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Scott Barry Kaufman, Ph.D.

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Why IQ Fluctuates Over Your Lifespan

Posted: 11/07/11 08:37 AM ET

In 1932, the entire population of Scottish 11-year-olds (87, 498 children) took an IQ test. Over 60 years later, psychologists Ian Deary and Lawrence Whalley tracked down about 500 of them and gave them the same test to take again.

Turns out, the correlation was strikingly high -- .66, to be exact. Those who were at the top of the pack at age 11 also tended to be at the top of the pack at age 80, and those who were at the bottom also tended to stay at the bottom. Equally as interesting, the correlation was far from perfect. A few outliers could be found. One person had an IQ of over 100 at age 11, but scored just over 60 at age 80. There are many possible reasons for this outlier, including dementia. Other folks showed IQ increases as they aged. On average, people's individual (or absolute) scores on the test taken again at age 80 was much higher (over one standard deviation) than their scores had been at age 11, even though the rank ordering among people stayed roughly the same.

These results are illustrative of what psychologists find over and over again. IQ tends to remain relatively stable over the lifespan. The key word here is relative. IQ researchers are interested in explaining differences. Developmentally speaking, an individual's intelligence is not fixed at birth. Although rank ordering of scores tends to remain stable (relative change), scores within individuals fluctuate quite a bit (absolute change). As the noted IQ researcher (and my mentor) Nicholas J. Mackintosh notes in his superb book "IQ and Human Intelligence,"

"If, aged 40, you obtain the same absolute score on the same test as the score you had obtained at age 10, something would have gone seriously wrong in your life. The long-term stability of IQ means only that your standing relative to others of your age stays much the same."

In childhood and adolescence, intelligence is particularly vulnerable to plasticity and change. The relation between brain size and IQ is lower in children than in adults. IQ is related to brain development in complex ways. One study followed 300 children up to early adulthood. At age 7, the higher IQ children (greater than 120) tended to have less cortical thickness. Soon after, however, the high IQ children showed a rapid increase in cortical thickness, overtaking the other children and peaking at age 11-12 before slowly declining to about the same level as the others. The researchers concluded

"'Brainy' children are not cleverer solely by virtue of having more or less grey matter at any one age. Rather, intelligence is related to dynamic properties of cortical maturation."

Of course, the relation between genes and cortical maturation need not be direct. Higher IQ children may act differently in the world and elicit different reactions from others, which in turn sculpts their brains. It has long been known that experience influences cortical thickness. Regardless of the causes of these findings, these results are fascinating and demonstrate the plasticity of human intelligence, especially among adolescence. A recent study which has been garnering a lot of media attention further illustrates this point.

Sue Ramsden at University College London and her colleagues took a batch of 33 healthy adolescents (aged 12-16), with a wide mix of abilities. She tested their IQ in 2004 and then again 3-4 years later. During each test session, each child had their brains scanned using fMRI. Neither the participants nor their parents had a clue that they would be tested again. Consistent with earlier research, scores changed quite a bit from one testing session to the next. Thirty-three percent of the participants showed a clear change in their total IQ score. To highlight the range: One participant showed an increase in IQ score by 21 points, whereas another showed a decrease of 18 points. These are dramatic changes!

The researchers weren't just interested in test score changes, but were also interested in whether the changes were meaningfully reflected in brain structure. If they could link their changes to brain structure, then it would suggest these IQ fluctuations aren't merely the result of "measurement error." Indeed, they found that changes in the verbal portions of the IQ test (e.g., vocabulary, verbal comprehension) were related to changes in grey matter density and volume in the left motor cortex; a region that is known to be activated by the articulation of speech. Changes in the non-verbal portions of the IQ test (putting blocks and pictures together in their proper arrangement, completing pictures appropriately) were related to to grey matter density in the anterior cerebellum; a region that is known to be activated by motor movements of the hand. Interestingly, the grey matter changes that were associated with verbal and non-verbal IQ changes were not associated with regions normally found to be associated with IQ (frontal and parietal regions). Their results suggest that particular forms of intelligence (but not overall IQ scores) are reliant, at least in part, on sensorimotor skills and that such fluctuations aren't purely the result of 'measurement error'. According to the researchers,

"The implications of our present findings is that an individual's strengths and weaknesses in skills relevant to education and employment are still emerging or changing in the teenage years."

I have a few quibbles. It was a small sample, it's not clear that the tests they administered were age-appropriate for all of their participants, and some of the high-IQ children tested at the first time point may have found the test too easy (showing 'ceiling effects'). Future research should look at larger samples, using a number of different tests, on a wider range of ages. It remains to be seen if the same levels of plasticity are evident among older populations.

At any rate, it's a neat little study and contrary to an article in the Guardian, which stated that the study "contradicts a long-standing view of intelligence as fixed", the study is actually quite consistent with what IQ researchers have been finding for over 50 years! No sensible IQ researcher would say that intelligence is fixed. Anyone who does tell you that is a nut job.

In fact, leading IQ test makers fully acknowledge that people don't have "an" IQ. That's why they are increasingly moving away from a focus on total IQ scores to observing how children behave on the different sections of the test. As Alan S. Kaufman (no relation), an IQ test pioneer, notes in his excellent book "IQ Testing 101":

"Ultimately, IQ tests are not about numbers; they're about people ... People who are given an IQ test are evaluated for a reason. No one has ever been referred for testing because of terminal niceness or because someone said, 'This person is so incredibly normal -- you've just got to test her.' When there's a test, there's usually a real-life question to be answered, sometimes a dilemma, which demands attention and intervention ... Whatever the nature of the problem, it can't be solved by computing a global IQ. An intelligent, aware, knowledgable clinician is an even more important tool than the test itself -- an astute observer who treats the global IQs as often the least important outcomes of the evaluation."

Many modern IQ tests have this intelligent testing approach built right into the test. One of the most widely administered IQ tests, the Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children, Fourth Edition (WISC-IV) and the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale, Fourth Edition (WAIS-IV) include process scores (based on Edith Kaplan's Boston process approach), which allow the clinician to gain insight into the processes that may lead a child to get a problem wrong. The latest edition of the WISC also includes a companion that allows the clinician to qualitatively better understand why the child is responding in a particular way to the test items. Other modern IQ tests, such as the Kaufman Assessment Battery for Children, Second Edition also include qualitative indicators (QIs) built in, which guide the examiner's observations of the child during the testing session. As Alan notes,

"The important lessons here are that IQ tests are built based on clinical observations, they offer far more to the skilled examiner than a bunch of test scores, and a psychologist's experience with a test is an invaluable commodity that cannot be overlooked."

The bottom line here is that intelligence was never, and will never, be fixed at birth. Be very skeptical of any media report that argues that a new study overturns research showing that it is. The development of intelligence is one of the most fascinating, and important, research topics in psychology (at least, I think so!). Every child enters the testing session for a reason, and every child has his or her own unique constellation of traits and life experiences. The key is not to determine that child's one "true" IQ score, but to discover as much as possible about that child in order to help him or her flourish.

© 2011 by Scott Barry Kaufman.

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In 1932, the entire population of Scottish 11-year-olds (87, 498 children) took an IQ test. Over 60 years later, psychologists Ian Deary and Lawrence Whalley tracked down about 500 of them and gave th...
In 1932, the entire population of Scottish 11-year-olds (87, 498 children) took an IQ test. Over 60 years later, psychologists Ian Deary and Lawrence Whalley tracked down about 500 of them and gave th...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
maori
01:57 PM on 11/09/2011
Genius doesn't exist, and hey, isn't genius just about how much a person knows?

Anyone can become a genius with enough college, everyone knows that. It can be purchased, just like everything else. Intelligence is a matter of class, not birth; the state giveth, the state taketh away.

The great equalizer, and bestower of all good things.

Now that we've cleared that up, let's continue with the mass dumbening....
03:08 AM on 11/09/2011
IQ has always been variable and this variability widely known, that's why there are bars.
11:22 AM on 11/08/2011
Knowledge is information. Intelligence is cognitive. Wisdom is knowing the difference.
10:30 AM on 11/08/2011
IQ as an indicator of pattern recognition and capacity for abstract thought is genuinely useful; there's no need to politicize it as so many on the left do. Biology (DNA) has made for variation in the species which can be measured along many vectors (e.g., endocrine function, size/BMI, metabolism, et.al.) and merely stating the obvious vis-a-vis cognition is not controversial. Some people are just born with the capacity to become (with education) very smart and others are not. Just like some people are born with the capability of becoming (with training) very athletic.

You could put me in basketball camp with Michael Jordan as a teacher for 20 years and I'd barely be an average ball player. But give me the literary canon of most colleges (and continuing education) and I have become an above average reader (measured by comprehension) and writer (measured by creativity, readability, and complexity). Reverse it and give the same primers to a man born with above average athletic ability but a low IQ and you'll get the inverse capabilities and deficiencies. Throwing 20 books a year at him would yield much lower results than the same education given to me.

There is no shame in saying I am merely an average athlete who has an above average intellectual endowment nor in saying some other fella is an average thinker with above average athleticism (and they're not mutually exclusive). People are different-- some better than others and different things.
12:31 AM on 11/08/2011
If education is to be useful it needs to be tailored to the needs of each individual. We seem to have a fetish with IQ tests. Finland has one of the best educated populations in the world but they don't rely on standardized tests. Deciding whether someone is a failure or not at the age of 11 was and still is the crowning achievement of the UK educational system ... except that it's wrong. People need to be nurtured if they are to reach their full potential: at present we seem to be fixated on determining abilities by modes of assessment which are not only outdated but also dangerous.
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05:20 PM on 11/07/2011
My IQ was tested out to 147 when I was 16 years old. I wonder what it would be today?
3rdCitizen
Nobody knows for sure.
04:27 PM on 11/07/2011
That intelligence varies over one's lifetime – affected by, among other things, opportunities & willingness to use one's mind in various, challenging ways – would seem to me to be pretty obvious.
What I take issue with is using "IQ" & "intelligence" synonymously & interchangeably. The idea that “intelligence” is no more than the combination of linguistic & logical abilities that IQ tests typically attempt to measure is ridiculously simplistic. Instead, there are multiple types of intelligence, and exceptional capacity in one does not predict how one functions with another (as I've noticed many times in my life).
Howard Gardner has (famously) identified at least 7 types of intelligence. Besides Linguistic & Logical-Mathematical, they include Musical Intelligence, “Bodily-Kinesthetic” (i.e. athletic) Intelligence, Spatial-Navigational Intelligence, Intrapersonal Intelligence (i.e. emotional maturity, self-awareness), & Interpersonal Intelligence (i.e. the ability to comprehend and influence the feelings & attitudes of others). Other possible types include Naturalist/Environmental Intelligence, Moral Intelligence, Existential Intelligence, Spiritual Intelligence, etc.
There are many more ways to be a genius or a fool than are summed up in the term "IQ."
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tonygumbrell
retired working stiff
02:25 PM on 11/07/2011
Thanks to Huffpost for posting this article. That I can find a good read at Huffpost (in with all the nonsense) keeps me checking every day.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Scott Barry Kaufman
Cognitive psychologist
04:32 PM on 11/07/2011
Tony, I want to personally thank you for your comment. I'm glad you found the article a good read. Best, Scott
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
menmykoko
Feudalism..the original Christian coalition.
02:12 PM on 11/07/2011
Interesting.
01:51 PM on 11/07/2011
At the beginning of the article, Mr. Kaufman mentioned a study that showed an r = 0.66 correlation between IQs at age 11 and IQs over 60 years later. That is a very large correlation compared to most sociological variables e.g. the correlation between education and income is about 0.3, the correlation between IQ and head circumference is 0.2, the correlation between SAT score and grade school teaching ability is close to 0. But the classical interpretation of a correlation of r = 0.66 is that 44% (i.e. 0.66 squared is 0.44 = 44%) of the explanation of why people's IQs are what they are is due to their IQ at 11 years old, and that 56% is due to other causes. This deals a serious blow to the notion (strongly assumed by Hernstein and Murray in The Bell Curve) that IQs are fixed heritable numbers. The fact is that if society (typically by exerting the popular collective will, known in democracies as "the government") decides to focus attention and resources on making the 56% favorable to IQ growth, we could see an american population growing in intelligence, and the shrinking of the achievement gap between whites/asians vs blacks/hispanics/american indians.
12:17 PM on 11/07/2011
Question; What are most people doing at one o'clock in the morning?
A.Sleeping B. Going to bed C. Getting read for school.

The correct answer, of course, is C, getting ready for school. If you chose A or B, you would be considered mentally handicapped.

Oh, I forgot to tell you that this question is really a translation from a hypothetical IQ test given in Swahili. In safe Swahili, one AM (saa moja y assubuhi.) really means the hour after sunrise, roughly 7 AM in American time. Also bear in mind that there is no daylight saving time in tropical Africa. The sun always rises at about 6 AM - regardless of the time of year.

I am using this example to illustrate the basic problem with IQ tests. They are basically Information Quotients, not intelligence quotients. The more information the person has at their disposal, they better they perform on IQ tests.

IQ is not set. It can vary depending on one's educational background. That's one fact that every one should always consider when discussing IQ tests.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
BlairCase
03:23 PM on 11/07/2011
Different IQ tests are developed for different cultures that take into account the type of cultural differences you mention. Africans who score higher on IQ test developed for their culture tend to be more successful in life.
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jf12
Esta vez saldré como las otras y me escaparé.
11:35 AM on 11/07/2011
Testing statistics are interesting. Because of the good day - bad day effects, typical short term fluctuations actually swamp any typical long term trends.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
gurukalehuru
cwtc7
10:52 AM on 11/07/2011
Of course there is some variation, within a given range. But the level of one's range is important. In most cases, smart people do not become stupid and stupid people almost never become smart.
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Vintage59
Seeking tickets to First Class
10:38 AM on 11/07/2011
Trying to turn humans into numbers is never a very precise activity. The results shouldn't be taken with a grain of salt, they should always be taken with a large block of salt and no really important decisions should ever be based on them. Their only usefulness is to make it easier to determine which students MIGHT need more help in certain areas. Every other decision based on IQ test scores tends to hurt innocent children. Of course, PHD's in Education don't often care about that as long as their most recent paper was well received by their peers.
11:34 AM on 11/07/2011
There are several styles of intelligence "tests." I object to those which are based solely on what has been learned aka achievement versions. Until a measure can be crafted that actually can determine the "ability to learn", we will ever be stuck with the achievement version.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
thinkingwomanmillstone
great, green, globs of greasy grimey GOPerspeak.
10:26 AM on 11/07/2011
An IQ test really just means how well the person can test. My young adult son with autism can test in a low normal range on a standard IQ test. He is a visual learner and never forgets a word once he's seen it and learned what it means. His functioning in the world however is far from typical and far from the level one would expect by his IQ score. He doesn't generalize learning very well. For example, when he saw the events of 9/11, he asked what happened. I explained that some bad men had stolen the planes and crashed them into the buildings. His response, "Oh they're going to have to go to jail"....because in his mind, if you commit a crime, you go to jail. The idea that the "bad guys" died let alone that passengers on the plane and in the buildings died never occurred to him because he cannot follow through to the logical conclusion. He can do division problems with decimals but cannot tell if someone is charging him too much or giving him the right change. My father in law, on the other hand, left school in 6th grade due to the depression. He wasn't illiterate but was pretty close. He was a mayor of a town for years, a successful business man and quite intelligent. I doubt that he'd have done very well on a written IQ test. IQ test score is only part of the equation.