear, after the Arab spring and the international community getting tired of this situation, Israel is going to be little by little isolated in the world, and that, is going to make things happen.
10:09 AM on 09/29/2011
You can forget it. It's over. The Israelis have won. The Palestinians have lost. I doubt the Palestinians will ever have a nation of their own. Any settlement will take years and that works in Israel's favor. The Israelis have the Palestinians right where they want them, with no options. UN help? No. US help? No. Anybody else gonna help? No. It's over.

The Israelis have moved on to the US election. They want Obama out and a militant republican in. Why? So AIPAC and the Israeli's can pressure the US to go to war with Iran. Same old talking points...regime change and WMD's. Here we go again!
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lilipilicious
02:16 PM on 09/30/2011
yup, just as they pressured the US to go to war with Iraq.
lastpost
see biography
08:40 AM on 09/29/2011
"a house of lies"
For lords of the flies. Authoritarian regimes, whilst claiming to be free societies, prevent their peoples from expressing their views on this and other issues. Would Ben and Barack ban an Interweb referendum on this matter? If so, then the rhetoric regarding their credentials as democracies can finally be laid to rest. Next to their phoney protestations about being peace-seekers.
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05:53 AM on 09/29/2011
Anyone who's lived in the Middle East knows first hand that nothing is as it may appear to be.

We should ask ourselves the question, how did this situation develope in the first place, where it seems one and all fully expect the US to sustain financially the nation-building of the Palestinians.

Why can't the rich Arab States in the region financially support the Palestinians?

Well, I seriously doubt it would shock Americans, and far, far less Europeans, to know there's no love lost between the Palestinians and Arab states in the Middle East. The fact is, as ethnic group, the Palestinians are universally loathed by their Arab neighbors, and the only peoples they hate more than the Palestinians, are the Jews.
This will give you an insight why Arab states cooperate at all with the Palestinians: its only because of their efforts to drive the Jews out of their territory. And that's the one thing that they have in common with Europeans, who don't much like Palestinians either. And they too have historically harbored deep hatred for Jews.
Thus we have this ghastly existential drama, where no one likes the Palestinians, but in which all of the players, whether in the West or the Middle East, are bound together and united by their hatred of the Jews.

If this is true, then the financial support the US gives to the Palestinians, is blood money.

.
10:23 AM on 09/29/2011
The creation, funding and direction of the PLO is a rather interesting topic, especially with what's come out after the end of the Cold War:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terrorism_and_the_Soviet_Union
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Marcus047
given up on HP
01:02 PM on 09/29/2011
"Why can't the rich Arab States in the region financiall­y support the Palestinia­ns? "

Because they won't. The arabs like to use the palestinians as a political tool, but the reality is, there is not one arab state that actually wants to see a palestinian state established, as it would be more competition and one more fragile state that the stronger powers would have to vie over who will control it and it's foreign policy.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheGreatRenewal
We're living a Great Renewal
03:18 AM on 09/29/2011
Every country should have a Department of Peace and should be required to lead all negotiations.

We need a Great Renewal. Join us.http://www.facebook.com/TheGreatRenewal
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HerrMonk
Fighter, Trainer, Nat.Sec.Consultant, Libertine
01:53 AM on 09/29/2011
As though UN recognition would be remotely relevant in any case...
06:59 AM on 09/29/2011
a recognition that will never be granted anyway, at least under the current american administration. and I doubt any other administration would make any actual difference.. even though the un have demanded a two state solution from the very beginning, before what was to be the state of palestine was invaded by its arab neighbors, it's really hard to imagine it as really working. at least for the time being, when a big chunk of the palestinian people have no intention to recognize a jewish state, and israel won't retreat a single inch from strategic land in the west bank and east jerusalem..
01:24 AM on 09/29/2011
"The legitimate aspirations of the Palestinian people"

It sounds wonderful, yet one wonders: have the authors ever read fully and understood the documents in which those aspirations are spelled out?

I suggest all of us do, either in Arabic or in the English translation: The Charter of the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO), the organization that set up the Palestinian Authority and leads it;
The Charter of the Fatah, the largest grouping within the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO); The Charter of the Hamas, the Islamist Resistance Movement.

Sadly, the elimination of the independent nation-state of the Jewish people, Israel, is not, repeat, not a legitimate aspiration that humanity should support!!
01:34 AM on 09/29/2011
Oh please. They recognized Israel 20 years ago and changed their charter. Go cry your crocodile tears somewhere else.
02:11 AM on 09/29/2011
Never has the PLO accepted Israel's RIGHT to be, to exist as the nation-state of the Jewish people, never! And its head, Mr. Mahmoud Abbas, to this day, insists that they will never do so!! So. why not face reality instead of acting based on wishful thinking...??!!
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Howard64
BBA, MS, PhD
02:16 AM on 09/29/2011
The charter has not been changed. There isn't even a draft of a changed charter.

Please read the statement on the PLO’s official web site http://www­.palestine­-pmc.com/d­etails.asp­?cat=11&id­=120

The site clearly states that …” no redrafted Charter has yet emerged, and the PLO executive committee meeting did not ratify the letter from Arafat to Clinton, which specified the amendments to the Charter.”

Article 33 of the charter specifies how the charter is to be amended. It says nothing about Arafat amending the charter by sending a letter to President Clinton.

"Article 33:This Charter shall not be amended save by [vote of] a majority of two-thirds of the total membership of the National Congress of the Palestine Liberation Organizati­on [taken] at a special session convened for that purpose."

The charter in place since 1968, with all of its articles intact and unchanged. There isn’t even a draft of a new charter.”